Practical Bayesian Optimization of Machine Learning Algorithms. Jasper Snoek, Ryan Adams, Hugo LaRochelle NIPS 2012

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Practical Bayesian Optimization of Machine Learning Algorithms. Jasper Snoek, Ryan Adams, Hugo LaRochelle NIPS 2012"

Transcription

1 Practical Bayesian Optimization of Machine Learning Algorithms Jasper Snoek, Ryan Adams, Hugo LaRochelle NIPS 2012

2 ... (Gaussian Processes) are inadequate for doing speech and vision. I still think they're inadequate for doing speech and vision. But when you're in a domain where you have no prior knowledge and the only thing that you can expect is that similar inputs should have similar outputs, then Gaussian Processes are ideal.

3 ... (Gaussian Processes) are inadequate for doing speech and vision. I still think they're inadequate for doing speech and vision. But when you're in a domain where you have no prior knowledge and the only thing that you can expect is that similar inputs should have similar outputs, then Gaussian Processes are ideal.... Gaussian processes are a way of using Machine Learning to simulate the graduate student - Geoff Hinton

4 Motivation N.

5 Deep Neural Networks Require Skill to Set Hyperparameters

6 Common Strategies Grid Search Random Search

7 Common Strategies Grid Search Random Search - Sometimes better because some parameters have no effect

8 Can we use Machine Learning instead? - To predict regions of the hyperparameter Space that might give better results. - to predict how well a new combination of hyperparameters will do and also model the uncertainty of that prediction

9 Bayesian Optimization - Frame Hyperparameter Search as an Optimization Problem

10 Bayesian Optimization - Frame Hyperparameter Search as an Optimization Problem - Model the estimation of the function from high level parameters (hyperparameters) to the error metric as a regression problem

11 Bayesian Optimization - Frame Hyperparameter Search as an Optimization Problem - Model the estimation of the function from high level parameters (hyperparameters) to the error metric as a regression problem - Use G.P Prior : Similar inputs have similar outputs to build a statistical model of the function. Prior is weak but general and effective.

12 Bayesian Optimization - Frame Hyperparameter Search as an Optimization Problem - Model the estimation of the function from high level parameters (hyperparameters) to the error metric as a regression problem - Use G.P Prior : Similar inputs have similar outputs to build a statistical model of the function. Prior is weak but general and effective. - Use statistics to tell us: Location of expected minimum of the function Expected Improvement of trying other parameters

13 Bayesian Optimization (Mockus '78) - Method for the global optimization of multi-modal, computationally expensive black box functions - Assumes that the unknown function was sampled from a Gaussian Process (prior) and uses the observations (likelihood) to maintain a posterior - Observations are the measure of generalization performance under different settings of the hyperparameters we wish to optimize. - The next set of hyperparameters are selected using the maintained posterior using a strategy determined by the acquisition function

14 Gaussian Processes Specifies a distribution over functions such that any finite subset of N points follows a Multivariate Gaussian Distribution.

15 Gaussian Processes Specifies a distribution over functions such that any finite subset of N points follows a Multivariate Gaussian Distribution. The properties of the resulting distribution on functions is specified by a mean and a positive definite covariance function

16 The predictive mean and covariance given the observations Is given by:

17 Intuition GP's are a prior for smooth functions Similar inputs (high covariance) should have similar outputs

18 Intuition Exploration: Seek Places with High Variance Exploitation: Seek Places in the locality of places you're already doing well at.

19 Intuition Exploration: Seek Places with High Variance Exploitation: Seek Places in the locality of places you're already doing well at. The acquisition function balances these to determine point of next evaluation

20 Acquisition Functions The Acquisition function tells us which experiment to run next and what it's goodness will be 1. GP Upper Confidence Bound Idea: Minimize regret over course of optimization. Balance exploration and exploitation 2. Expected Improvement Idea: How much can I expect to improve over the best I've seen so far by running an experiment with these parameters?

21 Intuition

22 Intuition

23 Intuition

24 Intuition

25 Intuition

26 Intuition

27 Intuition

28 Intuition

29 An Eggsperiment Parameters: Boiling Time (1-12m) Cooling Time (1-12m) Salt (0-10 pinches) Pepper (0-10 pinches) Optimal 'Soft Boiled Egg'

30 After 5 Iterations...

31 After 5 Iterations...

32 After 10 Iterations...

33 After 10 Iterations...

34 After 12 Iterations...

35 After 14 Iterations...

36 After 16 Iterations...

37 After 20 Iterations...

38 After 25 Iterations...

39 After 25 Iterations...

40 Practical Bayesian Optimization Integrate out all parameters in Bayesian Optimization Choose appropriate covariance Choice of acquisition function is important

41 Accounting for additional cost Expected Improvement per Second Incorporate a preference towards choosing points that are not only good, but likely to be evaluated quickly

42 Parallelizing Bayesian Optimization 'N' completed evaluations 'J' pending evaluations

43 Parallelizing Bayesian Optimization 'N' completed evaluations 'J' pending evaluations Posterior samples after 3 Observations Expected improvement under individual samples Integrated expected improvement

44 Implications

45 Implications CIFAR-10, 9 Hyperparameters Impossible to find by hand!!

46 Benefits For each input dimension, an appropriate scale for measuring similarity is learned. - are 200 and 300 as similar as 2.0 and 3.0?

47 Benefits For each input dimension, an appropriate scale for measuring similarity is learned. - are 200 and 300 as similar as 2.0 and 3.0? What is the sensitivity to each dimension? Which dimensions don't matter?

48 Benefits For each input dimension, an appropriate scale for measuring similarity is learned. - are 200 and 300 as similar as 2.0 and 3.0? What is the sensitivity to each dimension? Which dimensions don't matter? Reproducible Research level the playing field. Its a lot more honest than human beings

49 Benefits For each input dimension, an appropriate scale for measuring similarity is learned. - are 200 and 300 as similar as 2.0 and 3.0? What is the sensitivity to each dimension? Which dimensions don't matter? Reproducible Research level the playing field. Its a lot more honest than human beings If you have the resources to run a fairly large number of experiments, bayesian optimization is better than a person at finding good combinations of hyperparameters

50 References: [Paper] Practical Bayesian Optimization of Machine Learning Algorithms Jasper Snoek, Hugo Larochelle and Ryan P. Adams Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 2012 [Talk/Slides] Jasper Snoek: "Bayesian Optimization for Machine Learning and Science" [Book] Machine Learning: a Probabilistic Perspective Kevin Murphy

51

52

53

54

Search e Fall /18/15

Search e Fall /18/15 Sample Efficient Policy Click to edit Master title style Search Click to edit Emma Master Brunskill subtitle style 15-889e Fall 2015 11 Sample Efficient RL Objectives Probably Approximately Correct Minimizing

More information

Introduction to Machine Learning. Katherine Heller Deep Learning Summer School 2018

Introduction to Machine Learning. Katherine Heller Deep Learning Summer School 2018 Introduction to Machine Learning Katherine Heller Deep Learning Summer School 2018 Outline Kinds of machine learning Linear regression Regularization Bayesian methods Logistic Regression Why we do this

More information

Neurons and neural networks II. Hopfield network

Neurons and neural networks II. Hopfield network Neurons and neural networks II. Hopfield network 1 Perceptron recap key ingredient: adaptivity of the system unsupervised vs supervised learning architecture for discrimination: single neuron perceptron

More information

RoBO: A Flexible and Robust Bayesian Optimization Framework in Python

RoBO: A Flexible and Robust Bayesian Optimization Framework in Python RoBO: A Flexible and Robust Bayesian Optimization Framework in Python Aaron Klein kleinaa@cs.uni-freiburg.de Numair Mansur mansurm@cs.uni-freiburg.de Stefan Falkner sfalkner@cs.uni-freiburg.de Frank Hutter

More information

BayesOpt: Extensions and applications

BayesOpt: Extensions and applications BayesOpt: Extensions and applications Javier González Masterclass, 7-February, 2107 @Lancaster University Agenda of the day 9:00-11:00, Introduction to Bayesian Optimization: What is BayesOpt and why it

More information

Exploiting Similarity to Optimize Recommendations from User Feedback

Exploiting Similarity to Optimize Recommendations from User Feedback 1 Exploiting Similarity to Optimize Recommendations from User Feedback Hasta Vanchinathan Andreas Krause (Learning and Adaptive Systems Group, D-INF,ETHZ ) Collaborators: Isidor Nikolic (Microsoft, Zurich),

More information

arxiv: v1 [cs.lg] 17 Dec 2018

arxiv: v1 [cs.lg] 17 Dec 2018 Bayesian Optimization in AlphaGo Yutian Chen, Aja Huang, Ziyu Wang, Ioannis Antonoglou, Julian Schrittwieser, David Silver & Nando de Freitas arxiv:1812.06855v1 [cs.lg] 17 Dec 2018 DeepMind, London, UK

More information

EECS 433 Statistical Pattern Recognition

EECS 433 Statistical Pattern Recognition EECS 433 Statistical Pattern Recognition Ying Wu Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Northwestern University Evanston, IL 60208 http://www.eecs.northwestern.edu/~yingwu 1 / 19 Outline What is Pattern

More information

Ch.20 Dynamic Cue Combination in Distributional Population Code Networks. Ka Yeon Kim Biopsychology

Ch.20 Dynamic Cue Combination in Distributional Population Code Networks. Ka Yeon Kim Biopsychology Ch.20 Dynamic Cue Combination in Distributional Population Code Networks Ka Yeon Kim Biopsychology Applying the coding scheme to dynamic cue combination (Experiment, Kording&Wolpert,2004) Dynamic sensorymotor

More information

NONLINEAR REGRESSION I

NONLINEAR REGRESSION I EE613 Machine Learning for Engineers NONLINEAR REGRESSION I Sylvain Calinon Robot Learning & Interaction Group Idiap Research Institute Dec. 13, 2017 1 Outline Properties of multivariate Gaussian distributions

More information

Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models

Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models ANDREW GELMAN Columbia University JENNIFER HILL Columbia University CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS Contents List of examples V a 9 e xv " Preface

More information

Challenges in Developing Learning Algorithms to Personalize mhealth Treatments

Challenges in Developing Learning Algorithms to Personalize mhealth Treatments Challenges in Developing Learning Algorithms to Personalize mhealth Treatments JOOLHEALTH Bar-Fit Susan A Murphy 01.16.18 HeartSteps SARA Sense 2 Stop Continually Learning Mobile Health Intervention 1)

More information

Neuroinformatics. Ilmari Kurki, Urs Köster, Jukka Perkiö, (Shohei Shimizu) Interdisciplinary and interdepartmental

Neuroinformatics. Ilmari Kurki, Urs Köster, Jukka Perkiö, (Shohei Shimizu) Interdisciplinary and interdepartmental Neuroinformatics Aapo Hyvärinen, still Academy Research Fellow for a while Post-docs: Patrik Hoyer and Jarmo Hurri + possibly international post-docs PhD students Ilmari Kurki, Urs Köster, Jukka Perkiö,

More information

Review: Logistic regression, Gaussian naïve Bayes, linear regression, and their connections

Review: Logistic regression, Gaussian naïve Bayes, linear regression, and their connections Review: Logistic regression, Gaussian naïve Bayes, linear regression, and their connections New: Bias-variance decomposition, biasvariance tradeoff, overfitting, regularization, and feature selection Yi

More information

Bayesian Models for Combining Data Across Subjects and Studies in Predictive fmri Data Analysis

Bayesian Models for Combining Data Across Subjects and Studies in Predictive fmri Data Analysis Bayesian Models for Combining Data Across Subjects and Studies in Predictive fmri Data Analysis Thesis Proposal Indrayana Rustandi April 3, 2007 Outline Motivation and Thesis Preliminary results: Hierarchical

More information

Sensory Cue Integration

Sensory Cue Integration Sensory Cue Integration Summary by Byoung-Hee Kim Computer Science and Engineering (CSE) http://bi.snu.ac.kr/ Presentation Guideline Quiz on the gist of the chapter (5 min) Presenters: prepare one main

More information

Threshold Learning for Optimal Decision Making

Threshold Learning for Optimal Decision Making Threshold Learning for Optimal Decision Making Nathan F. Lepora Department of Engineering Mathematics, University of Bristol, UK n.lepora@bristol.ac.uk Abstract Decision making under uncertainty is commonly

More information

Learning Navigational Maps by Observing the Movement of Crowds

Learning Navigational Maps by Observing the Movement of Crowds Learning Navigational Maps by Observing the Movement of Crowds Simon T. O Callaghan Australia, NSW s.ocallaghan@acfr.usyd.edu.au Surya P. N. Singh Australia, NSW spns@acfr.usyd.edu.au Fabio T. Ramos Australia,

More information

A HMM-based Pre-training Approach for Sequential Data

A HMM-based Pre-training Approach for Sequential Data A HMM-based Pre-training Approach for Sequential Data Luca Pasa 1, Alberto Testolin 2, Alessandro Sperduti 1 1- Department of Mathematics 2- Department of Developmental Psychology and Socialisation University

More information

MS&E 226: Small Data

MS&E 226: Small Data MS&E 226: Small Data Lecture 10: Introduction to inference (v2) Ramesh Johari ramesh.johari@stanford.edu 1 / 17 What is inference? 2 / 17 Where did our data come from? Recall our sample is: Y, the vector

More information

Introduction to Computational Neuroscience

Introduction to Computational Neuroscience Introduction to Computational Neuroscience Lecture 10: Brain-Computer Interfaces Ilya Kuzovkin So Far Stimulus So Far So Far Stimulus What are the neuroimaging techniques you know about? Stimulus So Far

More information

EXPLORATION FLOW 4/18/10

EXPLORATION FLOW 4/18/10 EXPLORATION Peter Bossaerts CNS 102b FLOW Canonical exploration problem: bandits Bayesian optimal exploration: The Gittins index Undirected exploration: e-greedy and softmax (logit) The economists and

More information

Coordination in Sensory Integration

Coordination in Sensory Integration 15 Coordination in Sensory Integration Jochen Triesch, Constantin Rothkopf, and Thomas Weisswange Abstract Effective perception requires the integration of many noisy and ambiguous sensory signals across

More information

Reach and grasp by people with tetraplegia using a neurally controlled robotic arm

Reach and grasp by people with tetraplegia using a neurally controlled robotic arm Leigh R. Hochberg et al. Reach and grasp by people with tetraplegia using a neurally controlled robotic arm Nature, 17 May 2012 Paper overview Ilya Kuzovkin 11 April 2014, Tartu etc How it works?

More information

Bayesian Inference. Thomas Nichols. With thanks Lee Harrison

Bayesian Inference. Thomas Nichols. With thanks Lee Harrison Bayesian Inference Thomas Nichols With thanks Lee Harrison Attention to Motion Paradigm Results Attention No attention Büchel & Friston 1997, Cereb. Cortex Büchel et al. 1998, Brain - fixation only -

More information

Bayesians methods in system identification: equivalences, differences, and misunderstandings

Bayesians methods in system identification: equivalences, differences, and misunderstandings Bayesians methods in system identification: equivalences, differences, and misunderstandings Johan Schoukens and Carl Edward Rasmussen ERNSI 217 Workshop on System Identification Lyon, September 24-27,

More information

Evolutionary Programming

Evolutionary Programming Evolutionary Programming Searching Problem Spaces William Power April 24, 2016 1 Evolutionary Programming Can we solve problems by mi:micing the evolutionary process? Evolutionary programming is a methodology

More information

The 29th Fuzzy System Symposium (Osaka, September 9-, 3) Color Feature Maps (BY, RG) Color Saliency Map Input Image (I) Linear Filtering and Gaussian

The 29th Fuzzy System Symposium (Osaka, September 9-, 3) Color Feature Maps (BY, RG) Color Saliency Map Input Image (I) Linear Filtering and Gaussian The 29th Fuzzy System Symposium (Osaka, September 9-, 3) A Fuzzy Inference Method Based on Saliency Map for Prediction Mao Wang, Yoichiro Maeda 2, Yasutake Takahashi Graduate School of Engineering, University

More information

Computational Cognitive Neuroscience

Computational Cognitive Neuroscience Computational Cognitive Neuroscience Computational Cognitive Neuroscience Computational Cognitive Neuroscience *Computer vision, *Pattern recognition, *Classification, *Picking the relevant information

More information

Bayesian Joint Modelling of Benefit and Risk in Drug Development

Bayesian Joint Modelling of Benefit and Risk in Drug Development Bayesian Joint Modelling of Benefit and Risk in Drug Development EFSPI/PSDM Safety Statistics Meeting Leiden 2017 Disclosure is an employee and shareholder of GSK Data presented is based on human research

More information

Assigning B cell Maturity in Pediatric Leukemia Gabi Fragiadakis 1, Jamie Irvine 2 1 Microbiology and Immunology, 2 Computer Science

Assigning B cell Maturity in Pediatric Leukemia Gabi Fragiadakis 1, Jamie Irvine 2 1 Microbiology and Immunology, 2 Computer Science Assigning B cell Maturity in Pediatric Leukemia Gabi Fragiadakis 1, Jamie Irvine 2 1 Microbiology and Immunology, 2 Computer Science Abstract One method for analyzing pediatric B cell leukemia is to categorize

More information

Module 14: Missing Data Concepts

Module 14: Missing Data Concepts Module 14: Missing Data Concepts Jonathan Bartlett & James Carpenter London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine Supported by ESRC grant RES 189-25-0103 and MRC grant G0900724 Pre-requisites Module 3

More information

Expert System Profile

Expert System Profile Expert System Profile GENERAL Domain: Medical Main General Function: Diagnosis System Name: INTERNIST-I/ CADUCEUS (or INTERNIST-II) Dates: 1970 s 1980 s Researchers: Ph.D. Harry Pople, M.D. Jack D. Myers

More information

Classification and Statistical Analysis of Auditory FMRI Data Using Linear Discriminative Analysis and Quadratic Discriminative Analysis

Classification and Statistical Analysis of Auditory FMRI Data Using Linear Discriminative Analysis and Quadratic Discriminative Analysis International Journal of Innovative Research in Computer Science & Technology (IJIRCST) ISSN: 2347-5552, Volume-2, Issue-6, November-2014 Classification and Statistical Analysis of Auditory FMRI Data Using

More information

A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Evaluating Posterior Probabilities of Mental Models

A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Evaluating Posterior Probabilities of Mental Models A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Evaluating Posterior Probabilities of Mental Models Jonathan Y. Ito and David V. Pynadath and Stacy C. Marsella Information Sciences Institute, University of Southern California

More information

Identification of Tissue Independent Cancer Driver Genes

Identification of Tissue Independent Cancer Driver Genes Identification of Tissue Independent Cancer Driver Genes Alexandros Manolakos, Idoia Ochoa, Kartik Venkat Supervisor: Olivier Gevaert Abstract Identification of genomic patterns in tumors is an important

More information

Learning to Identify Irrelevant State Variables

Learning to Identify Irrelevant State Variables Learning to Identify Irrelevant State Variables Nicholas K. Jong Department of Computer Sciences University of Texas at Austin Austin, Texas 78712 nkj@cs.utexas.edu Peter Stone Department of Computer Sciences

More information

Outline. What s inside this paper? My expectation. Software Defect Prediction. Traditional Method. What s inside this paper?

Outline. What s inside this paper? My expectation. Software Defect Prediction. Traditional Method. What s inside this paper? Outline A Critique of Software Defect Prediction Models Norman E. Fenton Dongfeng Zhu What s inside this paper? What kind of new technique was developed in this paper? Research area of this technique?

More information

DEEP LEARNING BASED VISION-TO-LANGUAGE APPLICATIONS: CAPTIONING OF PHOTO STREAMS, VIDEOS, AND ONLINE POSTS

DEEP LEARNING BASED VISION-TO-LANGUAGE APPLICATIONS: CAPTIONING OF PHOTO STREAMS, VIDEOS, AND ONLINE POSTS SEOUL Oct.7, 2016 DEEP LEARNING BASED VISION-TO-LANGUAGE APPLICATIONS: CAPTIONING OF PHOTO STREAMS, VIDEOS, AND ONLINE POSTS Gunhee Kim Computer Science and Engineering Seoul National University October

More information

arxiv: v1 [stat.ap] 2 Feb 2016

arxiv: v1 [stat.ap] 2 Feb 2016 Better safe than sorry: Risky function exploitation through safe optimization Eric Schulz 1, Quentin J.M. Huys 2, Dominik R. Bach 3, Maarten Speekenbrink 1 & Andreas Krause 4 1 Department of Experimental

More information

Ordinal Data Modeling

Ordinal Data Modeling Valen E. Johnson James H. Albert Ordinal Data Modeling With 73 illustrations I ". Springer Contents Preface v 1 Review of Classical and Bayesian Inference 1 1.1 Learning about a binomial proportion 1 1.1.1

More information

arxiv: v1 [stat.ml] 23 Jan 2017

arxiv: v1 [stat.ml] 23 Jan 2017 Learning what to look in chest X-rays with a recurrent visual attention model arxiv:1701.06452v1 [stat.ml] 23 Jan 2017 Petros-Pavlos Ypsilantis Department of Biomedical Engineering King s College London

More information

Bayesian Tolerance Intervals for Sparse Data Margin Assessment

Bayesian Tolerance Intervals for Sparse Data Margin Assessment Bayesian Tolerance Intervals for Sparse Data Margin Assessment Benjamin Schroeder and Lauren Hund ASME V&V Symposium May 3, 2017 - Las Vegas, NV SAND2017-4590 C - (UUR) Sandia National Laboratories is

More information

Model-Based fmri Analysis. Will Alexander Dept. of Experimental Psychology Ghent University

Model-Based fmri Analysis. Will Alexander Dept. of Experimental Psychology Ghent University Model-Based fmri Analysis Will Alexander Dept. of Experimental Psychology Ghent University Motivation Models (general) Why you ought to care Model-based fmri Models (specific) From model to analysis Extended

More information

ERA: Architectures for Inference

ERA: Architectures for Inference ERA: Architectures for Inference Dan Hammerstrom Electrical And Computer Engineering 7/28/09 1 Intelligent Computing In spite of the transistor bounty of Moore s law, there is a large class of problems

More information

IAPT: Regression. Regression analyses

IAPT: Regression. Regression analyses Regression analyses IAPT: Regression Regression is the rather strange name given to a set of methods for predicting one variable from another. The data shown in Table 1 and come from a student project

More information

Comparative Study of K-means, Gaussian Mixture Model, Fuzzy C-means algorithms for Brain Tumor Segmentation

Comparative Study of K-means, Gaussian Mixture Model, Fuzzy C-means algorithms for Brain Tumor Segmentation Comparative Study of K-means, Gaussian Mixture Model, Fuzzy C-means algorithms for Brain Tumor Segmentation U. Baid 1, S. Talbar 2 and S. Talbar 1 1 Department of E&TC Engineering, Shri Guru Gobind Singhji

More information

Error Detection based on neural signals

Error Detection based on neural signals Error Detection based on neural signals Nir Even- Chen and Igor Berman, Electrical Engineering, Stanford Introduction Brain computer interface (BCI) is a direct communication pathway between the brain

More information

Evaluating Classifiers for Disease Gene Discovery

Evaluating Classifiers for Disease Gene Discovery Evaluating Classifiers for Disease Gene Discovery Kino Coursey Lon Turnbull khc0021@unt.edu lt0013@unt.edu Abstract Identification of genes involved in human hereditary disease is an important bioinfomatics

More information

COMP9444 Neural Networks and Deep Learning 5. Convolutional Networks

COMP9444 Neural Networks and Deep Learning 5. Convolutional Networks COMP9444 Neural Networks and Deep Learning 5. Convolutional Networks Textbook, Sections 6.2.2, 6.3, 7.9, 7.11-7.13, 9.1-9.5 COMP9444 17s2 Convolutional Networks 1 Outline Geometry of Hidden Unit Activations

More information

PART - A 1. Define Artificial Intelligence formulated by Haugeland. The exciting new effort to make computers think machines with minds in the full and literal sense. 2. Define Artificial Intelligence

More information

Conjoint Audiogram Estimation via Gaussian Process Classification

Conjoint Audiogram Estimation via Gaussian Process Classification Washington University in St. Louis Washington University Open Scholarship Engineering and Applied Science Theses & Dissertations Engineering and Applied Science Spring 5-2017 Conjoint Audiogram Estimation

More information

Improving the Interpretability of DEMUD on Image Data Sets

Improving the Interpretability of DEMUD on Image Data Sets Improving the Interpretability of DEMUD on Image Data Sets Jake Lee, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology & Columbia University, CS 19 Intern under Kiri Wagstaff Summer 2018 Government

More information

CISC453 Winter Probabilistic Reasoning Part B: AIMA3e Ch

CISC453 Winter Probabilistic Reasoning Part B: AIMA3e Ch CISC453 Winter 2010 Probabilistic Reasoning Part B: AIMA3e Ch 14.5-14.8 Overview 2 a roundup of approaches from AIMA3e 14.5-14.8 14.5 a survey of approximate methods alternatives to the direct computing

More information

Convolutional and LSTM Neural Networks

Convolutional and LSTM Neural Networks Convolutional and LSTM Neural Networks Vanessa Jurtz January 12, 2016 Contents Neural networks and GPUs Lasagne Peptide binding to MHC class II molecules Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) Recurrent and

More information

Expert judgements in risk and reliability analysis

Expert judgements in risk and reliability analysis Expert judgements in risk and reliability analysis Jan-Erik Holmberg M2-E2117 Risk analysis, April 17, 2016 Aalto university Contents Definitions Applications Bayesian approach Examples 2 Background Objective,

More information

arxiv: v2 [stat.ap] 7 Dec 2016

arxiv: v2 [stat.ap] 7 Dec 2016 A Bayesian Approach to Predicting Disengaged Youth arxiv:62.52v2 [stat.ap] 7 Dec 26 David Kohn New South Wales 26 david.kohn@sydney.edu.au Nick Glozier Brain Mind Centre New South Wales 26 Sally Cripps

More information

Intelligent Systems. Discriminative Learning. Parts marked by * are optional. WS2013/2014 Carsten Rother, Dmitrij Schlesinger

Intelligent Systems. Discriminative Learning. Parts marked by * are optional. WS2013/2014 Carsten Rother, Dmitrij Schlesinger Intelligent Systems Discriminative Learning Parts marked by * are optional 30/12/2013 WS2013/2014 Carsten Rother, Dmitrij Schlesinger Discriminative models There exists a joint probability distribution

More information

Statistical methods for reliably updating meta-analyses

Statistical methods for reliably updating meta-analyses Statistical methods for reliably updating meta-analyses Mark Simmonds University of York, UK With: Julian Elliott, Joanne McKenzie, Georgia Salanti, Adriani Nikolakopoulou, Julian Higgins Updating meta-analyses

More information

Lec 02: Estimation & Hypothesis Testing in Animal Ecology

Lec 02: Estimation & Hypothesis Testing in Animal Ecology Lec 02: Estimation & Hypothesis Testing in Animal Ecology Parameter Estimation from Samples Samples We typically observe systems incompletely, i.e., we sample according to a designed protocol. We then

More information

WOMEN OF THE PLEASURE QUARTERS BY LESLEY DOWNER DOWNLOAD EBOOK : WOMEN OF THE PLEASURE QUARTERS BY LESLEY DOWNER PDF

WOMEN OF THE PLEASURE QUARTERS BY LESLEY DOWNER DOWNLOAD EBOOK : WOMEN OF THE PLEASURE QUARTERS BY LESLEY DOWNER PDF Read Online and Download Ebook WOMEN OF THE PLEASURE QUARTERS BY LESLEY DOWNER DOWNLOAD EBOOK : WOMEN OF THE PLEASURE QUARTERS BY LESLEY Click link bellow and free register to download ebook: WOMEN OF

More information

BayesRandomForest: An R

BayesRandomForest: An R BayesRandomForest: An R implementation of Bayesian Random Forest for Regression Analysis of High-dimensional Data Oyebayo Ridwan Olaniran (rid4stat@yahoo.com) Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia Mohd Asrul

More information

An Artificial Neural Network Architecture Based on Context Transformations in Cortical Minicolumns

An Artificial Neural Network Architecture Based on Context Transformations in Cortical Minicolumns An Artificial Neural Network Architecture Based on Context Transformations in Cortical Minicolumns 1. Introduction Vasily Morzhakov, Alexey Redozubov morzhakovva@gmail.com, galdrd@gmail.com Abstract Cortical

More information

Graphical Modeling Approaches for Estimating Brain Networks

Graphical Modeling Approaches for Estimating Brain Networks Graphical Modeling Approaches for Estimating Brain Networks BIOS 516 Suprateek Kundu Department of Biostatistics Emory University. September 28, 2017 Introduction My research focuses on understanding how

More information

A Data Mining Approach for Signal Detection and Analysis

A Data Mining Approach for Signal Detection and Analysis SHORT COMMUNICATION Drug Safety 2002; 25 (6): 393-397 0114-5916/02/0006-0393/$25.00/0 Adis International Limited. All rights reserved. A Data Mining Approach for Signal Detection and Analysis Andrew Bate,

More information

P. RICHARD HAHN. Research areas. Employment. Education. Research papers

P. RICHARD HAHN. Research areas. Employment. Education. Research papers P. RICHARD HAHN Arizona State University email: prhahn@asu.edu Research areas Bayesian methods, causal inference, foundations of statistics, nonlinear regression, Monte Carlo methods, applications to social

More information

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence Artificial Intelligence Intelligent Agents Chapter 2 & 27 What is an Agent? An intelligent agent perceives its environment with sensors and acts upon that environment through actuators 2 Examples of Agents

More information

Cognitive Modeling. Lecture 12: Bayesian Inference. Sharon Goldwater. School of Informatics University of Edinburgh

Cognitive Modeling. Lecture 12: Bayesian Inference. Sharon Goldwater. School of Informatics University of Edinburgh Cognitive Modeling Lecture 12: Bayesian Inference Sharon Goldwater School of Informatics University of Edinburgh sgwater@inf.ed.ac.uk February 18, 20 Sharon Goldwater Cognitive Modeling 1 1 Prediction

More information

Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation

Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation Correlation Neglect in Belief Formation Benjamin Enke Florian Zimmermann Bonn Graduate School of Economics University of Zurich NYU Bounded Rationality in Choice Conference May 31, 2015 Benjamin Enke (Bonn)

More information

Hierarchical Convolutional Features for Visual Tracking

Hierarchical Convolutional Features for Visual Tracking Hierarchical Convolutional Features for Visual Tracking Chao Ma Jia-Bin Huang Xiaokang Yang Ming-Husan Yang SJTU UIUC SJTU UC Merced ICCV 2015 Background Given the initial state (position and scale), estimate

More information

Pattern Recognition of Functional Neuroimage Data of the Human Sensorimotor System after Stroke

Pattern Recognition of Functional Neuroimage Data of the Human Sensorimotor System after Stroke Pattern Recognition of Functional Neuroimage Data of the Human Sensorimotor System after Stroke Camille Gómez-Laberge, M.A.Sc., B.Eng., B.Sc. Ph.D. Candidate Faculty of Engineering, Carleton University

More information

Stepwise method Modern Model Selection Methods Quantile-Quantile plot and tests for normality

Stepwise method Modern Model Selection Methods Quantile-Quantile plot and tests for normality Week 9 Hour 3 Stepwise method Modern Model Selection Methods Quantile-Quantile plot and tests for normality Stat 302 Notes. Week 9, Hour 3, Page 1 / 39 Stepwise Now that we've introduced interactions,

More information

Oscillatory Neural Network for Image Segmentation with Biased Competition for Attention

Oscillatory Neural Network for Image Segmentation with Biased Competition for Attention Oscillatory Neural Network for Image Segmentation with Biased Competition for Attention Tapani Raiko and Harri Valpola School of Science and Technology Aalto University (formerly Helsinki University of

More information

Analysis of acgh data: statistical models and computational challenges

Analysis of acgh data: statistical models and computational challenges : statistical models and computational challenges Ramón Díaz-Uriarte 2007-02-13 Díaz-Uriarte, R. acgh analysis: models and computation 2007-02-13 1 / 38 Outline 1 Introduction Alternative approaches What

More information

MATRIX ANALYSIS FRAMED STRUCTURES BY WILLIAM WEAVER, JAMES M. GERE

MATRIX ANALYSIS FRAMED STRUCTURES BY WILLIAM WEAVER, JAMES M. GERE MATRIX ANALYSIS FRAMED STRUCTURES BY WILLIAM WEAVER, JAMES M. GERE DOWNLOAD EBOOK : MATRIX ANALYSIS FRAMED STRUCTURES BY WILLIAM Click link bellow and free register to download ebook: MATRIX ANALYSIS FRAMED

More information

SCUOLA DI SPECIALIZZAZIONE IN FISICA MEDICA. Sistemi di Elaborazione dell Informazione. Introduzione. Ruggero Donida Labati

SCUOLA DI SPECIALIZZAZIONE IN FISICA MEDICA. Sistemi di Elaborazione dell Informazione. Introduzione. Ruggero Donida Labati SCUOLA DI SPECIALIZZAZIONE IN FISICA MEDICA Sistemi di Elaborazione dell Informazione Introduzione Ruggero Donida Labati Dipartimento di Informatica via Bramante 65, 26013 Crema (CR), Italy http://homes.di.unimi.it/donida

More information

Reveal Relationships in Categorical Data

Reveal Relationships in Categorical Data SPSS Categories 15.0 Specifications Reveal Relationships in Categorical Data Unleash the full potential of your data through perceptual mapping, optimal scaling, preference scaling, and dimension reduction

More information

Knowledge-Based Decision-Making (KBDM) to reach an Informed Group Conscience

Knowledge-Based Decision-Making (KBDM) to reach an Informed Group Conscience Knowledge-Based Decision-Making (KBDM) to reach an Informed Group Conscience From the Service Manual page 52 - Group Conscience In order to make an informed group conscience decision, members need access

More information

A COMPARISON OF IMPUTATION METHODS FOR MISSING DATA IN A MULTI-CENTER RANDOMIZED CLINICAL TRIAL: THE IMPACT STUDY

A COMPARISON OF IMPUTATION METHODS FOR MISSING DATA IN A MULTI-CENTER RANDOMIZED CLINICAL TRIAL: THE IMPACT STUDY A COMPARISON OF IMPUTATION METHODS FOR MISSING DATA IN A MULTI-CENTER RANDOMIZED CLINICAL TRIAL: THE IMPACT STUDY Lingqi Tang 1, Thomas R. Belin 2, and Juwon Song 2 1 Center for Health Services Research,

More information

Discovering Inductive Biases in Categorization through Iterated Learning

Discovering Inductive Biases in Categorization through Iterated Learning Discovering Inductive Biases in Categorization through Iterated Learning Kevin R. Canini (kevin@cs.berkeley.edu) Thomas L. Griffiths (tom griffiths@berkeley.edu) University of California, Berkeley, CA

More information

Outline. Hierarchical Hidden Markov Models for HIV-Transmission Behavior Outcomes. Motivation. Why Hidden Markov Model? Why Hidden Markov Model?

Outline. Hierarchical Hidden Markov Models for HIV-Transmission Behavior Outcomes. Motivation. Why Hidden Markov Model? Why Hidden Markov Model? Hierarchical Hidden Markov Models for HIV-Transmission Behavior Outcomes Li-Jung Liang Department of Medicine Statistics Core Email: liangl@ucla.edu Joint work with Rob Weiss & Scott Comulada Outline Motivation

More information

Between-word regressions as part of rational reading

Between-word regressions as part of rational reading Between-word regressions as part of rational reading Klinton Bicknell & Roger Levy UC San Diego CUNY 2010: New York Bicknell & Levy (UC San Diego) Regressions as rational reading CUNY 2010 1 / 23 Introduction

More information

BREAST CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY MODEL:

BREAST CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY MODEL: BREAST CANCER EPIDEMIOLOGY MODEL: Calibrating Simulations via Optimization Michael C. Ferris, Geng Deng, Dennis G. Fryback, Vipat Kuruchittham University of Wisconsin 1 University of Wisconsin Breast Cancer

More information

Probabilistic Modeling to Support and Facilitate Decision Making in Early Drug Development

Probabilistic Modeling to Support and Facilitate Decision Making in Early Drug Development Probabilistic Modeling to Support and Facilitate Decision Making in Early Drug Development Huybert Groenendaal, PhD, MBA Francisco Zagmutt, DVM, MPVM EpiX Analytics www.epixanalytics.com EpiX Analytics

More information

Chapter 1. Introduction

Chapter 1. Introduction Chapter 1 Introduction 1.1 Motivation and Goals The increasing availability and decreasing cost of high-throughput (HT) technologies coupled with the availability of computational tools and data form a

More information

Clinical Examples as Non-uniform Learning and Testing Sets

Clinical Examples as Non-uniform Learning and Testing Sets Clinical Examples as Non-uniform Learning and Testing Sets Piotr Augustyniak AGH University of Science and Technology, 3 Mickiewicza Ave. 3-9 Krakow, Poland august@agh.edu.pl Abstract. Clinical examples

More information

arxiv: v1 [cs.lg] 4 Feb 2019

arxiv: v1 [cs.lg] 4 Feb 2019 Machine Learning for Seizure Type Classification: Setting the benchmark Subhrajit Roy [000 0002 6072 5500], Umar Asif [0000 0001 5209 7084], Jianbin Tang [0000 0001 5440 0796], and Stefan Harrer [0000

More information

How Does Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) Improve Intelligence Analysis?

How Does Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) Improve Intelligence Analysis? How Does Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) Improve Intelligence Analysis? Richards J. Heuer, Jr. Version 1.2, October 16, 2005 This document is from a collection of works by Richards J. Heuer, Jr.

More information

The Good News. More storage capacity allows information to be saved Economic and social forces creating more aggregation of data

The Good News. More storage capacity allows information to be saved Economic and social forces creating more aggregation of data The Good News Capacity to gather medically significant data growing quickly Better instrumentation (e.g., MRI machines, ambulatory monitors, cameras) generates more information/patient More storage capacity

More information

UNIVERSITY of PENNSYLVANIA CIS 520: Machine Learning Final, Fall 2014

UNIVERSITY of PENNSYLVANIA CIS 520: Machine Learning Final, Fall 2014 UNIVERSITY of PENNSYLVANIA CIS 520: Machine Learning Final, Fall 2014 Exam policy: This exam allows two one-page, two-sided cheat sheets (i.e. 4 sides); No other materials. Time: 2 hours. Be sure to write

More information

Supplementary notes for lecture 8: Computational modeling of cognitive development

Supplementary notes for lecture 8: Computational modeling of cognitive development Supplementary notes for lecture 8: Computational modeling of cognitive development Slide 1 Why computational modeling is important for studying cognitive development. Let s think about how to study the

More information

CS 4365: Artificial Intelligence Recap. Vibhav Gogate

CS 4365: Artificial Intelligence Recap. Vibhav Gogate CS 4365: Artificial Intelligence Recap Vibhav Gogate Exam Topics Search BFS, DFS, UCS, A* (tree and graph) Completeness and Optimality Heuristics: admissibility and consistency CSPs Constraint graphs,

More information

Convolutional and LSTM Neural Networks

Convolutional and LSTM Neural Networks Convolutional and LSTM Neural Networks Vanessa Jurtz January 11, 2017 Contents Neural networks and GPUs Lasagne Peptide binding to MHC class II molecules Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) Recurrent and

More information

Introduction to Computational Neuroscience

Introduction to Computational Neuroscience Introduction to Computational Neuroscience Lecture 5: Data analysis II Lesson Title 1 Introduction 2 Structure and Function of the NS 3 Windows to the Brain 4 Data analysis 5 Data analysis II 6 Single

More information

CSE Introduction to High-Perfomance Deep Learning ImageNet & VGG. Jihyung Kil

CSE Introduction to High-Perfomance Deep Learning ImageNet & VGG. Jihyung Kil CSE 5194.01 - Introduction to High-Perfomance Deep Learning ImageNet & VGG Jihyung Kil ImageNet Classification with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks Alex Krizhevsky, Ilya Sutskever, Geoffrey E. Hinton,

More information

Feedback-Controlled Parallel Point Process Filter for Estimation of Goal-Directed Movements From Neural Signals

Feedback-Controlled Parallel Point Process Filter for Estimation of Goal-Directed Movements From Neural Signals IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL SYSTEMS AND REHABILITATION ENGINEERING, VOL. 21, NO. 1, JANUARY 2013 129 Feedback-Controlled Parallel Point Process Filter for Estimation of Goal-Directed Movements From Neural

More information

AALBORG UNIVERSITY. Prediction of the Insulin Sensitivity Index using Bayesian Network. Susanne G. Bøttcher and Claus Dethlefsen

AALBORG UNIVERSITY. Prediction of the Insulin Sensitivity Index using Bayesian Network. Susanne G. Bøttcher and Claus Dethlefsen AALBORG UNIVERSITY Prediction of the Insulin Sensitivity Index using Bayesian Network by Susanne G. Bøttcher and Claus Dethlefsen May 2004 R-2004-14 Department of Mathematical Sciences Aalborg University

More information