Perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus: past and present

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22 V. M. Lobankov ISSN 1392 0995, ISSN 1648 9942 (online) LIETUVOS CHIRURGIJA Lithuanian Surgery 2006, 4(1), p. 22 28 Perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus: past and present Prakiurusios pepsinës opos Baltarusijoje: praeitis ir dabartis Vladimir M. Lobankov Department of Hospital Surgery, Gomel State Medical University, Lange str. 5, 246000 Gomel, Belarus E-mail: lobankov1959@mail.ru Valstybinio Gomelio medicinos universiteto Hospitalinës chirurgijos klinika, Lange g. 5, 246000 Gomelis, Baltarusija El. paðtas: lobankov1959@mail.ru Objective The monitoring of perforated peptic ulcer incidence in Belarus is reviewed for the years 1960 2004. Methods The review of the annual incidence of perforated peptic ulcers during 1960 2004 is based on the official statistics of the Belorussian Ministry of Public Health. The index of perforated ulcer incidence per 100,000 population has been derived, with the account of population changes during these years. Results Mild variations of these statistics were observed before the 90s with an insignifcant tendency to grow from the second half of the 70s to the first half of the 80s. The Chernobyl accident in 1986 was not followed by any response. The incidence of perforated peptic ulcers almost doubled in the first half of the 90s, regional differences in the statistics appeared. These changes coincided with the collapse of the USSR and deterioration of the living standards. Hence, the socioeconomic factor has a dominating influence governing the risk of peptic ulcer complications, perforations in particular. Conclusion The author emphasizes the need to promote the role of public prophylaxis and definite preventive surgery for the patients with a severe ulcer evolution. Key words: perforated peptic ulcer, incidence Introduction Perforation is a vitally dangerous complication occurring among 5 10% of peptic ulcer patients on the average [1, 2]. Yet, in case patients are exposed to excessively unfavorable factors, while lacking an adequate preventive treatment, the risk of perforation may aggravate strongly [3, 4]. Currently the duodenal localization accounts for the majority of ruptures

Perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus: past and present 23 (75 85%) [5 7]. Most of ulcer patients belong to the active age, with a strong domination of ulcer incidence among men, ten times more often on the average than among women [8, 9]. The incidence of perforated ulcers in the economically developed countries numbers 5 7 per 100,000 [10 12]. The international cohort studies show that mortality during the last 30 years has not been tending to reduce; it accounts for 5 13% in case of duodenal ulcer perforations, 2 3 times more in case of gastric ulcer perforations [13 15]. Ulcer suturing is a routine surgery in the majority of clinics, with the results of this nonradical operation far from successful. If the adequate medical treatment is not carried out, ulcer recurrence is observed among 50 70% patients during the first post-operation al year, about 60% and more have to undergo another operation before 10 years elapse due to the evolution of stenosis, re-perforation, massive hemorrhage or combined complications [16, 17]. Patients and methods The incidence of perforated peptic ulcers has marked a strong leap in the NIS and in Belarus specifically [18 20]. However, so far no purposeful long-term evaluation of the incidence of perforated ulcers has been accomplished in the Republic. The objective of the present study was to perform a long-term (45 years) monitoring of perforated gastroduodenal ulcers in Belarus and to reveal the tendencies of ulcer complication and major risk factors. The review of the annual incidence of perforated peptic ulcers during 1960 2004 is based on the official statistics of the Belorussian Ministry of Public Health. The index of perforated ulcer incidence per 100,000 has been derived with the account of population changes during these years in the Republic in general (Table). This indicator has also been calculated for regions and for Minsk, the capital of Belarus. A comparative statistical analysis of the perforated ulcer incidence and morbidity has been performed for each decade of the period in question. Valid tendencies of the dynamics of these indicators have been revealed. Basic macrosocial factors provoking the incidence of perforated ulcers at present have been determined. Results The annual number of perforated peptic ulcers amounted to 1,050 (1969) and up to 1,272 (1966) on the average in the 60s in the Republic, the mean one during the decade being 1,143.6 ± 56.2. The incidence remained within the range 11.7 14.6, Table. Perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus: numbers and incidence 60s 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969 Absolute number 1096 1059 1181 1110 1188 1122 1272 1191 1167 1050 Per 100,000 13,4 12,8 14,1 13,1 13,9 13,0 14,6 13,5 13,1 11,7 70s 1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 Absolute number 1129 1114 1122 1219 1432 1459 1628 1510 1515 1475 Per 100,000 12,5 12,2 12,2 13,4 16,0 15,6 17,3 16,0 15,9 15,4 80s 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 Absolute number 1593 1543 1549 1613 1714 1499 1445 1308 1340 1442 Per 100,000 16,6 15,9 15,8 16,4 17,3 15,0 14,4 12,9 13,2 14,1 90s 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Absolute number 1260 1430 1941 2179 2685 2298 2621 2607 2467 2492 Per 100,000 12,3 13,9 18,8 21,0 25,9 22,2 25,5 25,5 24,2 24,8 Present decade 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Absolute number 2559 2678 2414 2441 2384 Per 100,000 25,6 26,9 24,3 24,8 24,3

24 V. M. Lobankov or 13.3 ± 0.6 on the average. The minimal incidence occurred in Minsk and the maximum in the Brest region. The annual number of peptic ulcer perforations in the 70s amounted from 1,114 (1971) to 1,628 (1976), or 1,368.3 ±173.8 during the decade on the average. The general incidence in the Republic ranged within 12.2 17.3 per 100,000, mean 14.7 ± 1.7. The mean index was minimal in Minsk, with the Gomel region showing the maximum. The incidence below 10 was only twice registered in Minsk (in 1972 and 1973). It is important to accentuate that the incidence of perforated ulcers never exceeded 20 per 100,000 in Belorussia during the 60 70s. The number of perforated gastro-duodenal ulcers in the 80s showed from 1,308 (1987) to 1,714 (1984), or 1,505.0 ± 98.2 on the average. The average incidence in the republic ranged within 12.9 17.3 during these years, or 15.2 ± 1.2 on the average. Minsk showed the minimum again and the Moguilev region the maximum. The ceiling of 20 was once exceeded in 1980 in the latter region. Unlike the preceding three decades, the situation changed radically in the early 90s. Annually from 1,260 (1990) to 2,685 (1994) perforated peptic ulcers occurred in the Republic, or 2,198.0 ± 396.4 on the average. The average incidence ranged between 12.3 and 25.9 per 100, 000; the average during the decade was 21.4 ± 3.9. The minimal incidence remained in Minsk, while the Vitebsk region showed the maximum in the 90s. During this decade the ceiling of 30 cases was exceeded: three times in the Vitebsk region (1994, 1996 and 1999) and once in the Gomel region (1998). The start of the 21 st century gives no grounds for optimism yet. The unbridled growth of perforated ulcers experienced during the first half of the 90s has ceased, but the level is still very high. The incidence of perforated peptic ulcers in 2001 amounted to 2,678 and to 2,378 in 2004. During these years the incidence was 26.9 and 24.3 per 100,000, respectively. The eastern regions of the Republic continue to remain the leaders: in the Vitebsk region, the incidence exceeded 30.0 four times during the last five years, in the Gomel region once and in the Moguilev region two times. The highest level of perforated ulcers (33.2 cases per 100.000) is noted in the latter region (2000) during the whole period. The figure shows the dynamics of perforated ulcer incidence in Belarus. Figure. Dynamics of perforated peptic ulcer incidence in Belarus 1960 2004 per 100,000

Perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus: past and present 25 The dynamics of this incidence monitored during a sufficiently long period leads to definite conclusions both regarding peptic ulcer disease in general and the problem of perforated ulcers in particular. It is believed, in the first place, that the incidence of perforated ulcers can serve as an integrating criterion of the peptic ulcer disease severity in the patients population and the effectiveness of medical care of such afflictions. It is fully apparent that, in case this index shows a stable growth, medical care should be adequately modified and tailored to such patients. To keep the incidence of perforated ulcers down within an optimal range (below 5.0 7.0 per 100.000 in the economically developed countries) the quality of conservative treatment should be improved on the public scale, on the one hand, and the role of definite preventive surgery among patients with a potential risk of perforation should be promoted on the other. Effective cooperation between gastroenterologists and surgeons would theoretically reduce the risk of such compilations to blind perforations or piercing among the patients ignoring medical recommendations. Discussion Thus, the incidence of perforated ulcers did not show any stable dynamics of growth before the 90s. The differences of the incidence from year to year reflected natural variations. The first half of the 70s showed some rise of the incidence, after that it stabilized until the middle 80s at an average level of 16.2 ±1.4, and then the level went down during 1985 1990 to 13.7 ± 1.2. We believe it is highly noteworthy that the Chernobyl accident (1986) took place exactly during this period. It is commonly admitted that the psycho-emotional stress affects the severity of peptic ulcer evolution. It is beyond any doubt that the Chernobyl accident became a powerful stress factor. Surprisingly, the disaster did not provoke any response among the patients with potentially possible perforations. By the way, the cause of the lack of increase of perforated peptic ulcer frequency after the nuclear disaster is not the topic of this study. Without any exaggeration, the incidence of perforated ulcers snowballed after 1991. Compared with 1985 1991 when the incidence reduced, and after some stabilization at a new level in 1994 2004 the incidence doubled. The collapse of the USSR followed by a drastic drop of public well-being triggered off an unprecedented growth of perforated peptic ulcers. The crisis the society had to live through has become an incomparably more essential stress factor for the category of the patients studied than the Chernobyl accident. It is important that the increase of incidence of perforated ulcers is not only the Belorussian phenomenon. The same changes are marked nearly in all post-soviet states. Examination of the regional features of perforated ulcer incidence shows a number of regularities. The minimum was registered in the capital of Belarus, differing 1.2 1.3 times from the average in the Republic. It is believed to be due to a higher socio-economic status of the population in Minsk as well as to a better availability of qualified medical care than in the regions. The incidence in the regions did not show any valid difference in the 60s and 70s. A relatively higher incidence in the 80s occurred in the Moguilev region. The maximum difference appeared in 1994 2004. The incidence was higher in the eastern regions and lower in the western district than elsewhere in the Republic. In addition to the favorable situation in Minsk, the same situation was in the Grodno region. The territorial differences in the incidence of perforated ulcers thus appeared in the critical 90s. They are believed to be primarily due to different standards of life in the regions, since traditionally western regions have enjoyed a higher standard of well-being and have had more resources to solve their problems on a large scale 1. The regional difference in the incidence may also be due to the proportion of urban and rural population, with the urban population more numerous in the eastern regions than in the western regions. The incidence of ulcers and its complications are more frequently registered among city dwellers. Summarizing the results of the long-term dynamics of the incidence of perforated gastroduodenal ulcers in Belarus, the following can be concluded: the socioeconomic factor exerts a dominating effect on the risk of occurrence of perforations as a complication of peptic ulcer;

26 V. M. Lobankov a poor socioeconomic status should be treated as the most essential individual factors of ulcer complications; the negative effect of the crisis on the evolution of peptic ulcers can be overcome by promoting the effectiveness of public prophylaxis and the role of surgery planning; the incidence of perforated gastroduodenal ulcers should be included in the annual gastroen- terologia statistics as an integrated criterion of the effectiveness of medical care and treatment of peptic ulcers; as the number of patients with sutured perforations keeps adding, the need of surgical treatment should be expected to grow in the coming years as new complications appear among a substantial proportion of such patients (gastric outlet obstructions, bleedings, recurrent perforations). LITERATURE 1. Hermansson M, Stael-von-Holstein C, Zelling T. Peptic ulcer perforation before and after introduction of H2-receptor blockers and proton pump inhibitors. Scand J Gastroenterol 1997; 32 (6): 523 529. 2. Ishikava M, Ogata S, Harada M, Sakakihara Y. Changes in surgical strategies for peptic ulcer before and after the introduction of H2-receptor antagonists and endoscopic hemostasis. Surg Today 1995; 25 (4): 318 323. 3. Arici C, Dinekan A, Erdogan O, Bozan H, Cola T. Peptic ulcer perforation: an analysis of risk factors. Ulus Trauma Derg 2002 Jul.; 8 (3): 142 146. 4. Hill AG. Management of perforated duodenal ulcer in a resource poor environment. East Afr Med J 2001 Jul.; 78 (7): 346 348. 5. Balik A, Celebi F, Basoglu M, Yildirgan I, Dalga S, Polat KY, Oren D. Perforated peptic ulcers. Ulus Trauma Derg 2000 Oct.; 6 (4): 234 236. 6. Sakaguchi M, Oka H, Amemoto K, Honda M, Nakajama F, Kibi S, Lee K. Clinical investigation of perforated duodenal ulcer with special reference to the presense of Helicobacter pylori infection and rate of recurrence. Nippon Shokakibyo Gakkai Zasshi 2002 Oct.; 99 (10): 1197 1204. 7. Sillakivi T, Lang A, Tein A, Peetsalu A. Evaluation of risk factors for mortality in surgically treated perforated peptic ulcer. Hep-Gastroent 2000; 47: 1765 1768. 8. Gilliam AD, Speake WJ, Labo DN, Beekingham IJ. Current practice of emergency vagotomy and Helicobacter pylori eradication for complicated peptic ulcer in the United Kingdom. Br J Surg 2003; 90, iss 1: 88 90. 9. Somboonpanya P. Surgery for perforated peptic ulcers at Prachomklao Hospital. J Med Assoc Thai 2002 Sep.; 85 (9): 1003 1007. 10. Canoy DS, Hart AR, Todd CJ. Epidemiology of duodenal ulcer perforation: a study on hospital admissions in Norfolk, United Kingdom. Dig Liver Dis 2002; 34 (5): 322 327. 11. Paimela H, Paimela R, Myllykangas E, Luosujarvi R, Kivilaakso E. Current features of peptic ulcer disease in Finland: incidence of surgery, hospital admission and mortality for the past twenty-five years. Scand J Gastroenterol 2002; 37(4): 399 403. 12. Schwesinger WH, Page CP, Sirinek KR, Gaskill HV, Melnick G, Strodil WE. Operations for peptic ulcer disease: paradigm lost. J Gastrointest Surg 2001 Jul-Aug.; 5 (4): 438 443. 13. Svanes C. Trends in perforated peptic ulcer: incidence, etiology, treatment, and prognosis. Wld J Surg 2000; 24 (3): 277 283. 14. Rubin E, Farber JL. Peptic ulcer disease. In: Pathology. 2nd ed. J. B. Lippincott Company. Philadelphia, 1994; p. 637 643. 15. Soll AH. Peptic ulcer and its complications. In: Slesinger and Fordtran. Gastrointestinal and Liver Disease. Philadelphia- London-Toronto-Monreal-Sydney-Tokyo, 1998; 1: 620 678. 16. Jordan PH. Surgery for peptic ulcer disease. Curr Probl Surg 1991; XXVIII (4): 267 330. 17. Kate V, Ananthakrishnan N, Badrinath S. Effect of Helicobacter pylori eradication on the ulcer recurrence rate after simple closure of perforated duodenal ulcer: retrospective and prospective randomized control studies. Br J Surg 2001 Aug.; 88 (8): 1054 1058. 18. Kuzin MI. Pressing problems of gastric and duodenal ulcer surgery. Khirurgiya 2001; 1: 27 32 (Rus.). 19. Pantsyrev YuM, Mikhalev AI, Fedorov ED. Surgical treatment of perforated and bleeding gastro-duodenal ulcers. Khirurgiya 2003; 3: 43 49 (Rus.). 20. Lobankov VM. Surgery of ulcer disease on the boundary of the 21st century. Khirurgiya 2005; 1: 58 64 (Rus.). Received: 5 Dec 2005 Accepted: 30 Jan 2006

Perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus: past and present 27 Nuomonë Vladimiro M. Lobankovo straipsnyje Perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus: past and present nagrinëtas prakiurusiø gastroduodeniniø opø daþnumas Baltarusijoje dekadomis (nuo 1960 metø iki 2000 metø). Nors straipsnio pavadinimas apima labai plaèià temà, ðiame darbe tirtas tik vienas prakiurusiø opø poþymis jø daþnumas. Ðis poþymis iðtirtas labai gerai. Prakiurusiø opø daþnumas iðnagrinëtas ir Baltarusijos rytiniuose regionuose, ir vakariniuose, ir didþiausiuose ðalies miestuose. Statistiðkai tinkamai ir aiðkiai apdoroti duomenys. Tema aktuali, ádomi ir nagrinëtina. Gaila, kad iðvados grindþiamos tik ðiuo vieninteliu statistiniu rodikliu ir literatûros duomenimis. Sutinku su autoriumi dël prakiurusiø opø daþnumo (5 10%), lokalizacijos (85% dvylikapirðtëje þarnoje) ir mirtingumo po operacijø (5 13%). Nenorëèiau sutikti dël opos recidyvo daþnumo po operacijos pirmaisiais metais (50 70%) ir po 10 metø (apie 60%). Medicinos literatûroje galima rasti tokiø duomenø, kurie yra parankiausi straipsnio autoriui. Pavyzdþiui, yra literatûros ðaltiniø, kuriø autoriai [1, 2] propaguoja netgi nechirurginá, o konservatyvø prakiurusiø opø gydymo bûdà. Ákiðus zondà á skrandá, sudaromas nuolatinis siurbimas ir dël susidariusio neigiamo slëgio prie prakiurusios opos prilimpa didþioji taukinë. Tokio gydymo rezultatai, autoriø nuomone [2], panaðûs kaip ir po chirurginiø operacijø. Taigi ádomiausi yra savo duomenys, kuriø vertë bei rezultatai iðaiðkëja lyginant su kitø klinikø rezultatais. Kodël opos po operacijø atsinaujina, koks jø skaièius Baltarusijoje ir kai kuriuose Baltarusijos regionuose, didþiuosiuose miestuose? Negi tik uþsiuvamos prakiurusios opos, ar yra atliekamos piloroplastinës operacijos su ávairiomis vagotomijomis? Kaip uþsiuvamos prakiurusios opos, kokiu bûdu? Kà autoriai vadina gastroduodeninëmis opomis? Ar yra skirtumø tarp prakiurusiø skrandþio ir dvylikapirðtës þarnos opø? Deja, skaitydamas straipsná pasigendu atsakymø á ðiuos klausimus. Darbe jie kliudomi tik hipotetiðkai, o paskui daromos plaèios iðvados. Socialiniø ir ekonominiø veiksniø átaka opaligei seniai þinoma, bet reikëtø juos detalizuoti ir objektyviai iðtirti vietoje. Manau, kad tam tikrø gyventojø sluoksniø socialinës ir ekonominës sàlygos skiriasi ne tik Baltarusijoje ar Lietuvoje, bet ir ávairiuose miestuose. Autorius trumpai pamini Minskà, Vitebskà, Gomelá, bet tai nesukonkretinta. Gal skaitytojams bûtø aiðkiau, jeigu bûtø dar koks nors statistinis rodiklis (pvz., minimalus pragyvenimo lygis arba minimali alga)? Statistiniai ávairiø ðaliø rodikliai taip pat ne visada reikðmingi. Jie iðryðkinami su kuo nors lyginant. Ar sluoksniuojasi Baltarusijos visuomenë (turtingi labiau praturtëjo, o vargðai dar labiau nuskurdo)? Koks prakiurusiø opø daþnis ðiose grupëse? Gal opø prakiurimas padaþnëjo todël, kad turtingi Baltarusijos pilieèiai emigravo, ir ðalyje pasiliko daugiau þmoniø, gyvenanèiø ties skurdo riba? Tai ádomi tema, bet ji lieka tik teoriniuose samprotavimuose. Straipsnyje apie tai objektyviø duomenø nëra. Skaitant susidaro nuomonë, kad autorius labai pesimistiðkai þiûri á ðiuolaikinës opaligës medikamentiná gydymà (H. pylori eradikacija; H2 blokatoriø ir PSI skyrimas po operacijø). Nors konkreèiø duomenø nëra, bet juntamas tradicinis daugelio vyresniø chirurgø neigiamas poþiûris (50 60% recidyvø!) á medikamentiná opaligës gydymà. Taigi kaip Baltarusijoje þiûrima á ðiuolaikiná medikamentiná gydymà, koks daþniausias stereotipinis pooperacinis gydymas opà tik uþsiuvus? Á ðiuos klausimus atsakymo nëra, nors straipsnio pavadinimas ápareigotø tirti ir svarstyti ðias problemas. Ádomiausia iðvada ta, kad Baltarusijos þmonës didesnius psichologinius ir socialinius sukrëtimus patyrë ne po Èernobylio avarijos, o subyrëjus SSRS. Man ði iðvada labai netikëta. Autorius remiasi patikimais, oficialiais ir akivaizdþiais duomenimis. Vien dël ðiø duomenø straipsnis yra vertingas. Sutinku su visomis kitomis autoriaus iðvadomis. Deja, jos yra daugiau teorinio pobûdþio ir suformuluotos empiriðkai, remiantis savo didele chirurgo patirtimi. Reikia pabrëþti, kad surinkta daug medþiagos, duomenys kaupti nuolat ir jø rezultatai reikðmingi, atliktas didelis tiriamasis darbas. Nepaisant minëtø kritiniø pastabø manau, kad V. M. Lobankovo straipsnis aktualus, svarbus ir tinkamas spaudai.

28 V. M. Lobankov LITERATÛRA 1. Li AKC and Sydney Chung SC. Non-operative management of perforated peptic ulcer. Oxford Textbook of Surgery. Oxford University Press, 1994. 2. Marshall C, Pamaswamy P, Bergin FG, Rosenberg IL, and Leaper DJ. Evaluation of a protocol for the non-operative management of perforated peptic ulcer. Br J Surg 1999; 86: 131 134. Doc. Juozas Stanaitis Bendrosios chirurgijos centro vadovas Bendrosios, plastinës chirurgijos, traumatologijos ir ortopedijos klinika Vilniaus universiteto Medicinos fakultetas Invited commentary The paper presented by V.M. Lobankov Perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus: past and present is a descriptive study on incidence of perforated peptic ulcers in Belarus during 1960 2004. The study was based on a single source the official statistics of the Belarussian Ministry of Public Health where the data was collected routinely using the standard reporting procedures. From the figures we can easily distinguish the three periods before the 1990, 1990 1994 and after. Only the period 1990 1994 can be recognized as showing noticeable annual changes of the rates. Author provides explanations based on different grounds focusing attention of the reader on the socio-economic factors that are supported by examination of regional rates. The interpretation of the findinds using such type of sources should be accepted with reservation. Checking the completeness and validity of the source using clinical data is important to remove the bias of observation and case ascertainment. Such dramatic changes of the rates in Bellarus in such a short period are worth studying in more detail. The information such as changes in medication, the use of NSAID (non steroid antiinflamatory agents) as aspirin, Helicobacter infection, change in life styles, nutrition and supplements, consumption of alcohol and tobacco, ageing of population can be helpful to explain the situation in the country. In many countries the distribution of age, sex and ulcer site changed toward more elderly patients. Traditional trend analysis can be helpful for explaning the changes of the rates. In the literature, some authors suggest the increase to be due to anxiety, poorer eating habits, irregular and abnormal working hours, which are a result of the war or crucial socio-economic changes in the society. For instance, during the starvation in Russia the incidence of ulcer perforation increased ten-fold. Other reports show that there was noted an increase in the number of peptic ulcer perforations in London since the onset of the war and an increased incidence of relapses in patients with peptic ulcers while in the Army. Susceptibility to ulcer perforation seems to follow birth cohorts, and major etiologic factors should be sought in prenatal life, in childhood, or in lifestyle factors that follow the birth. The figures presented by V. M. Lobankov might be an introductory point for future studies with the focus on the clinical management, risk factors, health care and life styles of the general population. Habil. dr. Juozas Kurtinaitis Head of Lithuanian Cancer Register Vilnius University Oncology Institute Vilnius, Lithuania