Tanzania Socio-Economic Database. Elide S Mwanri National Bureau of Statistics TANZANIA
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1 Tanzania Socio-Economic Database Elide S Mwanri National Bureau of Statistics TANZANIA 1
2 Presentation About TSED How we can make use of Indicators Examples of some MKUKUTA/MDGs indicators Challenges and Next steps Discussions 2
3 What is TSED? It is an indicator and database administrator system that: Facilitates systematization, storage and analysis of performance indicators Contain tools for the generation of tables, graphs, reports and maps Allows grouping of indicators in different frameworks Currently has over 500 indicators from recognized sources It has incrementally developed in the last few years with organizational, technical and financial support by the UN system and government Institutionally set within the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) supported by 21 institutions, ministries and departments. Maintenance and updating is done at NBS Linkages with the private sector and non government research institutions for training and capacity building. Currently has over 500 indicators from recognized sources TSED is currently running on stand-alone and on web ( Tanzania one of the two countries piloting the web version. Based on DevInfo technology. 3
4 Why a common database? Data not easily accessible: - disperse in various institutions - restricted use within Ministries and Institutions - format not easy to access, read and process - no proper documentation (definitions/metadata) 4
5 Objectives Make data more accessible managing the growing amount of information and enhancing availability and timely dissemination of socio-economic data in order to support policy analysis and decision making Provide users with a comprehensive set of indicators that help Govt., donors and other interested people to analyze the situation in Tanzania Enhance statistical capacity and literacy improve knowledge relevant to policy design /evaluation. Two focal points in more than 20 TSED collaborating Ministries and Institutions continuously being trained on how to use and update the database. - Through TSED, Thematic seminars have been introduced whose aim is to enhance capacity of policy makers, planners, and researchers to make the best use of available data for policy analysis. Support evidence-based advocacy as a database, TSED allows public advocates to monitor progress of international, regional and national goals and commitments. 5
6 Who are the target users of TSED? 1. Increasing use for policy design and implementation Government officials / Parliamentarians Local Government planners and policy makers Staff involved in day-to-day policy making and planning NGOs Donors 2. Stimulating public monitoring of policy Poverty Eradication Division (PED) National Bureau of Statistics Universities and research centers 3. Improving social communication Media 4 6
7 Where is data from? Census Population census once every decade Surveys Periodic household surveys on various topics Records Administrative records from various government departments Research Special research conducted in various areas Data from various sources available in TSED is disaggregated by gender, rural/urban strata and age groups Data available at national, regional, district [village level data for pop counts] 7
8 Role of TSED in Poverty Monitoring TSED is at the very heart of the poverty monitoring systems: storage and dissemination of all quantitative information generated by the poverty monitoring systems TSED contains a theme highlighting the Poverty Monitoring indicators The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) are contained in TSED as a goal Highlighting status on certain groups of indicators (PRSP medium term, MDGs long term) and thus assist the government to report on its commitments 8
9 Role of TSED in Poverty Monitoring (Cont d ) DevInfo (software that has designed TSED), has been selected at the global level to assist in the monitoring and reporting of MDG in virtually all the countries 9
10 How TSED data can be used To highlight priorities using empirical data To inform the public and policy makers on progress on Poverty reduction indicators and MDGs To trigger action to meet time-bound targets To contribute towards the design of policies based on evidence To create public interest in progress at home and abroad 10
11 TSED Database Indicators by Themes 11
12 TSED Database Indicators by Goals, e.g. MDGs 12
13 TSED Database Indicators by Sector, e.g. Health 13
14 Indicators will tell us. Where we are today How far away from the target are we What progress is being made 14
15 Where are we today? The value of an indicator tells us what the current level is: Example: Primary School NER = 97.3 [2007] In 2006, the value of the indicator was 96.1 % How can this snapshot be used? Nationally Gives us a picture of the current status Tells us the magnitude of the problem Provides hard evidence to motivate policy makers Quantifies the interventions need 15
16 Percent NER What progress is being made? Where indicators are available for two or more time points, we have a much stronger picture 100 Primary School Net Enrollment - Trend for Female Male Total Years 16
17 What extra information does this give us? Shows where change is happening, and in which direction Tells us how big the change has been Allows us to decide whether the intervention is having the predicted effect Direction Magnitude Allows us to estimate trend 17
18 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI Percent NER MDG 2, Target 3 Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) Using TSED to track progress towards PRSP/MDG targets Example : Primary NER Identify districts that need to improve enrolment to meet PRSP target 100 Primary School Net Enrollment - Trend for MKUKUTA National Strategy for Economic Growth and Reduction of Poverty (NSGRP) The dream of universal and complete primary education may soon be a reality. 97 per cent of girls and boys are now able to access primary schooling Female Male Total Source: BES 2007 Years Facts. You decide. 18 Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005
19 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI MDG 2, Target 3 Primary NER YEAR 2002 Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) However, a few regions were at risk of not meeting the MKUKUTA Target of 99% in year 2010 Kagera 80 Mara 79 Mwanza 92 Arusha 81 Shinyanga 77 Kilimanjaro 81 Kigoma 69 Tabora 65 Manyara 77 Singida 81 Dodoma 71 Northern Pemb Tanga 88 Southern Pemb Northern Region Western Southern Region Region Rukwa 76 Dar-es-Salaam 89 Pwani 86 Mbeya 97 Iringa 89 Morogoro 78 Per cent Lindi 79 Facts. You decide Missing Data Ruvuma 88 Mtwara Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005
20 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI MDG 2, Target 3 Primary NER MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) YEAR 2002 Facts. Quite a number of Districts were also at risk of not meeting the MKUKUTA Target of 99% in year Per cent Missing Data Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005 Facts. You decide. 20
21 Primary School NER MDG 2, Target 3 Facts.. YEAR 2003 Mara 78.9 Kagera 80.1 Kagera 98 Mw anza 92.1 Arusha 80.7 Shinyanga 76.6 Tabora 65.3 Kilimanjaro 80.9 Singida 80.6 Mbeya 97.3 Iringa 88.6 Tabora 86.2 Dodoma 71.1 Morogoro 77.5 Mw anza 99.3 Arusha 99.2 Dar-es-Salaam 89.4 Pw ani 86.2 Kilimanjaro 99.8 Manyara 97.6 Kigoma 96 Tanga 88.3 Rukw a 75.9 Mara 99.8 Shinyanga 96.2 Manyara 77.3 Kigoma 68.7 YEAR 2007 Singida 97.5 Tanga 97.8 Dodoma 96.1 Mbeya 98.9 Iringa 99.2 Morogoro 98 Lindi 96.6 Lindi 78.7 Ruvuma 88.1 Dar-es-Salaam 98.8 Pw ani 96 Rukw a 95.9 Mtw ara 87.3 Ruvuma 98.9 Mtw ara
22 Per Cent Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) MKUKUTA Target for Secondary NER is 50% in year Secondary NER were: 12.4 (Male), 14.3 (Female) and 13.4 (Total) 50 Secondary School Enrolment (Form 1-4) Years 22
23 MDG 5 Facts. Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) Many women die each year in pregnancy and childbirth. MKUKUTA target is to increase births attended by skilled health workers to 80% Great disparities within Regions: Mara 31%, and Dar is 90.6% DHS 2004/05 23
24 Monitoring MDG 5 Percent MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) Proportion of Births attended by skilled health personnel Year MDG target Source: DHS
25 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI MDG 4, Target 5 Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) Infant Mortality Rate Regions and Districts MKUKUTA Target is to reduce IMR to 50 Deaths per 1,000 live births from 95 deaths (2002) Lake Ikimba Lake Victoria Kagera Lake Burigi Mwanza Mara Lake Natron Arusha Kigoma e Tanganyika Rukwa Shinyanga Tabora Lake Kitangiri Lake Lake Eyasi Manyara Singida Dodoma Manyara Kilimanjaro Tanga Kaskazini Unguja Mjini Kusini Magharibi Unguja Dar-es-Salaam Pwani Kaskazini Pemb Kusini Pemba Lake Rukwa Mbeya Iringa Morogoro Lindi Census 2002 Lake Nyasa Ruvuma Mtwara Missing Data Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005 Facts. You decide. 25
26 MDG 4, Target 5 No. of Deaths per 1,000 Live Births MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) Graph showing MKUKUTA Target Trend for three census periods Infant and Under-5 Mortality rates Years IMR U-5 MR 26
27 Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) Many people, especially in Rural areas lack safe drinking water and basic sanitation. Accessibility to safe drinking water one of the MKUKUTA Indicators.. Per Cent Census
28 MDG 7, Target 10 Lake Ikimba Lake Victoria 47 Lake Burigi Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 2 (Improvement of Quality of life & Social wellbeing) Lake Natron Regions MKUKUTA Target for accessibility to Safe Drinking Water is 65% (Rural) and 90% (Urban) from a Baseline (2000/01) of 73% (Urban) and 53% (Rural) Lake Lake Eyasi Manyara Lake Kitangiri 77 Districts e Tanganyika Lake Rukwa Per Cent Lake Nyasa Census
29 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI MDG 7, Target 9 Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 1 (Growth & Reduction of Poverty ) The Land area covered by forest has been decreasing over the years: % % % Contributing to this include the high percentage of households using firewood above 80% in many regions Facts. You decide. 29 Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005
30 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI MDG 6, Target 7 Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 1 (Growth & Reduction of Poverty ) HIV Prevalence among years is 3.5% Persons with advanced HIV infection receiving ARV target for 2008 is 300,000 Facts. You decide. 30 Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005
31 MDG 6, Target 7: Prevalence of HIV Kagera 3.7 Mara 3.5 Mwanza 7.2 Arusha 5.3 Shinyanga 6.5 Kilimanjaro 7.3 Kigoma 2 Tabora 7.2 Manyara 2 Tanga 5.7 Northern Pemba Southern Pemba Singida 3.2 Dodoma 4.9 Northern Region Western Southern Region Region Rukwa 6 Dar-es-Salaam 10.9 Pwani 7.3 Morogoro 5.4 HIV Prevalence among years was 7% in 2003/04 Mbeya 13.5 Iringa 13.4 Percent Lindi Ruvuma 6.8 Mtwara 7.4 Missing data Source TZA Tanzania_THIS NSGRP target of 5% in
32 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 3 (Governance and Accountability Women occupy 30 per cent of the national parliamentary seats Majority of those seats are the special seats Facts. You decide. 32 Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005
33 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI MDG 1, Target 1 50 Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 1 (Growth & Reduction of Poverty ) Population below the Basic Needs Poverty Line is highest in the Rural areas DSM Other urban Rural Total 91/92 00/01 Facts. You decide. 33 Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005
34 Photo: UNICEF/HQ / SHEHZAD NOORANI MDG 1, Target 1 Facts. MKUKUTA Cluster 1 (Growth & Reduction of Poverty ) Population below the Food Poverty Line DSM Other urban Rural Total 91/92 00/01 Facts. You decide. 34 Source: The Millennium Development Goals Report 2005
35 Challenges Data availability Strengthening the link with Local Authorities linking the databases together Ensuring that all parts of the institutional framework remain operational and that there is sufficient communication between them Ensuring more active participation of civil society organizations, NGOs and Local Authorities through capacity building Promoting use of the evidence available in decision making at all levels 35
36 Plans for the future Continuous update of data Develop ministerial databases Develop stand alone gallery presentations Improvement on the web-version Continuation of Thematic seminars and other training (including MPs) Assist with the Tanzania MDG report Collaboration with all UN Organizations in TSED support 36
37 Conclusion As we have seen, TSED is a very strong tool which enhances the analysis of performance indicators. It is like early warning system which help you to take precautions in order to solve the revealed situation. Therefore, in order to have good policies which will lead into development, the use of evidence based is very important 37
38 Asante sana!!! 38
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