A Values-Based Approach to Adaptation: Insights from the PLAN Project

Transcription

1 A Values-Based Approach to Adaptation: Insights from the PLAN Project Karen O Brien Department of Sociology and Human Geography University of Oslo, Norway

2 Adaptation to climate change Adaptation is not just a list of activities it is a social process; It takes place through actions that reduce vulnerability (or enhance resilience) in response to observed or expected changes in climate and climate variability; Influenced by exterior, objective factors (systems and behaviors), and also by interior, subjective factors (culture, values, beliefs); Adaptation is already taking place, but seldom in response to climate change alone; Not all adaptations are sustainable, and some may increase the vulnerability of others, and of future generations.

3 PLAN: Overarching research questions How do social processes influence the capacity to adapt to climate change? What are the limits to adaptation as a response to changing climate conditions? What are the implications of these limits for human security?

4 1. Contexts for Climate Change Adaptation in Norway

5 2.The Process of Local Adaptation

6 3. New Public Management Reforms and the Energy Sector

7 4. Urban Planning and Waterfront Development

8 5. The Limits to Adaptation as a Social Process

9 6. An Innovative Geographic Information System (GIS)

10 Adaptation Responses to climate change impacts depend on what the effects of climate change mean to those affected. What is considered as effective and legitimate adaptation depends on what people perceive to be worth preserving and achieving. How to adapt to climate change therefore hinges on the values underlying people s perspectives on what the goals of adaptation should be.

11 Values-Based Approach Acknowledging that people see the world differently and may prioritize different values makes it clear that climate change cannot be assessed, interpreted, and responded to in one particular way.

12 Values-Based Approach A focus on values and worldviews draws attention to the possibility that efforts to satisfy one group s values through climate policies and responses can create conflicts with the values of other groups.

13 Values-Based Approach Values and worldviews change over time, and this suggests that present-day actions or inactions may be seen and judged quite differently by future generations.

14 Values-Based Approach Climate change itself is a challenge to worldviews and belief systems, which may in turn lead to value changes. Climate change is likely to become increasingly visible and evident in the coming decades, and it is likely that generations growing up in years ahead will have a very different understanding of human environment relationships.

15 Values and Worldviews What types of values and worldviews are represented within our study, and among the population in Norway? How do these different worldviews influence attitudes towards adaptation, and prioritized strategies? Where might we expect to find value conflicts in adapting to climate change?

16 Values and Worldviews Worldviews describe the basic assumptions and beliefs that influence people s perceptions of the world, their behavior, and their decision-making criteria; People s conscious beliefs about the world are closely linked to value priorities Traditional, modern and postmodern worldviews are most dominant in the world today.

17 Values in Norway Traditional: rural areas, nature, family Modern: individualism, economic development, material wealth, technology, scientific progress Post-modern: Rejection of social hierarchies, promotion of equity across gender and class, and between rural and urban areas.

18 Snow cover changes in Norway Winter temperature increases of o C by 2100; More winter precipitation in eastern Norway; 40% decrease in number of days with suitable skiing conditions by 2050 (compared to period)

19 Traditional values Snow cover is important to local and national identity Prioritized adaptations might preserve cultural heritage, traditional sectors, local knowledge; Challenge: to transform livelihoods and maintain identity

20 Modern values Snow cover as a medium for winter sports (an important economic sector) Prioritized adaptations might focus on snowmaking technologies, indoor snow domes, artificially cooled ski tracks; new sports. Challenge: reconstruct or reinvent identity (identify new or niche markets)

21 Snow cover as a component of ecosystem integrity; distant impacts of climate change also a concern Prioritized adaptations might focus on adaptive management, building resilience, promoting sustainability. Challenge: promote mitigation as a form of adaptation Post-modern values

22 Example 1: Measuring values: Q methodology Systematic analysis of attitudes towards and views about a topic; origin: psychology (Stephenson 1953), political science (Brown 1980) Hybrid mixed method: qualitative-quantitative Uses forced-choice ranking of set of statements (or images) on a Likert-type scale Uses correlation, factor analysis and rotation to produce typified response sets to the topic in question Outcome: Factors that represent the types of attitudes (values and worldviews) held by the participants on the topic.

23 How does it work? Assembly of statements that represent the concourse on a topic all possible attitudes and views; sourced from Interviews Literature Public media Participant is instructed to rank statements into a forced-choice grid Prioritising of strongly agree/disagree statements Statements eliciting indifference form the middle ground

24 An example grid 32 statements I disagree I agree

25 Examples: Attitudes towards climate change in Norway Klimaendringer er ikke en trussel mot menneskeheten. Jeg stoler på at mydighetene tar ansvar for vår felles framtid. Det er ingen ting man kan gjøre og derfor velger jeg å ikke bekymre meg. Jeg tror klimautfordringene er langt større enn vi klarer å fatte. Andre land kan komme til å merke alvorlige klimakonsekvenser ikke Norge.

26 Can climate change responses take into account a range of values that correspond to diverse human human needs and multiple perspectives and worldviews?

27 Can climate change responses take into account a range of values that correspond to diverse human needs and multiple perspectives and worldviews? Whose values count?

28 Example 2: Integral Adaptation Tools

29 Believing is seeing

30

31 Collective Individual UL: Individual & Subjective (feelings, emotions, worldviews, etc) Individual mindset Subjective Objective Experience Behaviour Culture Systems

32 Collective Individual UL: Individual & Subjective (feelings, emotions, worldviews, etc) Individual mindsets Subjective Objective Behaviour Culture Systems Map Legend: Interviews with people that live or work in vulnerable areas about their thoughts, feelings, emotions

33 GIS What I experience Psychological Dynamics Denial, Fear, Confusion Emotions & Reactivity Moral Awareness Sense of agency Map Legend: Media: Interviews with people that live or work in vulnerable areas about their thoughts, feelings, emotions

34 Collective Individual LL: Collective & Subjective (shared feelings, customs, relationships Shared values and visions Subjective Objective Experience Behaviour Culture Systems

35 Collective Individual LL: Collective & Subjective (shared feelings, customs, relationships Shared values and visions Subjective Objective Experience Behaviour Systems Map Legend: Cultural heritage Bryggen,

36 Individual LL: Collective & Subjective (shared feelings, customs, relationsh Shared values and visions Subjective Objective GIS What we experience Experience Worldviews Behaviour Naysayers & Yeasayers Systems Religion Ethics & Justice Map Media: Legend: Cultural heritage Bryggen,

37 Collective Individual LR: Collective & Objective (soc syst, politics, resource managem Shared actions and structure Subjective Objective Experience Behaviour Culture Systems

38 Collective Individual LR: Collective & Objective (soc syst, politics, resource managem Shared actions and structure Subjective Objective Experience Behaviour Culture Map Legend: Areas vulnerable to SLR

39 Collective Individual LR: Collective & Objective (soc syst, politics, resource managem Shared actions and structure Subjective Objective GIS What we do Experience International Dynamics Behaviour Culture Ecological Analysis Scientific Funding Urban Planning Map Legend: Media: Areas vulnerable to SLR

40 Collective Individual UR: Individual & Objective (objective reality; biological feature Individual Actions Subjective Objective Experience Behaviour Culture Systems

41 Collective Individual UR: Individual & Objective (objective reality; biological feature Individual Actions Subjective Objective Experience Culture Systems Map Legend: Vulnerable Buildings,

42 Collective Individual UR: Individual & Objective (objective reality; biological feature Individual Actions Subjective Objective GIS What I do Experience Behavioural Changes Culture Systems Fossil Fuel & Energy U Physiological Impa Biodiversity Issues Map Legend: Media: Vulnerable Information Buildings, about behavioral changes in response to changes in market and insurances

43 Result: An Integral GIS to assist in adaptation decisionmaking

44 Emerging Lessons from PLAN Communication Values and interests of key actors Cultural change Visioning the future Leadership

45

46

47

48

49