And new, additional, challenges are developing RISING EXPECTATIONS INCREASING NEED FINANCIAL CONSTRAINTS CLIMATE CHANGE

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However, all health services, everywhere, still face 5 major problems one of which is unwarranted variation which is variation in utilization of health care services that cannot be explained by variation in patient illness or patient preferences (Jack Wennberg) which reveals the other four FAILURE TO PREVENT DISEASE &DISABILITY eg stroke and vascular dementia from AF WASTE OF RESOURCES through low value activity HARM, from overuse even when quality is high INEQUITY, from underuse by groups in high need And new, additional, challenges are developing RISING EXPECTATIONS INCREASING NEED FINANCIAL CONSTRAINTS CLIMATE CHANGE 1

The Value Century 1948-1972 Free 1980 s Effectiveness 1990 s Cost-effectiveness 2000 s Quality and Safety 2010 and for the rest of the century VALUE 2

Aim is triple value imaging eater equity Allocative, determined by how the assets are distributed to different sub groups in the population Between programme Between system Within system Technical, determined by how well resources are used for all the people in need in the population Personalised value, determined by how well the decisions relate to the values of each individual waste is anything that does not add value 3

4

NHS RightCare Commissioning for Value Roll-out plan 2015-2018 NHS RightCare 5

The NHS RightCare Approach in a nutshell 1. Helps health economies find where they are wasting money on sub-optimal low value or negative value healthcare. 2. Helps them replace that with optimal healthcare and get greater value. An improvement methodology that meets needs of all perspectives and delivers efficiency and a sustainable health economy 6 Overview

7 Traditionally we have looked at institutions and assessed their quality and this is essential but we now need to look at populations and reflect on value

8

9

NHS or nhs? Is people with epilepsy in Leeds better than in Liverpool? Who is responsible for the service for people with headache in Northumberland? Is people with knee pain in Somerset better than in Devon? Is the service for frail elderly people getting better in Herefordshire, is it better than in Worcs, and who is responsible for it? How many asthma services should there be in London, and in England and is that different from the number of services for inflammatory bowel disease? BetterValueHealthcare 10

10 QUESTIONS ABOUT VALUE 1. How much money should be spent on healthcare? 2. How much money should be top-sliced for research, education and information technology? (and for specialised services?) 3. Has the money for healthcare been distributed to different parts of the country by a method that recognises variation in need and maximises value for the whole population? BetterValueHealthcare 11

10 QUESTIONS ABOUT VALUE 4. Has the money for care been distributed to different patients groups, e.g. people with cancer or people with mental health problems, by a process of decision-making that is not only equitable but also maximises value for the whole population? BetterValueHealthcare 12

BUT THIS IS HOW THEY REPORT SPENDING AT PRESENT! BetterValueHealthcare 13

Question 4 Between Programme Marginal Analysis and reallocation is a commissioner responsibility with public involvement; how much is spent on mental health? Cancer 7Bn Respiratory 5Bn Gastro- Intestinal 4Bn 14

11Bn! At this point Gps will say but lots of people have more than one disease Mental Health Cancer Respiratory Gastrointestinal 15

Question 4 We are working to develop programme budgets determined by characteristic such being elderly with frailty Mental Health Many people have more than one problem ; they have complex needs. GP s are skilled in managing complexity but when one of the problems becomes complicated the Generalist needs Specialist help Cancers Respiratory Gastrointestinal 16

10 QUESTIONS ABOUT VALUE 4a Have the resources within one programme budget been allocated to optimise value BetterValueHealthcare 17

Within Programme, Between System Marginal analysis is a clinician responsibility Cancers Asthma COPD (Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) Apnoea Respiratory Gastroinstestinal 18

Technical Value (Efficiency) = Outcomes/ Resources Outcome= Benefit (EBM +Quality) Harm (Safety ) Resources ( + C + Time, of clinicians & patients) 19

Outcom e Cost Better Outcome Lower Cost These are the three traditional questions about Technical Value or Efficiency High Value 5. Is the quality of care being maximised? 6. Are clinical risks being minimised? 7. Can costs be cut further without increasing harm or reducing effectiveness 20

THERE ARE TWO QUESTIONS THAT NEED TO BE ASKED ABOUT TECHNICAL VALUE IN ADDITION TO THE TRADITIONAL THREE QUESTION 8 8. Are the resources that have been allocated being used on the right interventions? BetterValueHealthcare 21

Optimise resource use for each system by carrying out Within System Marginal Analysis Using the STAR tool Socio Technical Allocation of Resources Cancers Asthma COPD (Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) Apnoea Respiratory Gastroinstestinal Triple Drug Therapy O2 Stop Smoking Imaging Rehabilitation 22

THERE ARE TWO QUESTIONS THAT NEED TO BE ASKED ABOUT TECHNICAL VALUE IN ADDITION TO THE TRADITIONAL THREE QUESTION 9 9. Are the right patients being offered the high value interventions? BetterValueHealthcare 23

9a Are the specialist services seeing the patients who would benefit most All people with the condition People receiving the specialist service People who would benefit most from the specialist service 24

Hip replacement in most deprived populations compared with least derived populations Knee replacement in most deprived populations compared with least derived populations 31 33 Provision less than expected expected Provision more than 100 25

9b Are there imaging interventions which have gone past the point of optimality Point of optimality Harms Benefits Increment in Value with each increment in resources Investment of resources Copyright 2011 Right Care

10 QUESTIONS ABOUT VALUE 10 (should really be No 1) Are we sure that every individual patient is getting what is right for him or her? BetterValueHealthcare 27

Personalised imaging evidence and values based The values this patient places on benefits & harms of the options Evidence, Derived from the study of groups of patients Decision The clinical condition of this patient; other diagnoses, risk factors and their genetic profile and in particular their problem, what bothers them psychologically and socially Patient Report of the impact of the decision on problem that was bothering them most 28

Point of optimality Benefits Increment in Value with each increment in resources Harms Investment of resources 29

As the rate of imaging in the population increases, the balance of benefit and harm changes for the individual patient as well as for the population BENEFIT HARM CLINICAL Necessary appropriate inappropriate futile Resource s ECONOMICHigh Low Zero Negative VALUE Copyright 2011 Right Care

The Culture of Stewardship TRIPLE VALUE Population Based Systems 31

Map of Medicine - COPD Go to the ant, O sluggard study her ways and learn wisdom, for though she has no chief, no officer or ruler, she secures her food in the summer, she gathers her provisions in the harvest Proverbs 6;6 BetterValueHealthcare 32

Population healthcare focuses primarily on populations defined by a common need which may be a symptom such as breathlessness, a condition such as arthritis or a common characteristic such as frailty in old age, not on institutions, or specialties or technologies. Its aim is to maximise value and equity for those populations and the individuals within them 33

Hellish Decisions in Healthcare A 3 day event looking at the triple value agenda Personal value Technical value Allocative value Plus the Launch of a Value casebook with BMJ and an Institute for Value based Healthcare 7-9 December 2015 Oxford Info: www.vihf.net 34