ZIKA: is South Africa at risk? Lucille Blumberg National Institute for Communicable Diseases South Africa

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Transcription:

ZIKA: is South Africa at risk? Lucille Blumberg National Institute for Communicable Diseases South Africa

18 th April 1947; Rhesus macaque (no 766) with fever Filtrable transmissable agent The absence of the recognition of a disease in humans caused by Zika virus does not necessarily mean that the disease is either rare or unimportant Alexander Haddow Trans Roy Soc Trop Med Hyg 1952 Haddow, Dick For nearly 7 decades Zika virus would remain a virological curiosity.. 2

Bull WHO Feb 2016 Dye Brazil 2014/2015 NEJM 2016 2013 Zika outbreak in French Polynesia- GBS Lancet 2016.an outbreak of illness characterized by fever, rash, conjunctivitis and arthralgia. Distinct from dengue NEJM 2009 PHEIC, 1 FEB 2016 the cluster of microcephaly cases.following on Zika outbreak constitute an extraordinary event WHO DG Chan; NEJM 2016

How Was Zika Introduced into Brazil? Three Theories Infected participants in 2014 World Cup in Brazil Va a canoe event in Rio de Janeiro in August 2014 included participants from French Polynesia Confederation Cup soccer tournament June 2013 Phylogenetic analyses suggest single introduction of Zika virus May-Dec 2013 Faria NR et al Science 2016

Circulation of the Zika virus- Asian lineage

Asian Viral Lineage- Americas Outbreak Enfissi A et al Lancet 2016..and Africa (again)?

Flaviviridae: Zika, yellow fever, dengue Alphaviridae: Chikungunya

Two sub-species of Aedes aegypti exist: In South America, A.aegypti is adapted to human, urban environments, and feeds on humans In Africa, Aedes aegypti is preferentially an animal feeder Aedes aegypti main vector Aedes albopictus potential vector Distribution of Aedes: source http://elifesciences.org/content/4/e08347 Global distribution of Aedes 8

Brazil- ZIKA Urbanization Globalization Angola, DRC-yellow fever

WHO Virus Risk Assessment in the WHO African Region- technical report Feb 2016. Countries ranked in order of increasing risk of Zika virus epidemic based on a composite index of risk derived from the hazards, vulnerabilities and lacking of coping capacities Population density, urban population in slums Presence of Aedes aegypti/albopictus Evidence of exposure to chikungunya, dengue Strength of health systems

As of 8 May 2016, there have been 7557 suspected cases of Zika in Cabo Verde. WHO MEDIA RELEASE 19/5/2016 WHO confirms Zika virus strain imported from the Americas to Cabo Verde BRAZZAVILLE / 20 May 2016 - Sequencing of the virus in Cabo Verde by Institut Pasteur, Dakar confirms that the Zika virus currently circulating in Cabo Verde is the same as the one circulating in the Americas - the Asian type- and was most likely imported from Brazil. This is the first time that the Zika strain responsible for the outbreaks linked to neurological disorders and microcephaly has been detected in Africa. The findings are of concern because it is further proof that the outbreak is spreading beyond South America and is on the doorstep of Africa. This information will help African countries to re-evaluate their level of risk and adapt and increase their levels of preparedness,

Risk of introduction of Zika into South Africa? SAMJ March 2016

Prevention and monitoring in South Africa Management of imported goods eg plants Disinsection of aircraft and cargo Entomological surveillance around ports Vector competence for Zika Active case surveillance returning tourists Guillane Barre case testing Congenital abnormalities surveillance microcephaly

SOUTH AFRICAN RUGBY 7

Questionnaire re symptoms won t identify asymptomatic cases! Two platelet transfusion recipients acquired the Zika virus from their transfusions. Both patients were transfused with leukoreduced platelets from one presymptomatic Zika-infected donor. Both recipients were negative for the virus pre-transfusion, but samples collected from both recipients after transfusion were positive for Zika virus NEJM Aug 2016 During the previous French Polynesian Zika virus outbreak, 2.8% of blood donors tested positive for Zika USA tests all blood donations for Zika FDA Aug 2016 15

Congenital Zika Syndrome Microcephaly, arthrogryphosis Intracerebral calcification, cerebral atrophy, ventriculomegaly, macular atrophy Proof of teratogenicity of Zika virus in pregnancy- early pregnancy Evidence of CNS damage with infection in late pregnancy NEJM Feb 2016; MMWR Jan 2016; UOG 2016 Ann Intern Med. 2016 NEJM 2016; CID 2016

ZIKA: Clinical Signs & Symptoms Up to 80% of infections are asymptomatic Symptoms start 2-12 (14) days after mosquito bite: Sudden onset Mild/moderate fever Maculopapular skin rash (pruritic) Arthralgia (small joints of hands and feet) Conjunctivitis (non-purulent) Mild illness clinical resolution in 1 week Rarely GBS NEJM 2009; 2016

ZIKA CHIKUNGUNYA DENGUE Fever Mild fever High fever High fever Headache + ++ Intense headaches Eye symptoms Conjunctivitis. Retro-orbital pain rare Conjunctivitis uncommon Retro-orbital pain Gastrointestinal Uncommon Nausea Nausea and vomiting Hepatomegaly No ++ No Swollen lymph nodes No Uncommon Yes Joint pains ++ (small joints of hand and feet) Intense +++ (hands, feet, wrists, knees, and back), Arthritis Muscle pains + ++ +++ Breakbone fever Skin rash +++ EARLY ++ ++ Thrombocytopaenia - - +++ Complications? Pregnancy- related? Guillain-Barre Halstead, et al. Yap DOH. Brazillian Health Ministry. CDC.WHO. Post infection joint pain (months to years) + Haemorrhagic fever and shock that can be fatal,?gbs

Clinical differential diagnosis Tropical/travel -related infections Dengue Chikungunya Leptospirosis Malaria Rickettsia (Tick bite fever) Variety of bacterial and viral infections Group A streptococcus Rubella, measles, and parvovirus, enterovirus, adenovirus

Zika Lab Diagnosis PCR of blood (urine, saliva, CSF) in first 7 d post-symptom onset = current gold standard Serology: cross reactions with other flaviviruses

Prevention in travellers Pregnant women should avoid travel to Zika- risk areas Mosquito bite prevention

Sexual Transmission Male to female; male to male High viral load (10 8.6 /ml vs. blood/urine 10 3 /ml) 100k increase in semen Infectious during incubation period through up to 62 d Atkinson et al EID 2016 Late sexual transmission of Zika virus related to persistence in the semen Jean Marie Turmel JM et al. Lancet 2016

Prevention of Sexual Transmission of Zika post - travel Sexual partners of pregnant women- safe sex or abstain from sexual activity for duration of pregnancy Men with Zika virus-like symptoms - wait 6 months + before attempting conception Asymptomatic men - wait at least 8 weeks before attempting conception Asymptomatic and symptomatic women - wait at least 8 weeks before attempting conception ROLE OF LAB TESTING OF RETURNING TRAVELLERS???? CDC Guidelines 2016

Management of pregnant women with suspected Zika? Symptomatic pregnant women (and asymptomatic) with exposure to Zika virus - PCR testing of serum and urine is recommended up to 2 weeks after symptom onset Microcephaly is most easily diagnosed by ultrasound late in the second trimester or early in the third trimester of pregnancy- many challenges CDC 2016

Singapore will be releasing an army of bacteria-infected mosquitoes on Tuesday in a bid to suppress the Aedes aegypti mosquito population as the country battles with an outbreak of Zika. The National 19 th October 2016 Vietnam s Dr Dracula and the dengue-busting mosquitos genetically modified mosquitoes

Lipsitch M, Cowling BJ. Zika vaccine trials. Science. 2016 Sept. Cohen J. Infectious Disease. Zika vaccine has a good shot. Science. 2016 Aug