Keith Sumption Secretary, European FMD Control Commission (EuFMD) FAO, Rome

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FMD control in the European neighbourhood priorities/actions of the EuFMD Commission to reduce risk to member states Keith Sumption Secretary, European FMD Control Commission (EuFMD) FAO, Rome

The European neighborhood wider group of countries in connection with the EU and which interface with major FMDV reservoirs in West Eurasia and Africa

Current FMD status in the European neighborhood EuFMD: 35 member states of which 26 EU+ 9 others Two member states (Turkey, Israel) +14 neighboring countries are NOT free of FMD

Current status: EU27: last outbreaks in 2007 but continued incursions of FMDV to the European neighborhood Past 3 years (2006-9) 2007 from West Eurasia (Pool 3) and East Africa (Pool 4), and from South Asia (Pool2 to parts of the Arabian Gulf) 3 3 Type O, Type A, Type Asia-1, Type SAT2 4 2 or 3

FMD Vaccination policy: vaccination against FMD in 2008 in West Eurasia-Middle East Non-vaccination EU27+ Vaccination use West EurAsia Mass vaccination Zonal vaccination low vaccination ratio no vaccination

TransBoundary Animal movements - West Eurasia Output of working group Shiraz 2008

EUFMD STRATEGY :Priorities for action Second 4 year Plan : 2009-2013 Adopted -38 th Session 1. Risk reduction Turkish neighbourhood/west EurAsia 2. Viral surveillance for Vaccine bank prioritization. 3. Global FMD risk information and control program progress monitoring - across 7 virus pools. 4. FMD Training program European/EuFMD Member States 4 year rolling program. 5. Technical networking and applied research Euro-Med, West Eurasia region focus on vaccine selection, vaccination performance, FMD risk, surveillance and survey design.

Viral surveillance for Vaccine bank prioritization. re-assessment every 6 months - new risk assessment/prioritisation procedures (2010) FMD RISK Matrix (Provisional): risk to European neighbourhood (EuFMD countries) Priority setting matrix, where HIGH MEDIUM and LOW are used in similar way to past WRL recommendations Pool Name RRI* Rank Predominant FMDV antigenic types circulating in 2009 Minor antigenic types known/suspected to be circulating 3 West Eur- Asia 100 1 HIGH priority HIGH 1 East Asia 18.8 2 MEDIUM LOW 4 West Africa 13.7 3 MEDIUM LOW 5 East Africa 9.9 4 MEDIUM LOW 2 South Asia 3.6 5 LOW LOW 7 South America 6 Southern Africa 0.2 6 LOW? LOW 0.1 7 LOW? LOW

Risk assessment based on FMD threats from current strains in circulation together with likelihood of entry from the 7 virus pools : 1 st assessment for EuFMD Executive March 2010 R2 : relative numbers of arriving passengers at EU airports (from http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/air_passenger_transport#world_travel) Susceptible animals - by virus pool Number 1,000,000,000 900,000,000 800,000,000 700,000,000 600,000,000 500,000,000 400,000,000 300,000,000 200,000,000 100,000,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Pool Buffaloes Goats Sheep Cattle Pigs Pool

West EurAsia Roadmap for FMD Control: Vision : freedom from clinical disease by 2020 Regional cooperation among Eurasian countries... for the progressive control of FMD through public and private partnerships leading towards freedom of clinical disease by 2020 for regional economic development, food security, and poverty alleviation.

FAO Progressive control pathway - risk reduction approach not a top down prescribed approach: but each MS encouraged to develop national risk reduction strategies that are supportive to the regional effort 4 5 Officially free with vaccination No circulation / containment zones only Officially free without vaccination No circulation / containment zones only 3 Approaching freedom Outbreaks < once / year 2 Critical points addressed incidence 1 Critical risk points identified, strategy being developed Stages 0-3 = infected countries/zones 0 Risk not controlled Continuous FMDV circulation

Assessment of PCP Stages 2008: self-assessment by countries with peer review (FAO) 2009 (Istnabul): upon submission of evidence of actions required at each stage presentation/review at Regional Meeting 2 month period post-meeting to supply information, if required 2009: Roadmap progress on track

Supporting long term FMD control in West EurAsia The EUFMD, 38 th Session : supports the vision for the West Eurasian region to become free of clinical FMD by 2020; commits itself, beginning with the EuFMD Strategic Plan 2009-13, to a long to term role in promoting and supporting the implementation of the Regional Roadmap with the aim of improving FMD control through progressive application of risk based control measures; promotes and where required supports routine FMD surveillance to monitor progress at national and regional level in FMD control across the West EurAsia region, working with the RAHCs of FAO/OIE; commits to organize annual progress monitoring meetings in co-ordination with other international agencies and donors, an annual meeting to review progress along the West EurAsia Roadmap;

West EurAsia Roadmap- country Stage position following the Progress Review of 2009, and expected progression to 2020 FINAL assessment of country Stage position for 2009, together with the expected progression to 2020. (Chart2) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Comment Kazakh Kyrgyz FMD seromonitoring system therefo new assumed 2, 3 and 5 years to move Tajik new progress to stage 1 Turkmen Uzbek new progress to stage 1 West Eurasia AFG new progress to stage 1 IRN PAK new 2009: progress to stage 1. Progress TURK new progress to stage 2 Thrace (TR) new dossier to OIE in 2010 added zones (TR) Syria Iraq Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia pending new new Syria considered to be in Stage 1 in reporting of seromonitoring expected 2009 : re-assessed as Stage 1, expe Stage 2 in 2011

Advisory Group West Eurasia Roadmap to advise on issues preventing progress of the Roadmap to assist resolving problems to improve ownership and enable direction by countries of the region structure coherent with GfTADS agreement

Proposed Advisory group structure 7 members 4 members from international organisations (1 member each): FAO, OIE, EC, EuFMD 3 from the region: President, elected at the annual meeting represents the Roadmap at international meetings, EuFMD Executive, etc two technical representatives laboratory network monitoring and surveillance network Observer: ECO

Procedures adopted at Istanbul 2009 Roadmap Meeting PCP assessment Advisory group (7): 4 members from international organisations (1 member each): FAO, OIE, EC, EuFMD election of the Roadmap President (Dr Askaroglu, Turkey) election of 2 technical representatives (Dr Bulut, Lab Network, and Dr Otarod, Epidemiology Network) duration of office 1 year proposed members had at least one supporter from the countries present

Regional FMD risk profile Source for FMD in Turkey (2006-9) Source for other neighbours Regional significance Turkey?TCC (Geo/Arm) Balkans/Europe Iran TransCaucasus Co. (TCC) Most likely source A Iran -05 (2005-) O Panasia II No evidence TCC (Arm, Azb) Gulf (A Iran 05) Iraq Probable intra-tcc Syria? O PanAsia II (Oct 2006)?? other ME in 2009???? Type A & O amplification and onward to Turkey and mid-east Iraq Too little past surveillance to prove?? other ME in 2009 A Iran 05 (BAR-08) Syria/Lebanon/Israel/... Pakistan Via Iran Iran (O Panasia II 2005;? 2009) Type A divergence? Central Asia Conduit to ME/Israel Reservoir : Asia-1 Probably main source for type A emergence

Interest/Request for FMD support Objectives of requested support PCP objective Iran High/yes Create FMD control zone along western border Technical guidance on I&R and movement control systems Create functional early warning system includes rapid typing at regionalized labs, twinning NRL with European lab Twinning epi-unit with European centre Achieve Progress in Stage 2 Iraq High/yes Create FMD free zone in northern Iraq In northern zones, achieve - Strengthened system to monitor FMD, Phase 1, progress Stage 2 increase impact of vaccination programs Syria Moderate-high/no formal request Informal contacts request lab support Syria is probably in Stage 1 although Claims Stage 3. Following sero-survey in 2009 follow-on program can be proposed. Trans- Caucasus Low- Georgia High- Armenia Low-Moderate -AZB TCC request for continuation presented at 38 th Session. Mainly continuation of current bufer zone support with technical guidance/support Progress Stage 2 (reduce circulation) towards Stage 3.

West Eurasia Budget implications MTF/INT/003/EC circa 50% of total budget for FMD actions (Note total agreement 2009-12, of 8m =circa 11.7 m US$) Recent Outline 2 year $ Outline 3 year $ 2005-9 2010-11 2010-12 Turkey 200,000 TCC 2,700,000 1,700,000 2,300,000.00 Iran 761,000 900,000 1,200,000.00 Iraq 200,000 270,000.00 Syria 90,000 200,000 270,000.00 Lebanon 100,000 140,000.00 Egypt 250,000 350,000.00 Regional- lab 400,000 600,000.00 Regional- epi 250,000 375,000.00 Total 3,551,000 4,000,000 5,505,000

Specific actions to be discussed at 79 th Executive: Stockholm, 16-17 th March Trans-Caucasus: Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan Iran reduction in support for buffer zone, emphasis on impact of national actions (PCP Stage 2) greater emphasis on FMD control in western borders (with Turkey) and early detection of FMD threats (currently O Ind 2001 incursion) progress in Stage 2 (impact/reduced incidence) West Eurasia Lab network: linking European NRLs and NRLs in region for threat detection/service upgrading African proximity threat monitoring: supporting risk asessment from Eastern/Western Africa (involves RAHC Nairobi and Bamako)

Conclusions the West Eurasia common border areas (with Turkey) are extremely important for maintaining FMD the West Eurasia Roadmap has already had significant impact in harmonising FMD monitoring and control actions movement control weak need for animal ID systems regular sero-surveillance to monitor progress support from EuFMD/EC highly influential - for monitoring programs and co-ordination

Acknowledgements DG-SANCO/European Commission Member states of EUFMD Peter de Leeuw, past-president of the EuFMD Executive Committee, Ulrich Herzog, current President Aldo Dekker: EuFMD Research group Carsten Poetzsch (EuFMD), Giancarlo Ferrari (FAO) FAO World Reference Laboratory, Pirbright FMD Institute, Ankara OIE (Gideon Bruckner, Nikola Belev)

Brief country profiles Information/slides mainly from country presentations to the Shiraz meeting, 2008

Outlook FMD control in Turkey continued support from EU - another 4 years FMD vaccination high quality vaccines, coverage all large and small ruminants twice per year problems: lack of effective quaratines around outbreaks gaps in coverage especially unvaccinated calves lack of booster vaccination expect FMD to continue in breeding areas (high risk eastern areas)

TransCaucasus 2009: Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan

Buffer zone Risk zone 1 (25%) 2 (20%) 3 (10%) Risk zones and vaccination buffer zone

NSP antibody results regional - 0 % > 0-20% > 20-40 % > 40-60 % > 60 % not sampled

Outlook vaccination programmes in Armenia and Azerbaijan set to continue 2010-2011 increased movements across borders (e.g. into Azerbaijan) buffer zone is NOT effective infection passes through more effort to target /control high risk points to reduce risk, need to strengthen control in high risk areas of Turkey and Iran

I.R.Iran Mehdi Khalaj Iran veterinary organization Khalaj.mehdi@gmail.com Regional meeting on Foot-and-Mouth Disease to develop a long term regional control strategy (Regional Roadmap for West Eurasia) Shiraz, Islamic Republic of Iran 9-13 November 2008

Iran is 1,648,000 square kilometers in surface Around 7,744 kilometers of ground and marine borders with Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan and Armenia in the north, Afghanistan and Pakistan in the east and Turkey and Iraq in the west Administratively Iran divided to 30 provinces.

Pakistan 60 million large ruminants + > 80 million small ruminants...regional giant in livestock Population - very low use of FMD vaccine -regional reservoir serotype Asia-1 - Cattle Buffalo Sheep Goat Camel (Million Heads) Pakistan (2006) 29.5 27.3 26.5 53.8 0.9 Pakistan (2008) 31.8 29.0 27.1 56.7 1.0 Per cent distribution NWFP 20 7 13 18 7 Punjab 49 65 24 37 22 Sindh 23 27 15 23 30 Balochistan 8 1 48 22 41 Livestock Census (2006)

Disease Reporting Network

Quarantine Station Movement in Movement out

Iraqi Veterinary Laboratories Central Lab Regional Lab

Issues/outlook A Iran 05 (BAR-08) epidemic in early 2009 (source? Iran?) limited vaccination program in 2008-9: large gaps, led to major epidemics Baghdad limited co-operation with autonomous regions in the north on disease control virus typing: difficulties to submit to WRL no samples submitted from nothern region interest to develop high control zone along borders with Turkey/Iran

Syria Dr.Ziad Namour Director of Animal Health doah@mail.sy Regional meeting on Foot-and-Mouth Disease to develop a long term regional control strategy (Regional Roadmap for West Eurasia) Shiraz, Islamic Republic of Iran 9-13 November 2008

Syria Turkish Iraq Lebanon Jordan

Turkey Mediterranean sea Iraq Lebanon Iraq Jordan MOVEMENT OF SHEEP

Conclusions the common border areas are extremely important for maintaining FMD not clear if FMD persists mainly independantly in each country - or continual transborder movement high vaccination rates, but important gaps remain FMD risk related to calf breeding cycle and lack of effective early vaccination? interest of each country to improve control in the border region movement control need for animal ID systems regular sero-surveillance to monitor progress support from EuFMD/EC for monitoring programs and co-ordination