Calcium scoring Clinical and prognostic value

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Calcium scoring Clinical and prognostic value Matthijs Oudkerk Professor and Chair of Radiology University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen Groningen, The Netherlands Sofia 2011 13 May

Asymptomatic Patients Sarwar et al. JACC Cardiovascular Imaging 2009;2:675-688

Pooled results Asymptomatic Patients Total Population 71,595 Men(%) 65 Prevalence, n (%) CAC=0 29,312 (41) Prevalence, n (%) CAC>0 42,283 (59) Mean Follow-up (Months) 50 Events, n (%) CAC=0 54 (0.47) Events, n (%) CAC >0 1,749 (4.14) Sarwar et al. JACC Cardiovascular Imaging 2009;2:675-688

The value of coronary artery calcium in the elderly population 15 % of the study population 13 26 47 Calcium score 0-100 101-500 501-1000 > 1000

The value of coronary artery calcium in the elderly population Vliegenthart et al. Circulation 2005

The value of coronary artery calcium in the elderly population Vliegenthart et al. Circulation 2005

The value of coronary artery calcium in the elderly population population-based study shows that coronary calcification is a strong and independent predictor of CHD in the elderly Vliegenthart et al. Circulation 2005

Race and calcium score negative calcium score (%) 29.6 47.9 43.5 40.8 55.4 63.5 65.1 58.1 Bild et al. Circulation 2005

Diabetes Mellitus And Coronary Calcification diabetes mellitus is associated with a very high prevalence of coronary artery disease, it negates the advantage of women over men and of youth over older age in prevalence and extent of atherosclerosis.

Diabetes Mellitus And Coronary Calcification DM CAC score distribution by age Hoff et al. JACC 2003

Diabetes Mellitus And Coronary Calcification CAC distribution by DM type Diabetes type Negative ca-score Positive ca-score Reference I (n=302) 54% 46% Olson et al, Diabetes 2000 II (n=180) 8% 92% Anand et al, Eur Hear Journal 2006

Diabetes Mellitus And Coronary Calcification Ca score and myocardial perfusion Type-2 diabetic patients with a CAC score >100 are expected to have an increased frequency of ischemia on MPI. diabetes type-ii Anand et al. Eur Heart J 2006

Diabetes Mellitus And Coronary Calcification Negative CAC in Diabetes Mellitus type I and II excludes coronary artery disease Patients with a negative CAC in Diabetes Mellitus type II show no myocardial perfusion abnormalities

The value of the ZERO calcium score in CAD a-symptomatic patients Bellasi et al. AJC 2007

The value of the ZERO calcium score in CAD a-symptomatic smokers Shaw et al. Eur Heart J 2006

The value of the ZERO calcium score in CAD a-symptomatic hemodialysis patients Block et al. Kidney Int 2007

Negative CAC in a-symptomatic population If, mainly asymptomatic, subjects (n=2,023) are excluded from further screening because they are in the Framingham low-risk category, almost two thirds of women and a quarter of men with substantial atherosclerosis will be missed. In contrast, the simple observation of any coronary calcium is highly sensitive and moderately specific. The detection of any CAC outperformes Framingham risk scores as a first step in screening for coronary atherosclerosis. Johnson et al. AJR 2010

Value of zero ca-score to rule out CAD in symptomatic pts Symptomatic patients

Calcium score to rule out CAD in symptomatic patients comparison exercise testing and CAG in positive CAC Patients with CAC score > 10 (n=145) Result Exercise test n >50% stenose CAG Pos 22 11 50% FP Neg 78 12 12% FN Non-diagn. 45 15 33% Patients with CAC score < 10 (n=159) Result Exercise test n >50% stenose CAG Pos 15 0 100% FP Neg 113 0 0% FN Non-diagn. 31 0? Geluk et al. Eur Rad 2008

Value of zero ca-score to rule out CAD in symptomatic pts CAG findings Geluk et al. Eur Rad 2007

Value of zero calcium score to rule out CAD in symptomatic patients CaSc Calcium Scores of symptomatic patients with myocardial ischemia* Dobu-MRI positive pts CAG positive Mean CaSc History of CAD <10 0 0 0 0 11-100 2 1 54 0 101-400 9 9 217 4 > 400 11 11 2041 5 Total 22 21 1114 9 *Chest pain and inconclusive diagnosis of myocardial infarction Kuypers et al, European Radiology 2004;14(10):R10

Value of zero ca-score to rule out CAD in symptomatic patients: Comparison to treadmill and nuclear stress tests In patients with suspected CAD, with a normal ECG and normal cardiac markers, a screening protocol based on coronary calcium scores provides effective triage. Measurement of coronary calcium scores is an appropriate initial non-invasive test in asymptomatic subjects at increased coronary risk. Furthermore, invasive diagnostic and therapeutic procedures are indicated in a high number of subjects with coronary calcium scores 400. Geluk et al. Eur Rad 2007 and BMC 2007

Value of zero calcium score to rule out CAD in symptomatic patients n=554 64-MDCT Siemens Noncalcified coronary artery plaque (NCAP) The 0-CAC group contained patients with CAC scores of 0; the low-cac group contained men with CAC scores from 1 to 50 and women with CAC scores from 1 to 10 Cheng et al, AJC 2007

Value of zero calcium score to rule out CAD in symptomatic patients 64-MDCT Philips Rubinshtein et al, AJC 2007

Negative CAC in symptomatic population In a population of predominately intermediate likelihood of CAD, a CAC score of zero excludes inducible ischemia on myocardial perfusion PET (NPV=99%). n=206 Prevalence of inducible myocardial ischemia on positron emission tomography according to absolute coronary artery calcium scores. Esteves et al. Int.J.Cardiol 2009

Negative CAC in symptomatic population Nonenhanced CT for calcium detection is a reliable means to exclude obstructive CAD in stable, symptomatic patients (n=471). CTA can exclude significant CAD in patients with a low intermediate CCS but is of limited value in patients with a high CC Nieman et al. AJC 2009

Negative CAC in symptomatic population Number of pts with unavailable, negative (normal), and positive (abnormal) CTA and exercise electrocardiographic results (percentage of total) stratified by CCS group. Nieman et al. AJC 2009

Value of zero calcium score to rule out CAD in symptomatic patients In conclusion, a zero CAC score seems to be a good filter for exclusion of significant CAD in symptomatic patients with intermediate to high pre-test likelihood of obstructive CAD. A low CAC score, however, is more controversial as a number of studies showed that presence of non-calcified and potentially obstructive lesions is higher in patients with low calcium scores and symptoms compared to patients with a score of zero.

Conclusions CAC is a good predictor of events in Caucasians and adds incremental prognostic value to risk factors in intermediate risk populations There is significant variability between ethnicities in the prevalence and extent of coronary calcium. Absence of CAC is associated with very low event rates in most risk categories Rapid CAC progression is associated with higher risk of events CAC is a strong predictor of events in end stage renal disease A zero calcium score is associated with a very low prevalence of ischemia on functional stress testing and obstructive disease on angiography CAC may have good predictive value in the elderly, diabetic patients and patients of different ethnic background

Conclusions CT coronary calcium scoring (CCS) is a reliable means to exclude obstructive CAD in stable, symptomatic pts Coronary CTA can exclude significant CAD in patients with a low intermediate CCS but is of limited value in patients with a high CCS Coronary CTA in combination with perfusion imaging can replace invasive Coronary Angiography in the diagnosis of hemodynamically relevant CAD Combined coronary CTA/CTPerfusion can not replace the role of perfusion imaging yet SPECT can not replace coronary CTA in combination with perfusion MR

Conclusions We still need to prove that: We can alter CAC progression with medical interventions Altering CAC progression with medical interventions impacts patients outcome We may not need to treat patients with risk factors in the absence of CAC Standardized procedures for both image acquisition and calcium scoring should be followed so that we might best advance our knowledge using MDCT.

Thank you for your attention