Health outcomes & research objectives in (crosscultural)international

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Health outcomes & research objectives in (crosscultural)international research Brian Oldenburg Professor of International Public Health & Associate Dean (Global Health and International Campuses) brian.oldenburg@monash.edu

www.worldmapper.org; cartogram algorithm: Mark Newman 2

Between settings Between populations Between cultures and/or countries.

What is Behavioral Medicine? an interdisciplinary field concerned with the development and integration of sociocultural, psychosocial, behavioral and biomedical knowledge relevant to physical health and illness and the application of this knowledge to disease prevention, health promotion, etiology, diagnosis, treatment and rehabilitation. Yale Conference, Schwartz, and Weiss, 1978

Disciplines/domains/fields contributing to the field of behavioral medicine Anthropology Dentistry Endocrinology Epidemiology Health Education/Promotion Immunology Medicine Nursing Economics and policy sciences Nutrition Pharmacology (Psycho)Physiology (Health) Psychology Public Health Social Work Social scences Statistics Other clinical health sciences

Summary 1.Causation and influences on health and outcomes of interest 2.Trends in health risks and outcomes 3.Prevention and control of T2DM what do we know? 4.Translation/exchange of evidence base

1. The web of causation and choosing the correct lens to look thru.

A Familiar World Map www.worldmapper.org; cartogram algorithm: Mark Newman 8

Area Proportional to Population www.worldmapper.org; cartogram algorithm: Mark Newman 9

Area Proportional to GDP 2002 www.worldmapper.org; cartogram algorithm: Mark Newman 10

Area Proportional to HIV (prevalence ages 15 49) www.worldmapper.org; cartogram algorithm: Mark Newman 11

Links between social structure, health & disease Social structure and the global world Material factors Work Social environment Psychological Health behaviours Brain Neuroendocrine and immune response Early life Genes Culture Source: WHO Commission on Social Determinants of Health 2005 Pathophysiological changes Organ impairment Well-being Morbidity Mortality

Alternative disciplinary lenses for factors influencing health outcome Responses Outcomes Physical Morbidity Biology Mortality Genetics Health-Related Quality of Life THE BIOMEDICAL LENS Sorensen et al, ARPH, 1998

Alternative disciplinary lenses for factors influencing health outcome Relative Risks Responses Outcomes Coping repertoires Physical Morbidity Self-efficacy Biology Mortality Personality Influences Genetics Health-Related Quality of Life THE BIOMEDICAL LENS Sorensen et al, ARPH, 1998 THE PSYCHOSOCIAL LENS

Alternative disciplinary lenses for factors influencing health outcome Exposures Relative Risks Responses Outcomes Physical Exposures Coping repertoires Physical Morbidity Economic Exposures Self-efficacy Biology Mortality Social Exposures Personality Structures Genetics Health-Related Quality of Life THE PSYCHOSOCIAL LENS THE PUBLIC HEALTH LENS THE BIOMEDICAL LENS Sorensen et al, ARPH, 1998

2. Health trends and epidemiologic transitions between countries and regions

Deaths in the world by cause the double burden (2002) Noncommunicable diseases: Infectious diseases: HIV/AIDS 4.9% Heart disease 30.2% Tuberculosis 2.4% Malaria 1.5% Cancer 15.7% Diabetes 1.9% Other chronic diseases 15.7% (WHO, 2005) Total: 58.0M Other Infectious Diseases 20.9% Injuries 9.3%

Deaths in the world by cause (2004-2030) (WHO, 2008) Noncommunicable diseases >

Percent 100 50 0 22 Disease Burden Distribution by Select World Bank Region, 2001 66 12 E. Asia/ Pacific 9 76 14 Europe/ Central Asia 22 65 13 Latin America/ Caribbean 27 59 14 M. East/ N. Africa 6 87 8 Highincome countries 37 53 11 World Note: Numbers are rounded. Communicable, maternal, perinatal, and nutritional conditions Noncommunicable diseases Injuries Source: Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries, second edition, 2006, Table 4.1

Percent 100 Disease Burden Distribution by Select World Bank Region, 2001 87 70 50 44 44 37 53 0 11 21 South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa High-income countries 8 6 8 World 11 Note: Numbers are rounded. Communicable, maternal, perinatal, and nutritional conditions Noncommunicable diseases Injuries Source: Disease Control Priorities in Developing Countries, second edition, 2006, Table 4.1

Noncommunicable diseases (2005-2015) 2005 2006-2015 (cumulative) Geographical regions (WHO classification) Total deaths (millions) NCD deaths (millions) NCD deaths (millions) Trend: Death from infectious disease Trend: Death from NCD Africa 10.8 2.5 28 +6% +27% Americas 6.2 4.8 53-8% +17% Eastern Mediterranean 4.3 2.2 25-10% +25% Europe 9.8 8.5 88 +7% +4% South-East Asia 14.7 8.0 89-16% +21% Western Pacific 12.4 9.7 105 +1 +20% Total 58.2 35.7 388-3% +17% WHO projects that over the next 10 years, the largest increase in deaths from cardiovascular disease, cancer, respiratory disease and diabetes will occur in Africa, the Middle East and Asia (WHO, 2005) Noncommunicable diseases >

Trends across SE Asia and South Asia

Age-standardized disability adjusted life years (DALYs) per 100,000 by causes in year 2002 INDIA MALAYSIA SRI LANKA THAILAND VIETNAM Communicable diseases (all) 11,279 2,779 2,889 5,939 5,126 Injuries (all) 3,626 1,489 2,371 2,559 2,040 Non-communicable diseases (all) 12,632 11,209 12,857 11,682 10,141 Cardiovascular diseases 3,284 1,797 2,056 1,569 2,036 Respiratory diseases 1,132 688 1,188 717 795 Malignant neoplasms 942 1,127 1,080 1,192 1,027 Source: WHO, Global Burden of Disease Project, Department of Measurement and Health Information, December 2004 http://www.who.int/healthinfo/bod/en/index.html )

Diabetes Prevalence in Kerala and China Kerala, India 1 China 2 Age group Male Female Male Female 20-29 0.0 3.7 2.6 1.2 30-39 7.9 10.4 5.2 3.0 40-49 16.0 17.9 11.1 7.3 50-59 26.1 40.6 15.5 13.1 60-69 35.1 41.0 18.1 20.3 70+ NA NA 21.8 22.0 Total 15.6 19.4 10.6 8.8 1. Thankappan K R et al Indian J Med Res 2010; 131:53-63 (adapted). 2. Yang W et al N Engl J Med 2010;

Diabetes is the fourth leading cause of disease-related death Over 285 million people worldwide are affected by type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and this is estimated to increase to 438 million by 2030. Over 70% of people with T2DM live in developing countries but 80% of the world s diabetes care-related expenditure occurs in developed countries.

Studies in developed populations have demonstrated that nonpharmacological interventions can be effective in reducing the risk of developing T2DM - PREVENTION Lifestyle interventions have also been shown to be effective in reducing glycemic levels in people with T2DM, which can lead to a reduction or delay in diabetes complications - CONTROL Despite the evidence in developed countries, the translation of these programs to developing countries still presents a significant challenge There is an urgent need for the development, implementation and evaluation of programs to prevent T2DM and its complications in LMICs.

To review the study characteristics, efficacy and cost-effectiveness of nonpharmacological interventions aimed at preventing T2DM and its related complications in developing countries.

9 publications from 7 studies were included in the review Main findings of each study were divided into four sub-sections: Sample characteristics, Intervention or program characteristics, Effectiveness of the program, Cost-effectiveness.

Study Type Prevention of T2DM Prevention of Complications Number of Studies found 3 4 Study Design 2 RCT, 1 communitybased All RCT Duration of studies 7 mths 6 years 3 6 mths Number of participants 532-703 34-150

Studies have been done in China (1997) and India (2006 and 2008) All studies showed significant reductions in the development of T2DM in the intervention group compared with controls Interventions involved small group or individual counselling sessions aimed at improving exercise and/or diet modification

Interventions were conducted in China (2008), Thailand (2007) and Korea (2007 & 2008) Each program reduced HbA1c levels and risk factors for coronary heart disease in intervention groups Interventions included diabetes management/lifestyle modification, or diabetes education and were delivered by nutritionists or nurses.

Use of expensive screening methods In one Indian study, only 1/5 of participants were female, yet the number of males and females in India with T2DM are comparable Indian study also included a sample from a middle class working people in an urban setting without including people from rural areas Cost and cost-effectiveness of programs rarely reported

Short follow-up periods (3-6 months) One study had a large discrepancy between the number of participants in the control and intervention groups 2 studies had sample sizes that were too small to reliably establish intervention effects

Despite the escalating burden of T2DM in developing countries, the current evidence concerning the prevention of T2DM and its complications in these countries is limited. Urgent need to stem the growing epidemic of T2DM Significant primary prevention effort is needed, with the use of low-cost behavioral medicine and related approaches to screen and identify high-risk individuals Development, implementation and evaluation of community-based programs that are culturally relevant and cost-effective is urgently needed.

Between settings Between populations Between cultures and/or countries.

Case example - The spread /translation of diabetes prevention programs from Finland to Australia 1. Diabetes Prevention Study (DPS in Finland) 2. GOAL program (Finland) 3. Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP in Australia) 4. Life! Program (Australia) 5. The rest of the world (Malaysia, China, India, South Africa etc)

From basic research to practice What are the primary risk factors and behaviours causing them? Randomized, controlled trials: Efficacy of lifestyle modification Tuomilehto et al., 2001 Basic research Population-based risk factor studies Applying behavioral sciences to lifestyle change How to change the behaviors? Does it work in routine care? Feasibility of method Implementation trials: Effectiveness and feasibility of lifestyle counselling Absetz ym., 2007 Implementation trial: Guidelines for CVD prevention Kuronen et al., 2006 Adaptability Organizational changes How to identify target group and maximize reach? How to organize follow-up? Quality control How to support maintenance and fidelity of the programs and support professional development? Systemicity Maintenance: Processes and infrastructure for prevention Absetz & Patja (eds.), 2008 22/08/2010 Absetz / 2010 39

More focus needed on LMICs How to build, develop and sustain international research collaboration in LMICs? Can give examples late on

Thank you 41