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1 % -0% % 5 50% ( Framingham risk score; ( (1 ( ( ankle-brachial index ABI ABI 0.9 (1 ( Electron beam or multidetector computed tomography [ EBCT or MDCT ] ( coronary artery calcium score CASC 7 901

2 144 ( Coronary events ( Risk prognostication ( Emerging risk factors ( Subclinical atherosclerosis ( Electron beam computed tomography ( Multidetector computed tomography ( Coronary artery calcium score ( Coronary Heart Disease ( % ( total cholesterol; TC ( high density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C 3 ( Framingham risk score; ( ( coronary heart disease event coronary event (sudden coronary death ( fatal myocardial infarction ( non-fatal myocardial infarction 3 ( American Heart Association; AHA ( primary prevention HA/ ( American College of Cardiology ACC ( secondary prevention 5 ( 3rd report of National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel NCEP-ATP III NCEP-ATP III 3 ( high ( intermediate ( low 4 A- 000 disease (1 ( NCEP-ATP III ( subclinical atherosclerosis C

3 HDL % 11 8% 0 1% 1 % 1 1% 13 1% 1% 14 1% 3 1% 15 0% 4 1% 1 5% 5 % 17 30% % 7 3% 8 4% 9 5% %

4 HDL % 0 11% 9 1% 1 14% 1% 17% 11 1% 3 % 1 1% 4 7% 13 % 5 30% 14 % 15 3% 1 4% 17 5% 18 % 19 8%

5 147 ( high-sensitivity C-reactive protein; hs-crp % (1 ( acute coronary syndrome (stable angina % 7,8 0% 9, ( ( peripheral artery disease; PAD ( 50% ( 3. remnant particles a subspecies Apo B Apo A-I /HDL C (homocysteine NCEP-ATP III (3 11 (4 NCEP-ATP III ( AHA ACC 34 Bethesda 14 SCORE ( ( Low Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol; LDL-C / statin LDL-C 1

6 PAD (1 ETT ETT (1 ( exercise treadmill test ETT ( ( ankle-brachial index; ABI 1 ABI ABI 0.9 PAD 50% ABI 90% 98% ABI PAD PAD CAPRIE PAD 1% % 0 PAD PAD.5-4-5% 1, 80% ABI % 40% 3 NCEP- ATP III PAD ABI ABI ( pretest probability 17 ETT ( ABI ABI ETT ( subclinical atherosclerotic plaque burden (1 ( electron beam computed tomography; EBCT ( multidetector computed tomography; MDCT ( coronary artery calcium score; ( ( carotid sonography

7 [ ] ( intima-media thickness; IMT (1 EBCT MDCT 5 5-8, CT CASC 75 Detrano Wong 37 ( Callister ( p< ( 43% 39,40 0, 50% 1% Mosca 400 % ( p=0.009 Keelan Raggi 33 3 CT 3 CAC ( 0 0.3% % % 50 8.% 90 1% Arad CT 19 = % = 0 5.5% = % = 80 14% ,43, ,47 IMT ( IMT hs-crp 5% 4 CT IMT 48,49 IMT hs- CRP AHA hs-crp

8 150 ( IIa 50 (b (c ( ( 400 (d hs-crp % AHA,41 50 / 1.0 / clopidogrel / 3.0 / ( I 41 ( 50 hs-crp ( IIa / 0% >40 > % 53, % LDL-C statin LDL LDL-C Statin LDL-C NCEP-ATP III (1 0% LDL 0 / LDL 130 / statin ( ( 0% 130 / LDL 130 / statin (3 % 130 / LDL 10 / statin (4 % / 190 / / (a ( HDL ( Coronary Artery Surgery Study % 59,0 CASS 5 40% 1 ( metabolic syndrome 005 AHA 88 ( ( 150 / ( 3 HDL 40 / 50 / ( ( 5 0 / ( 1

9 151 ( ( % 5 EBCT MDCT CT 4 LDL-C statin 1.Gibbons RJ, Abrams J, Chatterjee K, et al. ACC/AHA 00 Guideline Update for the Management of Patients With Chronic Stable Angina-Summary Article: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Committee on the Management of Patients With Chronic Stable Angina. Circulation 003; 7: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force. Screening for coronary heart disease: recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med 004; 140: Department of Health. 004 Summary of mortality statistics in Taiwan. 4.Pearson TA, Blair SN, Daniels SR, et al. AHA guidelines for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease and stroke: 00 update: Consensus panel guide to comprehensive risk reduction for adult patients without coronary or other atherosclerotic vascular diseases. Circulation 00; : Smith SC, Blair SN, Bonow RO, et al. AHA/ACC guidelines for preventing heart attack and death in patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: 001 update: A statement for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association and the American College of Cardiology. Circulation 001; 4: Third Report of the National Cholesterol Education Program (N- CEP expert panel on detection, evaluation, and treatment of high blood cholesterol in adults (Adult Treatment Panel III. Final report. Circulation 00; : Sacks FM, Pfeffer MA, Moye LA, et al. The effect of pravastatin on coronary events after myocardial infarction in patients with average cholesterol levels. Cholesterol and Recurrent Events Trial Investigators. N Engl J Med 0; 335: Lipid Study Group. Prevention of cardiovascular events and death with pravastatin in patients with coronary heart disease and a broad range of initial cholesterol levels. The Long-Term Intervention with Pravastatin in Ischaemic Disease (LIPID Study Group. N Engl J Med 1998; 339: Cleland JGF. Can improved quality of care reduce the costs of managing angina pectoris? Eur Heart J 199; 17 (Suppl A: Juul-Moller S, Edvardsson N, Jahnmatz B, Rosen A, Sorensen S, Omblus R. Double-blind trial of aspirin in primary prevention of myocardial infarction. Lancet 199; 340: Haffner SM, Lehto S, Ronnemaa T, et al. Mortality from coronary heart disease in subjects with type diabetes and in nondiabetic subjects with and without prior myocardial infarction.

10 15 N Engl J Med 1998; 339: O'Rourke RA, Brundage BH, Froelicher VF, et al. American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association expert consensus document on electron-beam computed tomography for the diagnosis and prognosis of coronary artery disease. Circulation 000; : Smith SC, Greenland P, Grundy SM. AHA prevention Conference V : Beyond Secondary Prevention : Identifying the High-Risk Patient for Primary Prevention : Executive Summary. Circulation 000; 1: Pasternak RC, Abrams J, Greenland P, Smaha LA, Wilson PWF, Houston- Miller N. 34th Bethesda Conference: Task force #1- Identification of coronary heart disease risk: is there a detection gap? J Am Coll Cardiol 003; 41: Conroy RM, Pyorala K, Fitzgerald AP, et al. Estimation of tenyear risk of fatal cardiovascular disease in Europe: the SCORE project. Eur Heart J 003; 4: Pitt B, Rubenfire M. Risk stratification for the detection of preclinical coronary artery disease. Circulation 1999; 99: Froelicher VF, Follansbee WP, Labovitz, AJ, et al. Special application: Screening apparently healthy individuals. In: Froelicher VF, Follansbee WP, Labovitz AJ, Myers J, eds. Exercise and the Heart. Boston: Mosby; 1993; Greenland P, Abrams J, Aurigemma GP, et al. Prevention Conference V: beyond secondary prevention: identifying the high-risk patient for primary prevention: noninvasive tests of atherosclerotic burden: Writing Group III. Circulation 000; 1: e Criqui MH, Deneberg JO, Langer RD, et al. The epidemiology of peripheral arterial disease: importance of identifying the population at risk. Vasc Med 1997; : CAPRIE Steering Committee A randomised, blinded, trial of clopidogrel versus aspirin in patients at risk of ischaemic events (CAPRIE Lancet 199; 348: Criqui MH, Denenberg JO. The generalized nature of atherosclerosis: How peripheral arterial disease may predict adverse events from coronary artery disease. Vasc Med 1998; 3: Belch JJF, Topol EJ, Agnelli G, et al. Critical issues in peripheral arterial disease detection and management: A call to action. Arch Intern Med 003; 13: Criqui MH, Langer RD, Fronek A, et al. Mortality over a period of years in patients with peripheral arterial disease. N Engl J Med 199; 3: Pearson TA. New Tools for Coronary Risk Assessment. What Are Their Advantages and Limitations? Circulation 00; 5: Rumberger JA, Schwartz RS, Simons DB, et al. Relation of coronary calcium determined by electron beam computed tomography and lumen narrowing determined by autopsy. Am J Cardiol 1994; 73: Rumberger JA, Simons DB, Fitzpatrick LA, et al. Coronary artery calcium area by electron-beam computed tomography and coronary atherosclerotic plaque area: A histopathologic correlative study. Circulation 1995; 9: Budoff MJ, Georgiou D, Brody A, et al. Ultrafast computed tomography as a diagnostic modality in the detection of coronary artery disease: A multicenter study. Circulation 199; 93: Becker CR. Combined approach of contrast and non-contrast CT for the assessment of coronary atherosclerosis. Herz 003; 8: Sangiorgi G, Rumberger JA, Severson A, et al. Arterial calcification and not lumen stenosis is highly correlated with atherosclerotic plaque burden in humans: A histologic study of 73 coronary artery segments using nondecalcifying methodology. J Am Coll Cardiol 1998; 31: Ringqvist I, Fisher LD, Mock M, et al. Prognostic value of angiographic indices of coronary artery disease from the Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS. J Clin Invest 1983; 71: Emond M, Mock MB, David KR, et al. Long-term survival of medically treated patients in the Coronary Artery Surgery Study (CASS Registry. Circulation 1994; 90: Goldstein JA, Demetriou D, Grines CL, et al. Multiple complex coronary plaques in patients with acute myocardial infarction. N Engl J Med 000; 343: Raggi P, Callister TQ, Cooil B, et al. Identification of patients at increased risk of first unheralded acute myocardial infarction by electron-beam computed tomography. Circulation 000; 1: Detrano R, Hsiai T, Wang S, et al. Prognostic value of coronary calcification and angiographic stenoses in patients undergoing coronary angiography. J Am Coll Cardiol 199; 7: Keelan PC, Bielak LF, Ashai K, et al. Long-term prognostic value of coronary calcification detected by electron-beam computed tomography in patients undergoing coronary angiography. Circulation 001; 4: Arad Y, Spadaro LA, Goodman K, et al. Prediction of coronary events with electron beam computed tomography. J Am Coll Cardiol 000; 3: Wong ND, Hsu JC, Detrano RC, et al. Coronary artery calcium evaluation by electron beam computed tomography and its relation to new cardiovascular events. Am J Cardiol 000; 8: Callister TQ, Schisterman EF, Berman D, et al. Risk-adjusted mortality by extent of coronary calcification (abstr. J Am Coll Cardiol 00; 39: 447A. 39.He ZX, Hedrick TD, Pratt CM, et al. Severity of coronary artery calcification by electron beam computed tomography predicts silent myocardial ischemia. Circulation 000; 1: Miranda RS, Schisterman EF, Gallagher AM, et al. The extent of coronary calcium by electron beam computed tomography discriminates the likelihood of abnormal myocardial perfusion SPECT (abstr. Circulation 000; (suppl II: II Mosca L, Appel LJ, Benjamin EJ, et al. Evidence-Based Guidelines for Cardiovascular Disease Prevention in Women. Circulation 004; 9: 7-93.

11 153 4.Wayhs R, Zelinger A, Raggi P. High coronary artery calcium scores pose an extremely elevated risk for hard events. Am Coll Cardiol 00; 39: Leber AW, Knez A, von Ziegler F, et al. Quantification of Obstructive and Nonobstructive Coronary Lesions by 4-Slice Computed Tomography: A Comparative Study With Quantitative Coronary Angiography and Intravascular Ultrasound J Am Coll Cardiol 005; 4: Kefer J, Coche E, Legros G, et al. Head-to-Head Comparison of Three-Dimensional Navigator-Gated Magnetic Resonance Imaging and 1-Slice Computed Tomography to Detect Coronary Artery Stenosis in Patients. J Am Coll Cardiol 005; 4: Achenbach S, Daniel WG. Reply. J Am Coll Cardiol 00; 47: Crouse JR, Craven TE, Hagaman AP, Gene BM. Association of coronary disease with segment-specific intimal-medial thickening of the extracranial carotid artery. Circulation 1995; 9: Visona A, Pesavento R, Lusiani L, et al. Intimal medial thickening of common carotid artery as indicator of coronary artery disease. Angiology 199; 47: Hodis HN, Mack WJ, LaBree L, et al. The role of carotid arterial intima-media thickness in predicting clinical coronary events. Ann Intern Med 1998; 18: O'Leary DH, Polak JF, Kronmal RA, Manolio TA, Burke GL, Wolfson SK. Carotid-artery intima and media thickness as a risk factor for myocardial infarction and stroke in older adults: Cardiovascular Health Study Collaborative Research Group. N Engl J Med 1999; 340: Pearson TA, Mensah GA, Alexander RW, et al. Markers of inflammation and cardiovascular disease: Application to clinical and public health practice. A statement for healthcare professionals from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the American Heart Association. Circulation 003; 7: Goldstein JL, Kita T, Brown MS. Defective lipoprotein receptors and atherosclerosis: Lessons from an animal counterpart of familial hypercholesterolemia. N Engl J Med 1983; 309: US Department of Health and Human Services. The Health Consequences of Smoking: Cardiovascular Disease. A Report of the Surgeon General. Washington, DC: Office of Smoking and Health, US Government Printing Office; Fielding JE, Phenow KJ. Health effects of involuntary smoking. N Engl J Med 1988; 319: Glantz SA, Parmley WW. Passive smoking and heart disease: Mechanisms and risk. JAMA 1995; 73: He J, Vupputuri S, Allen K, Prerost MR, Hughes J, Whelton PK. Passive smoking and the risk of coronary heart disease: A metaanalysis of epidemiologic studies. N Engl J Med 1999 ; 340: Gordon T, Kannel WB, McGee D, et al. Death and coronary attacks in men after giving up cigarette smoking: A report from the Framingham Study. Lancet 1974; : US Department of Health and Human Services. The Health Benefits of Smoking Cessation: A Report of the Surgeon General. Rockville, MD: US Department of Health and Human Services, Public Health Service, Centers for Disease Control DHHS Publication (CDC Tsevat J, Weinstein MC, Williams LW, Tosteson ANA, Goldman L. Expected gains in life expectancy from various coronary heart disease risk factor modifications. Circulation 1991; 83: Wilhelmsson C, Vedin JA, Elmfeldt D, Tibblin G, Wilhelmsson L. Smoking and myocardial infarction. Lancet 1975; 1: Hermanson B, Omenn GS, Kronmal RA, Gersh BJ. Beneficial six-year outcome of smoking cessation in older men and women with coronary artery disease: Results from the CASS Registry. N Engl J Med 1988; 319: Vlietstra R, Kronmal R, Oberman A, et al. Effect of cigarette smoking on survival of patients with angiographically documented coronary artery disease: Report from the CASS Registry. JAMA 198; 55, 3-7..Grundy SM, Cleeman JI, Daniels SR, et al. Diagnosis and Management of the Metabolic Syndrome. An American Heart Association/National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Scientific Statement: Executive Summary. Circulation 005; 11: e Bureau of Health Promotion, Department of Health, Taiwan. Metabolic syndrome 4.Manson JE, Hu FB, Rich-Edwards JW, et al. A prospective study of walking as compared with vigorous exercise in the prevention of coronary heart disease in women. N Engl J Med 1999; 341: Lee I-M, Sesso HD, Paffenbarger RS. Physical activity and coronary heart disease risk in men: Does duration of exercise episodes predict risk? Circulation 000; : 981-.

12 154 New Advance in Risk Prognostication for Coronary Event Chih-Sen Kang, Ching-Iuan Chern, Mei-Shu Lin 1, Zhi-Yang Lai, Nen-Chung Chang, Chi-Sheng Chiou, and Tsung-Ming Lee 3 Department of Cardiology, Min-Sheng General Hospital, Taoyuan 1 Department of Pharmacy, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei Department of Internal Medicine, Taipei Medical University and Hospital, 3 Department of Cardiology, Chi-Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan. According to 004 Report of Taiwan Area Main Causes of Death Statistics from the Department of Health, Taiwan; heart disease, the first time, substituted cerebrovascular disease as the second cause of deaths in Taiwan area. The majority of heart disease is coronary heart disease (CHD. Absolute risk of coronary event can be divided into three categories: high, intermediate, and lower risk with a -year risk for myocardial infarction (nonfatal + fatal and sudden death 0%, -0% and %, respectively. The absolute risk can be estimated by sum of Framingham risk score ( using the Framingham risk table. Patients at high risk are: clinical CHD, noncoronary forms of clinical atherosclerotic disease include those with peripheral arterial disease, abdominal aortic aneurysm, symptomatic and asymptomatic carotid artery disease with carotid narrowing 50 %, diabetes and high-risk patients estimated by who have no above clinical manifestation of atherosclerosis and diabetes. Many subjects will be found to be at intermediate-risk. Some of these patients will be reclassified as high risk because of associated emerging risk factors. Subclinical atherosclerotic disease is one of emerging risk factors. Subclinical atherosclerotic disease can be identified by non-imaging and imaging techniques. Non-imaging methods included: (1 Exercise treadmill testing (ETT identifies patients whose coronary atherosclerosis has advanced sufficiently to produce myocardial ischemia with exercise. Positive ETT identifies a high-risk patients; ( Ankle- brachial index (ABI detects peripheral artery disease (PAD. ABI < 0.9 indicates a PAD and the risk level can be raised to high-risk. Imaging methods are tests for detecting atherosclerotic plaque burden, included: (1 Electron beam or multidetector computed tomography can be used to identify coronary calcification, patients with intermediate risk plus a coronary artery calcium score ( > the 75th percentile for age and gender may be reclassified as high-risk. The exceedingly low coronary event rate in subjects with a <0 is consistent with angiographic studies indicating a comparably low likelihood of significant CAD, i.e., stenosis < 50% and an extremely low incidence of stress-induced myocardial ischemia (<1 % in such individuals. The increasing number of coronary events with an ever-increasing is also consistent with the dramatic increase in the incidence of stress-induced myocardial ischemia when are >0, and particularly >400; ( Carotid sonography, which measures the intima-media thickness could be used to elevate some patients with multiple risk factors to theto high-risk level. Risk factors for which interventions haveseveral interventions proved to lower risk of coronary events are as follows: lowering LDL-C reduces risk for coronary events and statins head the list of LDL-C lowering drugs. Goals of therapy are dependent on level of LDL-C and risk categories. Use of aspirin is dependent on risk level. Smoking cessation and physical activity are for all primary and secondary prevention. ( J Intern Med Taiwan 00; 17:

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