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Current status on other health effects: Changes in Cardiovascular Risk Factors after the Great East Japan Earthquake Tetsuya Ohira, MD, PhD. Department of Epidemiology, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Fukushima, Japan

Today s topics Changes in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors before and after the disaster Comparison of psychological stress between an evacuation area and nonevacuation areas in other prefectures Changes in CVD risk factors between 2011-2012 and 2013-2014

Background Since the day of the disaster, more than 160,000 residents in the Fukushima prefecture were forced to evacuate their homes owing to a nuclear accident Many evacuees were forced to change particular aspects of their lifestyles, such as their diet, physical exercise, and other personal habits

Purpose To examine the association between the evacuation and changes in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors before and after the disaster To examine the association between the evacuation and incidence of CVD risk factors among residents in the evacuation area

Methods A longitudinal study examined data collected from 41,633 Japanese participants aged 40-90 years sourced from general health checkups conducted in 13 communities in Fukushima between 2008 and 2010. Follow-up examinations were conducted from June 2011 through March 2013.

Methods General health checkups The Great 2008 2009 2010 East Japan Earthquake 2011 2012 41,633 participants (18,745 men and 22,888 women; mean age, 67 years) 27,486 participants (12,432 men and 15,054 women; followup proportion, 66%) The nearest data from the Earthquake were used for analysis if the participants received the checkups more than two times, and an average follow-up duration was 1.6 years.

The participants were divided into two groups: evacuees (n=9,671) and non-evacuees (n=17,815) Fukushima Medical University

Changes in Body Weight 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1-0.1 P<0.001 1.2 P<0.001 0.60 0.3 0.20 Evacuees Non-evacuees Body weight(kg) BMI(kg/m2) Mean body weight and BMI significantly increased among both evacuee and non-evacuee groups after the disaster. Ohira, et al. Am J Prev Med, 2016

Changes in Body Weight kg Stratified by age and sex group year

0% 50% 100% Proportion of Overweight Evacuees 2008-2010 4 64 28 4 <18.5 18.5-25 25-30 2011-2012 3 58 34 5 30=< 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 2008-2010 5 67 25 3 2011-2012 5 Non-Evacuees 65 27 4 BMI: body mass index (kg/m 2 ) P<0.001 Ohira T, et al. Am J Prev Med, 2016 Dyslipi demia(- )

Changes in Proportion of Overweight National data from 2004 to 2013 years old (men) ~29 years old (women) years old (women) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 National Survey for Health and Nutrition, 2013

Prevalence of Hypertension Evacuees 2008-2010 46 54 Normotension Hypertension 2011-2012 40 60 P<0.001 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ohira T, et al. Fukushima J Med Sci, 2015, Ohira T, et al. Hypertension, 2016

Prevalence of Diabetes Mellitus Evacuees 2008-2010 90.0 10.0 Diabetes(-) Diabetes(+) 2011-2012 87.8 12.2 P<0.001 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Satoh H, Ohira T, et al. J Diabetes Res, 2015

Prevalence of Dyslipidemia Evacuees 2008-2010 57 43 Dyslipidemia(-) Dlyslipidemia(+) 2011-2012 45 55 P<0.001 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Satoh H, Ohira T, et al. Internal Med, 2016.

Prevalence of Liver Dysfunction Evacuees 2008-2010 82 18 Live dysfunction (-) Live dysfunction (+) 2011-2012 77 23 P<0.001 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Takahashi A, Ohira T, et al. J Epidemiol, in press.

Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation Evacuees 2008-2010 98.1 1.9 AF (-) AF (+) 2011-2012 97.6 2.4 P<0.001 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Suzuki H, Ohira T, et al. Int J Cardiol, 2015.

Multivariable-adjusted Hazard Ratios of Overweight, Hypertension, Dyslipidemia, and Diabetes Mellitus for Evacuation 2.00 1.80 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 1.82 1.53 1.24 1.05 1.41 1.35 1.40 1.40 Overweight Hypertension Dyslipidemia Diabetes Men Women *HR was calculated by using combined data of men and women for diabetes. Am J Prev Med, 2016. Hypertension, 2016. J Diabetes Res, 2015, Intern Med, 2016 *

Mechanisms The proportion of current drinkers unchanged and the proportion of current smokers decreased after the disaster More than half of evacuees did not exercise regularly The proportion of evacuees with sufficient sleep decreased after the disaster from 75.8% to 67.5% for men and from 69.9% to 57.4% for women

Today s topics Changes in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors before and after the disaster Comparison of psychological stress between an evacuation area and nonevacuation area in other prefectures Changes in CVD risk factors between 2011-2012 and 2013-2014

Methods Psychological factors, assessed by questionnaire, were compared between a town in the evacuation area(n=1,020, mean 62.1 years) and communities in Osaka and Akita (n=3,150, mean 62.8 years) in 2013

Perceived Stress Evacuation Naraha area 13 27 51 9 Akita, Akita, Osaka Osaka 4 12 59 25 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Always Often Sometimes Rarely

Depressive Symptoms Evacuation area Akita, Osaka

Insomnia Evacuation area Akita, Osaka

Happiness 1 10 Evacuation are Akita, Osaka

Hopelessness Evacuation area Akita, Osaka

Summary Prevalence of obesity, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus, liver dysfunction, and atrial fibrillation were increased among evacuees after the disaster Changes in lifestyles and psychological stress may be effected Cardiovascular diseases, such as stroke and myocardial infarction, may increase among evacuees in the future

Today s topics Changes in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors before and after the disaster Comparison of psychological stress between an evacuation area and nonevacuation area in other prefectures Changes in CVD risk factors between 2011-2012 and 2013-2014

Methods The Great East Japan Earthquake General health checkups, A City 2011 2012 2013 2014 4,686 participants (2,174 men and 2,512 women mean 62.5 years 3,470 participants (1,596 men and 1,874 women, follow-up proportion, 74%) Average follow-up duration was 1.9 years.

Changes in Blood Pressures mmhg mmhg P<0.0001 SBP DBP

Prevalence of Hypertension HT(+) without medication HT(+) with medication

Prevalence of Diabetes Mellitus DM(-) DM(+) without medication DM(+) with medication

Prevalence of Dyslipidemia Dyslipidemia(-) Dyslipidemia(+) without medication Dyslipidemia(+) with medication

Summary Prevalence of obesity, hypertension, were dyslipidemia unchanged among residents in the evacuation area after the disaster Prevalence of diabetes mellitus increased among residents in the evacuation area after the disaster Surveillance of cardiovascular diseases should be needed in Fukushima