Dr. David James PINATO MD MRCP (UK) MRes PhD

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European HIV Hepatitis Co-infection (EHHC) Conference 10-11 December 2015, London Plenary Session 4: Hepatitis B L i v e r C a n c e r P a t h o g e n e s i s, S c r e e n i n g & Tr e a t m e n t Dr. David James PINATO MD MRCP (UK) MRes PhD NIHR Academic Clinical Lecturer in Medical Oncology Department of Surgery and Cancer Imperial College, Hammersmith Campus Du Cane Road, London W12 0HS

Conflicts of Interest No conflicts of interest to disclose.

Overview of the Talk Pathogenesis of HCC. Molecular and Clinical differences in HBV vs HCV Contribution of HIV Hepatocellular Carcinoma Malignancy Epidemiology The magnitude of the problem. Relevance of HCC as a source of morbidity/mortality in people living with HIV. Screening and Diagnosis Hepatitis HIV Management of HCC

Top 5 reasons to be interested in HCC. 1. Rising incidence in the Western World. 2. Highest mortality rates amongst solid tumors. 3. Well established risk factors (population at risk) 4. Highly multidisciplinary management. 5. Leading cause of morbidity/mortality in co-infected patients.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Commonest primary liver cancer (90%) 5 th most common solid tumor 3 rd most fatal M/F ratio 2.4 Last and most adverse consequence of Chronic Liver Disease. Multiphasic carcinogenesis inflammation fibrosis carcinoma >80% HCC arise in CLD (any cause) 2-4% annual incidence Chronic liver damage Hepatocyte regeneration Cirrhosis Genetic alterations HCC Normal liver Chronic HCV liver disease Cirrhotic liver HCC

HCC: a Complex Pathogenesis HBV 10-15%* HCV 60-70%* Alcohol Growth factor activation Chronic injury inflammation NAFLD/NASH Metabolic Disorders Cirrhosis Regeneration Environmental factors (AFB1) Direct genotoxic effect (integration) Epigenetic effects (cccdna) Genetic and/or epigenetic alterations * Europe Incidence HCC Moradpour D et al. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2005; 17: 477-483; Llovet JM et al.lancet 2003; 362: 1907-1917

HCC: the magnitude of the problem Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registries. Annual age-adjusted incidence rates per 100,000 and trends, all hepatocellular carcinoma cases and by sex (1975-2005) 4x Increase in incidence in 30 years Viral (HCV diffusion in the West) Non viral aetiology ( cryptogenetic cirrhosis) Alterkuse, J Clin Oncol. 2009

Hepatitis B and HCC Worldwide: >50% of all HCC cases and >95% childhood cases. Global Annual Mortality 328.000 HBV HCC 155.000 HCV HCC HBV 2 nd most harmful carcinogen after tobacco. Perz JF, et al. J Hepatol. 2006:45:529-38.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: HBV induced carcinogenesis

Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) Risk of HCC with chronic HBV increased if: REVEAL: multicenter, cohort study prospective, observational Elevated HBV-DNA Male Advanced Age Long duration of infection Family history of HCC Aflatoxin, alcohol, tobacco Co-infection with HCV, Delta virus, HIV 7 Taiwanese townships; individuals aged 30-65 years eligible (N = 89,293) recruited 1991-1992 HBsAg(+) with adequate baseline HBV DNA sample (N = 3851) Yang et al. JNCI 2008, Chen et al. Hepatology 2009

Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) Responsible for 1/3 of HCCs worldwide. HCC invariably late complication 20-30% Chronic HCV Cirrhosis in 2-3 decades. 1-4%/yr Cirrhosis HCC (up to 8% in Japan). Prometheus

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: HCV induced carcinogenesis Genotoxicity Inflammation promoting initiating Limitless proliferative potential promoting Immunity promoting promoting Avoidance of Apoptosis Jeong SW, Clin Mol Hepatol, 2012

REVEAL-HCV STUDY : Cumulative Lifetime HCC Incidence 101 HCV cases Cumulative lifetime HCC incidence 18.5% After adjusting for smoking, alcohol, obesity, diabetes, HCC risk increased if Male HCV RNA level Raised ALT G1 Lee et al. WJG 2014

The Natural History of Compensated Cirrhosis due to HCV 100 Cumulative probability of events 50 25 0 HCC was the first to develop complication and the major cause of death HCC Ascites Jaundice Gi haemorrhage 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Years PSE Patients still at risk 214 196 186 168 153 142 129 116 110 96 89 74 66 57 48 36 214 197 182 163 151 142 133 114 105 92 86 74 68 60 55 39 214 196 184 164 152 144 134 122 114 100 89 75 69 60 54 40 214 198 188 171 160 151 142 129 122 105 94 81 73 64 58 42 214 198 190 173 162 152 146 129 122 108 98 84 77 66 59 43 Sangiovanni et al. Hepatology 2006; 43: 1303-1310

HCV: A mission far from being accomplished. Projected Number of Cases of HCC and Decompensated Cirrhosis due to HCV The Triumph of Caesar, A. Mantegna (1484-1492) Hampton Court Palace + non viral aetiology of CLD NASH/NAFLD EtOH Despite the optimism from DAA, long term complications of HCV are on the rise Davis GL, et al. Gastroenterology 2010.

Screening & Diagnosis of HCC

HCC in ESLD: a recognized challenge. Symptoms Percent of Patients None 23% Abdominal Pain 32% Ascites 8% Jaundice 8% Anorexia/weight loss 10% Malaise 6% Bleeding 4% Encephalopathy 2% Actively look for HCC in any case of decompensated liver disease Ideal scenario for screening in high risk populations How to define high risk What diagnostic methods should be used? Gastroenterology 2002

Surveillance for HCC Improves Mortality: A Randomized Controlled Trial A study of hepatitis B carriers in China 18,816 randomized to: surveillance with AFP + US biannual vs. no surveillance Endpoints: pick up rate of HCC, survival benefit. Adherence to surveillance was 58% HCC related mortality was reduced by 37% in surveillance arm. Zhang BH, et al, J Cancer Res Clin Oncol 2004

Screening for HCC: EASL/EORTC Recommendations Patient groups in whom screening is recommended Liver US: 6-monthly Sensitivity near 94% (63% in early stage HCC) More intense schedules (3 mo.) not beneficial (Trinchet 2011) However: shortened recall for high risk patients (ie. suspicious unifocal nodules <1cm): 2-3 monthly. AFP: not indicated (Qidong Study no benefit from AFP based screening, Chen 2003) Diagnostic test screening test Fluctuating levels, cut-off considerations, 50-80% non-expressors No specific recommendations for HIV + EASL/EORTC Practice Guidelines 2012

Dual Supply and Diagnostic Criteria Pre contrast Arterial Phase Delayed Phase

Linking staging, prognosis and treatment. Cure? Prolong progression free interval? Prolong life? Prognostic Domains: Radiologic Staging Max tumor diameter N nodules PVT / N+ M+ Liver function Child Pugh Class MELD Portal HTN At least 7 staging systems Limited role for TNM Performance Status Improve quality of life? Tumour Markers: AFP >400 Woman Holding a Balance, Johannes Vermeer (1664)

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Staging System BCLC Prognosis Treatment Allocation Llovet 1999

When to hope for a cure? 100 Liver Resection Normal portal pressure, Bili <17 Milan Criteria Liver Transplantation 80 60 Portal pressure, Bili <17 40 20 0 0 Portal pressure, Bili 17 Log Rank 0.00001 12 24 36 48 Months Patients with a single tumor 5 cm Child A cirrhosis N=77 60 72 84 N=48 from 268 consecutive referrals 1991-1994 No vascular invasion/distant metastasis Llovet et al, Hepatology 1999 Mazzaferro et al, NEJM 1996

Intermediate Stage HCC - TACE TACE: LR therapy, dual ischaemic/cytotoxic effect. Operator-dependant technique delivered into a largely heterogeneous patient population A delicate balance: Survival Benefit Adverse Events Liver failure BCLC B, PS 0, Child <B7 Compensated cirrhosis Pre TACE Post 3x TACE

Advanced Stage HCC Systemic Therapies Indication: Extrahepatic spread/pvt (BCLC-C) PS 0/1 Expected OS = 6-12 months Paucity of systemic treatments Chemorefractory disease Early experience with Adriamycin (ORR 10%) Sorafenib Oral, multi-targeted TKI licensed in 2008 Sole approved agent Systematic failure of phase III trials thereafter

Sorafenib Originally developed as Raf-I Off-target effects

Sorafenib Cheng, A. L. et al. Lancet Oncol 2009 (Asia) Llovet, J. M. et al. NEJM 2007 (Europe/USA) Child A, PS 0-2 Discontinuation of Rx upon progression. OS Median Europe/USA (n=602) 10.7 vs 7.9 m Asia (n=226) 6.5 vs 4.2 m TTP Median 5.5 vs 2.8 m 74% 2.8 vs 1.4 m 74% Objective Responses < 3% (70% SD) < 3%

Aging population Impact of treatment

The contribution of HIV to Hepatocarcinogenesis Mechanistic Effects Tat

The contribution of HIV to Hepatocarcinogenesis Evidence from Epidemiological Studies McGinnis, JCO 2006 HIV + male veterans (n=14,018) HIV - controls (n=28,036) age-, race-, sex-, and location-matched Incidence rate ratios (IRR) HIV+/HIV- HIV not sufficient as causative factor (despite experimental evidence) Cirrhosis and Hepatocellular Carcinoma in HIV-Infected Veterans With and Without the Hepatitis C Virus: a Cohort Study, 1992-2001 Giordano TP, Arch Intern Med. 2004. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) HCV + -HIV + /HIV- Incresed incidence of Cirrhosis/HCC in HCV coinfected ++ post-haart Longer survival? Direct effect of HAART

Evolving Trends in the prevalence of Cirrhosis and HCC Ioannou, Hepatol, 2013 Prevalence (1996-2009) HCV co-infected 3.5% to 13.2% Veteran Affairs Healthcare DB 24.000 patients/year receiving HIV care 1996-2009 Adjusted OR 95% CI 3.7x HCV infection 5.82 5.0-6.7 HBV infection 2.40 2.0-2.9 Age 1.03 1.02-1.04 Hispanic ethnicity 1.76 1.4-2.2 Diabetes 1.79 1.6-2.1 Alcohol abuse 1.78 1.5-2.1 Black ethnicity 0.56 0.48-0.64 HCV eradication 0.61 0.4-0.9 HCV co-infected 0.07% to 1.62% 23x Adjusted OR 95% CI HCV infection 10.0 6.1-16.4 HBV infection 2.82 1.7-4.7 Age 1.05 1.03-1.08 Low CD4 count 2.36 1.3-4.2

The burden of HCC in HIV + patients mortality Rosenthal E., HIV Medicine 2015 Mortavic Study: multicenter, prospective, cross-sectional study. Prospectively recorded deaths, survey every 5 years 1995-2010. 24 centres (France), 26.000 patients, 230 deaths, 30 liver-related. Liver related mortality (2010) Steady increase in LRM

Liver related mortality HCC leading and increasing cause of LRM in HIV + Despite cart (100% in 2010) HIV control HCV therapy Rosenthal E., HIV Medicine 2015

The natural history of HIV + HCC Prognostic factors of survival of hepatocellular carcinoma in HIV/hepatitis C virus-coinfected patients. Mostly cross-sectional, case-control retrospective studies HIV/HCV coinfection Single-center experience Do the epidemiology, physiological mechanisms and characteristics of hepatocellular carcinoma in HIVinfected patients justify specific screening policies?. 2 Gelu-Simeon, AIDS. 2014.

Diagnosis and Outcome of HIV + HCC Brau, J Hepatol 2007 Large retrospective, multi-centre case control study HIV + HCC (n=62), HIV - HCC (n=226), North America Features of HIV + HCC: Coinfection almost universal feature (HCV>HBV) Younger Age at diagnosis Median OS 7 months despite balanced staging Active HIV replication worse OS only in untreated HCC

Conclusions HCC is a highly lethal malignancy with multiple areas of unmet medical needs. HCC is a leading and increasing cause of morbidity and mortality in HIV +, especially in the context of co-infection. Prevention is key to optimize outcomes and reduce LRM. No specific recommendation for enhanced screening for HCC in HIV+. BCLC algorithm is key for prognosis/treatment allocation. HIV status should not be a barrier in curative & palliative interventions.

THANK YOU! Dr. David J Pinato david.pinato@imperial.ac.uk