High Sensitivity Troponin Improves Management. But Not Yet

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1 High Sensitivity Troponin Improves Management But Not Yet Allan S. Jaffe, MD.* Consultant - Cardiology & Laboratory Medicine Professor of Medicine Chair, CCLS Division, Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology Mayo Clinic and Medical School Rochester, Minnesota *Dr. Jaffe is or has been a consultant to most of the major diagnostic companies as well as Pfizer and Amgen. CP

2 AUC More Diagnoses with Higher-Sensitivity Assays 1.0 Sensitive troponin I 99 th % value Troponin T 10%CV value NEJM 361:868, to <3 3 to <6 6 to <9 9 to < All Time of chest-pain onset (hr) Diagnosis of AMI (no.) Single determination (no.) Sensitive troponin I >0.04 ng/ml Troponin T >0.03 ng/ml CP

3 Area under the ROC curve Accuracy by Time of Admission th % value NEJM 361:858, 2009 Mostly same assays but < 99 th % value cut off used Abbott-architect troponin I Roche high-sensitive troponin T Roche troponin I Siemens troponin I ultra Standard assay All patients Hours since onset of symptoms CP

4 Sensitivity Diagnostic Increases in ctn (Christchurch ED Trial) 1.0 Baseline Total Hs TnT Abbott TnT CKMB Reference line specificity specificity Aldous et al: Ann Clin Biochem 48:241, 2011 CP

5 Diagnosis of NSTEMI and Unstable Angina % CV 99 th % hsctnt Non-ACS (n=174) 0 UA (n=101) 23.8 NSTEMI (n=83) Ordonez, TUSCA CP

6 Diagnostic Increases in ctn (Christchurch ED Trial) hs TnT Tnl 3 TnT 100 Baseline 100 Total >10 n=20 n=26 n=9 n=8 n=7 n=18 Aldous et al: Ann Clin Biochem 48:241, >10 CP

7 Prevalence of Detectable Cardiac Troponin T ( 3 ng/l) and levels greater the 99 th percentile value ( 14 ng/l). ctnt Level, ng/ml Sample Sample Sample Weight-Adjusted Weight-Adjusted Size, Prevalence, % Prevalence, Group No. No. (%) (95% Cl) No. (%) 95% Cl) Overall population (27.0) 25.0 ( ) Restricted population Without CHD (26.0) 24.2 ( ) Without cardiovascular disease (24.8) 23.7 ( ) Without cardiovascular disease or CKD a Without cardiovascular disease, CKD, subclinical heart disease, diabetes, or hypertension b (24.0) 23.1 ( ) (20.0) 19.3 ( ) 122 (3.4) 103 (3.0) 2.0 ( ) 1.8 ( ) 82 (2.5) 1.9 ( ) 65 (2.3) 1.2 ( ) 43 (1.7) 1.1 ( ) CP

8 Cumulative incidence of overall death (%) Total Mortality by ctnt Values All-Cause Mortality ctnt Detectable Undetectable ctnt category, ng/ml < <0.003 (undetectable) No. at risk Months ctnt Detectable Undetectable 2,589 2,584 2,576 2,570 2,554 2,552 1, Months No. at risk < < ,589 2,584 2,576 2,570 2,554 2,552 1,995 P<0.001 for all between-group comparisons by the log-rank test; detectable cardiac troponin T (ctnt) levels are ng/ml or greater by the highly sensitive assay; Y-axes shown in blue indicate the range from 0% to 20% JAMA 304(22):2503, 2010 CP

9 hsctnt and Chronic CAD hsctnt in Men vs Women hs-ctnt (ng/l) No CAD Mild Moderate Severe Multi Laufer et al: Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 30:1272, 2010 CP

10 Death and Hospitalization and hstnt at Baseline 10 Mortality Hospitalization for HF Hazard ratio (95% CI) 1 Latini et al: Circ 116, Deciles CP

11 SENSITIVITIES AND SPECIFICITIES INCORPORATING DELTA TROPONINS n = 332, (%) Number positive Sensitivity Specificity hstnt > 99 th centile at peak 143 (43.1) 90.9 ( ) 80.6 ( ) + 20% delta 93 (28.0) 71.8 ( ) 93.7 ( ) + 50% delta 75 (22.6) 61.8 ( ) 96.8 ( ) Tnl 3 > 99 th centile at peak 129 (38.9) 90.0 ( ) 86.5 ( ) + 20% delta 100 (30.1) 74.5 ( ) 91.9 ( ) + 50% delta 88 (26.5) 68.2 ( ) 94.1 ( ) TnT > 99 th centile at peak 108 (32.5) 83.6 ( ) 92.8 ( ) + 20% delta 91 (27.4) 72.7 ( ) 95.0 ( ) + 50% delta 79 (23.8) 65.5 ( ) 96.8 ( ) Reference: Ann Clin Bioch 2011;48(3): CP

12 SENSITIVITIES AND SPECIFICITIES INCORPORATING DELTA TROPONINS n = 332, (%) Number positive Sensitivity Specificity hstnt > 99 th centile at peak 143 (43.1) 90.9 ( ) 80.6 ( ) + 20% delta 93 (28.0) 71.8 ( ) 93.7 ( ) + 50% delta 75 (22.6) 61.8 ( ) 96.8 ( ) Tnl 3 > 99 th centile at peak 129 (38.9) 90.0 ( ) 86.5 ( ) + 20% delta 100 (30.1) 74.5 ( ) 91.9 ( ) + 50% delta 88 (26.5) 68.2 ( ) 94.1 ( ) TnT > 99 th centile at peak 108 (32.5) 83.6 ( ) 92.8 ( ) + 20% delta 91 (27.4) 72.7 ( ) 95.0 ( ) + 50% delta 79 (23.8) 65.5 ( ) 96.8 ( ) Reference: Ann Clin Bioch 2011;48(3): CP

13 SENSITIVITIES AND SPECIFICITIES INCORPORATING DELTA TROPONINS n = 332, (%) Number positive Sensitivity Specificity hstnt > 99 th centile at peak 143 (43.1) 90.9 ( ) 80.6 ( ) + 20% delta 93 (28.0) 71.8 ( ) 93.7 ( ) + 50% delta 75 (22.6) 61.8 ( ) 96.8 ( ) Tnl 3 > 99 th centile at peak 129 (38.9) 90.0 ( ) 86.5 ( ) + 20% delta 100 (30.1) 74.5 ( ) 91.9 ( ) + 50% delta 88 (26.5) 68.2 ( ) 94.1 ( ) TnT > 99 th centile at peak 108 (32.5) 83.6 ( ) 92.8 ( ) + 20% delta 91 (27.4) 72.7 ( ) 95.0 ( ) + 50% delta 79 (23.8) 65.5 ( ) 96.8 ( ) Reference: Ann Clin Bioch 2011;48(3): CP

14 Short-Term Biological Variability in ctnl Participant no Clin Chem 55:1, ctnl (ng/l) CP

15 Use of high sensitivity troponin T to diagnose myocardial infarction Clinical setting consistent with myocardial ischemia Baseline < 14 ng/l ng/l 53 ng/l Retest hstnt 3 hours after symptom onset or if timing of symptom onset is unclear at 6 hours after presentation Retest hstnt 3 hours later Change < 50% Change 50% Retest hstnt 3 hours later Change < 20% Change 20% 14ng/L rules out MI with >90% probability If 14ng/L then proceed to middle part of algorithm. Adverse Prognosis Retest hstnt at 6,12 hr Evidence based treatments Myocardial infarction CP White HD; AHJ 2010

16 Short- and Long-term Bio variation in hsctnt Analytical variation Short Term Long term CVA, % Biological Variation CVI, % 48.2 CVG, % 85.9 Index of Individuality 84.5 RCV, log-normal increase, % CP

17 sensitivity ROC Analysis for 1- and 2-Hour Change specificity 1-specificity hs-ctnt 1h absolute change ( ) AUC 0.93 ctnl Ultra 1h absolute change ( ) AUC 0.94 hs-ctnt 1h relative change ( %) AUC 0.66 ctnl Ultra 1h relative change ( ) AUC 0.64 hs-ctnt 2h absolute change ( ) AUC 0.95 ctnl Ultra 2h absolute change ( ) AUC 0.95 hs-ctnt 2h relative change ( %) AUC 0.76 ctnl Ultra 2h relative change ( ) AUC 0.72 Reichlin et al: Circulation 124:135, 2011 CP

18 CP

19 Myocardial Infarction Type 2 Myocardial infarction secondary to ischemia due to either increased oxygen demand or decreased supply in a setting where coronary supply is at least some part of the problem, e.g. spasm, fixed coronary artery disease, endothelial dysfunction. CP

20 TACTICS (TIMI 18) Cardiac troponin T Conservative Invasive No. treatment treatment Primary endpoint <0.1 ng/ml < < Favors invasive treatment Favors Conservative treatment Death or MI <0.1 ng/ml < < JAMA 286:2405, Odds ratio CP CP

21 30 20 Any Marker Positive (n=442) P=0.03 Outcomes by Gender Women TACTICS-TIMI 18 No Marker Positive (n=173) Rehosp Death/MI P=0.02 Any Marker Positive (n=885) P=0.002 Men No Marker Positive (n=297) P=NS % 10 0 Invasive P=NS Conservative Invasive P=NS Conservative Invasive P=0.07 Conservative P=NS Invasive Conservative Circ 109:584, 2004 CP CP

22 Short-Term Events Gusto IV ACS hs-ctnt neg/ctnt neg hs-ctnt pos/ctnt pos hs-ctnt pos/ctnt neg P<0.001 P=0.52 P<0.001 P=0.001 P=0.85 P=0.001 P<0.001 % 10 P=0.08 P= AHJ 160:224, 2010 Death at 1 yr Death/AMI at 30 days PCI at 30 days CP

23 DIAGNOSTIC PERFORMANCE OF THREE MODELS INCORPORATING hstnt AND ECG FINDINGS FOR EARLY EXCLUSION OF AMI Model Sensitivity Specificity PPV NPV (95% Cl) (95% Cl) (95%Cl) (95% Cl) A ( ) 30.1 ( ) 23.7 ( ) ( ) B 95.2 ( ) 69.4 ( ) 40.4 ( ) 98.5 ( ) C ( ) 66.4 ( ) 30.3 ( ) ( ) Model A: hstnt <3 ng/l and no ECG ischaemia; Model B: hstnt <14 ng/l and no ECG ischaemia; Model C: (hstnt <3 ng/l and no ECG ischaemia) OR (hstnt <14 ng/l and no ECG ischaemia and symptom onset <6h) Reference: Body CP

24 RULING OUT AMI 1. May require different criteria to do this early. 2. No data that sending people home with elevations and non ACS diagnoses is safe. 3. Using other markers will be associated with false positive elevations of that marker which will require some attention. CP

25 Post PCI and hsctn NO DATA CP

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