Cost-Effectiveness of Preventing Tuberculosis in Prison Populations Zachary Taylor, M.D., M.S., and Cristy Nguyen, M.P.H.

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Transcription:

109 Cost-Effectiveness of Preventing Tuberculosis in Prison Populations Zachary Taylor, M.D., M.S., and Cristy Nguyen, M.P.H. Reported TB Cases, United States, 1953 97

110 Reported TB Cases, United States, 1975 97 Factors That Contributed to the Increase in TB Cases Deterioration of the tuberculosis (TB) control infrastructure Coinfection with TB and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) Transmission of TB in congregate settings, including prisons Immigration from countries where TB is endemic

111 TB Case Rates by State, United States, 1997 Reported TB Cases by Race and Ethnicity, United States, 1997

112 Reported TB Cases by Race and Ethnicity, United States, 1997 Reported TB Cases by Race and Ethnicity, United States, 1996 and 1997

113 Reported TB Cases by Race and Ethnicity, United States, 1985, 1992, and 1997 Reported TB Cases by Age, United States, 1996 and 1997

114 Change in TB Cases by Age, United States, 1985, 1992, and 1997 TB Cases in Foreign-Born Persons, United States, 1986 97

115 Trends in TB Cases in Foreign-Born Persons, United States, 1986 97 Country of Origin of Foreign-Born Persons with TB, United States, 1997

116 Change in TB Cases by Country of Origin, United States, 1986, 1992, and 1997 TB in Correctional Facilities 1 22 percent of State/Federal prison inmates are infected with TB In 1997, 729 inmates were reported with active TB disease Reported TB outbreaks in correctional facilities

117 Transmission of TB in Correctional Facilities Confined, congregate living Population at risk of TB infection Population at risk of HIV infection Recommendations for Screening Screening incarcerated populations for infection and disease Rapid diagnosis and treatment of active TB Surveillance of active TB disease and transmission of TB Preventive therapy for eligible inmates and correctional workers

118 Objectives Determine the cost-effectiveness of screening for TB in prisons Examine the effect of the prevalence of HIV on the cost-effectiveness of screening inmates Compare the relative cost-effectiveness of screening correctional inmates with screening other high-risk populations Methods Markov-based decision model using DATA 3.0 by TreeAge Societal perspective 1-year time frame 20-year analytical horizon

119 Outcomes Costs Health effects Effectiveness of screening and preventive therapy Results of Base-Case Analysis Strategy Total Cost ($) Active TB Cases Incremental Cost (Savings) ($) Active TB Cases Prevented QALYs Gained Cost per TB Case Prevented ($) Cost per QALY Gained ($) No Screen 26,981,429 1,869 --- --- --- --- --- Screen 19,806,920 880 (7,174,509) 989 301 SAVINGS SAVINGS Results are per 100,000 inmates.

120 Effect of HIV Prevalence on Effectiveness of TB Screening % HIV Infection Cost (Savings) TB Cases Prevented 0 ($2,841,000) 692 2.3 ($7,174,509) 989 (Base Case) 5 ($12,261,650) 1,336 7.85 ($17,631,420) 1,704 Secondary Health Outcomes Strategy TB Deaths TB Deaths Averted* INH Hepatitis Deaths No Screen 12 --- 0 Screen 6 6 1 *Incremental from No Screen

121 Sensitivity Analysis Vary prevalence of latent M. tuberculosis infection Incremental Cost per Active TB Case Prevented ($) Low (0.050) Base Case (0.122) High (0.200) Screen SAVINGS SAVINGS SAVINGS Sensitivity Analysis, continued Vary prophylaxis efficacy Incremental Cost per Active TB Case Prevented ($) Low (60%) Base Case (73%: HIV+) (93%: HIV-) High (93%) Screen SAVINGS SAVINGS SAVINGS

122 Sensitivity Analysis, continued Vary treatment cost per active TB case Incremental Cost per Active TB Case Prevented ($) Low ($5,000) Base Case ($14,435) High ($20,000) Screen $2,176 SAVINGS SAVINGS Sensitivity Analysis, continued Vary TB case rate without preventive therapy Incremental Cost per Active TB Case Prevented ($) Very low HIV+: (0.01) HIV-: (0.00066) Base Case HIV+: (0.045) HIV-: (0.0007) High HIV+: (0.079) HIV-: (0.0012) Screen SAVINGS SAVINGS SAVINGS

123 Cost-Effectiveness of Screening in Various Target Populations Target Group HIV-infected persons Number of Active TB Cases Prevented Cost (Savings) Per Active TB Case Prevented Source 68.6 ($7,843) Nguyen et al. Prison inmates 98.9 ($7,254) Taylor et al. Class B1/B2 immigrants 100.0 $12,929 Nguyen et al. Physicians 20.6 $39,000 Nettleman et al. 20-year-old African- American men 30.7 $110,865 Schechter et al. Cost-Effectiveness Ratio for Selected Interventions Intervention Comparator Cost Per Qaly Saved Lap/shoulder belts (50%) Screening inmates for latent TB infection Annual colorectal screening (50 75 yr. old) Annual mammography (Women 55 65 yr. old) No restraints No screen Cost saving Cost saving No screen $18,000 Annual clinical breast exam $150,000

124 Conclusions Even with current limitations, screening and preventive therapy for TB in prison inmates are cost effective and cost saving compared to no screening and no preventive therapy Results of this analysis were quite robust to changes in most variables Screening prison inmates is favored compared to screening in other high-risk groups and to other preventive interventions