Smoking and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in women with lower levels of serum cholesterol

Similar documents
MORBIDITY AND MORTALity

The effect of hypertension on the risk for kidney cancer in Korean men

Joint Impact of Smoking and Hypertension on Cardiovascular Disease and All-Cause Mortality in Japan: NIPPON DATA80, a 19-Year Follow-Up

Cigarette Smoking and Mortality in the Korean Multi-center Cancer Cohort (KMCC) Study

Combined effects of systolic blood pressure and serum cholesterol on cardiovascular mortality in young (<55 years) men and women

Supplementary Appendix

Comparison of Probability of Stroke Between the Copenhagen City Heart Study and the Framingham Study

White Blood Cell Count and Risk for All-Cause, Cardiovascular, and Cancer Mortality in a Cohort of Koreans

Risk Factors for Heart Disease

Baldness and Coronary Heart Disease Rates in Men from the Framingham Study

The Whitehall II study originally comprised 10,308 (3413 women) individuals who, at

Identification of subjects at high risk for cardiovascular disease

Blood pressure and total cholesterol level are critical risks especially for hemorrhagic stroke in Akita, Japan.

Optimizing risk assessment of total cardiovascular risk What are the tools? Lars Rydén Professor Karolinska Institutet Stockholm, Sweden

Elevated Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Prior to Clinical Diagnosis of Type 2 Diabetes

Effect of Medicine Adherence on the Occurrence of Cerebrovascular Disorders in Diabetes Mellitus Patients

Prediction of Cardiovascular Disease in suburban population of 3 municipalities in Nepal

Folate, vitamin B 6, and vitamin B 12 are cofactors in

Epidemiologic Measure of Association

Stroke is the third leading cause of death in the

Studies from developed countries have demonstrated strong

A lthough the hazards of smoking are well described,

I t is established that regular light to moderate drinking is

Statistical Fact Sheet Populations

YOUNG ADULT MEN AND MIDDLEaged

How would you manage Ms. Gold

ORIGINAL INVESTIGATION. Alcohol Consumption and Mortality in Men With Preexisting Cerebrovascular Disease

Body mass decrease after initial gain following smoking cessation

Adult Obesity and Number of Years Lived with and without Cardiovascular Disease

Cardiovascular Disease Prevention: Current Knowledge, Future Directions

The purpose of this report is to compare the results of

Alcohol consumption and blood pressure change: 5-year follow-up study of the association in normotensive workers

Threshold Level or Not for Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol

Total risk management of Cardiovascular diseases Nobuhiro Yamada

Biases in clinical research. Seungho Ryu, MD, PhD Kanguk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University

Supplementary Online Content

Intermediate Methods in Epidemiology Exercise No. 4 - Passive smoking and atherosclerosis

Cigarette Smoking, Alcohol Drinking, Hepatitis B, and Risk for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Korea

Whereas reductions in mortality attributable to cerebrovascular

Preventing heart disease by controlling hypertension: Impact of hypertensive subtype, stage, age, and sex

Risk Factors for Ischemic Stroke: Electrocardiographic Findings

Elevated Serum Cholesterol Is a Risk Factor for Both Coronary Heart Disease and Thromboembolic Stroke in Hawaiian Japanese Men

Current status on other health effects:

Donald M. Lloyd-Jones, MD, ScM a,b, *, Alan R. Dyer, PhD a, Renwei Wang, MS a, Martha L. Daviglus, MD, PhD a, and Philip Greenland, MD a,b

CVD Prevention, Who to Consider

Biases in clinical research. Seungho Ryu, MD, PhD Kanguk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University

4/4/17 HYPERTENSION TARGETS: WHAT DO WE DO NOW? SET THE STAGE BP IN CLINICAL TRIALS?

The Epidemiological Association between Blood Pressure and Stroke: Implications for Primary and Secondary Prevention

O besity is associated with increased risk of coronary

Prevenzione cardiovascolare e cambiamento degli stili di vita. Gian Franco Gensini

ARIC Manuscript Proposal # PC Reviewed: 2/10/09 Status: A Priority: 2 SC Reviewed: Status: Priority:

A n aly tical m e t h o d s

The Impact of Smoking on Acute Ischemic Stroke

Biomed Environ Sci, 2016; 29(3): LI Jian Hong, WANG Li Min, LI Yi Chong, ZHANG Mei, and WANG Lin Hong #

Guidelines on cardiovascular risk assessment and management

The Best Lipid Fraction for the Prediction of the Population at Risk of Atherothrombotic Disease. William E. Feeman, Jr., M.D.

The Impact of Diabetes Mellitus and Prior Myocardial Infarction on Mortality From All Causes and From Coronary Heart Disease in Men

ORIGINAL INVESTIGATION

CONTRIBUTING FACTORS FOR STROKE:

Q. Qiao 1, M. Tervahauta 2, A. Nissinen 2 and J. Tuomilehto 1. Introduction

D-M Wu 1, L Pai 1, N-F Chu 1,2, P-K Sung 3, M-S Lee 1, JT Tsai 3, L-L Hsu 3, M-C Lee 3 and C-A Sun 1 *

2013 ACC/AHA Guidelines on the Assessment of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Risk: Overview and Commentary

Module 2. Global Cardiovascular Risk Assessment and Reduction in Women with Hypertension

Supplement materials:

The relation between weight changes and alanine aminotransferase levels in a nonalcoholic population

Yuqing Zhang, M.D., FESC Department of Cardiology, Fu Wai Hospital. CAMS & PUMC, Beijing, China

CVD risk assessment using risk scores in primary and secondary prevention

Prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension in North America, North Africa and Asia

Atherosclerotic Disease Risk Score

Why Do We Treat Obesity? Epidemiology

Smoking and Smoking Cessation in Relation to All-Cause Mortality and Cardiovascular Events in 25,464 Healthy Male Japanese Workers

Age-adjusted stroke mortality rate in Japan was the

Wine, Alcohol, and Cardiovascular Health: Revisiting the Health Benefits of Wine in the Framingham Heart Study. Michael Darden and Douglas Nelson

290 Biomed Environ Sci, 2016; 29(4):

Supplementary Appendix

Diet-Related Factors, Educational Levels and Blood Pressure in a Chinese Population Sample: Findings from the Japan-China Cooperative Research Project

Statin therapy in patients with Mild to Moderate Coronary Stenosis by 64-slice Multidetector Coronary Computed Tomography

ISCHEMIC VASCULAR DISEASE (IVD) MEASURES GROUP OVERVIEW

4/7/ The stats on heart disease. + Deaths & Age-Adjusted Death Rates for

EuroPrevent 2010 Fatal versus total events in risk assessment models

Low fractional diastolic pressure in the ascending aorta increased the risk of coronary heart disease

Framingham Heart Study Longitudinal Data Documentation

The investigation of serum lipids and prevalence of dyslipidemia in urban adult population of Warangal district, Andhra Pradesh, India

Todd S. Perlstein, MD FIFTH ANNUAL SYMPOSIUM

THE HEALTH consequences of

Clinical Features and Subtypes of Ischemic Stroke Associated with Peripheral Arterial Disease

Diabetologia 9 Springer-Verlag 1991

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is the leading cause of

well-targeted primary prevention of cardiovascular disease: an underused high-value intervention?

FOR MIDDLE-AGED POPULATIONS,

Update on Lipid Management in Cardiovascular Disease: How to Understand and Implement the New ACC/AHA Guidelines

High-Normal Blood Pressure Progression to Hypertension in the Framingham Heart Study

ORIGINAL INVESTIGATION. Impact of Major Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors, Particularly in Combination, on 22-Year Mortality in Women and Men

Transcription:

Atherosclerosis 190 (2007) 306 312 Smoking and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in women with lower levels of serum cholesterol Sun Ha Jee a,b,c,, Jungyong Park b, Inho Jo d, Jakyoung Lee a,b, Soojin Yun a, Ji-Eun Yun a, Yangsu Jang e a Department of Epidemiology, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of Korea b Institute for Health Promotion, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of Korea c Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA d Center for Biomedical Sciences, Republic of Korea e Cardiovascular Genome Center, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea Received 23 October 2005; received in revised form 8 February 2006; accepted 14 March 2006 Available online 4 May 2006 Abstract This cohort study of Koreans examines the relationship between smoking on atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) and whether serum levels of total cholesterol modify the impact of smoking on ASCVD. A 10-year prospective cohort study was carried out on 234,399 Korean women, ranging 40 69 years of age who received health insurance from the National Health Insurance Corporation and had a medical evaluation in 1993. The main outcome measures were hospital admissions and deaths from ischemic heart disease (IHD), cerebrovascular disease (CVD), and total ASCVD. At baseline, 13,696 (5.8%) were current smokers and 105,755 (45.1%) had a total cholesterol <200 mg/dl. Between 1994 and 2003, 4534 IHD (176/100,000 person year), 7961 CVD (310/100,000 person year), and 2418 other ASCVD events (94/100,000 person year) occurred. In multivariate Cox proportional hazard models controlling for age, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes and alcohol drinking, current smoking increased the risk of IHD [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.7 (95% CI: 1.5 1.9)], CVD [HR = 1.6 (95% CI: 1.5 1.6)], and total ASCVD events [HR = 1.6 (95% CI: 1.5 1.7)]. Throughout the range of serum cholesterol levels, current smoking significantly increased the risk of myocardial infarction and CVD, but not angina pectoris. There was no evidence of an interaction between smoking and serum cholesterol (p for interaction = 0.469, 0.612, and 0.905 for IHD, CVD, and total ASCVD, respectively). This study demonstrated that smoking was a major independent risk factor for IHD, CVD and ASCVD in Korean women. A low cholesterol level confers no protective benefit against smoking-related ASCVD. 2006 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved. Keywords: Cardiovascular disease; Smoking; Low serum cholesterol 1. Introduction Morbidity and mortality from cardiovascular disease is rapidly escalating in economically developing countries, including those in South East Asia. In Korea, proportionate morbidity and mortality from atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) has increased markedly between 1981 and 2003 [1]. Between 1981 and 2003, age-adjusted Corresponding author. Tel.: +82 2 2228 1523; fax: +82 2 365 5118. E-mail address: jsunha@yumc.yonsei.ac.kr (S.H. Jee). IHD mortality increased from 1.8 deaths/100,000 to 16.6 deaths/100,000 in Korean men and from 1.0 deaths/100,000 to 13.6 deaths/100,000 in Korean women [1]. Cigarette smoking is widely recognized as a major risk factor for IHD in Western countries [2 8]. Nonetheless, few studies have examined the relationship between cigarette smoking and IHD in South East Asian countries [9 12], where the prevalence of women s smoking is rapidly increasing among young generation. In Korea, the prevalence of smoking in adult women aged 40 or older was decreased 13.2% in 1989 to 6.4% in 1999 [13], while increased 2.5% 0021-9150/$ see front matter 2006 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.atherosclerosis.2006.03.023

S.H. Jee et al. / Atherosclerosis 190 (2007) 306 312 307 in 1989 to 5.0% in 1999 among young women aged 20 29. In several respects, the populations of South East Asia differ from Western populations. On average, individuals from South East Asia are leaner and have lower cholesterol levels than their Western counterparts [11]. Such differences, particularly the lower levels of cholesterol, have led to speculation that smoking is a less important risk factor for ischemic heart disease in South East Asian populations [14]. Jee et al. reported that a low cholesterol level had no protective benefit against smoking-related ASCVD in men [12]. However, studies on the independent effects of women s smoking as a risk factor for ASCVD in South East Asia were sparse and particularly data that address the impact of cholesterol levels on the relationship between smoking and ASCVD in women have not been studied much. In the view of the escalating morbidity and mortality from ASCVD in Korea and the paucity of data on smoking as an ASCVD risk factor in Korea and other South East Asian countries, we examined prospectively the impact of smoking as an independent risk factor for ASCVD in Korean women. 2. Materials and methods The National Health Insurance Corporation (NHIC), previously the Korea Medical Insurance Corporation, provides health insurance to government employees, teachers, and their dependents. Of the Korean population approximately 43.7 million in 1992 4,662,438 (10.7%) were insured by this organization, including 1,297,833 workers and 3,364,605 dependents. This study population was 789,396 dependents over aged 40 years old. Of these eligible women people, 341,183 subjects were actually enrolled with the participation rate of 43.22%. Among 341,183 women, 271,894 women (79.7%) were selected for this study. All workers were required to participate in biennial medical examinations [15]. This examination included a lifestyle and medical questionnaire, along with measurement of blood chemistries in a fasting blood sample. The present cohort includes 271,894 women from 40 to 69 years of age who received health insurance from the NHIC and who had biennial medical evaluations during the period 1993. Of the 271,894 female participants, 9090 subjects (3.9%) with incomplete data on smoking, weight and height and 3767 subjects (1.6%) with missing information on fasting serum cholesterol level were excluded. A total of 24,607 (10.5%) people reporting a history of any form of chronic diseases including cancer, cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease, and other illness and 31 who died in the interval between questionnaire completion and start of follow-up on 1 January of the subsequent year were also excluded, leaving a final sample size of 234,399. 2.1. Data collection The NHIC biennial examinations, conducted by medical staff at local hospitals, follow a standard procedure. In the 1993 questionnaires, participants were asked to describe their smoking habits, along with some other health habits including alcohol consumption. The 1993 medical examination included measurements of weight, height, and blood pressure. Blood pressure was measured in the seated position by a registered nurse or blood pressure technician using a standard mercury sphygmomanometer or automatic manometer. In the case of manual manometers, systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were measured as the first and fifth Korotkoff sounds, respectively. One measurement was taken. A fasting blood specimen was drawn and analyzed for total cholesterol and blood sugar levels. Each hospital had internal and external quality control procedures directed by the Korean Association of Laboratory Quality Control. In the 1993 examination, people were asked about the status of smoking. Using the data collected in the 1993 examination, the study population were classified as current smokers if they smoked currently for at least 1 year, non-smokers if they never smoked, and ex-smokers if they smoked but quit. Current smokers were further classified by the average number of cigarettes smoked per day (1 9, 10 19 and 20 cigarettes/day) and duration of smoking (1 19, 20 29, and 30 years). Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight/height 2 (kg/m 2 ). Hypertension was defined as a systolic BP 140 or diastolic BP 90 mmhg; stages of hypertension were further classified according to the Sixth Report of the Joint National Committee on the Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC VI) criteria [16]. Using National Cholesterol Education Program (NCEP) guidelines [17], serum total cholesterol was classified as desirable (blood cholesterol <200 mg/dl), borderline-high (blood cholesterol 200 239 mg/dl) and high (blood cholesterol 240 mg/dl). Using National Diabetes Data Group s diagnostic criteria [18], diabetes was defined by a fasting blood sugar 126 mg/dl. Categories of average alcohol consumption were 0, 1 20, and 20 g/day, as used in previous studies [10]. The principal outcome variables were morbidity and mortality from: (1) ischemic heart disease (IHD) alone (ICD 9 codes 410 414), along with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) alone (ICD 9 codes 410) and angina pectoris (AP) alone (ICD 9 codes 413), (2) cerebrovascular disease (CVD) alone (ICD codes 430 438), and (3) total ASCVD. The latter category included hypertensive disease (ICD 9 codes 401 405), ischemic heart disease (410 414), hemorrhagic stroke (430 432), thrombotic stroke (433 434), other stroke (435 438), other heart disease likely related to ASCVD (426 429), sudden death (798) and other vascular disease (440 444). For those individuals with more than one event, we used just the first event in our analyses. Outcomes were ascertained from diagnoses on hospital discharge summaries and from causes of death on death certificates. In Korea, professionally trained and certified medical chart recorders abstracted charts and assigned discharge diagnoses in a standardized fashion using WHO codes

308 S.H. Jee et al. / Atherosclerosis 190 (2007) 306 312 for common diseases such as stroke and myocardial infarction. Likewise, these recorders completed death certificates using information provided by doctors. In terms of mortality, follow-up was 100% completed, because we could perform computerized searches of death certificate data from the National Statistical Office in Korea on each of the NHIC enrollees. For morbidity, which was defined exclusive by hospital discharge diagnoses, follow-up was likely to be quite high, if not close to 100%, because hospitals cannot receive payments until the bill with the discharge diagnoses was submitted to NHIC. The follow-up period was up to 10 years, through 31 December 2003. The exact dates of completion of the survey form were not recorded. Consequently, follow-up accrual began on 1 January of the calendar year (1994) following the year (1993) in which the survey form was completed. Persons who completed a survey but died within the calendar year of the survey were excluded. 2.2. Statistical analysis In bivariate analyses, we examined the relationship between smoking status and traditional ASCVD risk factors, adjusting for age using the age distribution of the 1995 Korean Census population. In these bivariate analyses, we tested for trends across categories of amount of current smoking, using non-smokers as the reference. For ASCVD risk factors with a continuous distribution, we used simple linear regression and entered an ordinal variable for the categories of current smoking ( 0 for non-smokers, 1 for 1 9 cigarettes/day, 2 for 10 19 cigarettes/day, and 3 for 20+ cigarettes/day). For dichotomous variables, we used the method of Mantel Haenszel [19]. In these models, ex-smokers were excluded. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the independent effects of smoking (both current cigarette smoking and ex-smoking) on IHD, CVD, and ASCVD events, controlling for age and traditional risk factors (hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes and alcohol drinking). For the CVD analyses, we assessed the impact of smoking with and without adjustment for alcohol consumption. After excluding ex-smokers, tests of interaction were performed in Cox proportional hazard models adding terms for current smoking (yes/no), cholesterol status (<200 mg/dl versus 200 mg/dl) and a corresponding interaction term. To calculate the population attributable risk (PAR) from cigarette smoking and other ASCVD risk factors, we used Levins formula [20]; separate PAR analyses were performed in those with a total cholesterol <200 mg/dl. In all analyses, a two-sided α level of 0.05 was considered statistically significant. 3. Results The mean (S.D.) age of study participants was 51.8 (8.1) years. Among the 234,399 women, 13,696 (5.8%) were current smokers and 5753 (2.5%) were ex-smokers; 51,337 (21.9%) had stage I, 18,237 (7.8%) stage II, and 8690 (3.7%) stage III hypertension. With respect to total cholesterol, 128,644 (54.9%) had a total cholesterol <200 mg/dl, 72,493 (30.9%) had a borderline level of 200 239 mg/dl and 33,262 (14.2%) had a level 240 mg/dl. Among current smokers, 44.4% smoked for over 20 years; 54.0%, 33.5% and 12.5% of current smokers smoked 1 9, 10 19, and 20 cigarettes/day, respectively. Characteristics of non-smokers, ex-smokers and current smokers are presented in Table 1. After adjustment for age, current smokers compared to non-smokers had significantly higher fasting blood sugar (p-trend = 0.044), consumed more alcohol (p-trend = 0.046) and had a higher prevalence of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, and alcohol use (each p-trend < 0.001). Table 1 Baseline characteristics of 234,399 women in 1993, according to smoking status a Non-smokers (n = 214,950) Ex-smokers (n = 5753) Current smokers (cigarettes/day) 1 9 (n = 7394) 10 19 (n = 4595) 20 (n = 1707) p-trend b Age (year) 51.2 ± 7.8 58.8 ± 8.0 58.8 ± 7.6 59.0 ± 7.4 58.7 ± 7.4 0.233 Systolic blood pressure (mmhg) 123.1 ± 19.2 126.3 ± 21.1 123.1 ± 20.4 123.7 ± 20.9 123.9 ± 20.3 0.061 Diastolic blood pressure (mmhg) 79.5 ± 12.7 80.9 ± 13.5 78.9 ± 13.2 79.2 ± 13.4 79.3 ± 13.2 0.845 Total cholesterol (mg/dl) 197.6 ± 39.0 206.1 ± 40.3 204.3 ± 40.4 206.3 ± 41.0 207.2 ± 41.7 0.076 Body mass index (kg/m 2 ) 23.8 ± 3.0 23.9 ± 3.3 23.0 ± 3.4 23.1 ± 3.4 23.3 ± 3.6 0.492 Fasting blood sugar (mg/dl) 90.6 ± 22.2 94.8 ± 31.5 92.9 ± 28.4 93.9 ± 28.6 94.5 ± 28.5 0.044 Alcohol consumption (drinks/day) 0.1 ± 1.5 0.4 ± 2.2 0.4 ± 2.4 0.5 ± 2.3 1.1 ± 7.8 0.046 Conditions (%) Hypertension c 33.1 40.7 34.0 34.9 36.2 <0.001 Hypercholesterolemia d 13.8 19.0 17.9 20.6 10.6 <0.001 Diabetes e 3.3 6.1 5.2 6.3 3.6 <0.001 Alcohol use f 11.5 29.3 34.0 34.1 40.3 <0.001 a Except for age, all values were age-adjusted. b Testing for trend across non-smokers and current smokers; ex-smokers excluded. c Systolic blood pressure 140 mmhg and/or diastolic blood pressure 90 mmhg. d Total cholesterol 240 mg/dl. e Fasting blood sugar 126 mg/dl. f Consumption of any alcohol.

S.H. Jee et al. / Atherosclerosis 190 (2007) 306 312 309 Table 2 Age-adjusted incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in Korean women Non-smokers Ex-smokers Current smokers (cigarettes/day) 1 9 10 19 20 Event 12512 626 944 612 219 Person year (PY) 2347508 59911 75423 46247 17789 Age-adjusted rate a 596.1 673.3 856.8 908.5 889.1 a Per 100,000 PY. During 10 years of follow-up (2,546,880 person year), 14,913 women (6.4%) were either hospitalized or died from ASCVD. Of these, 4534 IHD (176/100,000 person year), 7961 CVD (310/100,000 person year) and 2418 other ASCVD events occurred, including 475 deaths (19/100,000 person year) from IHD, 1928 deaths (76/100,000 person year) from CVD and 302 deaths from other ASCVD. These 2705 deaths from ASCVD were 24.5% of all deaths that occurred during follow-up. Compared with non-smokers, age-adjusted incidence rates for ASCVD for ex- or current smokers was increased (Table 2). The independent effects of smoking on IHD, CVD and total ASCVD were examined in Cox proportional hazards models that simultaneously controlled for age, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes and alcohol drinking (Table 3). Compared to non-smokers, the hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) for IHD was 1.7 (1.5 1.9) in smokers (p < 0.001) and 1.2 (1.1 1.4) in ex-smokers (p < 0.001). For CVD, the corresponding HRs were 1.6 (1.5 1.6) in smokers (p < 0.001) and 1.1 (1.0 1.2) in ex-smokers (p = 0.082). Compared to non-smokers, the HRs for any ASCVD event was 1.6 (1.5 1.7) (p < 0.001) in smokers and 1.2 (1.1 1.3) (p < 0.001) in ex-smokers. In these models, hypertension status was associated with cardiovascular events in a progressive, dose response fashion. Borderline and high total cholesterol were associated with IHD and total ASCVD; high cholesterol but not borderline cholesterol was associated with CVD alone. In separate Cox proportional models, current smoking was significantly associated with the occurrence of hemorrhagic stroke (HR = 1.9, p < 0.001) and thrombotic stroke (HR = 1.6, p < 0.001). After additional adjustment for alcohol intake, the corresponding HR were 1.8 (p = 0.001) and 1.6 (p < 0.001). To assess the relationship between smoking and ASCVD by level of total cholesterol, we divided the cohort into quartiles of total cholesterol (<166, 166 190, 191 216, 217 mg/dl). In these quartiles, the number of IHD events was 669, 824, 1147, 1894, respectively, while the number of CVD events was 1312, 1722, 2117, and 2810, respectively. In each quartile of serum cholesterol, current smoking was Table 3 Risk of morbidity and mortality from ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and total atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in Korean women, Cox proportional hazards model Variable Category Ischemic heart disease Cerebrovascular disease Total atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease HR 95% CI p-value HR 95% CI p-value HR 95% CI p-value Age (5 years) 1.3 1.2 1.3 <0.001 1.5 1.5 1.5 <0.001 1.4 1.4 1.4 <0.001 Cigarette smoking Ex-smoker 1.3 1.1 1.5 0.003 1.1 1.0 1.2 =0.082 1.2 1.1 1.3 =0.001 Amount 1 9 cigarettes/day 1.8 1.6 2.0 <0.001 1.6 1.5 1.7 <0.001 1.6 1.5 1.7 <0.001 10 19 cigarettes/day 1.8 1.5 2.1 <0.001 1.7 1.5 1.9 <0.001 1.7 1.6 1.8 <0.001 20 cigarettes/day 1.7 1.3 2.2 <0.001 1.6 1.4 1.5 <0.001 1.5 1.3 1.7 <0.001 Blood pressure a High normal blood pressure 1.4 1.2 1.5 <0.001 1.4 1.3 1.5 <0.001 1.4 1.3 1.5 <0.001 Stage 1 hypertension 1.5 1.4 1.6 <0.001 1.7 1.6 1.8 <0.001 1.7 1.6 1.7 <0.001 Stage 2 hypertension 1.9 1.7 2.0 <0.001 2.4 2.2 2.5 <0.001 2.3 2.2 2.5 <0.001 Stage 3 hypertension 2.3 2.1 2.6 <0.001 3.8 3.5 4.1 <0.001 3.5 3.3 3.7 <0.001 Total cholesterol b Borderline high cholesterol 1.3 1.2 1.4 <0.001 1.0 0.9 1.1 =0.243 1.1 1.0 1.1 <0.001 High cholesterol 1.6 1.5 1.7 <0.001 1.1 1.0 1.2 =0.042 1.2 1.1 1.2 <0.001 Fasting blood sugar c Diabetes 1.9 1.7 2.1 <0.001 1.8 1.6 1.9 <0.001 1.7 1.6 1.8 <0.001 Alcohol drinking Drinker 0.8 0.8 0.9 <0.001 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.598 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.004 HRs were estimated adjusted for age, cigarette smoking, blood pressure, fasting blood sugar, and alcohol drinking. a The reference category is normal (SBP < 130 and DBP < 85 mmhg); other categories were high normal (130 SBP < 140 or 85 DBP < 90 mmhg), stage 1 hypertension (140 SBP < 160 or 90 DBP < 100 mmhg), stage 2 hypertension (160 SBP < 180 or 100 DBP < 110 mmhg), and stage 3 hypertension (SBP 180 or DBP 110 mmhg). b The reference category is desirable (blood cholesterol <200 mg/dl); other categories were borderline-high (blood cholesterol 200 239 mg/dl) and high (blood cholesterol 240 mg/dl). c The reference category is a fasting blood sugar <126 mg/dl; diabetes is defined as a fasting blood sugar 126 mg/dl.

310 S.H. Jee et al. / Atherosclerosis 190 (2007) 306 312 Fig. 1. Hazard ratio with 95% confidence interval of morbidity and mortality from ischemic heart disease (IHD) and cerebrovascular disease (CVD) in quartiles of total cholesterol of smokers compared with non-smokers. HRs were estimated adjusted for age, cigarette smoking, blood pressure, fasting blood sugar, and alcohol drinking. Fig. 2. Hazard ratio with 95% confidence interval of morbidity and mortality from myocardial infarction (MI) and angina pectoris (AP) in quartiles of total cholesterol of smokers compared with non-smokers. HRs were estimated adjusted for age, cigarette smoking, blood pressure, fasting blood sugar, and alcohol drinking. significantly associated with CVD but not IHD (Fig. 1) in lowest quartile. In further analysis of IHD, we found that current smoking was significantly associated with AMI but not AP (Fig. 2) in lowest quartile. For current smoking and other traditional risk factors, we estimated the population attributable risks for IHD alone, and CVD alone using risk factor prevalence estimates from this study. For IHD, current smoking accounted for approximately 3.9% of events and hypertension for 16.2% of events. For CVD, corresponding estimates were 3.3% from smoking and 24.7% from hypertension. 4. Discussion In this large prospective, observational study of Korean women, we documented that current cigarette smoking was a strong, independent risk factor for IHD, CVD, and total ASCVD events. These risk relationships were present throughout the range of total serum cholesterol, including the lowest quartile (<166 mg/dl) for AMI and CVD events, but not AP. To date, few studies have examined the independent effects of cigarette smoking on IHD in South East Asian countries. In one observational study conducted in China, cigarette smoking was significantly associated with IHD mortality [10]. However, the IHD analyses were only adjusted for age and alcohol intake, not for traditional ASCVD risk factors. In an initial and subsequent report from Nippon, Honolulu, and San Francisco (NI HON SAN) study, cigarette smoking was a significant, independent risk factor for coronary heart disease in Japanese men living in Hawaii but not in those living in Japan, where serum cholesterol levels were relatively low [11,21]. In the Hisayama, Japan, cohort study, smoking was significantly associated with coronary heart disease in persons with a total cholesterol level of 180 mg/dl or higher but not in persons with a cholesterol level of less than 180 mg/dl [9]. In autopsy series from same study, smoking was not a risk factor for coronary atherosclerosis [22]. In the Puerto Rico Heart Health Program, where the mean total cholesterol level was 202 mg/dl, smoking did not predict the occurrence of IHD [23]. However, in one recent observational study conducted in Korea, a low cholesterol level had no protective benefit against smoking-related ASCVD in men (12). To our knowledge, no study had been done among women. In the context of these equivocal results, our previous (12) and present study provides unambiguous evidence that current cigarette smoking is a risk factor for IHD and CVD, even among persons with low serum cholesterol levels. Only exception was that smoking was not associated with the risk of AP in lowest quartile of total cholesterol in our study. These results, along with the unchanged findings with exclusion of the first 5 years of follow-up, weigh against the possibility that the presence of AP increases smoking cessation; i.e., reverse causality. The present study also demonstrated that cigarette smoking was a significant risk factor for CVD events and stroke subtypes, both thrombotic and hemorrhagic. In this respect, our data are consistent with observational data from the United States [6,24], and Japan (2004) [25], but not with recent data from China [10]. In the latter study, cigarette smoking did not predict the occurrence of stroke mortality in analyses adjusting for age and alcohol use. This inconsistency may have resulted from differences in study power, i.e. 197 events in the Yuan study versus 10,606 events in the NHIC study. In our analyses, ex-smokers had a lower risk of IHD than current smokers. In contrast, the risk of CVD disease in ex-smokers was not significantly different from that of nonsmokers. This pattern of findings suggests that the high risk of CVD disease subsides after cessation of smoking, while the risk of IHD persists for a longer, albeit unknown, period of time. Unfortunately, the present data does not have information on quit dates in ex-smokers. Among the strengths of the NHIC study are high follow-up rates, its large, national sample. The sufficient sample size of

S.H. Jee et al. / Atherosclerosis 190 (2007) 306 312 311 our cohort allowed us to evaluate the effect of smoking with various level of serum cholesterol level. There, however, may be some concern on selection bias since the final sample of 234,399 women (68.7%) out of 341,183 subjects was selected for our study, we interpreted carefully our study results for the general population. Other potential limitations of our study include the relatively brief duration of follow-up, inclusion of individuals with prevalent ASCVD in the cohort, and reliance on diagnoses from discharge summaries and death certificates. The inclusion of persons with antecedent ASCVD events could potentially lead to biased estimates. The bias, however, is likely to be conservative, because such individuals tend to adopt desirable habits after clinical ASCVD events; hence, the category of non-smokers may be differentially enriched with persons who stopped smoking after a heart attack or stroke. The impact of prevalent ASCVD is also diminished because individuals who experienced ASCVD events between 1/93 and 12/93, the years of baseline data collection, were excluded. Reliance on diagnoses from hospitalizations and death certificates may introduce random and systematic errors. Random error would tend to diminish the study s power to detect associations. Systematic error could alter the distribution of events and perhaps risk factor disease relationships if the errors were related to exposure status. However, the consistency of our findings, i.e. significant relationships of current smoking with the broad category of ASCVD events as well as the component categories of IHD and CVD events, suggest that major systematic errors related to the coding of ASCVD events was unlikely. The information on medical treatment for dyslipidemia was not available for this study population. However, in 1993 at baseline of this study, medical treatment for dyslipidemia in Korea was not common. The average level of total serum cholesterol among the participants from the health examination in 1993 was 197.7 (S.D., 39.7) [26]. In summary, smoking is a major, independent risk factor for ASCVD in Korean women, a South East Asian country with a increasing prevalence of women s smoking and an escalating burden of ASCVD. Furthermore, a low total cholesterol level confers no protective benefit against smoking-related ASCVD. Acknowledgments The authors thank the staff of the Korean National Insurance Corporation. This study was partially supported by a grant of Ministry of Health and Welfare, Republic of Korea (00-PJ6-PG5-23-0001) and Seoul City R&BD project. References [1] National Statistical Office. Annual report on the cause of death statistics. Republic of Korea; 2003. [2] Kannel WB, McGee DL, Castelli WP. Latest perspective on cigarette smoking and cardiovascular disease: the Framingham study. J Cardiac Rehab 1984;4:267 77. [3] The Pooling Project Research Group. Relationship of blood pressure, serum cholesterol, smoking habit, relative weight and ECG abnormalities to incidence of major coronary events: final report of the pooling project. J Chronic Dis 1978;31:201 306. [4] Doll R, Peto R. Mortality in relation to smoking: 22 years observations of male British doctors. Br Med J 1976;2:1525 36. [5] Willett WC, Green A, Stampfer MJ, et al. Relative and absolute excess risks of coronary heart disease among women who smoke cigarettes. N Engl J Med 1987;317:1303 9. [6] Wolf PA, D Agostino RB, Kannel WB, Bonita R, Belanger AJ. Cigarette smoking as a risk factor for stroke: the Framingham study. JAMA 1988;259:1025 9. [7] Neaton JD, Wentworth D, for the MRFIT Research Group. Serum cholesterol, blood pressure, cigarette smoking, and death from coronary heart disease. Overall findings and differences by age for 316,099 white men. Arch Intern Med 1992;152:56 64. [8] Stamler J, Wentworth D, Neaton JD, for the MRFIT Research Group. Is relationship between serum cholesterol and risk of premature death from coronary heart disease continuous and graded? Findings in 356,222 primary screenees of the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT). JAMA 1986;256(20):2823 8. [9] Kiyohara Y, Ueda K, Fujishima M. Smoking and cardiovascular disease in the general population in Japan. J Hypertens 1990;8(Suppl 5):S9 S15. [10] Yuan JM, Ross RK, Wang XL, et al. Morbidity and mortality in relation to cigarette smoking in Shanghai, China. JAMA 1996;275:1646 50. [11] Yano K, MacLean CJ, Reed DM, et al. A comparison of 12-year mortality and predictive factors of coronary heart disease among Japanese men in Japan and Hawaii. Am J Epidemiol 1988;127:476 87. [12] Jee SH, Suh I, Kim IS. Smoking and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in men with low levels of serum cholesterol. JAMA 1999;282(22):2149 55. [13] Gallup survey. Prevalence of smoking in Korean adults; 2003. [14] Goldberg RJ. Coronary heart disease: epidemiology and risk factors. In: Ockene IS, Ockene JK, editors. Prevention of coronary heart disease. Little, Brown and Company; 1992. [15] Jee SH, Appel LJ, Suh I, Whelton PK, Kim IS. Prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in South Korean adults: results from the Korea Medical Insurance Corporation (KMIC) study. Ann Epidemiol 1998;8:14 21. [16] National Institute of Health. The Sixth Report of the Joint National Committee on Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure. NIH Publication No. 98-4080. Bethesda, MD; 1997. [17] The National Cholesterol Education Program. Report of the Expert Panel on Blood Cholesterol Levels in Children and Adolescents. NIH Publication No. 91-2732. Bethesda, MD; 1994. [18] National Diabetes Data Group. Report of the Expert Committee on the Diagnostic Classification of Diabetes. Diabetes Care 1997;20(7):1183 97. [19] Breslow NE, Day NE. Statistical methods in cancer research. Vol. 1: The analysis of case-control studies. Lyon, France: IARC Scientific Publication No. 32, pp. 146 150. [20] Levin ML. The occurrence of lung cancer in man. Acta Intern Cancer 1953;19:531. [21] Robertson DL, Kato H, Gordon T, et al. Epidemiologic studies of coronary heart disease and stroke in Japanese men living in Japan, Hawaii, and California: coronary heart disease risk factors in Japan and Hawaii. Am J Cardiol 1977;39:244 9. [22] Okumiya N, Tanaka K, Ueda K, Omae T. Coronary atherosclerosis and antecedent risk factors: pathologic and epidemiologic study in Hisayama, Japan. Am J Cardiol 1985;56:62 7.

312 S.H. Jee et al. / Atherosclerosis 190 (2007) 306 312 [23] Gordon T, Garcia-Palmier MR, Kagan A, Kannel WB, Schiffman J. Differences in coronary heart disease in Framingham, Honolulu and Puerto Rico. J Chronic Dis 1974;27:329 44. [24] Abbott RD, Yin Y, Reed DM, Yano K. Risk of stroke in male cigarette smokers. N Engl J Med 1986;315:717 20. [25] Ueshima H, Choudhury SR, Okayama A, et al. Cigarette smoking as a risk factor for stroke death in Japan: NIPPON DATA80. Stroke 2004;35:1836 41. [26] Yearbook of Health Examination. Korean: National Health Insurance Corporation; 1993. p. 47.