Dashboard Review Third Quarter of FY 2015

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Dashboard Review Third Quarter of FY 215 Joe Selby, MD, MPH Executive Director Michele Orza, ScD Senior Advisor to the Executive Director

Budget Number of Projects Board of Governors FY215 Dashboard Q3 (As of 6/3/215) Funds Committed to Research up to $64M Actual 3 25 2 15 1 5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 1 2 3 4 5 6 $ Millions Projects Completed as Expected Expected *Increasing Useful Information* Results from 3 PCORI-funded studies: improving stroke outcomes important to patients, individualizing diabetes treatment, and less-invasive care for children with serious infections. Our Goals: Increase Information, Speed Implementation, and Influence Research Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Expenditures Total Budget, up to $362M Research Awards Budget Research Awards Actual All Other Budget All Other Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 5 1 15 2 25 $ Millions Number of Projects 3 2 1 Number of Articles 3 2 1 Phase II PFA Released =Target =Actual Projects Awarded Targeted Pragmatic Broad Engagement PCORNet Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Journal Articles Published By Awardees Q1 About or By PCORI Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Legend On Target Q4=Q4 214 Off Target NA Needs Attention NA=Not Applicable Percent of Projects on Track Uptake of Methodology Standards Web Views Progress of PCORnet Completion of Phase I Governance policies approved Q2 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Q1Version 2. Q2 Aspirin Q3 of CDM Trial Complete Awarded Percent NA Q1 Q2 Q3 NA 3 25 2 15 1 5 Obesity Cohort Project Awarded Citations Health Systems Convening Event Q1=Q1 215 Q2=Q2 215 Q3=Q3 215 Research Engagement PPRNs CDRNs Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Phase II awarded

Demonstrating PCORI s Mission: Three Highlighted Studies 1. Assessing the Benefits and Harms of Alternative Approaches to Treatment 2. Individualized Prediction of Benefit What Works for Whom? 3. Impact of Involving Patients on the Research Team

PCORI Study: Assessing Benefits/Harms of Alternative Treatments Comparative Effectiveness of Intravenous v. Oral Antibiotic Therapy for Serious Bacterial Infections Keren et al. JAMA Pediatr. 215 Feb;169:12-8. Ron Keren, MD, MPH Children s Hospital of Philadelphia

PCORI Study: Assessing Benefits/Harms of Alternative Treatments 212, Cycle 1, Assessment of Prevention, Diagnosis and Treatment Options award Comparative effectiveness research of oral antibiotics vs. intravenous antibiotics via intravenous (PICC) line at hospital discharge for three different infections: (a) ruptured appendicitis, (b) complicated pneumonia, and (c) osteomyelitis. Osteomyelitis Results: Antibiotic therapy with oral and PICC were equally effective for curing the primary infection, but PICC lines were associated with more adverse events (16% vs. %). Despite concerns about treating younger (<5) children or those with MRSA infections with oral antibiotics, stratified analysis showed that treatment failure rates were not meaningfully different. We found no advantage of the more invasive PICC route. Given the magnitude and gravity of the PICC-related complications, clinicians should reconsider prolonged IV therapy when an effective oral alternative exists.

PCORI Study: Individualized Prediction of Benefit What Works for Whom? Improving diabetes prevention with benefit based tailored treatment: riskbased re-analysis of Diabetes Prevention Program Sussman JB et al. BMJ 215:35: Feb. 19th David Kent, MD, MS Tufts University Medical Center Sackler School of Graduate Biomedical Sciences

PCORI Study: Individualized Prediction of Benefit 212, Pilot Project Re-analysis of the Diabetes Prevention Program, a large randomized trial which showed that both lifestyle interventions and metformin lowered the risk for developing Type 2 diabetes in persons judged to be at increased risk for developing diabetes. Results: The benefits of metformin were seen almost exclusively in patients in the topmost quarter of risk of diabetes; no benefit in lowest risk quarter. By contrast, the lifestyle intervention provided meaningful protection in all 4 quarters of risk. Patients at high risk for diabetes have substantial variation in their likelihood of receiving benefit from diabetes prevention treatments. Using this knowledge could decrease overtreatment and make prevention of diabetes far more efficient, effective, and patient centered.

PCORI Study: Impact of Involving Patients Adrian Felipe Hernandez, MD, MS Duke University

PCORI Study: Impact of Involving Patients Sept 213, Cycle 3, Assessment of Prevention, Diagnosis and Treatment Options award A set of observational comparative effectiveness studies to improve decision-making and patient-centered stroke outcomes in three therapeutic areas: statins, anticoagulants and anti-depressants in elderly persons who have had an ischemic stroke. Outcomes: Patient involvement shifted the primary outcome from typical cardiovascular endpoints to home time: days spent at home during follow-up, quality of life, and death; secondary outcomes include all-cause readmission and disease-specific readmissions. Results: Among 12,553 patients with atrial fibrillation after a stroke, those started on warfarin before discharge enjoyed 47 more days at home during up to two years of follow-up, as well as lower rates of recurrent stroke, MI, death. These findings support the routine use of warfarin for eligible ischemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation, including those over 8 years of age, women, those with more severe strokes, and those with comorbid conditions.

Goal 2 Results: Early Indicators of Uptake of Information about Less-invasive Treatment of Serious Infections in Children PCORI-Funded Continuing Education First CME/CE program, launched Mid-June 1 CME/CE Certificates 92 75 61 5 46 25 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Ongoing Tracking to Include: -CME/CE completion by specialty and subspecialty -Enrollment by CME/CE activity

Example of Tracking Uptake and Use of Information: Less-invasive Treatment of Serious Infections in Children Uptake: Altmetrics Altmetric has tracked 4,198,162 articles across all sources so far. Compared to these this article has done particularly well. Use According to the study s lead author, Dr. Ron Keren, the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society is preparing a new practice guideline on bone and joint infections and is considering the findings of the PCORI study in developing its recommendations. We are following the development of these guidelines and other potential uses of the results of this study.

Goal 3 Results: Increased Support for PCOR at the University of Texas Health Science Center at San Antonio At UTHSC San Antonio, PCORI is credited with motivating:* Workshops on PCORI that resulted in Listserv Working group focused on PCORI applications (~13 investigators) Day-long in-service on grant writing Clinical Investigator Kick-start (CLIK) awards $5K, one year Fund meaningful engagement with partners to increase knowledge about and skills in research engagement New policies to permit hiring patient or stakeholder partners as experts on university pay roll Patient-centered approaches to applications for research to other funders [PCORI s approach] has changed everything about the way the university thinks about research a ripple effect I would not have anticipated. Dawn Velligan, PhD, MA, Professor and Chief of Community Recovery Research and Training *Jennifer Potter, PhD, MPH, Assistant Dean for Research and Student Programs

Funds Committed to Research and Research Infrastructure Projects: Q3 215 Funds Committed to Research up to $64M Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Budget Actual 1 2 3 4 5 6 $ Millions

Our Funding History: For Broad and Pragmatic studies, we award on average less funds than we announced in the PFA, for Targeted studies we award on average a bit more 125 19% 1 1% Percent of Funds Awarded (%) 75 5 79% 66% 86% Average of the averages for Broad, Pragmatic, and Targeted 25 Broad Pragmatic Targeted

Measures of the Progress of Research Projects 1 9 8 91 87 81 214 215 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 7 64 63 7 68 Percent 6 5 4 3 45 4 33 29 57 56 41 Also New 2 1 Meeting All Milestones Meeting Recruitment Milestones NA In Green Zone "Percent on track" Obtained IRB Approval on Schedule 4 9 6 4 5 4 1 1 1 1 1 Contract Modification for Milestones Contract Modification for Time Extension Payment Hold for Programmatic Reasons Terminated

New Metric in Development for Progress of Projects

New on Our Dashboard: Percent of Projects on Track = Percent in Green Zone 1 9 8 Project Status by Color Zones Q2 vs. Q3 215 7 63 7 Percent in Zone (%) 6 5 4 3 2 23 21 1 8 4 6 6 Green Zone Yellow Zone Orange Zone Red Zone

Because it is especially critical to the success of projects, we are focusing on recruitment Analysis of 19 projects that involve recruitment As of Q3: 31 have not yet started recruiting 136 are currently recruiting 23 have finished recruiting

Did projects initiate recruitment on time? Timeliness of Recruitment Initiation Reasons for Delayed Initiation Delay finalizing intervention On Time 24% IRB delays Sites withdrawing after randomization Late 58% Early 18% PI or staff changes, relocations Rescheduled or missed appointments Restrictive enrollment criteria Seasonal issues (asthma symptoms, record snowfall)

By how long were studies delayed in initiating recruitment? 35 3 3 25 # Projects 2 17 1 Month Delays: 15 13 Physician Recruitment delayed, so no patients 1 7 9 Insufficient eligible subjects 5 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 13 14 15 Months Late

Patterns among studies that have completed recruitment Timeliness of Recruitment Initiation On Time 1% Early 19% Recruitment Completion Early or On Time Late Late 71% Recruitment Initiation Early or On Time 9% 19% Timeliness of Recruitment Completion On Time 18% Late 24% 48% Time Late 68% Early 14% 57% Stay in same timeliness category 24% Start late but Catch up 19% Start on time but end late

Discussion Questions Does this set of metrics and analyses tell you what you want to know about the progress of our projects? What other questions do you have?

Budget Number of Projects Board of Governors FY215 Dashboard Q3 (As of 6/3/215) Funds Committed to Research up to $64M Actual 3 25 2 15 1 5 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 1 2 3 4 5 6 $ Millions Projects Completed as Expected Expected *Increasing Useful Information* Results from 3 PCORI-funded studies: improving stroke outcomes important to patients, individualizing diabetes treatment, and less-invasive care for children with serious infections. Our Goals: Increase Information, Speed Implementation, and Influence Research Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Expenditures Total Budget, up to $362M Research Awards Budget Research Awards Actual All Other Budget All Other Actual Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 5 1 15 2 25 $ Millions Number of Projects 3 2 1 Number of Articles 3 2 1 Phase II PFA Released =Target =Actual Projects Awarded Targeted Pragmatic Broad Engagement PCORNet Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Journal Articles Published By Awardees Q1 About or By PCORI Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Legend On Target Q4=Q4 214 Off Target NA Needs Attention NA=Not Applicable Percent of Projects on Track Uptake of Methodology Standards Web Views Progress of PCORnet Completion of Phase I Governance policies approved Q2 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Q1Version 2. Q2 Aspirin Q3 of CDM Trial Complete Awarded Percent NA Q1 Q2 Q3 NA 3 25 2 15 1 5 Obesity Cohort Project Awarded Citations Health Systems Convening Event Q1=Q1 215 Q2=Q2 215 Q3=Q3 215 Research Engagement PPRNs CDRNs Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Phase II awarded