Holistic Approach to Human Risk Assessments the Current Approach Fit for Purpose?

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1 Holistic Approach to Human Risk Assessments the Current Approach Fit for Purpose? EFSA Scientific Conference 2018 Susanne Hougaard Bennekou Senior Advisor, The Danish EPA Parma, 19th. September 2018

2 Disclaimer The opinions expressed in this presentation are the author's own and do not reflect the view of the Danish EPA 2

3 Holistic Approach Current Approach Fit for Purpose? Is it good enough at what it is meant to do? Do regulations support a holistic approach?? Compartmentalised? 3

4 Compartments Single Substance Evaluation Cmpd 1 Cmpd 2 Cmpd 3 Cmpd 4 Cmpd 4 Cmpd Regulatory Siloes REACH Pesticide Biocides Medicines 4 Geographical Countries Unions Continents

5 Holistic Approach? Do we need it? 5

6 Transparency & Trust Informed Skeptiscism In Safety Assessment 6

7 Data requirement active substance Toxicokinetics absorption, distribution, excretion, metabolism single and repeated dose rat Acute exposure oral, dermal, inhalation rat Irritation eye, skin rabbit Sensitisation mouse Subchronic toxicity (2890 days ) rat Subchronic toxicity (28 days 1 year) dog Genotoxicity in vitro (mutagenicity, chromosome aberrations, aneugenicity) Genotoxicity in vivo (chromosome aberrations possibly others) mice Chronic toxicity (2 year) rats Carcinogencity (2 year) rats Carcinogenicty mice Teratogenicity rat Teratogenicity rabbit Reproduction 1 or 2 generations rat Neurotoxicity (acute and/or chronic exposure) rat, Developmental neurotoxicity rat All relevant data from open litteratur (systematic review) 7 Others special studies on endocrine end points

8 Confidence in the risk assessment? Active Substance Wide range test Regulate on the basis of no observed adverse effect levels Reference values should cover vulnerable groups Exposure Reasonable upper limits are estimated for the levels of human exposure to the active substance Risk Assessment Consumers Operator Worker Bystander Resident 8

9 9 Confidence in the risk assessment? Yes But how Safe

10 10 Tough? Relies heavily on nonhuman data Relies on in vivo data not designed to provide mechanistic understanding Multifactorial diease etiologies not covered Coexposures not considered Reference doses based on NOAELs does not allow quantification of the uncertainty Deterministic reference doses coverage and uncertainty is not determined Protection Goal is not welldefined

11 Protection Goal DEFINE ENSURE NOT ANY HARMFUL EFFECT? NO ADVERSE EFFECT LEVEL IN RODENTS / 100 CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE OF EXPOSURE Risk Metric ASSESS Pesticide Reg. 107/2009 CALIBRATE Incidence of adverse health effects in EU Critical value for regulation Acceptable risk EFSA Guidance on Uncertainty in Scientific Assessment Ratio of Protective Exposure Estimate to Rodent NOAEL / 100 Courtesy of Andy Hart

12 Data requirement active substance Toxicokinetics absorption, distribution, excretion, metabolism single and repeated dose rat Acute exposure oral, dermal, inhalation rat Irritation eye, skin rabbit Sensitisation mouse Subchronic toxicity (2890 days ) rat Subchronic toxicity (28 days 1 year) dog 12 Genotoxicity in vitro (mutagenicity, chromosome aberrations, aneugenicity) PRESCRIPTIVE Genotoxicity in vivo (chromosome aberrations possibly others) mice Chronic toxicity (2 year) rats Carcinogencity (2 year) rats Carcinogenicty mice Teratogenicity rat Teratogenicity rabbit Reproduction 1 or 2 generations rat Neurotoxicity (acute and/or chronic exposure) rat, Developmental neurotoxicity rat All relevant data from open litteratur (systematic review) Others special studies on endocrine end points

13 Data requirement active substance Toxicokinetics absorption, distribution, excretion, metabolism single and repeated dose rat Acute exposure oral, dermal, inhalation rat What do we prescribe? Irritation eye, skin rabbit Sensitisation mouse Subchronic toxicity (2890 days ) rat Subchronic toxicity (28 days 1 year) dog Genotoxicity in vitro (mutagenicity, chromosome aberrations, aneugenicity) Genotoxicity in vivo (chromosome aberrations possibly others) mice Chronic toxicity (2 year) rats Carcinogencity (2 year) rats Carcinogenicty mice Teratogenicity rat Teratogenicity rabbit Reproduction 1 or 2 generations rat Bad prescription Poor reproducibility Difficult to interpretate Inefficient Expensive Insensitive Neurotoxicity (acute and/or chronic exposure) rat, Developmental neurotoxicity rat All relevant data from open litteratur (systematic review) 13 Relevance Others special studies on endocrine end points

14 Are there nasty surprises? 602 epidemiological studies >6000 data analysis In metaanalysis consistent increased risk Parkinson s Disease Childhood Leukemia Type II diabetes Asthma Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis Some cancer types liver, breast, stomach 14 Do not allow conclusions but still concern What is the biological plausibility?

15 15

16 PRESCRIPTIVE? Strengths: We get a lot of data FOMO Weakness: Not always relevant data (or even necessary) Opportunity: FODU Fully Optimise Data Use Challenge: Utilize new developments in science 16

17 Data requirement active substance Toxicokinetics absorption, distribution, excretion, metabolism single and repeated dose rat Acute exposure oral, dermal, inhalation rat Irritation eye, skin rabbit 17 Sensitisation PRESCRIPTIVE mouse Subchronic toxicity (2890 days ) rat Subchronic toxicity (28 days 1 year) dog Genotoxicity in vitro (mutagenicity, chromosome aberrations, aneugenicity) Genotoxicity in vivo (chromosome aberrations possibly others) mice Chronic toxicity (2 year) rats FLEXIBLE Carcinogencity (2 year) rats Carcinogenicty mice Teratogenicity rat Teratogenicity rabbit Reproduction 1 or 2 generations rat Neurotoxicity (acute and/or chronic exposure) rat, Developmental neurotoxicity rat All relevant data from open litteratur (systematic review) Others special studies on endocrine end points

18 FODU Endpoint Cmpd 1 Cmpd 2 Cmpd 3 Cmpd 4 Metb. 1 Metb. 2 Metb. 2 Similar toxophore Kinetics Genotoxicity Repeatdose toxicity Carcinogenicity Teratogenicity Reproductive toxicity () ED activity () () Neurotoxicity DNT 18

19 19 () () ()

20 20 () () () FODU ReadAcross

21 21

22 22 / Environmental Protection Agency / Titel på præsentation

23 23

24 Regulation Read Across Read Across Food Contact Materials Feed Flavourings Biocides REACH Pesticide Regulation Pesticide: Data Requirements Pesticides: Identification of Endocrine Disruptors 24

25 Amendment to 1107/2009 on placing of Plant Protection Products on the market on the identfication of ED s 1. it shows an adverse effect in an intact organism or its progeny, which is a change in the morphology, physiology, growth, development, reproduction or life span of an organism, system or (sub)population that results in an impairment of functional capacity, an impairment of the capacity to compensate for additional stress or an increase in the susceptibility to other influence; 2. it has an endocrine mode of action, i.e. alters the function(s) of the endocrine system; 3. the adverse effect is a consequence of the endocrine mode of action 25

26 26

27 27

28 Endpoint Cmpd 1 Cmpd 2 Cmpd 3 Acute toxicity Kinetics Genotoxicity Repeatdose toxicity Carcinogenicity Teratogenicity Reproductive toxicity ED activity Androgen Estrogen Thyroid Steroidgenesis Neurotoxicity DNT 28

29 Endpoint Cmpd 1 Cmpd 2 Cmpd 3 Cmpd 4 Acute toxicity Kinetics Genotoxicity Repeatdose toxicity Carcinogenicity Teratogenicity Reproductive toxicity Anogenital distance? ED activity Androgen Estrogen Thyroid Steroidgenesis n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Neurotoxicity DNT 29

30 Adverse Outcome Pathway MIE KE1 KE2 AO Androgen receptor antagonism leads to impairment of reproductive capacity Androgen receptor antagonism KER Decreased KER Incomplete KER gene development of male transcription organs Impairment of reproductive capacity

31 OECD AOP Status 18th September 2018 AOP Modality Status Aromatase Inhibition leading to reproductive dysfunction Androgen receptor agonism leading to reproductive dysfunction Aromatase (Cyp19a1) reduction leading to impaired fertility in adult female Estrogen receptor antagonism leading to reproductive dysfunction Inhibition of Thyroperoxidase and Subsequent Adverse Neurodevelopmental Outcomes in Mammals PPARα activation in utero leading to impaired fertility in males Inhibition of Na/I symporter (NIS) leads to learning and memory impairment A lot under development Very different level of matureness s A S E T other T Endorsed Approved Under review Under review Under review Under review Under development Open for comments Not OECD workplan 31

32 C&L Classification & Labelling 32

33 Malignant lymphomas in male mice * * HCD K&H 1983 Atkinson 1993 Sugimoto 1997 Wood 2009 Kumar 2001 Should we care? Courtesy of Danielle Cours Marques 33

34 34 / Environmental Protection Agency / Titel på præsentation

35 35 / Environmental Protection Agency / Titel på præsentation

36 Toxic to reproduction Endocrine disruptive activity? Devlopmental neurotoxity? Carcinogenicity? 1,2,4 Triazole Sources: Cyproconazole, Difenoconazole, Metconazole, Myclobutanil, Propiconazole, Prothioconazole, Triadimenol,Triticonazole, Epoxiconazole, Fenbuconazole, Paclobutrazol, Penconazole, Tebuconazole Tetraconazole 36

37 1,2,4 Triazole Toxic to reproduction Endocrine disruptive activity? Devlopmental neurotoxity? Carcinogenicity? Sources: Cyproconazole, Difenoconazole, Metconazole, Myclobutanil, Propiconazole, Prothioconazole, Triadimenol,Triticonazole, Epoxiconazole, Fenbuconazole, Paclobutrazol, Penconazole, Tebuconazole Tetraconazole Other sources? Denitrification 37

38 38

39 Adverse Outcome Pathway MIE KE1 KE2 AO Chemical Toxico Kinetics Molecular Effect Cellular Effect Tissue/ Organ Organism Population QSAR, Modeling,Exposure & TK In Vitro In Vivo Biomonitering Epidemiological

40 Inhibition of the mitochondrial complex I of nigrostriatal neurons leads to parkinsonian motor deficits AOPwiki #3 Chemical Toxico Kinetics Molecular Effect Cellular Effect Tissue/ Organ Organism Population QSAR, Modeling,Exposure & TK In Vitro In Vivo Biomonitering Epidemiological

41 Holistic Wish List Screening AOPs Data availability Define Protection Goals Rigorous analysis of uncertainties Flexible data requirements Harmonised Approaches 41

42 =pesticides 42

43 Efficient use of expert knowledge resources and data Agile in regard to incorporating new science and data into risk assessment Support risk management decisions and provide transparency to the public Address coformulants in PPPs Address risk assessment for mixtures and candidates for substitution Integrate postmarketing data (monitoring) into risk assessment Support a harmonised system 43

44 Thanks Susanne Hougaard Bennekou Senior Advisor, The Danish EPA

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