Global Health Security: Preparedness and Response: can we do better and stay safe?

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Global Health Security: Preparedness and Response: can we do better and stay safe? John Watson Health Protection Directorate, Public Health England Formerly Deputy Chief Medical Officer, Department of Health

Outline What is global health security (GHS)? Infections and GHS What are the major threats to GHS? Players and structures in GHS What next and will we do better?

Sars

Global SARS 26 September 2003 Cases with onset from 1 November 2002 to 31 July 2003 Total cases 8098 (deaths: 774 9.6%) Hong Kong 1755 (22%) Taiwan 346 (4.3%) China (mainland) 5327 (66%) Singapore 238 (2.9%) Vietnam 63 (<1%) Canada 251 (3.1%)

Avian influenza

Free range duck farm, Thailand

Chinese live bird market May 2006

Human influenza H5N1: 2003-10

Pandemic 2009 - In mid-april 2009, a novel strain of H1N1v emerged in Mexico and California with reports of severe illness; - Antigenically these newly detected swine-lineage flu viruses were distinct from seasonal human A (H1N1); - Soon evidence of sustained transmission in North America with rapid global spread

UK epidemiology: post peak RCGP weekly ILI rate 2009/10 and recent years. 2008/09 2007/08 1999/2000 250 2009/10 Baseline* Epidemic threshold* ILI rate per 100 000 200 150 100 50 Switch to 'treatment only' phase First UK cases detected NPFS Launched and Schools close for summer Schools re-open School half-term break Christmas /New Year school and bank holidays 0 19-Apr 31-May 12-Jul 23-Aug 04-Oct 15-Nov 27-Dec 07-Feb 21-Mar Week-ending date

Antimicrobial resistance Image from slides produced by McKinsey & Company, th

Ebola timeline December 2013: Emile Ouamouno, 2 years, Guinea, becomes first Ebola victim 22 March 2014: Ebola outbreak declared in Guinea 1 April: MSF warns of "unprecedented" outbreak 8 April: WHO says outbreak is "difficult" and "very challenging" 23 June: MSF says outbreak is "out of control" 8 Aug: WHO declares "international public health emergency"

What is global health security? Global public health security is defined as the activities required, both proactive and reactive, to minimize vulnerability to acute public health events that endanger the collective health of populations living across geographical regions and international boundaries. WHO World Health Report, 2007

What is global health security? Global Health Security Provides Protection From Infectious Disease Threats A disease threat is defined by - the emergence and spread of new microbes; - globalization of travel and trade; - rise of drug resistance; and - potential use of laboratories to make and release intentionally or not dangerous microbes.

What is global health security? The Director of Chatham House s Global Health Security programme remarked that global health security was very much like a chameleon as its meaning varied considerably depending on the eye of the beholder. BMJ convened meeting, July 2017

International Health Regulations 2005 The International Health Regulations, or IHR (2005), represent an agreement between 196 countries, including all WHO Member States, to work together for global health security. Through IHR, countries have agreed to build their capacities to detect, assess and report public health events. WHO plays the coordinating role in IHR and, together with its partners, helps countries to build capacities. IHR also includes specific measures at ports, airports and ground crossings to limit the spread of health risks to neighboring countries, and to prevent unwarranted travel and trade restrictions so that traffic and trade disruption is kept to a minimum.

Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations

Where next?

What are JEEs and how did they evolve? JEEs are an important component of the IHR Monitoring and Evaluation Framework Provide objective basis for development of national plans for strengthening IHR core capacities Inclusive multi-stakeholder alliance for JEEs is needed to: Accelerate and coordinate objective country assessment process Facilitate engagement between countries, international organizations, donors, and technical experts involved in the assessment process Promote transparency in exchanging information on the results of assessments, in particular to donors interested in funding the development and strengthening of country capacities