Oregon Political Issues N = 618 Active Voters April 28 30
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1 Oregon Political Issues N = 618 Active Voters April REGISTERED: Are you currently registered to vote in Oregon? Yes, Registered 100% No, Not Registered - SEX: And now for your Sex. Male 47 Female 53 AGE: And now for your age Older than QRACE: How would you describe your racial or ethnic heritage? Hispanic 4 Black 3 White 82 Asian 3 Other 8 GOVOTER: How likely do you think it is that you will vote in the Governor, US Senate, Congress or other local elections coming up this November? Definitely Voting 76 Probably voting 21 Probably Not Voting 3
2 SENFAV: And what is your opinion of Senator Jeff Merkley. favorable 19 favorable 17 unfavorable 16 unfavorable 16 No opinion 32 ACA1: Thinking about the Affordable Care Act, sometimes called ObamaCare, and the Cover Oregon program, would you describe them as successes, failures or something in between? Successes 17 Failures 46 Something in between 37 GOVBALLOT1: And if the election for Governor were held today, for whom would you vote if you had only these two choices? Republican, Dennis, or Democrat, John Kitzhaber? [IF DON T KNOW, ASK GOVLEAN] Would you say you are leaning towards Dennis or towards John Kitzhaber? Dennis 40 Lean Dennis 4 Lean John Kitzhaber 4 John Kitzhaber 40 Don t Know 12 COLLAPSED CODES Dennis 44 John Kitzhaber 44 Don t Know 12 SENBALLOT1: And if the election for the United States Senate were held today, for whom would you vote if you had only these two choices? Republican, Monica Wehby, or Democrat, Jeff Merkley? [IF DON T KNOW, ASK SENLEAN] Would you say you are leaning towards Monica Wehby or towards Jeff Merkley? Monica Wehby 40 Lean Monica Wehby 5 Lean Jeff Merkley 2 Jeff Merkley 39 Don t Know 14 COLLAPSED CODES Monica Wehby 45 Jeff Merkley 41 Don t Know 14
3 PARTY: Do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, Independent, or something else? Republican 29 Democrat 34 Independent / Something Else 34 Don t Know / Refuse 3 METHODOLOGY: The sample size for the survey is 618 Active Voters taken from a listed sample of registered voters who have voted in the 2010 or 2012 general elections, or registered since the 2012 general election. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 %. 469 interviews were completed using automated telephone technology and 149 were conducted using mobile based survey technology. All interviews were conducted April 28-30, 2014 by Vox Populi Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.
4 Q1Sex * Q4GoVoter Crosstabulation % within Q1Sex Q4GoVoter Definitely Voting Probably Voting Probably Not Voting Q1Sex Male 78.9% 17.7% 3.4% 100.0% Female 73.1% 24.4% 2.5% 100.0% 75.9% 21.2% 2.9% 100.0% Q1Sex * Q5SenFav Crosstabulation % within Q1Sex Q5SenFav No Opinion Q1Sex Male 21.1% 14.3% 17.7% 23.8% 23.1% 100.0% Female 17.3% 19.8% 14.2% 9.0% 39.8% 100.0% 19.1% 17.2% 15.9% 16.0% 31.9% 100.0% Q1Sex * Q6ACA1 Crosstabulation % within Q1Sex Q6ACA1 Successes Failures Something in between Q1Sex Male 18.0% 47.6% 34.4% 100.0% Female 16.6% 44.3% 39.1% 100.0% 17.3% 45.9% 36.8% 100.0%
5 Q1Sex * Q7GovBallot1_Full Crosstabulation % within Q1Sex Q7GovBallot1_Full Dennis Lean Dennis Lean John John Kitzhaber Don t Know Kitzhaber Q1Sex Male 45.6% 2.4% 3.7% 36.7% 11.6% 100.0% Female 34.9% 5.9% 3.7% 43.8% 11.7% 100.0% 40.0% 4.2% 3.7% 40.5% 11.7% 100.0% Q1Sex * Q9SenBallot_Full Crosstabulation % within Q1Sex Q9SenBallot_Full Monica Wehby Lean Monica Lean Jeff Jeff Merkley Don t Know Wehby Merkley Q1Sex Male 46.9% 4.8% 2.7% 35.4% 10.2% 100.0% Female 33.6% 4.6% 2.5% 41.7% 17.6% 100.0% 40.0% 4.7% 2.6% 38.7% 14.1% 100.0% Q1Sex * Q12Party Crosstabulation % within Q1Sex Q12Party Republican Democrat Independent / Something else DK/REF Q1Sex Male 29.9% 27.6% 39.8% 2.7% 100.0% Female 28.1% 39.8% 29.3% 2.8% 100.0% 29.0% 34.0% 34.3% 2.8% 100.0%
6 Q2Age * Q4GoVoter Crosstabulation % within Q2Age Q4GoVoter Definitely Voting Probably Voting Probably Not Voting % 34.7% 5.1% 100.0% Q2Age % 27.4% 100.0% % 11.8% 4.4% 100.0% Older than % 20.7% 1.4% 100.0% 76.0% 21.2% 2.8% 100.0% Q2Age * Q5SenFav Crosstabulation % within Q2Age Q5SenFav No Opinion % 19.4% 12.2% 10.2% 41.8% 100.0% Q2Age % 14.5% 20.0% 15.2% 34.5% 100.0% % 18.0% 16.7% 17.1% 28.5% 100.0% Older than % 16.6% 13.1% 19.3% 28.3% 100.0% 19.0% 17.0% 15.9% 16.1% 32.0% 100.0%
7 Q2Age * Q6ACA1 Crosstabulation % within Q2Age Q6ACA1 Successes Failures Something in between % 33.7% 53.1% 100.0% Q2Age % 49.7% 35.9% 100.0% % 46.9% 34.2% 100.0% Older than % 49.3% 30.8% 100.0% 17.2% 46.0% 36.8% 100.0% Q2Age * Q7GovBallot1_Full Crosstabulation % within Q2Age Q7GovBallot1_Full Dennis Lean Dennis Lean John John Don t Know Kitzhaber Kitzhaber % 3.1% 4.1% 38.1% 13.4% 100.0% Q2Age % 3.5% 5.6% 36.8% 13.2% 100.0% % 5.2% 3.1% 41.9% 10.0% 100.0% Older than % 4.1% 2.1% 43.2% 11.0% 100.0% 40.3% 4.2% 3.6% 40.4% 11.5% 100.0%
8 Q2Age * Q9SenBallot_Full Crosstabulation % within Q2Age Q9SenBallot_Full Monica Wehby Lean Monica Lean Jeff Jeff Merkley Don t Know Wehby Merkley % 1.0% 2.0% 33.7% 19.4% 100.0% Q2Age % 3.4% 3.4% 37.0% 16.4% 100.0% % 7.9% 2.2% 42.1% 10.5% 100.0% Older than % 4.1% 2.1% 38.4% 13.7% 100.0% 40.0% 4.9% 2.4% 38.7% 14.1% 100.0% Q2Age * Q12Party Crosstabulation % within Q2Age Q12Party Republican Democrat Independent / Something else DK/REF % 28.6% 48.0% 3.1% 100.0% Q2Age % 25.5% 41.4% 3.4% 100.0% % 38.2% 32.5% 1.3% 100.0% Older than % 39.5% 21.1% 4.1% 100.0% 29.0% 34.0% 34.3% 2.8% 100.0%
9 Q3Race * Q4GoVoter Crosstabulation % within Q3Race Q4GoVoter Definitely Voting Probably Voting Probably Not Voting Hispanic 63.6% 27.3% 9.1% 100.0% Black 88.2% 11.8% 100.0% Q3Race White 76.2% 21.2% 2.6% 100.0% Asian 70.6% 23.5% 5.9% 100.0% Other 75.5% 20.8% 3.8% 100.0% 75.9% 21.2% 2.9% 100.0% Q3Race * Q5SenFav Crosstabulation % within Q3Race Q5SenFav No Opinion Hispanic 28.6% 14.3% 14.3% 14.3% 28.6% 100.0% Black 37.5% 6.2% 25.0% 12.5% 18.8% 100.0% Q3Race White 19.1% 17.9% 15.2% 15.6% 32.3% 100.0% Asian 5.6% 22.2% 16.7% 5.6% 50.0% 100.0% Other 13.2% 13.2% 18.9% 24.5% 30.2% 100.0% 19.0% 17.2% 15.7% 15.9% 32.1% 100.0%
10 Q3Race * Q6ACA1 Crosstabulation % within Q3Race Q6ACA1 Successes Failures Something in between Hispanic 36.4% 31.8% 31.8% 100.0% Black 29.4% 23.5% 47.1% 100.0% Q3Race White 16.1% 46.6% 37.3% 100.0% Asian 5.9% 47.1% 47.1% 100.0% Other 19.2% 50.0% 30.8% 100.0% 17.2% 45.7% 37.1% 100.0% Q3Race * Q7GovBallot1_Full Crosstabulation % within Q3Race Q7GovBallot1_Full Dennis Lean Dennis Lean John John Kitzhaber Don t Know Kitzhaber Hispanic 27.3% 4.5% 9.1% 59.1% 100.0% Black 47.1% 52.9% 100.0% Q3Race White 39.8% 4.7% 3.3% 40.7% 11.4% 100.0% Asian 41.2% 5.9% 35.3% 17.6% 100.0% Other 47.1% 2.0% 3.9% 27.5% 19.6% 100.0% 40.2% 4.2% 3.6% 40.5% 11.5% 100.0%
11 Q3Race * Q9SenBallot_Full Crosstabulation % within Q3Race Q9SenBallot_Full Monica Wehby Lean Monica Lean Jeff Jeff Merkley Don t Know Wehby Merkley Hispanic 50.0% 9.1% 40.9% 100.0% Black 47.1% 52.9% 100.0% Q3Race White 39.3% 5.1% 2.2% 39.5% 13.9% 100.0% Asian 33.3% 5.6% 38.9% 22.2% 100.0% Other 42.3% 3.8% 3.8% 25.0% 25.0% 100.0% 40.0% 4.7% 2.4% 38.7% 14.2% 100.0% Q3Race * Q12Party Crosstabulation % within Q3Race Q12Party Republican Democrat Independent / Something else DK/REF Hispanic 18.2% 40.9% 27.3% 13.6% 100.0% Black 11.8% 70.6% 11.8% 5.9% 100.0% Q3Race White 30.6% 33.8% 33.6% 2.0% 100.0% Asian 23.5% 35.3% 41.2% 100.0% Other 25.0% 21.2% 48.1% 5.8% 100.0% 29.0% 34.0% 34.2% 2.8% 100.0%
12 Region * Q4GoVoter Crosstabulation % within Region Q4GoVoter Definitely Voting Probably Voting Probably Not Voting Coastal 74.4% 25.6% 100.0% Lane County 60.0% 35.0% 5.0% 100.0% Region Willamette Valley 84.5% 11.7% 3.9% 100.0% Tri County-Portland 75.4% 21.6% 3.0% 100.0% Eastern 82.4% 16.2% 1.5% 100.0% Southern 73.4% 24.1% 2.5% 100.0% 75.9% 21.2% 2.9% 100.0%
13 Region * Q5SenFav Crosstabulation % within Region Q5SenFav No Opinion Coastal 17.5% 20.0% 15.0% 20.0% 27.5% 100.0% Lane County 16.1% 19.4% 19.4% 11.3% 33.9% 100.0% Willamette Valley 17.5% 13.6% 19.4% 22.3% 27.2% 100.0% Region Tri County- Portland 24.3% 19.5% 12.4% 13.1% 30.7% 100.0% Eastern 8.8% 11.8% 16.2% 23.5% 39.7% 100.0% Southern 16.7% 15.4% 19.2% 11.5% 37.2% 100.0% 19.3% 17.2% 15.7% 15.9% 32.0% 100.0% Region * Q6ACA1 Crosstabulation % within Region Q6ACA1 Successes Failures Something in between Coastal 15.8% 55.3% 28.9% 100.0% Lane County 28.3% 36.7% 35.0% 100.0% Region Willamette Valley 9.6% 53.8% 36.5% 100.0% Tri County-Portland 19.4% 39.2% 41.4% 100.0% Eastern 11.6% 63.8% 24.6% 100.0% Southern 17.7% 44.3% 38.0% 100.0% 17.3% 45.8% 36.9% 100.0%
14 Region * Q7GovBallot1_Full Crosstabulation % within Region Q7GovBallot1_Full Dennis Lean Dennis Lean John John Don t Know Kitzhaber Kitzhaber Coastal 39.5% 10.5% 44.7% 5.3% 100.0% Lane County 34.4% 3.3% 6.6% 44.3% 11.5% 100.0% Willamette Valley 45.2% 4.8% 1.9% 34.6% 13.5% 100.0% Region Tri County- Portland 35.4% 3.0% 4.1% 45.5% 11.9% 100.0% Eastern 55.1% 5.8% 4.3% 21.7% 13.0% 100.0% Southern 39.7% 5.1% 3.8% 41.0% 10.3% 100.0% 40.0% 4.4% 3.7% 40.3% 11.7% 100.0% Region * Q9SenBallot_Full Crosstabulation % within Region Q9SenBallot_Full Monica Lean Monica Lean Jeff Jeff Don t Know Wehby Wehby Merkley Merkley Coastal 46.2% 2.6% 2.6% 41.0% 7.7% 100.0% Lane County 40.3% 6.5% 3.2% 37.1% 12.9% 100.0% Willamette Valley 39.4% 6.7% 3.8% 32.7% 17.3% 100.0% Region Tri County- Portland 35.7% 3.0% 2.2% 45.7% 13.4% 100.0% Eastern 50.7% 8.7% 2.9% 17.4% 20.3% 100.0% Southern 41.8% 5.1% 2.5% 39.2% 11.4% 100.0% 39.9% 4.8% 2.7% 38.4% 14.1% 100.0%
15 Region * Q12Party Crosstabulation % within Region Q12Party Republican Democrat Independent / Something else DK/REF Coastal 25.6% 33.3% 35.9% 5.1% 100.0% Lane County 26.2% 36.1% 32.8% 4.9% 100.0% Region Willamette Valley 28.2% 28.2% 41.7% 1.9% 100.0% Tri County-Portland 23.9% 39.9% 34.0% 2.2% 100.0% Eastern 39.1% 17.4% 40.6% 2.9% 100.0% Southern 42.3% 35.9% 19.2% 2.6% 100.0% 29.0% 34.1% 34.1% 2.8% 100.0% Q12Party * Q4GoVoter Crosstabulation % within Q12Party Q4GoVoter Definitely Voting Probably Voting Probably Not Voting Republican 79.3% 20.1% 0.6% 100.0% Democrat 78.6% 17.6% 3.8% 100.0% Q12Party Independent / Something else 70.8% 25.5% 3.8% 100.0% DK/REF 70.6% 23.5% 5.9% 100.0% 75.9% 21.2% 2.9% 100.0%
16 Q12Party * Q5SenFav Crosstabulation % within Q12Party Q5SenFav No Opinion Republican 3.9% 14.9% 18.8% 29.8% 32.6% 100.0% Q12Part y Democrat 36.2% 17.6% 10.5% 6.2% 29.5% 100.0% Independent / Something else 16.1% 19.9% 18.5% 15.2% 30.3% 100.0% DK/REF 5.9% 5.9% 17.6% 70.6% 100.0% 19.1% 17.3% 15.8% 16.0% 31.8% 100.0% Q12Party * Q6ACA1 Crosstabulation % within Q12Party Q6ACA1 Successes Failures Something in between Republican 6.1% 77.8% 16.1% 100.0% Democrat 35.2% 19.5% 45.2% 100.0% Q12Party Independent / Something else 9.5% 45.0% 45.5% 100.0% DK/REF 12.5% 43.8% 43.8% 100.0% 17.3% 45.9% 36.8% 100.0%
17 Q12Party * Q7GovBallot1_Full Crosstabulation % within Q12Party Q7GovBallot1_Full Dennis Lean Dennis Lean John John Don t Kitzhaber Kitzhaber Know Republican 72.1% 3.4% 3.9% 14.0% 6.7% 100.0% Q12Part y Democrat 16.3% 1.9% 1.0% 73.7% 7.2% 100.0% Independent / Something else 37.3% 7.1% 6.1% 30.7% 18.9% 100.0% DK/REF 31.2% 6.2% 37.5% 25.0% 100.0% 40.1% 4.2% 3.6% 40.6% 11.5% 100.0% Q12Party * Q9SenBallot_Full Crosstabulation % within Q12Party Q9SenBallot_Full Monica Lean Monica Lean Jeff Jeff Don t Wehby Wehby Merkley Merkley Know Republican 68.7% 9.5% 13.4% 8.4% 100.0% Q12Part y Democrat 18.1% 1.0% 4.8% 66.2% 10.0% 100.0% Independent / Something else 39.3% 4.3% 1.4% 33.6% 21.3% 100.0% DK/REF 18.8% 18.8% 25.0% 37.5% 100.0% 40.1% 4.5% 2.6% 38.6% 14.1% 100.0%
18 Q4GoVoter * Q5SenFav Crosstabulation % within Q4GoVoter Q5SenFav No Opinion Definitely Voting 23.1% 16.5% 17.1% 17.9% 25.4% 100.0% Q4GoVote r Probably Voting 6.9% 19.1% 10.7% 9.9% 53.4% 100.0% Probably Not Voting 5.3% 26.3% 15.8% 10.5% 42.1% 100.0% 19.1% 17.3% 15.7% 16.0% 31.9% 100.0% Q4GoVoter * Q6ACA1 Crosstabulation % within Q4GoVoter Q6ACA1 Successes Failures Something in between Definitely Voting 19.4% 47.0% 33.5% 100.0% Q4GoVoter Probably Voting 10.7% 41.2% 48.1% 100.0% Probably Not Voting 11.1% 50.0% 38.9% 100.0% 17.3% 45.9% 36.8% 100.0%
19 Q4GoVoter * Q7GovBallot1_Full Crosstabulation % within Q4GoVoter Q7GovBallot1_Full Dennis Lean Dennis Lean John John Don t Kitzhaber Kitzhaber Know Definitely Voting 43.4% 4.0% 3.4% 41.9% 7.2% 100.0% Q4GoVote r Probably Voting 29.8% 6.1% 5.3% 33.6% 25.2% 100.0% Probably Not Voting 22.2% 50.0% 27.8% 100.0% 39.9% 4.4% 3.7% 40.4% 11.6% 100.0% Q4GoVoter * Q9SenBallot_Full Crosstabulation % within Q4GoVoter Q9SenBallot_Full Monica Lean Monica Lean Jeff Jeff Don t Know Wehby Wehby Merkley Merkley Definitely Voting 40.8% 6.0% 1.9% 41.7% 9.6% 100.0% Q4GoVote r Probably Voting 37.9% 0.8% 5.3% 29.5% 26.5% 100.0% Probably Not Voting 33.3% 27.8% 38.9% 100.0% 40.0% 4.7% 2.6% 38.7% 14.1% 100.0%
20 Q4GoVoter * Q12Party Crosstabulation % within Q4GoVoter Q12Party Republican Democrat Independent / Something else DK/REF Definitely Voting 30.3% 35.2% 32.0% 2.6% 100.0% Q4GoVoter Probably Voting 27.5% 28.2% 41.2% 3.1% 100.0% Probably Not Voting 5.6% 44.4% 44.4% 5.6% 100.0% 29.0% 34.0% 34.3% 2.8% 100.0%
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