Evaluation of Stroke Programme. Dr Emer Shelley MD MSc FRCPI FFPH FFPHMI Public Health Lead Stroke Programme

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Evaluation of Stroke Programme Dr Emer Shelley MD MSc FRCPI FFPH FFPHMI Public Health Lead Stroke Programme

Project Team Prof. Peter Kelly Dr. Joe Harbison Carmel Brennan Kate Kennedy Imelda Noone Anne Burke Una Cunningham Dr. Breda Smyth Dr. Emer Shelley Joint Clinical Lead Joint Clinical Lead, Project Manager Workforce Planner CNS/ ANP Stroke Physiotherapy Speech & Language Therapy Public Health, Atrial Fibrillation Information, evidence

OUTLINE Context Summary of Stroke Programme and draft performance measures Comments re evaluation in context of seminar

Terms and Conditions Apply! Stroke Programme content, targets and performance indicators have not been finally agreed between Clinical Leads for Stroke (Prof. Peter Kelly & Dr. Joe Harbison) and DQCC & stakeholders Comments re evaluation, design etc are personal

Context of Stroke & Chronic Disease Programmes Main drivers for focus on chronic diseases and on quality

The Demographic Transition Population projection Ireland 2021 aged 45 and older (thousands, M1F1 migration and fertility rates) 400.0 350.0 300.0 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 + 2021 2006

Diseases of the Circulatory System - Trends in age-standardised death rates, 1980-2005 600 Rate (per 100,000 population) 500 400 300 200 100 0 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Diseases of circulatory system EU15 average: Diseases of circulatory system CHD EU15 average: CHD Stroke EU15 average: Stroke Cardiovascular Health Policy Group (2010). Stroke mortality has decreased for several decades. Remains similar to EU 15.

In 1980, half of all deaths in Ireland and the UK were due to cardiovascular disease (CVD) By 2009, 34% of all deaths in Ireland were due to CVD Longer life expectancy, higher prevalence of chronic diseases, co-morbidities

Concerns also about access, quality and cost of health care in Ireland

Response Rehabilitation policy in preparation

Response Service planning Performance monitoring Codes of practice

Restructuring of HSE

3. What are the clinical programs & initiatives? 1. Chronic disease management programs Stroke Acute coronary syndrome Heart failure Asthma/COPD Diabetes Epilepsy Mental health 2. Outpatient management programs Dermatology Neurology Rheumatology Orthopaedics 3. Emergency function related programs Acute Medicine Elective surgery Diagnostic Imaging Care of the elderly 4. Key Quality Safety and Risk initiatives Governance Underperforming clinician process Patient safety bundles Incident reporting Audit 5. Other Clinical program areas Obstetrics Paediatrics ICU HCAI Primary care Neurorehab 6. Enabling programmes Development of a resource allocation model Pharma strategy Implementation of Clinical Directorates Defining a standard approach to delivering change

Objectives Acute Medicine Programme Quality: admission rates of medical patients Access: medical patients seen by senior medical doctor within 1 hour Cost: Medical bed day savings Acute Floor Data Manager To support clinical audit within acute medicine and related specialities

3 domains Audit Acute Medicine: structure, process & outcome Structural audit: annual survey by questionnaire Procedural audit: carried out by lead physician Outcome audit: suite of indicators (quality, access, cost) will be collected by Casemix & Business Information Unit - annual, national & local

Conclusion re Broad Context of Stroke Programme A lot has happened in recent years which provides supportive environment for development of Stroke Programme Parallel developments in other organisations (HIQA, IHF) as well as in HSE have implications for planning and evaluation of the Stroke Programme

Context Specific to Stroke INASC (2008): 6 separate studies provided evidence of inadequacies in service structures and in implementation of evidence-based care in hospital and community

Includes stroke as well as cardiac services Recommendations across the spectrum from health promotion, to health care settings and health information

National Guidelines for the Care of Patients with Stroke & Transient Ischaemic Attack Under auspices of Council on Stroke of Irish Heart Foundation Version 2, March 2010 On IHF website http://www.irishheart.ie/iopen24/strokecouncil-t-13_396_398.html

Extracts from Stroke Manifesto

Stroke Programme Team, Working Group and Advisory Group Core Project Team Professor Peter Kelly Dr. Joe Harbison Dr. Emer Shelley Carmel Brennan Kate Kennedy QCCD providing Imelda Noone Anne Burke (TBC) Una Cunningham Dr. Breda Smyth Responsibility Joint Clinical Lead, Consultant Stroke Neurologist Joint Clinical Lead, Consultant Stroke Physician & Geriatrician Public Health Lead, Specialist in Public Health Medicine Project Manager, Project Specialist Nurse Service Planner, NM Planning & Dev Officer Clerical Support CNS/ ANP Stroke, ANP Stroke St. Vincents Hospital Physiotherapy, Physiotherapy, Mealth Local Health Area Speech & Language Therapy, SLT Manager Mater Hospital Public Health, Lead on Atrial Fibrillation Advisory Group RCPI to make appointments Links with/ Go to person Working Group (including core project team) Chair Working Group Dr. Ronan Collins, Director of Stroke Service, Consultant Physician in Older Adult & Stroke Medicine AMNCH Tallaght Dublin/Mid Leinster Clinical Regional Lead Dr. Dominic McCabe, Neurologist, AMNCH Dr. Morgan Crowe, Geriatrician, St. Vincents Hospital/Dr. Rachel Doyle, Geriatrician, Loughlinstown Hospital Dublin North East Clinical Regional Lead Professor David Williams, Geriatrician, Beaumont Dr. Olwyn Lynch, Geriatrician, Dundalk, West Clinical Regional Lead Dr. Peter Boers, Neurologist, Mid West Regional Hospital Limerick Dr. Paula Hickey, Geriatrician, Sligo South Clinical Regional Lead Dr. Brian Sweeney, Neurologist, CUH Cork Dr. Ruairí McGovern, Geriatrician, St. Lukes Hospital Kilkenny Working Group Occupational Therapy Under discussion with Emma Benton (ONSD) Director of Nursing ONSD to nominate (under discussion) ICGP representative Under discussion with Joe Clarke Patient Advocate Under discussion with Mary Culliton, Consumer Affairs Stroke Council/Irish Heart Foundation 3 representatives - Representative Neuro. Rehab/OT/Social Work/Dietician Vascular Surgeons Representative from Irish Society of Vascular Surgeon Neurosurgeon Peter Kelly to confirm Communications Carmel Cullen, Communications Manager, QCCD Business/Financial support Maeve Raeside, Business Manager, QCCD Reconfiguration Fionnula Duffy, AND, Planning & Development Acute Services, ISD/Reconfiguration IT: To be decided Other CV programmes: New project team appointee

Aims of the Stroke Programme (2010-2012) National rapid access to best-quality stroke services Prevent 1 stroke every day Avoid death or dependence in 1 patient every day

Governance Components of the Stroke Programme Prevention - Atrial Fibrillation Prevention - TIA/Carotid Emergency Stroke Care Acute Stroke Unit Care Stroke Care in the Community Stroke Register Project Plan will describe scope and targets for each action area

Sources of data (& potential sources) re stroke and service performance CSO demographics and mortality stats HIPE Survey (annual, structure and process) Additional patient data: Chart insert (specific diagnosis, time to Rx) HIPE portal Retrospective audit

1. Clinical Governance Scope: Improvement of organisation and coordination of stroke care within and between hospitals and with community. Targets: Development of stroke networks Identification of local individuals responsible for stroke care.

Performance Measures 1. Local Stroke Groups established in at least 75% (24) of acute hospitals by end 2010 2. At least 75% (24) of acute hospitals affiliated to a Stroke Network by end March 2011

2. Prevention: TIAs Scope: Reduce the number of patients with TIAs suffering further strokes and reduce unnecessary hospital stays for TIA patients Targets: Development of mechanism for identifying, investigating and treating TIAs in all regions

Performance Measures Primary indicators: Time from presentation to specialist evaluation less than 48 hours in at least 50% of patients Reduce average length of stay for TIA by 1 day (to 4.5 days) Secondary indicators: Reduce TIA admissions by 15% (360 admissions avoided) Implement Care Pathways

Targets and Performance Measures also for Carotid stenosis To be discussed with Vascular Surgeons Suggested Primary Indicator: For patients undergoing CEA, goal time to CEA within 2 weeks of symptom onset Other indicators: Improve carotid imaging rates Improve time to carotid imaging For carotid stenosis patients with non-disabling stroke/tia, goal time to vascular surgery unit referral within 1 week of symptom onset

4. Emergency treatment Scope: Improvement in care of patients from stroke onset to admission to hospital stroke unit Targets: National 24/7 access to safe stroke thrombolysis Increase thrombolysis from <1% to 7.5% of ischaemic strokes Delivery of standard care pathways for emergency management

Performance measures Primary indicators In-hospital mortality Post-thrombolysis intracerebral haemorrhage Secondary indicators Door to needle time Non-stroke thrombolysed Care pathways Thrombolysis available in all hospitals admitting acute stroke patients

5. Acute & Rehabilitation Scope: Improvement in care of patients from admission to discharge Targets: Development of ASUs in all hospitals admitting acute strokes Availability Acute Stroke Unit care for all patients admitted with stroke Increase ASU admission from 3% at baseline Delivery of standard care pathways for management Identification of specific Rehab facilities for stroke patients

Performance measures Primary indicators: Stroke unit in all hospitals admitting patients with acute stroke 50% of acute stroke patients to spend at least 50% of hospital stay in stroke unit Secondary indicators Care pathways Stroke unit Q score

National Performance Indicator Set: Acute Stroke Unit Care Definition Care of patients with acute stroke in an acute, combined (acute and rehabilitation) or rehabilitation stroke unit with sufficient beds to admit all cases requiring acute care or rehabilitation, a designated clinical lead and a multidisciplinary team, providing integrated care. Calculation: Bi-annual survey of Stroke Networks and Hospitals Number of Model 4, 3 and 2 hospitals providing care in an acute, combined or rehabilitation stroke unit / Total number of Model 4, 3 and 2 hospitals providing the service

National Performance Indicator Set: Implementation of protocols for the care of patients with stroke and TIA Implementation of clinical protocols for the care of patients with acute stroke: emergency services, acute care including thrombolysis, multidisciplinary assessment and rehabilitation. Implementation of protocol for rapid access assessment and treatment of patients with TIA

Hospital Emergency Stroke Services (HESS) Survey June 2010

Hospitals that thrombolyse and also have an acute or combined acute and rehabilitation stroke unit (n=15)

Profession Specific Stroke Audit for Workforce Planning Medical Nursing Physio OT SLT Nutrition & dietetics Social Work Psychology Staffing levels dedicated to stroke Vacant posts Stroke in-service training Early Supported Discharge scheme Information on prevention of stroke recurrence to patients and carers.

Context of Evaluation of Stroke Programme HSE Corporate Plan HSE Service Plan Routine data sources and information systems, e.g. Vital Statistics, HIPE HSE reporting systems KPIs, Healthstat

Programme Evaluation Address topic from perspective of seminar For Stroke Programme, can t separate evaluation from planning and monitoring Plan Implement Feedback Monitor Classic Planning Cycle

Planning: Implications of Demographic and Epidemiologic Transitions For projections of N of cases (and required resources), important to model scenarios Include in model the impact of other Programmes, e.g. Acute Coronary Syndromes, Heart Failure Diabetes

Programme Evaluation Formative informs planning (including at baseline) and provides base for evaluation Structure how systems and resources change Process Changes from baseline onwards, how services delivered Impact What was different at end of programme

Evaluation, Planning, Monitoring Formative (includes baseline structure and process) Structure, Process Plan Implement Monitor Feedback Q u a l I T y Summative (interim) and Programme evaluation

Formative Evaluation of Stroke Programme Irish National Audit of Stroke Care (2007) North Dublin Population Stroke Survey Cardiovascular Policy IHF Guidelines Analysis of HIPE data Hospital Emergency Services Survey Workforce Planning Survey

Structure and Process Now identifying primary and secondary indicators for Phase 1 of Stroke Programme Defining those indicators and planning how they will be collected Consulting with stakeholders

General Comments re Evaluation Priority is to agree purpose of the evaluation Incorporate evaluation from the outset Resources allocated to evaluation should be in proportion to services being assessed

Stroke Programme Evaluation Overall, the aim of evaluation is to compare services and patient outcomes between 2010 and 2012 in first instance Ditto 2010 to 2019 Current focus to describe baseline scenario re services (structures and processes) Where possible to collect patient level data to verify processes of care and get some measures of outcome

Re Seminar Discussion A lot happening besides the Programme, so should be able to 1. accurately describe changes in structures and institutional processes 2. estimate changes in patient care and outcomes, but 3. won t be able to attribute changes to the Programme There will be plenty of scope for research, which can feed into planning and implementation