Karin Vey. Watson How Artificial Intelligence Leads Us to Better Decisions. 9th European Trend Day Vortrag / Speech

Transcription

1 9th European Trend Day 2013 Vortrag / Speech Karin Vey Watson How Artificial Intelligence Leads Us to Better Decisions GDI Gottlieb Duttweiler Institute Langhaldenstrasse 21 P.O. Box 531 CH-8803 Rüschlikon/Zurich Fon info@gdi.ch

2 Watson How Artificial Intelligence can Lead to Better Decisions Dr. Karin Vey Executive Briefing Manager 2013 International Business Machines Corporation 2

3 On February 14, 2011, IBM s Watson made history 3 On February 14, 2011, IBM s Watson made history Jeopardy! - A grand challenge for a computing system! broad range of topics (e.g. history, literature, politics, arts, science)! analyzing subtle meanings in clues! dealing with irony, riddles, and other language complexities! speed of responses (max. 3 s)! high confidence level in answer required (evidence-based) 4

4 What you need to answer to become a Jeopardy! champion Category: Don t worry about it You just need a nap! You don t have this sleep disorder that can make sufferers nod off while standing up. 5 What you need to answer to become a Jeopardy! champion Category: Don t worry about it What is narcolepsy? 6

5 IBM s Watson is ushering in a new era of computing I see the new era of computing as being comparable to the United States moon shot in the 1960s. Dr. John Kelly, Director IBM Research 7 Dying of thirst in an ocean of data Volume in Exabytes Percentage of uncertain data You are here Sensors & Devices Social Media VoIP 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% Percent of uncertain data 3000 Enterprise Data 0% Source: IBM Global Technology Outlook

6 Job 1 for Watson: The challenge of medical data Medical information is doubling every 5 years It can take 10+ years to convert research to practice $95B/year is spent in medical research, yet only 3 out of 5 chronic patients benefit 9 10

7 Spring 2013: Memorial Sloan Kettering and IBM announced Interactive Care Insights for Oncology 1.5 mio patient records 600,000 pieces of medical evidence... as basis for optimized diagnosis & treatment of lung cancer 11 Dialoguing to an answer Present Factors " Red, painful eye " Blurred vision " Family history of arthritis Q: What diagnosis explains the patient s condition? Behcet s Disease 45% Sarcoidosis 32% Lyme Disease 1% Medical Record Lyme Disease Sarcoidosis Behcet s Disease Absent Factors # Circular rash "# Fatigue # Headache 63% 3% 1% The first symptom of Lyme disease (also called Lyme s disease) Lyme disease for about can 50% affect of people different is body a small, systems, red bull s-eye such rash, the called nervous erythema system, migrans, joints, skin, at the and site of an heart. infected Symptoms tick bite. are! often described as Other early, happening acute Lyme in three symptoms stages (although are flu-like not everyone fatigue, achy experiences muscles all or three): joints, fever, chills, stiff neck, swollen 1. A circular glands, rash, and typically a headache. within 1-2 weeks of infection, often is the first sign of infection.! Lyme disease is caused by the bacterium Borrelia 2. Along with the rash, a person may have flu-like burgdorferi and is transmitted to humans through the symptoms such as swollen lymph nodes, fatigue, bite of infected blacklegged ticks. Typical symptoms headache, and muscle aches. include high temperature, headache, fatigue, and a characteristic skin rash called erythema migrans. 12

8 We have only just begun to build a new era of computing powered by cognitive systems! Transforming how organizations think, act, and operate! Learning through interactions! Delivering evidence based responses and improving decision-making in a variety of industries: from healthcare, to retail, to telecommunications and financial services 13 The ultimate vision: As efficient as the human brain! 10000x 14

9 ! and the size of a sugar cube 15

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