Childhood Cancer Survivor Study Analysis Concept Proposal

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Childhood Cancer Survivor Study Analysis Concept Proposal Draft: vember 18, 2010 Title: Infectious Complications in Childhood Cancer Survivors Working Group and Investigators: Chronic Disease Working Group Joanna Perkins joanna.perkins@childrensmn.org 612-813-6674 Yan Chen yanchen@sph.ualberta.ca 780-492-9227 Yutaka Yasui yutaka.yasui@ualberta.ca 780-492-4220 Pauline Mitby pauline.mitby@childrensmn.org 612-813-6132 Chuck Sklar sklarc@mskcc.org 212-639-8138 Lisa Diller Lisa_Diller@dfci.harvard.edu 617-632-5642 Marilyn Stovall mstovall@mdanderson.org 713 745-8999 Greg Armstrong greg.armstrong@stjude.org 901-595-5892 Les Robison les.robison@stjude.org 901-495-5817 Background and Rationale: Children with cancer have suppressed immune function as a result of their disease, particularly with malignancies of B- and T- lymphocytes, and due to therapy with high dose chemotherapeutic agents and corticosteroids. 1-4 Decreased numbers of CD4+ helper T-lymphocytes may be the most important factor in clinical immunodeficiency during maintenance chemotherapy. 5,6 It is not clear, however, which components of the immune system are most affected, the degree to which immunosuppression occurs, or the duration of immune compromise. Previous studies have shown that by six months after therapy, most patients have recovered immune function, although some patients remain abnormal one or more years post therapy. 7-13 T-helper cells and CD4+ counts may still be persistently low, which may be associated with impaired protection from infection. 14-16 The most intensively treated patients may require follow-up post-immunization titers and repeat immunizations beyond six months off therapy. 17,18 The response to these non-toxoid vaccines is not uniformly protective and patients may be at ongoing risk even years following completion of therapy. 19,20 Currently, there is no standard approach to testing titers off therapy and no current guidelines to recheck post-vaccination titers to verify protection. Previous studies have been limited by small sample sizes and disease-specific analyses. We therefore propose a retrospective cohort study to evaluate the incidence of infectious complications and infection-related mortality in long-term survivors of childhood cancers compared to their siblings using the large sample provided by the CCSS cohort. This will allow the largest and most powerful investigation of this question to date.

Hypotheses: H a1 : Long-term survivors of childhood cancer have a significantly higher occurrence of infectious complications than siblings, and significantly higher infection-related mortality than the U.S. population. H a2 : Survivors who were treated for lymphoid leukemias/lymphomas have a significantly higher occurrence of infectious complications and infection-related mortality than survivors who were treated for other childhood malignancies. Primary Aim: To compare the incidence rates of infectious complications between 5 year survivors of childhood cancers and their siblings, and infection-related mortality rates between 5 year survivors of childhood cancers and the U.S. population. Secondary Aims: To evaluate the potential difference in incidence of infectious complications between survivors treated for lymphoid malignancies and survivors treated for other childhood malignancies. To identify other potential risk factors for infectious complications including history of radiation therapy, chemotherapeutic agents, and age at diagnosis. To determine the impact of infectious complications on mortality in survivors of childhood cancer. Analysis Framework: (A) Population All CCSS survivors who completed (or proxy completed) any of the baseline, follow up 1, follow up 2, and follow up 2007 CCSS questionnaires. For some parts of the analysis, leukemia and/or lymphoma survivors will be compared with other survivors of CCSS. Siblings of the CCSS study who completed any of the baseline, follow up 1, follow up 2, and follow up 2007 CCSS questionnaires will serve as controls. (B) Outcomes of Interest: There are four main outcomes: a. Sinopulmonary infection b. Gastrointestinal infection c. Genitourinary infection d. Chronic gingivitis

The definitions of the four main outcomes are shown below: Sinopulmonary Infection Gastrointestinl Infection Outcomes Baseline Follow up 1 Follow up 2 Follow up 2007 brochitis G1 11a recurrent sinusitis G3 11c tonsilllitis G4 11d pleurisy G5 11e chronic cough G8 11h H2 pneumonia G10 11j H4 hepatitis H4 13 I1 colitis H14 diarrhea H16 Genitourinary Infection kidney infections D2 E2 bladder infections D3 E2 Chronic Gingivitis chronic gingivitis O6 Additionally, for follow up 2007, we will check the ICD 9 codes in H8 to see if there are other breathing or lung problems which are included in our list. Time to event analysis will be performed for the first occurrence of each of the three outcomes (the first occurrence of any infection event in the outcome category). If one of the infection components is yes with missing event time, the time of the outcome will be missing. The missing time will be handled using the multiple imputation methodology. In addition, using the past 12-month questions, J38 (kidney, hepatitis, colitis, bronchitis, tonsillitis, pleurisy), we will analyze the prevalence of the past 12-month infection. Mortality secondary to infectious complications, identified by ICD-9 or ICD-10 codes from death certificates, will be analyzed. (C) Explanatory variables Exposure variables of interest: splenectomy, radiation YES/NO (abdomen, chest, TBI), chemotherapy (dexamethasone and/or prednisone versus no steroid therapy). Potential confounding variables: malignancy type/location, sex, and age at diagnosis. (D) Analytic plan Descriptive analysis: We will calculate: -Incidence rates of each of the four outcomes -Incidence rates of each infection component under each outcome -Incidence rates of multiple infection (multiple infection components) under each outcome -Infection-related mortality rate

-Standardized mortality ratio between the survivors and the age-calendar-year-sex-matched US population. a) Within 5 years of dx Log binomial regression will be used to assess the overall prevalence ratio between the survivors and siblings, and also prevalence ratios associated with each of the explanatory variables. b) 5+ years after dx Poisson regression will be used to assess the overall incidence rate ratio between the survivors and siblings, and also incidence rate ratios associated with each of the explanatory variables. The intra-family correlation between survivors and siblings will be accounted for using generalized estimating equations (GEE) for a) and b). Regression analysis: We will fit GEE log-binomial (within 5 years of dx) and Poisson (5+ years after dx) regression models including all potential confounders and the explanatory variables that showed p < 0.25 in the descriptive analysis a) and b).

Table 1. Characteristics of Study Population Characteristic Survivors(N=) Siblings(N=) N % N % Gender Female Male Ethnicity White Black Hispanic Other/missing Age at follow up questionnaire <20 years 20-29 years 30-39 years 40+ Cancer diagnosis Acute lymphoblastic leukemia Acute myeloid leukemia Other leukemia Astrocytomas Medulloblastoma, PNET Other CNS tumors Hodgkin Lymphoma n-hodgkins lymphoma Kidney tumors Neuroblastoma Soft tissue sarcoma Ewings sarcoma Osteosarcoma Other bone tumors Age at diagnosis <1 1-3 4-7 8-10 11-14 15+ Splenectomy Abdominal RT Chest TBI Chemotherapy Steroids Splenectomy

Table 2. Incidence Rates of Infection Events Sino-pulmonary Infection Gastrointestinal Infection Genitourinary Infection Condition Sinusitis Tonsillitis Bronchitis Chronic Cough Pneumonia Pleurisy Any Only one event More than one event Hepatitis Colitis Diarrhea Any Only one event More than one event Kidney infection Bladder infection Any Only one event More than one event Chronic Gingivitis Any Infections Reported Outcome Dx to 5 Years 5+ year after Dx Last 12 month Sur Sibs N PR 95% CI N Rate 95%CI RR 95%CI N PR 95%CI

Table 3. Rate Ratios of Infectious-Related Complications and Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMRs) of Infectious- Related Mortality by Demographic and Treatment Factors Gender Female Male Cancer diagnosis PR For Dx- 5 year SI GI GU All infection RR PR RR PR RR PR RR For For Dx- For For Dx- For For Dx- For 5yr+ 5 year 5yr+ 5 year 5yr+ 5 year 5yr+ after Dx after Dx after Dx after Dx SMR Acute lymphoblastic leukemia Acute myeloid leukemia Other leukemia Astrocytomas Medulloblastoma, PNET Other CNS tumors Hodgkin Lymphoma n-hodgkins lymphoma Kidney tumors Neuroblastoma Ewings sarcoma Soft tissue sarcoma Osteosarcoma Other sarcoma Age at diagnosis <1 1-3 4-7 8-10 11-14 15+ Splenectomy Abdominal RT Chest TBI Chemotherapy Steroids *P <0.05 **P <0.01 ***P <0.001

Table 4. Multivariable Analysis Results----Dx-5yr Selected explanatory variables PR SI GI GU All infection PR PR PR

Table 5. Multivariable Analysis Results---- 5yr+ after Dx RR SI GI GU All infection RR RR RR SMR Selected explanatory variables

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