University of Nottingham, UK. Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia

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The role of paracetamol and geohelminth infection on the incidence of wheeze and eczema: a longitudinal birth-cohort study Alemayehu Amberbir 1, 2, GirmayMedhin 2, AtalayAlem 2, John Britton 1, Gail Davey 2, Andrea Venn 1 1 University of Nottingham, UK 2 Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia INDEPTH 10 th AGM September 27-30, Accra, Ghana

The hygiene hypothesis Geohelminth exposure: Asthma and allergic diseases are high in areas where geohelminth exposure is lacking and rare when this exposure exists Urban-rural gradient within developing countries prevalence of wheeze (%) 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0-10- 20-30- 40-50- 60-70- Age Yemaneberhan et al, Lancet 1997;350:85-90 urban rural

Odds of wheeze in relation to intensity of parasite infection in Ethiopia Odd ds Ratio * 1.5 1 0.5 Trichuris Ascaris Hookworm Schistosoma ** 0 0 1 2 3 Tertiles of eggs/g Scrivener et al, Lancet 2001;358:1493-99

The paracetamol enigma in asthma Shift from aspirin to paracetamol over same period as increase in asthma prevalence. Positive associations reported between paracetamol and asthma/allergic disease in utero, during infancy, childhood and adult life. However studies mainly cross-sectional or case-control and based in developed countries. Difficult to exclude reverse causation and aspirin avoidance No longitudinal cohort studies in children Amberbir et al, Am J RespCritCare Med 2010 (in press), Beasley et al, Lancet 2008;372:1039-48, Shaheen et al, Thorax 2002 ; 57:958-963

Aims of study To explore the relation between early infection with geohelminths and use of paracetamol in the first year of life, and the incidence of childhood wheeze and eczema in the Butajira birth cohort, Ethiopia Butajira town Rural Butajira

The birth cohort Established in 2005 Women recruited during pregnancy Babies followed to age 3 1234 eligible women 1065 women recruited 1006 singleton babies born alive 134 mothers excluded 26 not identified before birth 9 refused 16 had multiple births 40 had stillbirth 2 migrated 1 died in pregnancy 64 infants died 10 out-migrated Belyhunet al, ClinExp Allergy 2010; (40): 619-26 Hanlon et al, TropMed IntHealth 2009; 14(2): 156-66 932 singleton babies available at year 1 17 child deaths 27 out migrated 8 refused to participate 2 unknown 878 singleton babies available at year 3 and included for this analysis

Measures Outcome measures: ISAAC core allergy questionnaire Wheeze and eczema ever at year 1 and 3 Exposure measures: Paracetamol use in the last year (dose quantified in the past month) Stool samples for geohelminth analysis collected at year 1 Various potential confounders: Demographic and life style factors Birth weight Symptoms of respiratory tract infection (2 months and 1 year) 7

Wheeze flow chart between one and three years

Eczema flow chart between one and three years

Data analysis Paracetamol use in the first year of life categorized as never, yes but not in the past month, 1-3 tablets in past month and 4 tablets in the past month Geohelminth infection at age 1 defined as presence of hookworm, Ascaris lumbricoides or Trichuris Trichiura Effects on incident wheeze and eczema determined using multiple logistic regression Adjusted for gender, urban/rural location and mothers education as a priori confounders Additionally explored adjusting for other potential confounders including early life symptoms of respiratory tract infections

Results 1 Geohelminth infection found in only 4% of children Hookworm (2.4%), Ascaris lumbricoides (1.4%) Trichuris Trichiura (0.4%) Children infected with geohelminths were less likely to develop new wheeze (3.6% vs. 7.8%) (crude OR=0.44 [0.06, 3.27]) Numbers were too small to compute effects for eczema or carry out multivariate analysis

Results 2 Paracetamol use in the first year of life was commonly reported (36% in wheeze cohort and 39% in eczema cohort). Use was significantly associated with the incidence of wheeze (p=0.009), with risks increased in the 1-3 tablets/month group and the >=4 tablets/month group compared with the never users. A significant trend across the categories of dose in the past month (0, 1-3, >4 tablets) was also seen (p trend=0.001). Further control for other potential confounders collected did not materially alter the associations.

Incident wheeze and eczema in relation to child s use of paracetamol in the first year of life

Alternative explanations 1. Exposure reporting bias -previously ascertained mothers can differentiate paracetamol from other analgesics (Davey et al J Allergy Clin Immunol 2005; 116:863-8) 2. Reverse causation - exposure precedes the outcomes 3. Aspirin avoidance - previously established to be rare (<1%) 4. Confounding by indication -explored symptoms of respiratory tract infections and other potential confounders 5. Over-the-counter prescription -no association with social class 6. Confounding by NSAIDs - not readily available

Putative mechanisms of the adverse role of paracetamol on asthma Glutathione depletion in the lung Reactive oxygen species-free radical damage Shift from Th1 to Th2 cytokine production-promotion of atopy Impaired antioxidant defence Influence in COX-2 activity Influence in the production of prostaglandin E2 Suppression of fever and reduce Th1 cytokine production Altered DNA methylation on prenatal exposure

Conclusions Findings support a causal role of paracetamol on development of asthma in children The effect of geohelminths remains to be seen as the cohort matures The cohort is continuing to be followed up

Acknowledgments We thank the mothers and children who participated in the birth cohort and the project staff for their stamina during the fieldwork The study has been funded by Asthma UK and the Wellcome Trust. Support to attend the INDEPTH was provided by INDEPTH Network.