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ABSTRACT Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is becoming one of the leading causes of death in middle and low income countries, with ischaemic heart disease specifically being predicted to be the 4 th and 5 th causes respectively. The numerous risk factors for the development of CVD have been extensively researched; however, the same wealth of data is not available for the black South African population as there is for Caucasians. Although the same risk factors that are present in Caucasians have been seen to be present in the black South Africans, there are questions regarding the contributory roles of the individual risk factors, particularly within the context of urbanisation. The role of diet in CVD has been widely studied and it is known that with urbanisation there are dietary changes which are thought to add the development of CVD. With urbanisation, however, there are numerous other lifestyle changes taking place within a population, making it difficult to isolate and make conclusions of the individual role of diet. Added to this is the complex issue of assessing dietary intake. Assessing only nutrient or food intake does not give a holistic picture of dietary habits. The main aim of this study was to determine the association between dietary intake and CVD risk in black South Africans in the context of urbanisation. Methods The first study that forms part of this thesis was a case-control study aimed at exploring the risk factor profile and clinical presentation of black South African patients with coronary artery disease (CAD). In this study clinical, biochemical and nutrient intakes were compared with a black South African control group that were matched for age and body composition. The second study to form part of this thesis aimed to relate the dietary intakes of the Prospective Urban and Rural Epidemiological (PURE) study population to CVD risk associated with urbanisation, by using both nutrient intake and predefined diet quality scores (DQS). The Healthy Diet Indicator (HDI) and the Deficiency and Excess Score were carefully selected from the large number of available scores and adapted as best as possible for the black South African population. The third study aimed to investigate the role of dietary intake by using nutrients as well as food group consumption patterns as a risk factor in urbanised black South African CAD patients. The dietary habits of the coronary artery disease (CAD) patients were compared to that of an apparently healthy reference group of volunteers selected from the PURE study population. This urbanised reference group was from a similar socio- demographic i P a g e

background and was selected according to their risk for CVD. The Reynolds Risk score which includes C-reactive protein as factor was used to stratify the PURE population into CVD risk categories, in order to select the reference group, which had a low risk (<5%) of developing CVD within the next 10 years. Dietary intake was assessed by comparing nutrient and food group intake (including the ultra-processed food group category). Results and discussion Black South African CAD patients had increased levels of the same risk factors that are seen in Caucasians with insulin resistance and LDL size being particularly significant in their contribution. Apart from a lower vitamin C intake, no differences in dietary intake and physical activity were observed between the CAD and control group. When comparing the dietary intake of the rural and urban group, the urban group, who had an increased CVD risk, had higher intakes of macro- and micronutrients as well as higher DQS. The DQS must however be interpreted with caution, as when looking at the absolute intakes of individual components of the scores, the urban group was still deficient in a numerous vital micronutrients. A similar picture was seen in the third study, in that the CAD patients also consumed more saturated fatty acids and ultra-processed foods than the reference group, as well as more of the protective foods such as fruit and vegetables. However, although their dietary habits could be considered prudent, they were still inadequate in numerous important micronutrients. Conclusion and recommendation This thesis therefore shows that there are two sides of the story regarding the role of diet in CVD in black South Africans. Although it is important to follow prudent dietary guidelines so as to control the intake of nutrients and foods known to play a role in the development of CVD, it is just as important to ensure adequate intake of the foods rich in micronutrients known to protect against CVD. Dietary advice and prevention programs should also focus on the adequacy aspect of the diet, such as increasing fruit and vegetable and low fat dairy intake, not only on the prudent diet aspect. Additionally, nutrient intake alone does not adequately explain the link between diet and CVD and additional analyses such food consumption patterns are required. KEY WORDS: Coronary artery disease, cardiovascular disease risk, diet quality ii P a g e

UITTREKSEL Agtergrond Kardiovaskulêre siekte (KVS) is besig om een van die hoofoorsake van dood in middel- en lae-inkomste lande te word, en iskemiese hartsiekte word spesifiek voorspel om die 4 de en 5 de oorsake respektiewelik te wees. Die talle risikofaktore vir die ontwikkeling van KVS is reeds uitvoerig ondersoek. Daar is egter nie diesefde skat van data beskikbaar vir die swart Suid-Afrikaanse populasie as wat daar vir Kaukasiërs is nie. Hoewel dieselfde risikofaktore wat in Kaukasiërs teenwoordig is in die swart Suid-Afrikaners gesien is, is daar vrae wat betref die bydraende rolle van die individuele risikofaktore, veral in die konteks van verstedeliking. Die rol van dieet in KVS is wereldwyd omvattend bestudeer en dit is bekend dat met verstedeliking daar dieetveranderinge is wat vermoedelik tot die ontwikkeling van KVS bydra. Met verstedeliking vind daar egter talle ander leefstylveranderinge in n populasie plaas, wat dit moeilik maak om die individuele rol van dieet te isoleer en gevolgtrekkings te maak. Boonop is daar die komplekse kwessie van bepaling van dieetinname. Bepaling van slegs voedingstof- of voedselinname gee nie n holistiese beeld van dieetgewoontes nie. Die hoef doel van hierdie projek was om die assosiasie tussen dieetinname en risiko vir KVS in swart Suid Afrikaners te bepaal in die konteks van verstedeliking. Metode Die eerste studie wat deel vorm van hierdie proefskrif was n gevalle-kontrole studie gemik op die verkenning van die risikofaktorprofiel en kliniese uitbeelding van swart Suid-Afrikaners met koronêre arteriële siekte (CAD). In hierdie studie is kliniese, biochemiese en voedingstofinnames vergelyk met n kontrolegroep wat vir ouderdom en liggaamsamestelling gepaar was. Die tweede studie wat deel vorm van hierdie proefskrif se doel was om die dieetinnames van die Prospective Urban and Rural Epidemiological (PURE)-studiepopulasie in verband te bring met KVS-risiko met verstedeliking, deur ook vooraf gedefinieërde kwaliteitstellings van voedingstofinname te gebruik. Die Healthy Diet Indicator (HDI) en die Deficiency en Excess Score is versigtig uit die groot aantal beskikbare maatstawwe gekies en so goed as moontlik vir die Suid-Afrikaanse swart populasie aangepas. Die derde studie het ten doel gehad om die rol van dieetinname as risikofaktor te ondersoek deur gebruik te maak van voedingstof- en voedselgroepinnamepatrone in verstedelikte Suid- Afrikaanse swart CAD-pasiënte. Die eetgewoontes van die CAD-pasiënte is vergelyk met die van n verwysingsgroep van oënskynlik gesonde vrywilligers gekies uit die PUREstudiepopulasie. Hierdie verstedelikte verwysingsgroep was van n soortgelyke sosio- iii P a g e

demografiese agtergrond en was gekies volgens hulle KVS-risiko. Die Reynolds- risikotelling wat C-reaktiewe proteïen as faktor insluit was gebruik om die PURE-populasie te stratifiseer in KVS-risiko kategorieë, ten einde die verwysingsgroep te kies wat n lae risiko (<5%) het om KVS binne die volgende 10 jaar te ontwikkel. Dieetinname was bepaal deur vergelyking van voedingstof- en voedselgroepinname (insluitende ultra-geprosesseerde voedselgroepkategorieë). Resultate en bespreeking Suid-Afrikaanse swart CAD-pasiënte het verhoogde vlakke van dieselfde risikofaktore gehad as wat in Kaukasiërs teenwoordig is. Insulienweerstand en LDL-grootte is besondere betekenisvolle bydraers hiertoe. Behalwe vir n laer vitamien C-inname, is geen verskille in dieetinname en fisiese aktiwiteit tussen die CAD-groep en kontrolegroep waargeneem nie. Met vergelyking van die dieetinname van die plattelandse en stedelike groepe, blyk dit dat die stedelike groep, wat n verhoogde CAD-risiko het, hoër innames van makro- en mikrovoedingstowwe asook hoër dieetkwaliteittellings gehad het. Die dieetkwaliteittelling moet egter versigtig geïnterpreteer word, want in terme van die absolute innames van die individuele komponente van die telling was die stedelike groep steeds gebrekkig in talle belangrike mikrovoedingstowwe. n Soortgelyke beeld is in die derde studie waargeneem, daarin dat die CAD-pasiënte ook meer versadigde vetsure en ultra-geprosesseerde voedsels as die verwysingsgroep ingeneem het, asook meer van die beskermde voedsels soos vrugte en groente. Hoewel hulle eetgewoontes egter as omsigtig beskou kan word, was dit steeds ontoereikend in talle belangrike mikrovoedingstowwe. Gevolgtrekking en aanbeveling Hierdie proefskrif toon dus dat daar twee kante van die saak betreffende die rol van dieet in KVS in swart Suid-Afrikaners is. Hoewel dit belangrik is om omsigtige dieetriglyne te volg om beheer uit te oefen oor die inname van voedingstowwe en voedsels wat n rol speel in die ontwikkeling van KVS, is dit net so belangrik om te verseker dat voedsels ingeneem word wat ryk is in mikronutriënte en wat daarvoor bekend is dat dit beskerm teen die ontwikkeling van KVS. Dieetadvies en voorkomingsprogramme moet ook fokus op die toereikende aspek van die diet, soos verhoogde inname van vrugte en groente en lae-vet suiwel, nie net op die omsigtigheidsaspek nie. Verder verduidelik voedingstowweinname alleen nie voldoende die verband tussen dieet en KVS nie en addisionele analises soos voedselverbruikpatrone is nodig. iv P a g e

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would first and foremost like to thank my heavenly father for the opportunities and abilities He has blessed me with. I would like to use this opportunity to thank the following people who contributed to making the completion of this thesis possible: My Promoter, Prof. Marlien Pieters, for her guidance and encouragement. For all her time and patience investing in me as a researcher. For helping me stay focussed on my research during the difficult times with so much understanding. For always being willing to give advice and to share her expertise. My assistant-promoter, Prof. Edelweiss Wentzel-Viljoen. I am so honoured to have the opportunity to learn from and work so closely with someone I have admired and respected my whole career. Thank you for your guidance, encouragement and wisdom. My co-promoter, Prof. Johann Jerling, for his guidance, his sense of humour and for always asking those difficult questions that forced me to grow as a researcher. The inspirational women whom I admire and respect, Prof. Este Vorster and Prof. Grieta Hanekom. I am truly honoured to be in the position to learn from and be mentored by women like you. Prof. Derrick Raal for introducing me as a young dietician to the world of research. Thank you for your encouragement and belief in me over the years. Thank you for your dedication and working so hard to make the CAD case-control study realise. Dr Lucas Ntyintyane for your dedication and hard work on the CAD case-control study and Heart of Soweto project. Your belief in me and your encouragement is really appreciated. The Heart of Soweto team and especially Mrs Sandra Pretorius for administering the food frequency questionnaires. Prof. Edith Feskens, thank you for making time for me during such a busy and difficult time. The time I spent with you in Wageningen was invaluable. Thank you for being willing to teach me so much in such a short time. Ria Laubser, Suria Ellis and Prof. Faans Steyn for all their advice and help with the statistical analysis of data. My colleagues, for their unending support and encouragement. Your kind words and advice helped me to stay focussed and to believe in myself. Mary Hoffman for the language editing My family and friends for being there for me and putting up with me through this journey. v P a g e

My parents, for providing the opportunities for me that you have. Thank you for showing me by example that perseverance, hard work and a humble spirit pay off. My husband for sacrificing so much that I could have the opportunity to further my career. Your ability to keep on going and to continue to have a sense of humour, despite all the challenges life as thrown at you, give me the inspiration to not give up. vi P a g e

CONTENTS ABSTRACT... i UITTREKSEL... iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS... v LIST OF TABLES... x LIST OF FIGURES... xii LIST OF ANNEXURES... xiii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS... xiv CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION... 1 1.1. BACKGROUND AND MOTIVATION... 1 1.2. AIMS AND OBJECTIVES... 1 1.3. STRUCTURE OF THESIS... 4 1.4. CONTRIBUTIONS OF THE AUTHORS TO THE ARTICLES PRESENTED IN THIS THESIS... 5 CHAPTER 2 - LITERATURE REVIEW... 7 2.1. INTRODUCTION... 7 2.2. RISK FACTORS FOR DEVELOPMENT OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN POPULATION... 10 2.2.1. Introduction... 10 2.2.2. Hypertension... 10 2.2.3. Diabetes Mellitus... 17 2.2.4. Dyslipidaemia... 20 2.2.5. Obesity... 23 2.2.6. Smoking... 26 2.2.7. Gender... 28 2.2.8. Haemostatic variables... 29 2.2.9. Inflammation... 32 vii P a g e

2.2.10. Physical inactivity... 35 2.2.11. Daily fruit and vegetable consumption... 36 2.2.12. Stress... 38 2.2.13. Conclusion... 39 2.3. RISK SCORES FOR PREDICTION OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE AND CORONARY HEART DISEASE RISK... 41 2.4. THE ROLE OF DIET IN CVD... 52 2.4.1. Introduction... 52 2.4.2. Atherosclerosis... 52 2.4.3. Nutrients, foods, dietary quality and CVD... 58 2.4.3.1. The harmful or protective role of specific nutrients on atherosclerosis...60 2.4.3.2. Foods and diet quality and CVD... 82 2.5 Summary and conclusions... 90 CHAPTER 3: RISK FACTOR PROFILE OF CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE IN BLACK SOUTH AFRICANS... 93 INSTRUCTIONS FOR AUTHORS FOR THE SOUTH AFRICAN HEART JOURNAL... 94 ABSTRACT... 95 INTRODUCTION... 96 METHODS... 97 RESULTS... 99 DISCUSSION... 103 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS... 105 REFERENCES... 106 CHAPTER 4: THE USE OF PREDEFINED DIET QUALITY SCORES IN THE CONTEXT OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE RISK DURING URBANISATION IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN PURE STUDY... 111 INSTRUCTIONS FOR AUTHORS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH NUTRITION... 113 ABSTRACT... 127 viii P a g e

INTRODUCTION... 128 MATERIALS AND METHODS... 129 RESULTS... 133 DISCUSSION... 139 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS... 142 REFERENCES... 143 CHAPTER 5: THE ROLE OF DIETARY PATTERNS IN CORONARY ARTERY DISEASE IN URBANISED BLACK SOUTH AFRICANS... 147 INSTRUCTIONS FOR AUTHORS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH NUTRITION... 148 ABSTRACT... 149 INTRODUCTION... 150 MATERIALS AND METHODS... 151 RESULTS... 153 DISCUSSION... 157 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS... 161 REFERENCES... 163 CHAPTER 6: GENERAL DISCUSSION, CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS. 167 6.1. INTRODUCTION... 167 6.2. THE AETIOLOGY OF CAD IN BLACK SOUTH AFRICANS... 167 6.3. DIETARY HABITS OF RURAL AND URBAN BLACK SOUTH AFRICANS... 169 6.4. THE ROLE OF DIET IN DIAGNOSED CAD IN THE CONTEXT OF URBANISATION... 172 6.5. RECOMMENDATIONS AND GENERAL CONCLUSION... 173 REFERENCES... 175 ANNEXURES... 205 ix P a g e

LIST OF TABLES Pg CHAPTER 1 Table 1.1 List of members within the research team and their contributions to this study 5 CHAPTER 2 Table 2.1 Hypertension in sub-saharan black populations 12 Table 2.2 Differences between blacks and Caucasians in biochemical parameter and hormones related to hypertension 13 Table 2.3 Stratification of risk to quantify prognosis 16 Table 2.4 Criteria for the diagnosis of diabetes mellitus 17 Table 2.5 Factors associated with high and low fibrinogen levels 30 Table 2.6 Inflammatory markers for consideration as predictors of cardiovascular risk 33 Table 2.7 Risk factor profile of the black South African compared with the Caucasian South African 40 Table 2.8 Criteria for a clinically useful risk estimation system 44 Table 2.9 Characteristics of current risk estimation systems 46 Table 2.10 Dietary Reference Intakes (DRIs) Definitions 59 Table 2.11 Application of the DRIs 60 Table 2.12 Definition of a standard drink 81 Table 2.13 Summary of diet quality indices 84 Table 2.14 Alternate Mediterranean Diet Score 88 Table 2.15 Criteria for Healthy Diet Indicator 89 CHAPTER 3 Table I Clinical and biochemical characteristics of study population 100 Table II: Comparison of dietary intake between CAD patients, controls and dietary recommendations for prevention of CAD 102 x P a g e

CHAPTER 4 Table 1 Components of Diet Quality Scores 132 Table 2 Comparison of general characteristics of rural and urban participants 135 Table 3 Nutrient intake, food group intake and Diet Quality Scores of rural and urban men and women 136 Table 4 Nutrient intake expressed as a percentage of EAR/AI of micronutrients and percentage of population that did not meet the EAR/AI 137 Pg CHAPTER 5 Table 1 General characteristics of the PURE reference group compared with the coronary artery disease (CAD) patients 154 Table 2: Nutrient intakes of PURE reference group compared with those of the coronary artery disease (CAD) patients 155 Table 3: Food and food group intake of the PURE reference group compared with that of the coronary artery disease (CAD) group 156 Table 4: Alcohol intake 157 Table 5: Use of logistic regression models to distinguish between dietary patterns of CAD patients and the healthy reference group 158 xi P a g e

LIST OF FIGURES CHAPTER 2 Figure 2.1 The causal chain for IHD 9 Pg Figure 2.2 Southern African hypertension management flow diagram based on added cardiovascular risk 15 Figure 2.3 Simplified schematic representation of atherosclerosis process 54 Figure 2.4 Schematic representation of the life history of an atheroma 56 Figure 2.5 The elongation and desaturation of n-6 and n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids 65 CHAPTER 4 Figure 1 Bland Altman graphs for the rural group (A) and the urban group (B) 138 xii P a g e

LIST OF ANNEXURES ANNEXURE A: SOUTH AFRICAN HEART JOURNAL ARTICLE Pg 206 ANNEXURE B: CONSENT FORM 214 ANNEXURE C: SUBJECT QUESTIONNAIRE 216 ANNEXURE D: QUANTIFIED FOOD FREQUENCY QUESTIONNAIRE 221 ANNEXURE E: PHYSICAL ACTIVITY QUESTIONNAIRE 241 ANNEXURE F: PURE-SA INFORMED CONSENT FORM 244 xiii P a g e

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AA ACE ADA AHA AI ALA AMI Arachidonic acid Angiotensin converting enzyme American Dietetic Association American Heart Association Adequate intake α Linolenic acid Acute myocardial infarction Apo A-1 Apolipoprotein A-1 ApoB ART ASH ASSIGN ATP AUROC Apolipoprotein B Anti retroviral therapy American Society of Hypertension ASSessing cardiovascular risk, using SIGN guidelines Adenosine triphosphate Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve BMI BP Body mass index Blood pressure CAD CCA CDC CHD CRA CRP CT CVD DALYs Coronary artery disease Common carotid artery Centres for Disease Control Coronary heart disease Comparative risk assessment C reactive protein Computer tomography Cardiovascular disease Disability adjusted life years xiv P a g e

DASH DBP DCCT DHA DM DRI DQS Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension Diastolic blood pressure Diabetes Control and Complications Trial Docosahexaenoic acid Diabetes Mellitus Dietary reference intake Diet quality score EAR EPA ET Estimated average requirement Eicosapentaenoic acid Endothelium FBDGs FFA FMD Food based dietary guidelines Free fatty acids Flow mediated dilatation GI GL Glycaemic index Glycaemic load HC HDI HDL-C HbA 1c HIV/AIDS Hs-CRP Hip circumference Healthy Diet Indicator High density lipoprotein cholesterol Haemoglobin A 1c Human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immune deficiency syndrome High sensitivity CRP IDL Intermediate density lipoprotein IGF-1 Insulin like growth factor - 1 xv P a g e

IGFBP-3 Insulin binding protein 3 IHD Ischaemic heart disease IL-6 Interleukin 6 IMT IR IRS ISH Intima media thickness Insulin resistance Insulin resistance syndrome International Society of Hypertension JNC JUPITER K + KIHD KVS Joint National Committee Justification for the Use of statins in Prevention: an Intervention Trial evaluating Rosuvastatin Potassium Kuopia Ischaemic Heart Disease Kardiovaskulêre siekte LA LASSA LDL-C Lp(a) Linoleic acid Lipid and Atherosclerosis Society of Southern Africa Low density lipoprotein-cholesterol Lipoprotein (a) MDSa MI MRC MRI MTHFR MUFAs Alternate Mediterranean Diet Score Myocardial infarction Medical Research Council Magnetic resonance imaging Methylene tetrahydrofolate reductase Monounsaturated fatty acids Na + NCEP Sodium National Cholesterol Education Program xvi P a g e

NICE NO NGSP National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence Nitric oxide National Glycohemoglobin Standardisation Program OGTT Oral glucose tolerance test PAI-1 Plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 PP PROCAM PUFA PURE Pulse pressure PROspective CArdiovascular Münster study Polyunsaturated fatty acids Prospective Urban and Rural Epidemiological study RAAS RCTs REGARDS Renin-angiotensin aldosterone system Randomised control trials REasons for Geographical and Racial Differences in Stroke SADHS SAHS SAMA SBP SCORE SHS SFA South African Demographic and Health Survey South African Hypertensive Society South African Medical Association Systolic blood pressure Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation Second hand smoke Saturated fatty acids SIGN SIMD SMCs T2DM TC TG Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation Smooth muscle cells Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Total cholesterol Triglyceride xvii P a g e

THUSA TNF t-pa t-pa ag TFA Transition in Health during Urbanization in South Africa Tumour necrosis factor Tissue type plasminogen activator Tissue type plasminogen activator (Antigen) Trans fatty acids u-pa Urokinase type plasminogen activator VCAM-1 VLDL-C Vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 Very low density lipoprotein- cholesterol WC WHtR WHO WHR Waist circumference Waist to height ratio World Health Organisation Waist hip ratio xviii P a g e