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Investigation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients discharged without home mechanical ventilation after in-hospital use of acute non-invasive ventilation Authors: Yasuhiro Kamii, MD Hirotoshi Matsui, MD, PhD Masahiro Ohgiya, MD Mei Matsuki, MD Saki Nagoshi, MD Shiho Kohno, MD Akihito Sato, MD Ken Ohta, MD, PhD Affiliation: Center for Pulmonary Diseases, National Hospital Organization, Tokyo National Hospital 3-1-1 Takeoka Kiyose, Tokyo Japan 204-8585 Corresponding author: Yasuhiro Kamii Email: filsducrepuscule@gmail.com Tel: 042-491-2111 Fax: 042-494-2168 Keywords: non-invasive positive pressure ventilation, acute exacerbation of COPD Abstract In stable hypercapnic chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients, clear benefits have been shown on long-term non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NPPV) use, targeting reduction of hypercapnia. In contrast, the effectiveness of continuing NPPV at home after acute NPPV during hospitalization is controversial. To evaluate the prognosis and clinical course of patients with COPD who used acute NPPV during hospitalization but not after discharge, we conducted a retrospective, single-center, chart review on patients admitted because of an acute exacerbation of COPD, who used NPPV during hospitalization between December 2010 and March 2014. Of 50 patients, 25 patients were excluded due to insufficient follow-up and death during hospitalization. 18 patients continued using NPPV after discharge, while 7 patients did not. The average PaCO 2 on discharge was 62.0 mmhg in patients who used NPPV after discharge and 51.2 mmhg in patients who did not. Percentage of patients who developed an exacerbation after discharge was 61.0% and 42.9%, respectively. Median survival, event-free survival, and rate of acute exacerbation between the two groups were not significantly different. PaCO 2 -matched comparison revealed no significant difference in median survival and event-free survival between the patients with NPPV and without NPPV after discharge. PaCO 2 before discharge or NPPV usage after discharge was not related to the acute exacerbation after discharge. COPD patients treated with acute NPPV in hospital did not continue NPPV after discharge when PaCO 2 got lower. In these patients prognosis was not significantly different from those with chronic NPPV. The doctors judgment of discontinuing NPPV when PaCO 2 has improved in hospital is feasible for COPD patients. Page 1

1. Introduction Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a disease characterized by chronic progressive obstructive ventilatory disturbance. 1 When COPD progresses, patients develop respiratory failure due to impaired diffusion and ventilation-perfusion mismatch and sometimes hypercapnia with ventilation failure due possibly to respiratory muscles fatigue. 2 Once patients with COPD develop respiratory failure, two-year survival rate was reported as 30-40 %. 3 For patients with hypercapnia in the course of acute exacerbation of COPD, use of non-invasive positive pressure ventilation (NPPV) proved effective for decreasing mortality, endotracheal intubation, and hospital stay with accumulating evidences. 4-11 Although performing NPPV for stable hypercapnic COPD patients improves physiologic parameters as hypercapnia, exercise tolerance at six-minute walk distance, and QOL, 12-14 evidence is weak for improving survival. 15-17 Köhnlein et al reported in 2014 that targeting marked reduction of hypercapnia for stable hypercapnia COPD patients improved survival compared to the non-intervention group. 19 In contrast, the effectiveness of continuing NPPV at home after acute NPPV during hospitalization is controversial. 20-23 To evaluate the prognosis and clinical course of patients with COPD who used acute NPPV during hospitalization but not after discharge, we conducted a retrospective, single-center, chart review on patients admitted because of an acute exacerbation of COPD, who used NPPV during hospitalization. 2. Material & Methods 2.1. Patients There were 478 patients who were admitted to this hospital and used NPPV for respiratory failure from December 2010 to March 2014. Four hundred and twenty-nine patients were excluded because their respiratory failure resulted from other underlying cardiopulmonary diseases, such as prior pulmonary tuberculosis, congestive heart failure or sleep apnea syndrome. Thus, 49 patients with acute exacerbation (AE) of COPD were selected. Thirteen patients were excluded due to insufficient follow-up and 11 patients due to death during hospitalization. The remaining 25 patients were analyzed in this study. Of the 25 patients who met inclusion criteria, 18 patients continued NPPV after discharge (NPPV group) while 7 patients did not continue after discharge (non-nppv group). 2.2. Diagnosis of AE-COPD COPD patients with a post-bronchodilator forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio of < 0.70 24 were Page 2

included in the study. We did not distinguish COPD from Asthma-COPD overlap syndrome. Acute exacerbations of COPD (AE-COPD) was defined as an acute worsening of respiratory symptoms that results in additional therapy. 24 2.3. Study protocol This study retrospectively analyzed medical records in this center. We reviewed age, sex, overall survival (OS), Event-free survival (EFS), Gold stage, PaCO 2, and ventilator settings and assessed these parameters between patients with NPPV after discharge and patients without NPPV after discharge. EFS was defined as the period from discharge to readmission due to AE-COPD. The observation period was more than two years (until March 2016). This study met compliance with the standards of the Declaration of Helsinki and the current ethical guidelines, and was approved by the institutional ethics committee. 2.4. Statistical analysis OS and EFS curves were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. OS was calculated from the first admission due to AE-COPD until death from any cause or the last follow-up. Mean PaCO 2 on discharge was calculated by Welch-t test. Data were analyzed using GraphPad Prism ver.5.02. Two-tailed P values of < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. 3. Results 3.1. Patient characteristics The characteristics of the patients are shown in Table 1. There were several differences in the baseline characteristics of the two groups. The mean age of the non-nppv group was 8.0 years older than the with NPPV group which was statistically significant (p=0.0214). There was a higher proportion of female distribution in the non-nppv group. PaCO 2 on admission tended to be higher in non-nppv group (p=0.0721). IPAP on admission and EPAP on admission were similar in both groups (p=0.5513 and 0.9066, respectively). 3.2. Comparison of OS and EFS with and without NPPV after discharge OS was 827 days in patients with NPPV after discharge and 537 days in patients without, indicating no significant difference (p=0.88) (Figure 1). EFS was 501 days in patients who used NPPV after discharge and 537 days in patients who did not, which was not significantly different (p=0.72) (Figure 2). The average PaCO 2 on discharge in patients with NPPV (62.0±13.9 mmhg) was significantly higher than that in patients without using NPPV after discharge (51.2±6.2) mmhg (p=0.0021). Page 3

Table 1. Baseline characteristics of patients. With NPPV(n=18) Without NPPV(n=7) p-value Age 72.5(5.3) 80.5(5.7) 0.0214 Men/Women 16/2 4/3 0.0748 Gold stage I+II/III+IV 1/17 1/6 0.490 LTOT use /+ 5/13 3/4 0.640 Smoking status(py) 81.7(37.6) 59.4(33.0) 0.1985 ph on admission 7.274(0.077) 7.256(0.068) 0.590 PaCO 2 on admission 88.4(24.2) 108.9(22.7) 0.0721 PaO 2 on admission 85.6(35.2) 86.0(38.7) 0.984 IPAP on admission 11.2(3.3) 12.2(3.2) 0.551 EPAP on admission 4.4(1.3) 4.5(0.84) 0.907 IPAP on discharge 10.8(3.1) N/A N/A Notes: All results are expressed as the mean (standard deviation). Abbreviations: LTOT, long-term oxygen therapy; py, pack-years; PaCO 2, partial pressure of carbon dioxide in arterial blood; PaO 2, partial pressure of oxygen in arterial blood; IPAP, inspiratory positive airway pressure; EPAP, expiratory positive airway pressure; N/A, not applicable Page 4

P e rc e n t s u rv iv a l P e rc e n t s u rv iv a l Medical Research Archives, Vol. 5, Issue 9, September 2017 O S 8 2 7 v s 5 3 7 d a y s p = 0.8 8 1 0 0 w ith w ith o u t 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 D a y s Figure 1. Overall survival (OS) difference between patients discharged with and without NPPV E F S 5 0 1 v s 5 3 7 d a y s p = 0.7 2 1 0 0 w ith w ith o u t 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 D a y s Figure 2. Event-free survival (EFS) difference between patients discharged with and without NPPV Page 5

P e rc e n t s u rv iv a l P e rc e n t s u rv iv a l Medical Research Archives, Vol. 5, Issue 9, September 2017 3.3. Comparison of OS and EFS with and without NPPV after discharge analyzed in PaCO 2 -matched patients We, thus, compared PaCO 2 -matched OS and EFS. We selected 9 patients discharged with NPPV, whose PaCO 2 at the time of discharge was in the lower half of the group. Mean PaCO 2 of these patients discharged with NPPV (51.5±3.5 mmhg) was properly matched with that of patients without NPPV (51.5±6.2 mmhg). Neither OS (p=0.95) (Figure 3) or EFS (p=0.67) (Figure 4) was significantly different between the two PaCO 2 -matched groups. O S 9 6 8 v s 5 3 7 d a y s p = 0.9 5 1 0 0 w ith w ith o u t 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 D a y s Figure 3. PaCO 2 -matched OS differences between the patients discharged with and without NPPV E F S 5 0 1 v s 5 3 7 d a y s p = 0.6 7 1 0 0 w ith w ith o u t 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 D a y s Figure 4. PaCO 2 -matched EFS differences between the patients discharged with and without NPPV. Page 6

P e rc e n t s u rv iv a l Medical Research Archives, Vol. 5, Issue 9, September 2017 3.4. Difference in OS and EFS in patients with NPPV after discharge depending on PaCO 2 on discharge Then, we divided patients discharged with NPPV into 2 groups, low PaCO 2 group (n=9) and high PaCO 2 group (n=9). OS (p=0.82) (Figure 5) or EFS (p=0.73) (Figure 6) was not significantly different between the two groups. Higher PaCO 2 on discharge was not a risk factor for. There was not a significant difference in survival or rehospitalization among low and high PaCO 2 group with NPPV, and non-nppv group. 3.5. Comparison of risk for rehospitalization between NPPV group and non-nppv group Percentage of patients who developed an exacerbation after discharge was 67% and 29%, respectively (p=0.085) (Figure 7), suggesting patients discharged without NPPV tended to show less AEs than those with NPPV. There was no significant difference of mean PaCO 2 on discharge between patients with and without acute exacerbation after discharge (p=0.66). O S 9 6 8 v s 1 1 5 8 d a y s p = 0.8 2 1 0 0 low h ig h 5 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 D a y s Figure 5. OS differences of patients discharged with NPPV between high PaCO 2 group and low PaCO 2 group Page 7

P e rc e n t s u rv iv a l Medical Research Archives, Vol. 5, Issue 9, September 2017 E F S 5 0 1 v s 2 5 1 d a y s p = 0.7 3 1 0 0 low h ig h 5 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 0 D a y s Figure 6. EFS differences of patients discharged with NPPV between high PaCO 2 group and low PaCO 2 group A c u te e x a c e rb a tio n (A E ) a fte r in itia tio n o f N P P V p = 0.0 8 5 e x a c e rb a tio n w ith n o e x a c e rb a tio n w ith o u t 0 5 1 0 1 5 2 0 n u m b e r Figure 7. Difference of acute exacerbation after discharge between patients discharged with and without NPPV. Page 8

4. Discussion In this study, we first hypothesized that more patients in the non-nppv group would be rehospitalized after in-hospital use of NPPV for acute exacerbation of COPD, so that we could determine the risk factors which predict quick rehospitalization. However, survival or rehospitalization was not significantly different between patients with and without NPPV. We then suspected that the reason for the no difference might be because of lower PaCO 2 on discharge of patients without NPPV compared with that of patients with NPPV. Contrary to our suspicion, PaCO 2 -matched comparison of OS and EFS did not exhibit significant difference between patients discharged with and without NPPV. In addition, there was no significant difference of OS and EFS depending on PaCO 2 in patients discharged with NPPV. To our surprise, patients discharged without NPPV tended to show less AEs than those with NPPV. This result indicated that not only PaCO 2 at the time of discharge but other unknown factors affected doctors decisions of using or not using NPPV after discharge. Although the factors were not clarified in this study, we could suppose there are unknown risk factors for AE-COPD and rehospitalization for these patients included in this study. This study suggested that doctors tended to discontinue NPPV after discharge for patients with lower PaCO 2, in accordance with guidelines. 24 The choice of discontinuing NPPV when PaCO 2 improved in hospital was not a risk factor for rehospitalization or survival. Our study also suggested that PaCO 2 was not the only factor for the decision of NPPV continuation since doctors might discontinue NPPV for the more stable patients, resulting in less admission for the patients without NPPV. In 2010-2014 before the study published by Köhnlein T et al. 19, we used inspiratory positive airway pressure (IPAP) of ~11cmH 2 O for the acute and chronic NPPV because of fear of pneumothorax and patients intolerance. While randomized trials 15-18 between 2000-2010 indicated that NPPV did not significantly reduce hypercapnia or improve long-term survival when low-intensity NPPV was adopted, Köhnlein et al. 19 reported that the mean IPAP 21.6 cmh 2 O significantly reduced hypercapnia and resulted in improved overall survival in patients with hypercapnic COPD. Our study showed significant reduction of PaCO 2 in the acute phase of the clinical course but did not reveal improvement in OS, and EFS in the chronic phase after discharge. The fact that the mean IPAP (10.8 cmh 2 O on discharge) of this investigation was lower than the study (21.6 cmh 2 O 19 ) might be the reason for no significant difference. In 2011, Funk et al. 13 performed a study investigating 26 consecutive COPD Page 9

patients with acute hypercapnic respiratory failure requiring NPPV, who were randomized to continue or discontinue NPPV after their exacerbation. Mean time to clinical worsening was 162±40 days in the withdrawal group and 391±36 days in the ventilation group. Although clinical worsening was different from EFS, patients in this study stayed without readmission for a longer period without NPPV. We considered it was because of the lower PaCO 2 on discharge (51.5 cmh 2 O). The study had some limitations. Since it was a retrospective, single-center study, the sample size was small. There were only 7 patients in the non-nppv group. It could be the reason for the non-significant differences in the statistical analyses. Therefore, our main findings need to be confirmed in a large prospective study. Another concern was IPAP. Lower IPAP might reduce the OS and EFS in the NPPV group, leading to no difference in the comparisons between patients with and without NPPV. Although patients intolerance and fear of pneumothorax could have prevented higher IPAP studies in Japan, we should test the efficacy and safety with our patients. 5. Conclusions We concluded that the doctors judgment of discontinuing NPPV when PaCO 2 has improved in hospital after acute NPPV was feasible and not inferior to continuing NPPV for the management of COPD patients. 6. Declaration of interest The authors declare no conflicts of interest associated with this manuscript. Page 10

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