Jose D Sollano, MD Professor of Medicine University of Santo Tomas Manila, Philippines. University of Santo Tomas

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Transcription:

Jose D Sollano, MD Professor of Medicine Manila, Philippines

International Variation in Age-Standardized Liver Cancer Incidence Rates in Both Sexes, 2008 Global Age-Standardized Liver Cancer Incidence Rates in Females, 2008 Global Age-Standardized Liver Cancer Incidence Rates in Males, 2008

Estimated Age-standardized Incidence and Mortality Rates of HCC for Men and Women (GLOBOCAN 2008) Males Females

Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC)

Age-standardized Incidence Rates of HCC per 100,000 person years for Men and Women (GLOBOCAN 2002)

Age-standardized Incidence Rates of HCC per 100,000 person years for Men and Women (GLOBOCAN 2002) Men have higher risk of HCC irrespective of underlying cause High risk factors in men : HCV, HBV, alcohol M:F higher in young age High circulating testosterone in HCC Androgen receptor polymorphism Lifestyle-related carcinogens

Number of Immigrants, Estimated HBsAg Prevalence, and Number of Imported Chronic Hepatitis B cases into the US by country of birth, 1974 2008 Mitchell T et al. PLoS ONE 2011;6(12): e27717. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027717

Multifactorial Pathogenesis of HCC Persistent/Chronic hepatitis Fibrosis Normal Liver HBV HCV Alcohol Metabolic disorders - NASH - Hemochromatosis Cell death Hepatitis Cirrhosis HCC Regeneration Increasing Risk HBV = hepatitis B virus; HCV = hepatitis C virus; NASH = nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. 1. Adapted from Rivenbark AG, et al. Clin Cancer Res. 2007;13:2309-2312; 2. Marotta F, et al. Clin Ther. 2004;155:187-199; 3. Thorgeirsson S, et al. Nat Genet. 2002;31:339-346; 4. Wang XW, et al. Toxicology. 2002;181-182:43-47; 5. Koike K. Hepatol Res. 2005;33:145-150.

Chronic HBV and HCV Infection are the most common causes of HCC in Asia Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the 5 th most common cancer, and 3 rd most common cause of mortality worldwide 1,2 Globally, 50% of all HCC cases are attributable to HBV 3 In regions where HBV is endemic (South-Eastern Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa), 70 80% of HCC cases are attributable to HBV 3 Etiology Etiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Philippines Male n (%) Female n (%) Total n (%) HBV 125 (51.4%) 39 (16%) 164 (67.4%) HCV 5 (2.1%) 3 (1.2%) 8 (3.3%) ETOH 23(9.5%) 0 23 (9.5%) Cryptogenic 32 (13.2%) 16 (6.6%) 48 (19.8%) Total 185 58 243 1. Tan YJ, et al. World J Gastroenterol 2011;17:4853-4857. 2. European Association For The Study Of The Liver. Hepatol 2012;57:167-185. 2. 3. Nguyen VT, et al. J Viral Hepat 2009;16:453-463. 4. Altekruse SF, et al. J Clin Oncol 2009;27:1485-1491.

Prevalence of HBsAg carriers and chronic HCV status in different geographic regions of the World

Multiplicative Synergistic Risks for HCC Development among HBV and HCV co-infected Subjects in HBV Endemic Region Oh JK et al. BMC Cancer 2012;12:452-460

Odds ratio for HCC according to alcohol intake and presence of HBV or HCV Infection Donato F et al. Am J Epidemiol 2002;155:323-331

Changes in the Etiology of Primary Liver Cancer in Japan: 1990-2003 Vital Statistics, Ministry of Health,Labor and Welfafre, Japan. 2007

Prevalence of Cryptogenic Hepatocellular Carcinoma in South Korea Lee SS et al. BMC Cancer 2013;13:335-343

Metabolic Syndrome (MetS): the New Epidemic!

Association of the Different Components of the Metabolic Syndrome and the Development of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Metabolic Syndrome and Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Two Growing Epidemics with a Potential Link Siegel AB & Hsu AX. Cancer 2009;115(24):5651-5661

Relationship of Obesity, MetS, NAFLD, NASH, and HCC The New Menace of the 21 st Century Body Mass Index and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease The basis for the American description of a new epidemic of cirrhosis and HCC! Williams R. Hepatology 2006;44:521-526

Changes in the Demographics and Clinical Characteristics of HCC in the USA: 1996-2006 Kanwal F et al. Gastroenterology 2011;140(4):1182-1188

Is the Obesity Epidemic in the US also happening in Asia Pacific?

Prevalence of Adult Obesity in Asia versus the USA Global Estimates: OVERWIEGHT -1.6 billion OBESE -0.4 billion World Health Organization, 2005 Yoon KH et al. Lancet 2006;368(9548):1681 1688

Chan JCN et al. JAMA 2009;301(20):2129-2140

Metabolic Syndrome [MetS]: Recent Prevalence in East and Southeast Asian populations Prevalence of the MetS by NCEP ATP III definition and adopted Asian Definition

Total Infection-Attributable Cancers Worldwide: 2002

Comparison of the Incidence of Liver Cancer in Taiwanese Children 6 to14 and 0 to 5 years of age, according to Birth Cohort Chang MH et al. N Engl J Med 1997;336:1855-9

Recent Hep B surveys conducted in WPR Country Year Purpose Ages (years) Am Samoa a 2011 Guide program + Verification Brunei Dar a 2011 Guide program + Verification Vietnam a 2011 Guide program 3-4 5-7 Sample size 6-7 562 0.2 8-9 4000 <<1.0 3426 1738 Laos a 2011 Guide program 5-9 1008 1.5 Cambodia a 2011 Guide program 4-5 Urban=1196 Rural=596 Remote=637 HB prevalence 1.6 2.1 0.3 b 1.4 3.4 PNG completing survey February 2013; Philippines has just completed survey at end of October 2013; results awaited! a PRELIMINARY DATA b <2% nat l prevalence based on 37%, 58%, 6% urban, rural, remote population distribution

Challenges in the Hepatitis B Immunization Programs in the Asia Pacific

(http://www.measuredhs.com) and United Nations Children s Fund Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (http://www.childinfo.org/mics.html).

HepB3 Coverage in Priority Countries* 2007-2011 *Priority Pacific Island countries (PICs) include: Kiribati, Samoa, Solomon Is, Vanuatu. 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Philippines Laos PNG Cambodia Vietnam Coverage target 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 In the Philippines, if HepB and DTP vaccination were given simultaneously,10% more infants could have received all HepB doses. Wallace AS et al. J Public Health Policy 2012 Aug;33(3):368-81

Estimated Ten Leading Cancer Sites in the Philippines in 1997, 2005, 2010 Both Sexes 1997 2010 2005 Laudico et al; Phil Cancer Facts and Estimates 1997, 2005, 2010

Why Immunization is Worth All the Effort..... Immunity against HBV thus far has made an important impact on health; an estimated 225,000 chronic infections and 38,000 HBV-related deaths will be prevented in the 2011 birth cohort alone Increasing vaccination coverage to the target levels will prevent an additional 39,000 chronic infections and almost 7,000 deaths in each birth cohort Henessey K, World Health Organization, 2013

Surveillance for HCC as Recommended by AASLD, APASL and EASL/EORTC Strategy AASLD 2010 APASL 2010 EASL 2012 Target Population Cirrhosis, HBV, NAFLD Viral cirrhosis Cirrhosis, HBV, HCV F3 Screening modality Abdominal US Abdominal US + AFP Abdominal US Optional CT/MRI No Yes No Additional markers DCP/AFP-L3 Screening intervals, (months) No Yes No 6 6 6 Radiological Diagnosis CT, MRI >1 cm CE-US, CT-MRI, any size CT, MRI >1 cm

Geographical distribution of countries with a critical shortage of health service providers, i.e., doctors, nurses and midwives (WHO 2008) In Asia, access to health care varies among countries within the region, and despite recent economic gains made by developing countries many patients are still unable to receive adequate services.

APASL Recommendations: 2010 Opportunities for Asia Chronic and heavy alcohol intake, high body mass index (BMI >25) and diabetes mellitus leading to liver disease increases the risk for HCC (2b) Universal hepatitis B vaccination should be implemented in the countries where HBV infection is endemic or hyperendemic (2a, A) The control of transfusion-related, iatrogenic, and illicit drug use-related viral transmission is of paramount importance (2a, A). Efficient screening for HCV infection would find patients who require treatment (2b, B) Prevention of HCC by elimination of aflatoxin contamination is advised (2a, B) Prevention of HCC in patients with nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is primarily through lifestyle modification with diet and exercise (2, B)

S U M M A R Y The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Eastern and Southeast Asia is the highest in the World and is a common cause of cancer-related mortality in the region Most HCCs are associated with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Currently, HBV infection can be prevented by effective vaccines and promising curative treatments for HCV infection are already available The changing demographics and the emergence of new risk factors, e.g., MetS, NAFLD, etc may play important roles in the future epidemiology of HCC in the Asia Pacific Major gains have been achieved in the prevention and treatment of HCC within the region, however, these gains vary among the AP countries