IMPACT EVALUATION OF PERFORMANCE BASE FINANCING

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1 IMPACT EVALUATION OF PERFORMANCE BASE FINANCING FOR GENERAL HEALTH AND HIV/AIDS SERVICES In RWANDA A collaboration between the Rwanda Ministry of Health, CNLS, and SPH, the INSP in Mexico, UC Berkeley and the World Bank 1

RWANDA general & health sector 2 Total population : ~ 11 M (2012) 30 Administrative districts GDP per capita of $550 42 District Hosp. and 430 Health centers MMR: 750 per 100,000 (DHS 2005) 487 per 100,000 (DHS 2010) IMR: 86 per 1,000 (DHS 2005) 50 per 1,000 (DHS 2010) HIV: 3.1% (DHS 2005) 3.0% (DHS 2010)

3 Relevance and Severity of the Health Issue Addressed Diagnostic Shortage of human resources for health services Low levels of productivity and motivation High levels of absenteeism Low user satisfaction & poor quality of service lead to low use. Increase morbidity and mortality Goal Increase number of trained medical personnel Increase motivation Improve quality of services Increase personnel income of health staff Policy Response Performance Based Contracting & Financing

RWANDA Performance Based Financing (PBF) 4 Raises the quantity and quality of health services provided Increases health worker motivation through a system of incentives payments based on performance Operates through contracts between the government and other partners (providing the financing) and health facilities (providing services) 4

History of PBF in Rwanda 5 Three pilot schemes: Cyangugu (since 2001) Butare (since 2002) BTC (since 2005) National model implemented in 2006 5

National PBC model for Health Centers 6 14 Primary Health Care indicators, e.g.: New Curative Consultation = $0.27 Delivery at the HC = $3.63 Completely vaccinated child = $ 1.82 10 HIV/AIDS indicators, e.g.: One Pregnant woman tested (PMTCT) = $1.10 HIV+ women treated with NVP = $1.10 One client tested for HIV = USD 0.92 One couples/partners tested jointly = USD 4.59 Separation of Functions between stakeholders

Implementing organizations 7 Ministry of Health (CAAC) Ministry of Finance Stakeholders Administrative districts Steering committee Purchasers District hospital Provider: Health facilities Purchase contract Head of the Health center ---- Management Committee Motivation contract Employee

Hypotheses 8 For both general health services and HIV/AIDS, we will test whether PBC: Increases the quantity of contracted health services delivered Improves the quality of contracted health services provided Does not decrease the quantity or quality of noncontracted services provided, Decreases average household out-of-pocket expenditures per service delivered Improves the health status of the population

Evaluation Design 9 Make use of expansion of PBC schemes over time The rollout takes place at the District level Treatment and control facilities were allocated as follow: Identify districts without PBC in health centers in 2005 Group the districts based on characteristics: n rainfall n population density n livelihoods Flip a coin to assign districts to treatment and control groups.

10

Roll-out plan 11 Phase 0 districts (white) are those districts in which PBF was piloted NOT part of the impact evaluation Phase 1 districts (yellow) are districts in which PBF is being implemented in 2006, following the roll-out plan Phase 2 districts (green) are districts in which PBF is phased in later; these are the so-called Phase 2 or control districts following the roll-out plan. PBF is being introduced in these districts in 2008.

More money vs. More incentives 12 Incentive based payments increase the total amount of money available for health center, which can also affect services Phase II area receive equivalent amounts of transfers average of what Phase I receives Not linked to production of services Money to be allocated by the health center Preliminary finding: most of it goes to salaries

The baseline has 4 surveys 13 December 2005-March 2006: General Health facility survey (166 centers) General Health household survey (2,016 HH) August November 2006: HIV/AIDS facility survey (64 centers) HIV/AIDS household survey (1994 HH) 13

Household Level: Research Hypotheses The core of the evaluation is designed to test the following hypothesis, namely performance based contracting: Improves the health status of the HIV+ patients. Three additional research questions specifically designed to gather information on the impact of ART on patients, as well as their household members: What are the socio-economic benefits of treatment for patients and their families? What are the determinants of adherence to treatment? What is the impact of the availability of treatment on prevention and on behavior of patients and family members (stigmatization, discrimination, risky sex, and willingness to be tested)?

Household Level: Data Collection Labor market and household socioeconomic indicators Anthropometrics of all patients CD4 counts of all patients Patient biomarker data collection (Anemia, malaria) Self-reported and perceived adherence to treatment Attitudes and perception regarding anti-retroviral treatment Activities of daily living of all patients Mental health questions of all patients Sexual history, knowledge regarding risk for HIV/AIDS and STD s: females 15-49 years old and males 15-59 years old

Household Level: Sample Size Total sample consists of 1,961 households and 7,494 individuals Original sample of 1,487 patients from health facilities and associations Patient Treatment: Distribution Number % No Treatment 196 13.18% Cotrimoxazole 439 29.52% ARV 852 57.30% TOTAL 1487 100.00%

Follow-up surveys 17 February-August 2008 3 surveys: Combined health facilities survey for General Health - HIV/Aids Household survey for General Health (panel data) Household survey for HIV/AIDS (panel data) 17

Impact Evaluation Results 18 Results on general health have been published (Basinga, Gertler et. al, 2010): P4P had a large and significant positive impact on institutional deliveries and preventive care visits by young children, and improved quality of prenatal care. No effect on the number of prenatal care visits or on immunization rates.

Impact Evaluation Results 19 On HIV/AIDS: Preliminary results on voluntary counseling and testing (VCT) Additional results on HIV, especially on antiretroviral treatment will come later after completing the collection of AIDS patients biomedical records in the health facilities (ongoing).

20 PBF and HIV voluntary counseling and testing (VCT) Information obtained from health facility surveys records Number of people tested in the previous year (2005 and 2007) 2,000 4,000 6,000 vct_tested (xi.17.2. no pts tested in 2007) 0 Control Treatment Control Treatment Baseline Follow-up

Regression analysis (health facility level) 21 vct_tested Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 VARIABLES coeff se pval coeff se pval coeff se pval phase_wave 1,943.825*** (313.667) 0.000 2,086.758*** (331.768) 0.000 1,826.840*** (243.793) 0.000 wave 1,010.333*** (227.829) 0.000 1,107.509*** (252.420) 0.001 1,308.651*** (200.477) 0.000 Rural (0=urban) -485.800 (304.485) 0.131-651.442* (327.226) 0.066 District hospital (0=HC) -382.838 (258.564) 0.159-495.319* (262.291) 0.080 Public (0=assisted by govt) 265.271 (300.204) 0.391 80.241 (242.587) 0.746 Catchment population -0.062*** (0.010) 0.000-0.073*** (0.009) 0.000 Total number of doctors/nurses/social wkrs/other employed 15.705 (10.704) 0.164 Observations 66 62 61 R-squared 0.609 0.647 0.698 Number of idhf2008 35 35 35

22 PBF and HIV voluntary counseling and testing (VCT) Information obtained from household surveys in the catchment areas of the facilities. Does it confirm results reported at the health facility level? All regressions control for socio-demographic variables (age, gender, education, marital status, asset values) and health facility fixed effects. Standard errors clustered at the district*wave level. Individual voluntary counseling and testing (IVCT): Have you ever been tested for HIV?

Balance at baseline 23 Table 1: Comparison of treatment and control: all adults Not married Married Treatment Control Treatment Control Variable mean SE mean SE p mean SE mean SE p Female 0.63 0.04 0.61 0.04 0.671 0.59 0.04 0.52 0.04 0.261 Age, years 28.63 1.92 29.09 1.66 0.861 37.84 0.85 40.92 0.87 0.029 Education No education 0.25 0.01 0.19 0.02 0.037 0.33 0.06 0.36 0.05 0.616 primary 0.67 0.05 0.68 0.04 0.984 0.57 0.05 0.54 0.05 0.739 secondary or higher 0.07 0.05 0.13 0.04 0.374 0.11 0.03 0.09 0.03 0.734 Marital status divorced/widow 0.31 0.07 0.27 0.06 0.683 - - - - - never married 0.69 0.07 0.73 0.06 0.683 - - - - - Log household asset value 11.64 0.38 11.57 0.32 0.884 11.93 0.25 12.05 0.22 0.734 Ever been tested 0.42 0.06 0.38 0.05 0.679 0.69 0.03 0.65 0.03 0.451

Results on individual VCT 24 Table2: Regression analyses on IVCT VARIABLES All Not Married Married PBF * Time (Phase I & Follow- up) 0.052* 0.001 0.075** (0.027) (0.053) (0.030) Follow- up (2008) 0.137*** 0.169*** 0.103*** (0.032) (0.052) (0.023) Observations 2,049 1,238 811 Number of health facilities 24 24 24

Partner and couple s testing 25 Respondents who had sexual intercourse in past 12 months prior to the survey. Look at most recent partner. Partner s voluntary counseling and testing (PVCT) Do you know if your partner has ever been tested for HIV?. Couples voluntary counseling and testing (CVCT) : combines IVCT and PVCT. A couple is considered tested for HIV if the respondent reported that he/ she had ever been tested AS WELL AS his/her most recent partner.

Partner and couple s testing: balance at baseline 26 Treatment (N=208) Control (N=202) CONTROL VARIABLES mean SE mean SE p Female 0.5721 0.0546 0.5198 0.0495 0.4943 Age, years 34.7951 1.1904 37.7811 1.0862 0.0936 Education No education 0.2637 0.0520 0.3041 0.0469 0.5765 primary 0.6219 0.0420 0.6186 0.0402 0.9554 secondary or higher 0.1144 0.0333 0.0773 0.0301 0.4271 Marital status married 0.8829 0.0419 0.8469 0.0375 0.5365 divorced/widow 0.0634 0.0214 0.0765 0.0207 0.6688 never married 0.0537 0.0205 0.0765 0.0199 0.4418 Log household asset value 11.9168 0.2617 11.803 0.2315 0.7514 Relationship with intimate partner spouse 0.8510 0.0580 0.8020 0.0503 0.5380 domestic partner 0.0288 0.0228 0.0644 0.0207 0.2751 partner not living in the household 0.0529 0.0309 0.0891 0.0276 0.4024 casual acquaintance 0.0240 0.0069 0.0149 0.0081 0.4072 others 0.0433 0.0105 0.0297 0.0116 0.4071 IVCT 0.7308 0.0382 0.6485 0.0368 0.1517 PVCT 0.7500 0.0573 0.6634 0.0508 0.2846 CVCT 0.6442 0.0441 0.5545 0.0415 0.1691

27 Results on IVCT, PVCT and CVCT among sexually active individuals Table4: Regression analyses on PVCT and CVCT CONTROL VARIABLES IVCT PVCT CVCT PBF * Time (Phase I & Follow- up) 0.058** 0.073 0.104** (0.026) (0.051) (0.038) Follow- up (2008) 0.099*** 0.046 0.078*** (0.025) (0.030) (0.028) Observations 857 857 857 Number of health facilities 24 24 24

Conclusions 28 Results at the health facility level are confirmed with interviews at the household level. We found that PBF increased voluntary counseling and testing at the individual level in Rwanda. This effect is mainly found among married individuals We also found that PBF increased testing among couples, as reported by one of the 2 partners. PBF encouraged individual VCT (0.92 USD), but encouraged couples testing even more (4.59 USD).

Next Steps 29 Effect of PBF on ARVs / program adherence Effect of PBF on other STIs, CD4 counts Collecting data on Community PBF with a quite different design from the HF