1Q2005. Hera Group presentation

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Transcription:

1Q2005 Hera Group presentation 1

Y2005 has been characterized by a stream of achievements: Corporate Governance A new BoD was appointed in April. Further penetration of the Hera Gas market: 1,500 new clients (consuming to 10 mln mc yearly consumptions) attained through Tecnometano srl and Gasgas srl acquisitions (paid 6.0x EV/) Execution of 20 acquisition of SGR srl - attaining 150,000 customers 2,800 new clients (consuming 7.5 mln mc yearly) gathered through Argilegas Srl 100 acquisition (paid 4.5x EV/) Hera reference territory Bologna.. Gasgas srl Tecnometano srl.... SGR srl Marche Region Developments in Sector consolidation activities: Signed a preliminary agreement to create a single multiservice company in the province of Pesaro through the consolidation of the 3 operating companies: Hera will remain the reference industrial shareholder. Introduction to 1Q 2005 results 2

+15.6 EBITDA Growth Value of Prod. 1Q 04* 440.4 100 1Q 05 551.2 100 Inc. +25.2 First quarter 2005 results highlight a growth in line with the Budget 2005 and the Business Plan. These results were achieved thanks to external (Ferrara and C.E. of Ravenna) and internal development (Fea new WTE plant, synergies and organic growth). Ebit Pre Tax Profit 81.2 90.9 60.0 53.7 *Do not include Ferrara results 20.6 13.6 12.2 Cagr 13.8 90.9 105.1 67.7 59.5 19.1 12.3 10.8 105.1 +15.6 +12.8 +10.8 1Q 2005 include a conservative estimation of the energy distribution tariff reduction introduced by d. 170/04 of AEEG. In the following, 2004 figures have been adjusted to include the Ferrara operation (proforma). IAS adjustment will be applied from 1st half 2005 1Q 2003 1Q 2004 1Q 2005 Internal and external growth: + 15.6 Introduction to 1Q 2005 results 3

Value of Production: +12.3 Increase reached in all business areas. : +6.0 Organic Growth and Synergy, exploited in all business areas, more than compensate the energy distribution tariff reduction effect of -10 mln. Pre tax Profit: +2.0 1Q 04* Value of Prod. 490.7 Operating costs (335.1) Personnel costs (56.4) 99.2 Amm. & Depr. (34.0) Ebit 65.2 Interest.& Adj. (5.1) Extr. Inc (1.8) Pre Tax Profit 58.3 * Pro forma 100 (68.3) (11.5) 20.2 (6.9) 13.3 (1.0) (0.4) 11.9 1Q 05 551.2 (386.2) (59.9) 105.1 (37.4) 67.7 (8.9) 0.7 59.5 100 (70.0) (10.9) 19.1 (6.8) 12.3 (1.6) 0.1 10.8 Group 1Q 05 build up Inc. +12.3 +15.2 +6.2 +6.0 +10.0 +3.9 +74.5 - +2.0 (IAS not applied) 15.9 105.1 Growth fully offset considerable tariff cuts 99.2 8.3 * (10.0) Overview 1Q 2004 Proforma * Ferrara Energy Tariff Internal Growth 1Q 2005 4

SAP ISU Implementation SAP ISU implementation process is on track. About 70 of Group turnover is invoiced by new SAP platform (unique local utility in Italy). As planned, in 1Q Bologna and Ravenna LOCs froze temporarily invoicing determine an increase of trade receivables. NFP: 689.4 mln SAP implementation impact on working capital will be fully recovered by year end. Cash generation will allow to substantially cover 300 mln of budgeted 2005 capex leading to a NFP of 635 mln. D/E within year end is still expected in line with the conservative business plan (excluding possible investments). Net Financial Position SAP implementation schedule LOCs Schedule Turn. D/E 57 Bo Rim Rav For Imo Fer Oct. Oct. 31 14 14 13 9 19 72 67 Y 2004 1Q 2005 Y 2005E 5

Breakdown by business Development in Gas sales/whole sale and cost reduction allowed to significantly reduce impact of distribution tariff reduction (170/ 04). Growth: Breakdown by business 6.4 1.4 99.2 6.0 2.1 105.1 (10.0) All businesses provide tangible contribution to increase. 1Q 2004 Proforma Energy tariffs Energy Org. Growth Waste Water Other 1Q 2005 Step up in Waste business underpinned by new operating assets (FEA and C.E. of Ravenna WTE plants). The balanced business portfolio guarantee performing results breakdown by business 6

Sales: + 12.4 WASTE 1Q 04* 1Q 05 Inc. 1Q 2005 Fea WTE Plant +2.8 C.E. of Ravenna (WTE) +6.2 Organic Growth +1.2 Total Increase +10.2 : +30.2 1Q 2005 Fea WTE Plant +2.8 C.E. of Ravenna (WTE) +2.2 Org. growth & Syn. +1.4 Total Increase +6.4 Sales Operating costs Personnel costs * Pro forma IAS not applied 82.3 (40.1) (21.0) 21.2 100 (48.7) (25.5) 25.8 92.5 (41.1) (23.8) 27.6 100 (44.4) (25.7) 29.8 +12.4 +2.5 +13.3 +30.2 margin: +400 basis points Cagr 42.5 27.6 21.2 Waste confirmed to be the outperforming business 13.6 1Q 2003 P1Q 2004 1Q 2005 Waste 7

Sales: + 10.7 1Q 2005 Tariff increase +1.5 Organic growth +2.2 Other +3.0 Total Increase +6.7 WATER Sales Operating costs Personnel costs 1Q 04* 62.7 (32.1) (14.0) 16.6 100 (51.2) (22.3) 26.5 1Q 05 69.4 (36.1) (15.3) 18.0 100 (52.0) (22.0) 25.9 Inc. +10.7 +12.5 +9.3 +8.4 : +8.4 * Pro forma IAS not applied growth is mainly related to the increase of tariffs Cagr 17.2 16.6 18.0 ATO agreements start providing contribution 13.1 1Q 2003 P1Q 2004 1Q 2005 Water 8

Sales: + 17.6 GAS 1Q 04* 1Q 05 Inc. Sales increase is mainly driven by larger volumes and pass through raw material costs increases. Sales Operating costs Personnel costs 250.6 (186.6) (9.4) 54.6 100 (74.5) (3.8) 21.8 294.7 (231.5) (11.0) 52.2 100 (78.6) (3.7) 17.7 +17.6 +24.1 +17.0-4.4 : - 4.4 * Pro forma IAS not applied Volumes & sales margin Other Tariff decrease Total decrease 1Q 2005 +5.3 +2.3 (10.0) (2.4) Almost full impact of d.170/04 is accounted for in the 1Q 05 49.4 Cagr 2.8 54.6 52.2 1Q 2003 P1Q 2004 1Q 2005 Gas 9

Sales: + 20.9 The increase is mainly related to pass through costs included in tariff. ELECTRICITY Sales Operating costs Personnel costs 1Q 04* 51.2 (47.3) (1.1) 100 (92.4) (2.1) 1Q 05 61.9 (60.3) (0.4) 100 (97.4) (0.6) Inc. +20.9 +27.5-63.6 2.8 5.5 1.2 1.9-57.1 : - 57.1 * Pro forma IAS not applied affected by change in mix (Domestic and eligible clients) and by lower distribution tariffs. Cagr (27.8) Dual fuel commercial proposal still provide positive economic results 2.3 2.8 1.2 1Q 2003 P1Q 2004 1Q 2005 Electricity 10

Sales: + 15.9 Positive results achieved in Public Lighting (increase of lighting towers). Increase in District Heating and Heat management sales driven by favourable climate conditions. : + 52.5 OTHERS Sales Operating costs Personnel costs * Pro forma IAS not applied 1Q 04* 30.9 (21.8) (5.1) 4.0 100 (70.6) (16.5) 12.9 1Q 05 35.8 (23.5) (6.2) 6.1 100 (65.6) (17.3) 17.0 Inc. +15.9 +7.8 +21.6 +52.5 increase benefit arising from organic growth and from synergy exploitation started in Y 04. Cagr 47.6 6.1 Remarkable results of Organic Growth and Synergy exploitation 2.8 4.0 1Q 2003 P1Q 2004 1Q 2005 Others business 11

Conclusions The 1Q 05 results confirm the Group historical double digit growth trends thanks to the contribution of: Strategic External Growth activities (+10 growth contribution) Strong Internal Growth drivers (+6 contribution from Organic Growth and Synergy exploitation) able to more than offset a sharp decrease of energy distribution tariffs. Net Financial Position records a planned increase in 1Q up to 690 mln (related to SAP billing system implementation in the main operating companies of the Group) that will be reduced by year end to 635 mln about, despite the budgeted capex of about 300 mln. On 28th April, the general shareholders meeting approved the distribution of a 0.06 dividend per share. Conclusions 12

Conclusions Strategic issues: Vertical Integration in energy businesses: Possible acquisition of 90 stake in a mid size wind farm (project portfolio of about 30-50 MW installed capacity) due diligence already in progress. Acquisition of two Wind farms in south Italy dropped due to investment commitments required risk/return profile not meeting Hera requirements. Project to develop jointly with VNG a new European trading company focused on exploiting opportunities in surrounding countries. Sector Consolidation: Hera is on starting blocks for Meta project (expected to start in short time ) Ready to expand Group growth potentials Conclusions 13