Prevention of Heart Disease: The New Guidelines

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Prevention of Heart Disease: The New Guidelines Nisha I. Parikh MD MPH Assistant Professor of Medicine Division of Cardiology Department of Medicine University of California San Francisco May 18 th 2015 Disclosures No relevant disclosures 1

Summary of Talk Introduction 2013 ACC/AHA Guidelines on Treatment of Cholesterol 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline on Assessment of CVD Risk Conclusions Four guidelines 2013 ACC/AHA Guidelines on Treatment of Cholesterol 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline on Assessment of CVD Risk 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline on Lifestyle Management to Reduce CVD Risk 2013 ACC/AHA Guideline on Management of Overweight and Obesity in Adults 2

Age-Adjusted Prevalence of Cardiovascular Disease Risk Factors in Adults, U.S. 1961-2011 Vital Statistics of the United States, NCHS. NHLBI Factbook 2012 Deaths From Cardiovascular Diseases, U.S. 1900 2010 Vital Statistics of the United States, NCHS. NHLBI Factbook 2012 3

Background: NCEP ATP 3: 2001 and update in 2004 NCEP ATP 3, 2001 <10, 10-20, >20% 10 yr. CHD Risk Categories (based on Framingham Risk Score) Risk Equivalents : DM, AAA, PVD High Risk LDL goal < 100 mg/dl, institute diet, lifestyle changes if LDL between 100-129 mg/dl ATP 3 Update, 2004 Additional Goal LDL of <70 mg/dl for very high risk CVD Initiate diet/medical therapy for all persons over LDL goal Target LDL reduction of 30-40% Deaths From Cardiovascular Diseases, U.S. 1900 2010 Vital Statistics of the United States, NCHS. NHLBI Factbook 2012 4

Ten Leading Causes of Death: Death Rates, U.S., 2010 * Not age-adjusted, CLRD= COPD and asthma Vital Statistics of the United States, NCHS. NHLBI Factbook 2012 2013 AHA/ACC Prevention Guidelines Focused on evidence Statin-Based Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) These were designed with fixed statin dosages RCTs either compared fixed doses of statins with placebo or untreated controls, or RCTs compared fixed doses of higher-intensity statins with moderate-intensity statins. RCTs not focused on LDL and non-hdl treatment targets These guidelines were thus a departure from prior NCEP ATP 3 guidelines 5

Statin Trials of CVD Prevention: LDL level and risk of CHD Association between LDL lowering /CHD risk reduction * All LDL levels * Less at lower LDL levels JUPITER Adapted From: Huang et al Cleveland Clinic Journal of Medicine 2005 Recommendation and Level of Evidence: Size of Treatment Effect Class I: Benefit >>> Risk, SHOULD DO Class IIa: Benefit >> Risk (+ studies needed) IT IS REASONABLE TO DO Class IIb: Benefit Risk, (++ studies needed) MAY BE CONSIDERED Class III: No Benefit or There is Harm 6

Recommendation and Level of Evidence: Certainty of Treatment Effect LEVEL A: Multiple populations, multiple RCTs or meta-analyses LEVEL B: Limited populations, single RCT or nonrandomized trial LEVEL C: Very limited populations, consensus opinion, expert opinion, case studies ASCVD ASCVD Definition Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease Includes coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and peripheral arterial disease 7

Definitions of Statin Intensity ACC/AHA Guidelines: Treatment of Blood Cholesterol to Reduce ASCVD Risk in Adults KEY RECOMMENDATIONS 8

Summary of Key Recommendations for the Treatment of Blood Cholesterol to Reduce ASCVD Risk in Adults Secondary Prevention/Clinical ASCVD (I,A) 1. Age 75: High Intensity Statin 2. > Age 75: Moderate Intensity Statin Summary of Key Recommendations for the Treatment of Blood Cholesterol to Reduce ASCVD Risk in Adults Primary Prevention, LDL 190 mg/dl 1. Rule out underlying cause (I,B) 2. Age 21 years, start High Intensity Statin (I,B) 3. Want to achieve 50% LDL reduction (IIa, B) 4. Non-statin can be added on as needed (IIb, C) 9

Common secondary causes of hyperlipidemia Summary of Key Recommendations for the Treatment of Blood Cholesterol to Reduce ASCVD Risk in Adults Primary Prevention, Diabetes, ages 40-75, LDL 70-190 mg/dl 1. Moderate Intensity Statin (I,A) 2. High Intensity Statin if 10 yr ASCVD risk 7.5% (IIa,B) 10

Summary of Key Recommendations for the Treatment of Blood Cholesterol to Reduce ASCVD Risk in Adults Primary Prevention, No DM, ages 40-75, LDL 70-190 mg/dl * 10 year calculation of ASCVD risk Q 4-6 yrs 1. 7.5%: High intensity statin (I,B) 2. 5 to < 7.5: Moderate intensity statin (IIa,B) 3. Can consider other factors: CAC 300 AU, ABI < 0.9, FH CAD, HS-CRP > 2, LDL-C > 160, Lifetime ASCVD risk (IIb, C) Summary of Key Recommendations for the Treatment of Blood Cholesterol to Reduce ASCVD Risk in Adults Primary Prevention 1. When LDL < 190 mg/dl or age < 40 or >75, and ASCVD risk < 5% A. Statin therapy may be considered in selected individuals (IIb,C) B. Measure hs-crp, lifetime risk, FH premature CAD, ABI, CAC etc. (IIb,C) 11

Populations in which statins not shown to be effective Hemodialysis Heart Failure Statin Adherence and Safety: Highlights 1. Measure a fasting lipid panel 4-6 weeks after initiation or dose change 2. Do not measure ALT or CK unless symptomatic 12

Muscle Symptoms and CK measurement The incidence of myopathy, defined as unexplained muscle symptoms including weakness and muscle fatigue, in combination with CK >10 times ULN or rhabdomyolysis, defined as CK >40 times ULN, was extremely low in clinical trials Rhabdomyolysis- common in simvastatin 80 mg- limit the use of this dosage to those already on this dosage Statins and Cognition No evidence of cognitive decline from RCTs HPS (20K Simvastatin versus Placebo) Prosper (8K on Pravastatin versus Placebo) Jupiter confusional state in 18 versus 4 on rousuvastatin (8K in each arm) In the resulting statin safety advisory, the FDA noted that post-marketing adverse event reports generally described individuals over the age of 50 years who experienced notable, but ill-defined memory loss or impairment that was reversible upon discontinuation of statin therapy 13

RCT of Non-LDL Targets: AIM-High AIM-High: Higher Side effect Profile in Niacin + Statin vs. Placebo + Statin 14

AIM-HIGH: Addition of Niacin to Statin +/- Ezetimibe did not reduce CVD A New Perspective on LDL-C and/or Non HDL-C Treatment Goals The Expert Panel was unable to find RCT evidence to support continued use of specific LDL-C or non HDL-C treatment targets. The appropriate intensity of statin therapy should be used to reduce ASCVD risk in those most likely to benefit. Non-statin therapies, as compared with statin therapy, do not provide acceptable ASCVD riskreduction benefits relative to their potential for adverse effects 15

Role of Biomarkers and Noninvasive Tests Treatment decisions in selected individuals who are not included in the statin benefit groups may be informed by other factors as recommended by the Risk Assessment Work Group and Blood Cholesterol Expert Panel. Role of Biomarkers and Noninvasive Tests Factor Uncertain Certain ApoB X albuminuria X glomerular filtration rate X cardiorespiratory fitness X family history X hs-crp X CAC score X ABI X 16

ASCVD Risk Calculator Population Pooled cohorts: ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, Cardiovascular Health Study CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) Study Framingham Original and Offspring Study cohorts Age range 21-74 years of age ASCVD Risk Calculator Example: 50 year old AA Woman Total Cholesterol 200, HDL 40 SBP 140 mmhg on BP Medications 7.5% 38% https://my.americanheart.org/professional/sta tementsguidelines/prevention- Guidelines_UCM_457698_SubHomePage.jsp 17

Implementation of Risk Assessment Work Group Recommendations. David C. Goff, Jr et al. Circulation. 2014;129:S49-S73 Copyright American Heart Association, Inc. All rights reserved. Future Updates to the Blood Cholesterol Guideline Future updates will build on this foundation to provide expert guidance on the management of complex lipid disorders and incorporate refinements in risk stratification based on critical review of emerging data. RCTs comparing alternative treatment strategies are needed in order to inform future evidencebased guidelines for the optimum ASCVD riskreduction approach. 18

Conclusions 2013 Lipid Guidelines - Based on available RCT data - No longer advocate treatment targets - Recommend treating at lower ASCVD risk level than prior guidelines - Will likely increase % of men and women on statins as compared to NCEP ATP 3* - Implications on ASCVD risk reduction should be studied * Kavousi et al, JAMA 2014 THANK YOU! Feed2.feddburner.com 19