Oral contraceptives Epidemiological aspects Øjvind Lidegaard

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Oral contraceptives Epidemiological aspects Øjvind Lidegaard Professor Gynaecological Clinic 4232 Rigshospitalet Copenhagen University

OC: Epidemiological aspects OC use OC and thrombosis - venous thromboembolism - cerebral thrombosis - AMI OC and cancer OC and women at risk Li/05

OC use in Denmark 1966-2005 35 30 Per cent 25 20 15 10 5 0 66 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 Calculated from total sale in DDD/fem pop 15-44 years. Li/05

OC generations according to estrogen dose and progestagen type Progestagen generation 1 2 2 3 3 4 Estrans Levonor- Norges- Deso- Gesto- Dros- NETA gestrel timate gestrel dene pirenon 50-1st+ EVRA - - - 30-40 - + 2nd + + + +4th 20 - - - Nuvaring3rd + + POP + + - + - - Low dose = 20-40ug EE Li/07

OC types in DK according to estrogen dose during the period 1980-2000 100% 80% 50ug EE 60% 40% 30-40ug EE 20% 0% POP 20ug EE 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 20 Sale statistics. Dansk Lægemiddelstatistik Li/02

Progestagen types in combined OC in Denmark 1985-2004 (%) 100% Gest. 20ug 80% 60% Gestodene 30ug 40% 20% Levonorgestrel Desogestrel 20ug Desogestrel 30ug Norgestimate 0% Norethisterone 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 Sale statistics. www.laegemiddelstyrelsen.dk Li/05

Use of oral contraceptives in DK 2003 DDD/100 women/day at different ages 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 54 43 36 24 17 11 7 2 2 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 www.laegemiddelstyrelsen.dk Li/05

OC: Epidemiological aspects OC use OC and thrombosis - venous thromboembolism - cerebral thrombosis - AMI OC and cancer OC and women at risk Li/05

CTA, AMI and VTE in DK 1980-93 Pregnant and puerperal women excluded 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Incidence per 100,000 per year Arterial diseases CTA+ AMI CTA AMI Venous diseases 15 20 25 30 35 40 15 20 25 30 35 40 Lidegaard Ø. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1998; 179: S62-7. VTE DVT PE Li/04

Thrombotic diseases in young women Quantitative and qualitative impact Incidence rate of disease Mortality/case-fatality rate Disability among survivors Long-term survival Age differentiation Li/05

Thrombotic diseases in young women Per 1 million per year CTA AMI VTE Incidence 170 62 230 Non pregnant 150 60 170 Mortality 3 15 2.7 Non pregnant 3 15 2.3 Case-fatality rate 2.3% 25% 1.3% Significant disability 30% 30% 5% Long-term survival Lidegaard. Am J Obstet Gynecol 1998; 179: s62-7 Li/04

Risk factors for cardiovascular diseases in women of reproductive age CTA AMI VTE High age + + + Smoking + + - Hypertension + + - Diabetes + + - Family VTE - + Family AMI + + - Family CTA + + - BMI >30 - + + Migraine + - Varicose veins - + Leiden fact V - + Lidegaard, Nordisk Medicin 1998; 113: 187-90

OC: Epidemiological aspects OC use OC and thrombosis - venous thromboembolism - cerebral thrombosis - AMI OC and cancer OC and women at risk Li/05

VTE: Genetic risk factors Risk factor Prevalence RR Leiden fact V hetero 5% 8 Leiden fact V homoz 0.2% 64 Protein C insufficiency 0.2% 15 Protein S insufficiency <0.1% >10 Antithrombin III insuff. 0.02% 50 Prothrombin 20210A 2% 3 Hyperhomocysteinaemia 3% 3 Høibraaten E. HRT and risk of VTE. Diss. Oslo 2001 Li/04

VTE: Acquired risk factors Prevalence RR Age 30 vs <30 50% 2.5 Pregnancy 4% 8 Adiposity (BMI>25) 36% 2 Varicose veins 8% 2 Immobilisation/trauma? 2-10 Oral contraceptives 33% 3-4 Medical diseases 5%? 2-5 Li/04

Incidence rate of VTE among pregnant and puerperal women, DK 1994-96. N=265 100 80 60 Incidence of VTE per 10,000 exposure years Pregnancy (n=162) 80 Puerperium (n=103) 40 20 0 1 Nonpreg 4 4 Week 1-12 Week 13-24 9 Week 25-36 35 Week >36 Delivery Week 1-2 24 Week 3-4 14 Week 5-6 5 3 Week 7-8 Week 9-12 www.lidegaard.dk/slides Li/04

Adiposity in Danish women and men in 1994 and 2005 70 60 50 94 women 2005 women 94 men 2005 men Adiposity: BMI >25 40 30 20 10 0 12 61 49 36 41 37 40 24 18 21 13 16-24 25-44 45-66 61 www.si-folkesundhed.dk Li/07

Severe adiposity in Danish women in 1994, 2000 and 2005 12 1994 2000 2005 9 Adiposity: BMI 30 6 9 11 11 11 12 3 0 2 5 4 3 16-24 25-44 45-64 www.si-folkesundhed.dk Li/07

OCs and VTE studies PDS cas/con 2nd 3rd Blomenkamp 88-92 126/159 3.8 8.7 WHO, Eur 89-93 433/1044 3.6 8.7 Jick, UK 91-94 80/cohort ref 1.8 Spitzer 91-95 471/1722 3.2 4.8 Lewis 93-95 502/1864 2.9 2.3 Farmer 91-95 85/cohort 3.1 5.0 Todd 92-97 99/cohort ref 1.4 Blomenkamp 82-95 185/591 3.7 7.0 Lidegaard 94-98 987/4054 2.9 4.0 Dinger 00-04 118/cohort 4.gen: 4 Seeger 01-04 57/cohort 4th vs ot: 0.9

OC: Epidemiological aspects OC use OC and thrombosis - venous thromboembolism - cerebral thrombosis - AMI OC and cancer OC and women at risk Li/05

OCs and AMI studies Study PDS cas/con 2nd 3rd WHO, Eur 89-95 198/480 1.6 1.0 95% CI: 0.5-5.5 0.1-7.0 Lewis (97) 93-96 182/635 3.0 0.8 95% CI: 1.5-5.7 0.3-2.3 MICA (99) 93-95 448/1728 1.3 1.8 95% CI: 0.6-2.6 0.8-4.1 Lidegaard 94-98 264/4054 1.2 1.8 95% CI: 0.6-2.3 1.1-3.0 Dunn et al. BMJ 1999; 318: 1579-83 Li/03

OCs and thrombotic stroke Study PDS Cases/ controls OR 2nd/3rd WHO Schwartz Heinemann Lidegaard 89-93 91-95 93-96 94-98 489/3967 175/1191 220/439 626/4054 2.7/1.7 1.1 2.7/3.4 2.2/1.4 Lidegaard et al. Contraception 2002; 65: 197-205

OCs and thrombosis Current status November 2007 CTA AMI VTE 2nd gen: 2.5 1.5 3.0 3rd gen: 1.5 1.5 4.0 4th gen:?? 4.0 Li/07

OC: Epidemiological aspects OC use OC and thrombosis - venous thromboembolism - cerebral thrombosis -AMI OC and cancer OC and women at risk Li/05

OCs and cancer risk Relative risk Breast cancer: 1,0 Endometrial cancer: 0,5 Ovarian cancer: 0,5 Cervical cancer: 1,2 All cancers: No change All cause mortality: No change Conclusion: No change in risk of cancer in general in ever-users of OCs Hannaford et al. BMJ 2007; online

Clinical guidelines When OCs are prescribed Careful clinical history including risk factors and family disposition Previous VTE: No OCs Genetic predisposition VTE risk factor 5: No OCs VTE risk factor <5: Careful inf, 2 nd gen No risk factors: Any low dose pill Arterial risk factors: 3 rd gen. pill www.dsog.dk/guidelines Li/04

OC: Epidemiological aspects OC use OC and thrombosis - venous thromboembolism - cerebral thrombosis -AMI OC and cancer OC and women at risk Li/05

Migraine and OCs Risk of cerebral thrombosis: RR Migraine in general 3 Migraine with aura 6 Migraine without aura 2 2. Gen. OCs 2,5 3. Gen. OCs 1,5 Migraine + 2. Gen OCs 7,5 Migraine + 3. Gen OCs 4,5 Conclusion: No OCs to women with migraine with aura. Otherwise 3. gen.

Smoking and OCs Risk of thrombosis: Brain Heart Smoking <10/day 1.0 4 Smoking 10-20/day 1.5 6 Smoking >20/day 2.0 8 2. Gen. OCs 2.5 1.5 3. Gen. OCs 1.5 1.5 Conclusion: No OCs to women smoking 20 cigarettes/day and who are >35 yrs.

History when OCs are prescribed Previous thrombosis? Smoking, diabetes, hypertension Migraine, with or without aura Family thrombosis? Previous compliance with OCs Menstrual bleedings Actual liver disease Sexual practice

Clinical examination when OCs are prescribed Women >25 years: BP Women with risk factors: BP BMI (=weight / height 2 ) Varicose veins Time for a control after three months where BP is measured on all women.

Presentation on www.lidegaard.dk/slides Routine information when OCs are prescribed How to manage a forgotten pill. Warning signs: New migraine, dizziness, visual disturbances Adaptation take few months Increased risk of venous thrombosis, the absolute risk however low Common not serious side effects Common non-contraceptive benefits