Profile Instrument to Predict Recurrence of Suicidal Attempts in Washington State Dr. V. Vatsalya American University Washington DC
Introduction In Washington State, 814 death are reported in year 2005 at a rate of 13.1 incidents per 100,000 (age adjusted), compared to the national US rate of nearly 11.0. Washington has the 16th highest suicide rate in the nation, and suicide is the eleventh leading cause of death. Extent for emotional and physical pain cannot be assessed for individuals and their relatives, 3 billion US Dollars of loss has been estimated due to suicide and attempts. Source: Department of Health WA, 2007
Frequency representation of Suicidal Incidents 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 3507 3445 3209 2901 3007 811 801 823 814 796 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 Years Suicide Death Frequency Suicide Attempt Frequency Linear (Suicide Attempt Frequency) Incidence of suicide attempts can be five time or more than suicide, number of suicide attempts are higher when causative factor are not resolved. Source: DOH, WA, 2007
Rate Representation of the Suicide Incidents '06 12.7 55.3 Inciden nt Rate per 100,00 00 population '05 '04 '03 '02 13.1 13.2 13 13.4 56.2 53.6 50.9 49.7 Suicide Attempt t rate Suicide Death Rate 0 20 40 60Year Rise in the suicide attempt rate is observed on an yearly y basis.
Suicide attempts among various age groups Year '06 '05 '04 '03 '02 60 71 43 59 48 40 58 69 40 48 244 193 193 162 157 490 553 579 626 641 677 742 727 717 770 680 716 841 810 826 767 840 804 818 817 75 yrs + 65-74 55-64 45-54 54 35-44 25-34 15-24 0 500 1000 Incidents of attempted suicides In 2004, 17 % of deaths in the 15 24 yrs age group occurred due to suicide. Suicide is the second leading cause of death in this age group. The highest rate of suicide is observed in the 75 yrs+ age group. Source: National Center for Health Statistics, DOH, WA, 2005
Role of Treatment Risk of suicide attempt before and after treatment among adolescents and adults receiving new treatment from primary care physicians, psychiatrists, i t or individual id psychotherapy for depression. Reports suggest same pattern of suicide attempt rate during the first month of treatment after getting health services in Washington State (Am J Psychiatry. 2007; 164:1029-1034). This rate is much higher than other states.
The present suicide death rate in Washington State does not indicate meeting the Healthy People 2010 Goal to reduce the age-adjusted adjusted rate of suicide to five per 100,000 by 2010. Various intervention strategies utilize preventive actions to reduce such incidents. Preventive strategies need precise measures to identify high - risk individuals. Development of a predictor instrument, which can provide appropriate behavioral evaluation, can supplement to this requirement.
This instrument uses set of primary repetitive characters for predictable behavioral analysis of high-risk group individuals. Concept: Identify patients with suicidal behavior Assist informing healthcare staff Prepare and implement specific therapeutic plan Outcome: Strengthening intervention strategies by behavior interception Decline of such incidents Regularize health and financial resources
Data source Methodology for Development of Profile Predictor Instrument. Washington State public health statistical data bank GIS Group Health Cooperative Health, 2006 yr Washington State Injury and Violence Prevention Program (Record Release, 2002 2006 yr) Patient population Year: 2002 to 2006 Statistical data from number of patients: 15826 Age group: 15 to 75+ years Gender groups Age groups Medical and mental conditions Parameters investigated Environmental, biological and economic factors; Social, race, ethnicity, cultural background, communities and regions. Compilation of Instrument/ Follow up
Results The parameters are assessed in relation to the numbers of attempts and actual suicides reported between year 02 and 06. Some significant statistical analysis demonstrated d characteristics aa as discussed dfurther: ts Numbe er of Inciden 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 3891 3557 4058 2925 1451 934 809 510 577 502 572 651 285 402 Years 15 2425 34 35 44 45 54 55 64 65 74 75 + Number of attempts Number of suicides The age groups 15-24 and 35-44 yrs has the maximum incidents of attempted suicides. The largest conversion of the attempts into actual suicide is demonstrated by the age group 45 54 yrs.
Gender comparison of suicide incidents Number of Suicides 700 600 642 640 633 650 621 In ncidents 500 400 300 200 100 190 169 161 164 175 Males Females Suicide Attempt % 38% 62% Male Female 0 02 03 04 05 06 Year Suicide rate among the male and female patient population rate is 4:1. During 2003 2005, males in Washington accounted for 79% of completed suicides.
Race comparison for Suicide Incidents Age Adjusted Death Rate per 100,000 Pacific Islander/Asian 8 Hispanic 6 African American Caucasian American Indian 8 14 14 Age Adjusted Death Rt Rate per 100,000 000 0 5 10 15 Suicide rate has been highest among the Caucasian and Native American Suicide rate has been highest among the Caucasian and Native American communities. High competition, depression and economic and social hardship is observed with Caucasian group and family predisposition, abuse, addiction and health concerns with Native American were prominent.
Significances of Income and Education Criteria Linear regression of suicide rate with higher academics relate to better living standards, understanding and social ranking. In Washington, for 2000 2002 combined, suicide rates increased as the proportion of people living in poverty increased. Data is not available in relation to suicide.
Effect of Depression on Suicide Attempts Adults: From 2002 year onwards, there is a steady increase yearly, both in the rate and number of suicides and suicide attempts in the 35 54 age group. Rise in financial and family crisis and PTSD. Adolescent and Young Adult Group: Nearly 1-in-5 10th graders report serious contemplated suicide, of these, over 60% say they made a suicide plan (Washington State Healthy Youth Survey). Individuals with physical and sexual abuse have four times higher suicide attempt rate than non-abused abused.
Effect of Depression on Youth Suicide and attempted suicide rate Incidents I 600 539 546 478 483 500 459 Frequency 400 300 279 294 327 Male Suicide Male suicide Attempt 238 247 Female Suicide 200 Frequencyenc 78 82 78 85 99 Female Suicide 100 16 18 24 14 16 Attempt 0 Linear (Male Suicide Frequency) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Year Approximately 25% of attempted suicide by youth male result in death, whereas 3-4% death result in females. Nearly two-thirds of teens with clinical depression go unnoticed and may not get treated. Males 15 to 19 years old are 5 times more likely than females to complete suicides. Source: DOH, WA, 2007
Access and Exposure to Means of Suicide Suicide Attempt with various medium used 4000 Incid dents 3000 2000 1000 0 3178 3065 2765 2389 762 553 509 539 313 236 192 30 44 26 34 27 38 27 25 92 17 8 24 6 24 6 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75 + yrs Cut/Pierce Firearm Poison Suffocation/Hanging Poisoning is the most common means for attempted suicide cases among 15-24 and 35 54 age group.
Various medium used in suicide 450 400 413 350 349 ents Num mber of Incid 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 293 301 284 265 253 209 199 159 165 150 141 127 105 47 47 54 41 22 28 32 30 4 12 10 4 4 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 74 75 + yrs Cut/Pierce Firearms Poisoning Suffocation and Hanging Firearms are the most common means among the young and adult groups for committing suicide.
The Profile Instrument Based on the results of statistical analysis and interpretation, following characteristics have been incorporated for the instrument development: Age Group: 15 24 and 35 54 year period (there is a constant t rise yearly in the latter age group). Gender: higher suicide rate among males, though higher attempt rate among females. Ethnicity: Prevalent in Caucasian and Native Indian groups. Mental health: depression, substance abuse, suicidal ideation and other conditions (Family history, sexual orientation and abuse, disability). Education: Less the education, more the probability.
Anti-depressant Treatment: Individuals in the first month of treatment are highly susceptible to suicide attempts. Social condition: financial hardship, loss in family structure and unemployment. Access and exposure to perform self-fatality (adolescent, young adults and Native Indians use firearms and females and others poison mostly). Based of the results of the statistical analysis, a model of the instrument can be established. Such a model has been discussed here, this model commences with the major parameters assessed and thereafter further ones. It categorizes patients assessed among high - risk, intermediate and low - risk groups.
Generalized model of the instrument Male 15-24 Intake Gender Age Group(yrs) Female 35-44 24-34 45-54 Firearms Poisoning Cut/Pierce Hanging/Suffocation Access to Means High Risk Intermediate Risk Low Risk Ethnicity 55-64 65-74 75+ Caucasian Black Hispanic Native Indian Health Depression Physical and sexual abuse Less than school Some college Graduate or more Education Financial hardship Loss of family Unemployment Social conditions Previous attempts Antidepressant medication Substance abuse Disability Family history
Conclusion Due to highlyhl complex interplay of mental, social, biological i l and psychiatric features, suicidal behavior requires accurate and urgent intervention. Multiple causative factors are associated with suicide, early identification and appropriate p treatment is an important strategy for prevention. Application of a predictor instrument can supplement identifying target Application of a predictor instrument can supplement identifying target individuals and preventing suicide, who otherwise may not be recognized in due course.
The characteristics of suicidal behavior may differ due to local variations. Study is required to customize this instrument with local specifications. Further research can improve consistency of the instrument with future data and broadening the study for successful implementation in North America.
Recommendations: Administrative encouragement for broadening data collection for possible suicidal id attempts and minority i groups. Research has not yet evaluated the relative importance of race, ethnicity, poverty, and education in relation to rates of suicide. Introduction and usage of the instrument at the community level for example academic institutions, old age homes. Planning and Introduction of Intervention Strategies for newly growing g suicidal incidents in the 45-54 yr age group. Further study and resource development on biological (Polymorphisms of the Tryptophan Hydroxylase Gene, low serum cholesterol level and likewise) and environmental factors.
References http://ajp.psyhiatryonline.org/cgi http://www.doh.wa.gov/ehsphl/chs-data/death/dea data/death/dea_vd.htm http://www.doh.wa.gov/ehsphl/hospdata/default.htm http://ww4.doh.wa.gov/gis/gisdata.htm http://www.doh.wa.gov/hsqa/emstrauma/injury/data-tables wa http://www.doh.wa.gov/hws/default.htm
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Acknowledgement Dr. Robert Karch Health Promotion MS Program American University Washington DC Dr. Kan V. Chandras Mental Health Counseling Program Fort Valley State University Georgia Dr. Shweta Srivastava Department of Biology Georgetown University Washington DC
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