Consumer Price Index October, 2011 (Base year 2007)

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1 Consumer Price Index October, 2011 (Base year 2007) Nov Issue No SCAD.CPI. No: 10 1

2 Executive summary The average rise in consumer prices for the first ten months of 2011 was 2.1 per cent, compared with the same period of From October 2010 to October2011, average consumer prices rose by 0.9 per cent. From September2011 to October2011, average consumer prices rose by 0.3 per cent. Table 1: Average CPI and relative change Year September October Jan October CPI % Relative change Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi Relative change is based on the unrounded CPI An overall rise in consumer prices during the first ten months of 2011 compared with the same period in 2010 has led to an increase of 4.0 per cent in consumer prices for households of the bottom welfare quintile over the same period of comparison. As for the other welfare levels, consumer prices grew by 1.4 per cent for households of the top quintile and by 2.6 per cent for the middle welfare quintile. During the first ten months of 2011compared with the same period in 2010, consumer prices for national households increased by2.1 per cent, and by 1.7 per cent for non-national households and 3.6 per cent for collective households. 2

3 1. Consumer prices for the first ten months of 2011 Table 2: Weights, relative price index changes and contributions of expenditure groups to the overall percentage points change in CPI, Jan-Oct 2011 compared with Jan-Oct Main Expenditure Groups Weight Relative change in group CPI s Contribution to percentage point change in CPI % Food and non-alcoholic beverages Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Total Relative change is based on the unrounded CPI. Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi During the first ten months of 2011, average consumer prices rose by 2.1 per cent compared with the same period of The CPI rose by 2.5 percentage points over this period. The "Food and non-alcoholic beverages group, accounted for 64.2 per cent of the percentage point rise in the index, due to increases in the prices of most of the subgroups included in this group. The highest price 3

4 increases were in the Meat and "Coffee, tea and cocoa" subgroups which each rose by 14.3 per cent, followed by Fruits (11.4 per cent), Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices (8.7 per cent), and Bread and cereals (7.0 per cent). The next highest group contributor to the overall year-to-date increase in the CPI over the first ten months of 2011 was "Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels" which accounted for 34.6 per cent of the increase in the CPI. While prices for this group increased by only 1.8 per cent, the size of the contribution reflects the large weight for this group in the index. The Transport group contributed 27.8 per cent to the year-to-date rise in consumer prices, having increased by 6.2 per cent. The Communications group contributed 13.5 per cent of the CPI percentage points increase during the first ten months of 2011 and increased by 4.5 per cent compared with the same period in The main group that slowed down the rise in consumer prices during the first ten months of 2011 compared with the same period of 2010 was "Clothing and footwear" which contributed a negative 67 per cent of the overall change in the CPI index. The average prices of this group decreased by 14.8 per cent. 2. Consumer prices for October2011 Over the year, that is, for October 2011 compared with October 2010, average consumer prices increased by 0.9 per cent. The most significant individual increase came from higher prices for Restaurants and hotels which rose by 8.0 per cent, followed by Alcoholic beverages and tobacco (7.4 per cent) and Food and non-alcoholic beverages (5.8 per cent). Over the same period, prices of the Clothing and footwear group decreased by 11.3 per cent. Over the month, that is, for October 2011 compared with September 2011, average consumer prices increased by 0.3 per cent. The most significant individual increase came from higher prices for Restaurants and hotels which rose by 3.1 per cent over the month. 4

5 Figurre 1: Annua al Inflation n Rates from January y 2009 to October O Inflation rates % Jan Feb Mar Apr y May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul A Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June Jul Aug Sep Oct Source e: Statistics Ce entre - Abu Dha abi 3. Consumer prrice by ho ousehold d welfare level for October 2011 Consume er prices for the households h of the bottom b wellfare quintile increased by 4.0 per p cent du uring the firrst ten mon nths of compare ed with the same period in The corrresponding g rise for other o welfa are levels wa as 1.4 per cent for ho ouseholds of o the top quintile q and 2.6 per ce ent for the middle m quin ntile while prices p for the t bottom middle we elfare quintile increased by 3.1 pe er cent. Consume er prices fo or househo olds in the bottom welfare level increased by b 2.0 per cent c in October 2011 compared with Octob ber 2010 and in the to op welfare level by 0..4 per cent. The pricces for hou useholds in n the midd dle welfare le evel increased by 1.3 per cent. Consume er prices increased in October 2011 com mpared with h Septemb ber 2011 forr all welfare e levels. Prrices in the e bottom we elfare levell rose by

6 per cent and in the middle welfare levels and the top welfare level by 0.3 per cent respectively. 4. Consumer price by household type for October 2011 During the first ten months of 2011, consumer prices for national households increased by 2.1 per cent, 1.7 per cent for non-national households and 3.6 per cent for collective households. The rise in consumer prices by 0.9 per cent in October 2011 compared with October 2010 reflected a rise in consumer prices for national households of 0.9 per cent during the same period. Prices for non-national households increased by 0.7 per cent, while prices for collective households increased by 1.8 per cent. Compared with September 2011, consumer prices for October 2011 increased by 0.3 per cent for national and non-national households and 0.6 per cent for collective households Next release Consumer price index, November 2011, will be released on 10December For more information on prices and other official statistics, please visit the SCAD website at 6

7 Consumer Price Index (CPI) Calculation Methodology The CPI is a mathematical average that measures the rate of change in the prices of a basket of goods and services purchased by representative households between two time periods. The period against which prices are compared is known as the base period and the period under review is known as the comparison period. 1- Sources of Goods and Services The sources used for collection of price data were determined through field visits conducted by a team from SCAD s Price Indices Section. These sources are updated on a regular basis e.g. when any source closes down or relocates premises. Price data are currently collected from 117 sources. 2- Collection of Price Data The CPI basket is collected every month, except for the group of vegetables, fruit, meat, fish, and chicken for which price data are collected every week due to price fluctuations in these items. Data on home rentals are collected on a quarterly basis, and school tuition fees semi-annually. The index is calculated using 2007 as the base year for the Abu Dhabi region, with a basket consisting of 334 goods and services and a consumer basket consisting of 670 goods and services. 3 - Weights The weights (relative importance) of goods and services are calculated using the results of the Household Income and Expenditure Survey. Goods or services with a weight of per cent or more were included in the CPI basket of goods and services. Goods with weights below this value were distributed proportionally among the other goods in the same group. 4- Compilation of the CPI The CPI is calculated using the Laspeyres method which uses fixed base-year weights: CPI = P P W 1 i L 0i 0i 7

8 The average prices of items in the basket are calculated using the geometric mean of elementary aggregates. Price ratios are calculated by dividing the comparison price by the base price. The price ratios are then multiplied by their appropriate base weights, and are then summed to form the average index. The index for house rentals is calculated separately using a moving base. This figure is calculated on a quarterly basis. In addition to the general CPI for all Abu Dhabi Emirate, the CPI is also constructed for five welfare levels classified according to annual household income quintiles. In addition, the CPI by household type is constructed for the classifications of household type: national, non-national and collective households. A collective household means two or more unrelated persons living in one housing unit and sharing their living arrangements. 8

9 Appendix (I) Consumer Price Index, October 2011 (2007=100) COICOP Groups of Commodities & Services Weights Consumer Price Index Oct Sep Oct Rel. Change Oct. 2011/Sep 2011 Oct. 2011/Oct General Index 100, Food and non-alcoholic beverages 16, Food 14, Bread and cereals 2, Meat 4, Fish and seafood 1, Milk, cheese and eggs 2, Oils and fats Fruit 1, Vegetables 1, Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery 0119 Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages 1, Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and 1, vegetable juices 02 Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear 9, Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 37, Actual rentals for (41,42) housing, Imputed 33, rentals for housing Maintenance and repair of the dwelling Water supply and miscellaneous services relating to the dwelling Electricity, gas and other fuels ,

10 5 Furnishings, household equipment and routine household 4, maintenance 6 Health Transport 9, Communication 7, Recreation and culture 2, Education 2, Restaurants and hotels 3, Miscellaneous goods and services General Index W.O rents Water, electricity, gas and other fuels 4, , , Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 10

11 COICOP Appendix (II) Consumer Price Index during the period January -Oct (2007=100) Groups of Commodities & Services Weights Jan Oct Jan Oct Rel. Change General Index 100, Food and non-alcoholic beverages 16, Food 14, Bread and cereals 2, Meat 4, Fish and seafood 1, Milk, cheese and eggs 2, Oils and fats Fruit 1, Vegetables 1, Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages 1, Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices 1, Alcoholic beverages and tobacco Clothing and footwear 9, (41,42) Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Maintenance and repair of the dwelling Water supply and miscellaneous services relating to the dwelling 37, , Electricity, gas and other fuels 3, Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 4, Health

12 7 Transport 9, Communication 7, Recreation and culture 2, Education 2, Restaurants and hotels 3, Miscellaneous goods and services 4, General Index W.O rents 66, Water, electricity, gas and other fuels 4, Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 12

13 Appendix III COICOP Consumer Price Index by Household Welfare levels during the period January - Oct (2007=100) Groups of Commodities & Services Bottom level Bottom- Household Welfare level Top- Top All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery 0119 Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) 5 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance

14 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 14

15 Appendix IV COICOP Consumer Price Index by Household Welfare levels during the period January - Oct (2007=100). Groups of Commodities & Services Bottom level Bottom- Household Welfare level Top- Top All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery 0119 Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) 5 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance

16 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 16

17 Appendix V COICOP Annual Inflation Rates in Consumer Prices during the period January -Oct by Household Welfare levels Groups of Commodities & Services Bottom level Bottom- Household Welfare level Top- Top All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing

18 5 Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 18

19 Appendix VI Consumer Price Index by Household Welfare levels, Oct (2007=100) COICOP Groups of Commodities & Services Bottom level Bottom- Household Welfare level Top- Top All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) 5 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance

20 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi

21 Appendix VII Consumer Price Index by Household Welfare levels, Sep (2007=100) COICOP Groups of Commodities & Services Bottom level Bottom- Household Welfare level Top- Top All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) 5 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance

22 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 22

23 Appendix VIII Consumer Price Index by Household Welfare levels, Oct (2007=100). COICOP Groups of Commodities & Services Bottom level Bottom- Household Welfare level Top- Top All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing

24 5 Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi

25 Appendix IX COICOP Annual Inflation Rates in Consumer Prices in Oct by Household Welfare levels Groups of Commodities & Services Bottom level Bottom- Class Household Welfare level Top- Top All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) 5 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance

26 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi

27 COICOP Appendix X Relative Change in Consumer Price in Oct compared to Sep by Household Welfare levels Groups of Commodities & Services Bottom level Bottom- Class Household Welfare level Top- Top All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (41,42) Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing 5 Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6 Health

28 7 Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 28

29 Appendix XI COICOP Consumer Price Index by Household Type during the period January -Oct (2007=100). Groups of Commodities & Services Citizens Household Type Non- Citizens Collective All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (41,42) Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6 Health Transport

30 8 Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi

31 Appendix XII COICOP Consumer Price Index by Household Type during the period January -Oct (2007=100). Groups of Commodities & Services Citizens Household Type Non- Citizens Collective All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (41,42 ) 5 Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance Health

32 7 Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi

33 Appendix XIII COICOP Annual Inflation Rates in Consumer Prices during the period January -Oct by Household Type Groups of Commodities & Services Citizens Household Type Non- Citizens Collective All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels

34 (41,42) Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi

35 Appendix XIV Consumer Price Index by Household Type, Oct (2007=100) COICOP Groups of Commodities & Services Citizens Non- Citizens Household Type Collective All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) 5 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance

36 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 36

37 Appendix XV Consumer Price Index by Household Type, Oct (2007=100). COICOP Groups of Commodities & Services Citizens Non- Citizens Household Type Collective All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) 5 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance

38 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 38

39 Appendix XVI Consumer Price Index by Household Type, Oct (2007=100) COICOP Groups of Commodities & Services Citizens Non- Citizens Household Type Collective All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing

40 5 Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 40

41 Appendix XVII Annual Inflation Rates in Consumer Price in Oct by Household type COICOP Groups of Commodities & Services Citizens Non- Citizens Household Type Collective All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing

42 5 Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi 42

43 COICOP Appendix XVIII Relative Change in Consumer Price in Oct compared to Sep by Household type Groups of Commodities & Services Citizens Household Type Non- Citizens Collective All Households General Index Food and non-alcoholic beverages Food Bread and cereals Meat Fish and seafood Milk, cheese and eggs Oils and fats Fruit Vegetables Sugar, jam, honey, chocolate and confectionery Food products n.e.c Non-alcoholic beverages Coffee, tea and cocoa Mineral waters, soft drinks, fruit and vegetable juices Alcoholic beverages, tobacco and narcotics Clothing and footwear (41,42) 5 Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels Actual rentals for housing, Imputed rentals for housing Furnishings, household equipment and routine household maintenance

44 6 Health Transport Communication Recreation and culture Education Restaurants and hotels Miscellaneous goods and services Source: Statistics Centre - Abu Dhabi

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