Predicting outcome in IBD by crossing the T s

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Oxford Inflammatory Bowel Disease & Hepatology MasterClass Predicting outcome in IBD by crossing the T s Dr James Lee

Oxford Inflammatory Bowel Disease & Hepatology MasterClass No financial disclosures

Patient 1. PC Male, 32 years 5 months: Weight loss (2 stone) Colicky RIF pain Intermittent non-bloody diarrhoea BO up to 10x/24h Fatigue Grandfather has Crohn s disease Non-smoker Bloods: Raised inflammatory markers (ESR 45, CRP 22) Monocytosis Not anaemic Albumin 35

Ascending colon Terminal Ileum Granuloma Diagnosis: Ileocolonic Crohn s disease

Patient 2. EG Female, 22 years, non-smoker Diarrhoea, abdo pain, weight loss, fatigue (6 months) CRP 47, ESR 81, Alb 27 No FH Diagnosis: Ileocolonic Crohn s disease

Patient 1. PC Male, 32 years Newly diagnosed Ileocolonic CD No perianal involvement Non-smoker CRP 22 mg/l ESR 45 mm/hr Hb 14.5 g/dl Alb 35 g/l ASCA negative NOD2 wildtype No previous treatment Patient 2. EG Female, 22 years Newly diagnosed Ileocolonic CD No perianal involvement Non-smoker CRP 47 mg/l ESR 81 mm/hr Hb 12.3 g/dl Alb 27 g/l ASCA negative NOD2 wildtype No previous treatment

Follow up No further flares to end of follow up (475 days) Day 0 Follow up Day 500

Disease course: variable and unpredictable VS. Quiescent disease Persistent or flaring disease Solberg et al. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2007

A case for personalised medicine? The success of personalised medicine depends on having accurate diagnostic tests that identify patients who can benefit from targeted therapies Dr Margaret Hamburg (Commissioner FDA) Dr Francis Collins (Director NIH) Hamburg and Collins. NEJM (2010) Quiescent disease Protected from risks of unnecessary immunosuppression Aggressive disease Receive aggressive therapy as early as possible (ideally at diagnosis)

The benefit of early aggressive therapy... Anti-TNF induction Conventional D Haens et al. Lancet (2008) Enhanced efficacy of early anti-tnf therapy vs late usage Schreiber et al. NEJM (2007) Feagan et al. Gastro (2008) Minimize progression to disease that requires surgery (strictures, fistulas) Ramadas et al.gut (2010)

... balanced against the risks of overtreating Tuberculosis Solid tumours Lymphoma Demyelination Other opportunistic infections etc...

Transcriptional (gene expression) profiling Used successfully in oncology diagnostic and prognostic signatures described Less successful in auto-inflammatory disease often confounded by the heterogeneity of the tissues examined

Study design (prospective) Recruit pts with active UC/CD; newly diagnosed or flaring on no treatment Separate CD8 and CD4 T cells from whole PBMC Assess whole genome gene expression by microarray Followed prospectively, managed conventionally in IBD clinics (blinded) 32 UC, 35 CD recruited; median follow-up 550 days

Are there any inherent patterns (subgroups) in the data? CD4 T cells no consistent subgroups identified CD8 T cells: 2 groups 3 groups True in both UC and CD Lee et al. JCI 2011

Genes Patients Lee et al. JCI 2011

The gene signatures in UC and CD were highly overlapping......to the extent where they could be used interchangeably to recreate the same subgroups termed IBD1 and IBD2 Lee et al. JCI 2011

Comparison with SLE/AAV signature UC patients (by SLE/AAV signature) CD patients (by SLE/AAV signature) Lee et al. JCI 2011

No significant correlation with contemporaneous clinical/laboratory parameters: Gender Smoking Age Disease severity CRP ESR Harvey Bradshaw Index / Walmsley Index Disease location Newly vs previously diagnosed Extra-intestinal manifestations ASCA serology

VS. Quiescent Aggressive Common end-point: Immunomodulators Surgery

CD requirement for escalation in treatment (12) (23) Lee et al. JCI 2011

BUT necessity for treatment escalation does not automatically indicate an aggressive/progressive disease course Lee et al. JCI 2011

Survival without need for treatment escalation (%) Survival without need for treatment escalation (%) Other methods of disease prediction ASCA serology Clinical parameters (<40y, perianal disease, steroids) ASCA -ve (n=17) ASCA +ve (n=18) Mild (n=15) Severe (n=20) Follow up (days) Follow up (days) Lee et al. JCI 2011

and UC... Lee et al. JCI 2011

Effect of stratifying by the IBD1/2 signature

What biological differences cause this gene signature? Lee et al. JCI 2011

CD8 T cell memory generation TCR CD28 IL-2 Effector cells IL-7 Memory cells Activation and proliferation More memory More able to respond to small amounts of re-encountered antigen (flare) Kaech et al. Nat Rev Immunol 2002

Are CD8 T-cells from IBD1 patients more activated? CD8 T cell activation signature Lee et al. JCI 2011

Summary A gene signature, enriched for T cell activation genes, exists in peripheral CD8 T cells of patients with UC and CD at diagnosis This divides all patients into two distinct groups that are otherwise clinically indistinguishable In both diseases, patients enriched for this transcriptional signature experience significantly more aggressive disease behaviour characterised by frequently-relapsing/chronically active disease This may enable personalised therapy to be initiated at diagnosis in the future and will be tested in a UK-wide trial soon!

Acknowledgements Smith Lab, CIMR Tim Rayner Hannah Rickman Eoin McKinney Ed Carr Alex Hatton Huzefa Ratlamwala Paul Lyons Ken Smith IBD service, Addenbrooke s Hospital Miles Parkes Fran Bredin Claire Dawson The patients