Dr Paula Cáceres Soto Head, World Animal Health Information and Analysis Department ANALYSIS OF THE ANIMAL HEALTH SITUATION IN MEMBER COUNTRIES IN THE REGION DURING 2015 AND 2016 27th Conference of the OIE regional Commission 19-23 September 2016, Lisbon (Portugal)
Contents 1. Infection with rabies virus 2. Foot and mouth disease 3. Lumpy skin disease 4. Infection with peste des petits ruminants virus 5. African swine fever 6. Infection with avian influenza viruses of high pathogenicity World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 2
Lee R. Berger Wildlife Bildagentur GmbH Infection with rabies virus Saxifraga-Luc Hoogenstein World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 3
Distribution of infection with rabies virus in Member Countries of the OIE Regional Commission for Europe in 2015 and early 2016 (data based on reports received up to 14 September 2016) France May 2015 Lithuania October 2015 Slovakia Late 2014 and June 2015 40% Member Countries World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 4
Self-declaration of freedom from rabies Compliance with the conditions listed in Article 8.13.3. of the Terrestrial Animal Health Code Latvia in December 2014 Malta in February 2015 Slovenia in June 2016 Lithuania in March 2015 Reoccurrence in October 2015 World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 5
Conclusion Rabies incidence continues to decrease in Europe New countries self-declaring freedom from the disease every year OIE and its global system WAHIS are essential to - monitor the evolution of the disease in the Region - provide standards for self-declaration of freedom following disease eradication World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 6
www.reddit.com Foot and mouth disease World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 7
Distribution of foot and mouth disease in 2015 and early 2016 in Member Countries of the OIE Regional Commission for Europe (data based on reports received up to 14 September 2016) 8% Member Countries Turkey Armenia Israel World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 8
A/ASIA/G-VII lineage (genotype VII) In September 2015, isolated in Turkey In December 2015, isolated in Armenia Also reported in Saudi Arabia, Iran There is a risk to FMD-free countries in the region, notably the south-west and south-east of Europe World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 9
Conclusion Importance of international efforts within the framework of the FAO/OIE Global FMD Control Strategy to : - improve disease surveillance and - the characterisation of virus isolates Member Countries encouraged to comply with the OIE requirement of transparency World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 10
http://nanangocountryvet.com.au/ Lumpy skin disease World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 11
Distribution of lumpy skin disease in 2015 and early 2016 in Member Countries of the OIE Regional Commission for Europe (data based on reports received up to 14 September 2016) 13% Member Countries Bulgaria Albania Macedonia (Former Yug. Rep. of) Serbia Russia Armenia Greece World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 12
Analysis of WAHIS data Has the spread of the disease continued towards or into the temperate region after the OIE last GS in May? World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 13
Results World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 14
Conclusion Standing Group of Experts on Lumpy Skin Disease in South East Europe (SGE LSD) launched in July 2016 (GF TADs) Example of the new challenges that the Veterinary Services will have to face due to the climatic and environmental changes Risk model approach to help to maximise the effectiveness of effort need to control the disease World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 15
http://racine.uwex.edu/ Infection with peste des petits ruminants virus World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 16
Distribution of infection with PPR virus in 2015 and early 2016 (data based on reports received up to 14 September 2016) 31 Member Countries officially recognised as free from PPR 6% Member Countries Georgia World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 17
Conclusion Risk of undetected spread in areas with a dense sheep population but a low goat density Regional cooperation of all Member Countries within the spirit of the Global Strategy for the eradication of PPR should be encouraged to prevent the spread of PPR World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 18
http://huntinginbalkans.com/ African swine fever World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 19
Distribution of African swine fever in Member Countries of the OIE Regional Commission for Europe in 2015 and early 2016 (data based on reports received up to 14 September 2016) 13% Member Countries World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 20
Analysis of WAHIS data Trend N outbreaks and % in wild boar? World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 21
Results % outbreaks in wild boar 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% y = 0.0158x 2 0.0795x + 0.2252 R² = 0.79 Total number of outbreaks 2000 1600 1200 800 400 0% 2007 (from April) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 (up to June) Total number of outbreaks % outbreaks in wild boar (with trend line) 0 More outbreaks reported Significant increase of % outbreaks in wild boar (p-value <0.05) World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 22
Conclusion Efforts on biosecurity in domestic animals should include backyard Efforts on monitoring and reporting in wildlife & collaboration with hunters Standing Group of Experts on ASF in the Baltics and Eastern Europe region Full transparent information and fulfilling of reporting obligations to the OIE World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 23
http://www.globalmeatnews.com/ Infection with avian influenza viruses of high pathogenicity World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 24
Distribution of infection with avian influenza viruses of high pathogenicity in Member Countries of the OIE Regional Commission for Europe in 2015 and early 2016 (data based on reports received up to 14 September 2016) Italy 25% Member Countries World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 25
Analysis of WAHIS data Duration of HPAI outbreaks in domestic birds in countries in the Europe region and countries in other regions? World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 26
Methodology HPAI closed outbreaks in domestic birds 2005-2016 Europe (528 outbreaks) Other Regions (4075 outbreaks) Comparison of the overall median durations (Wilcoxon rank sum test) Comparison of yearly average durations World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 27
Comparison of the overall median durations (Wilcoxon rank sum test) Median duration of outbreaks in domestic birds in Europe lower than in other regions p-value=0.03 Median = 7,5 days Median = 31 days World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 28
Average duration of HPAI outbreaks in domestic birds in countries in the Europe region and countries in other regions, by year of start of the outbreak Duration (days) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Average duration of outbreaks in domestic birds in Europe lower than in other regions every year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Year of start of the outbreak Countries in Europe Countries in other regions World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 29
Conclusion Existence of strong technical capabilities and a high level of preparedness and response of the Veterinary Services in Europe HPAI continues to pose a significant threat to Europe Essential to monitor the evolution of the disease in the Region and in the world, and to alert countries to exceptional events World Organisation for Animal Health Protecting animals, Preserving our future 30
Thank you for your attention Dr Paula Cáceres Soto 12, rue de Prony, 75017 Paris, France www.oie.int media@oie.int - oie@oie.int