Relative effect (95% CI) RR LOW 2,3 due to indirectness, imprecision. RR 1.45 (0.43 to 4.84) due to indirectness, imprecision. (0.18 to 20.

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Appendix: Evidence Reports Question In patients with early RA with moderate or high disease activity, who are DMARD-naive, what is the impact of combination double DMARD therapy vs. mono-dmard therapy on symptoms and AEs? Summary: This PICO was addressed directly by two double-blind RCTs*^ and indirectly by one double-blind RCT #. All three trials compared combination therapy with methotrexate and sulfasalazine with methotrexate alone. In the two trials that directly matched the PICO population, no statistically significant between-group differences were found for disease activity (assessed by DAS), physical function (HAQ), or radiographic disease progression (Sharp score). In one RCT in which patients had previously failed to achieve a DAS score 2.3 despite six months of sulfasalazine monotherapy, ACR20, 50, and 70 responses were assessed #. This trial found a statistically non-significant trend in favor of doubletherapy for ACR20, 50, and 70 scores. Because of this population s prior incomplete response to sulfasalazine monotherapy, this evidence only indirectly addresses this PICO question. None of the three trials reported significant between-group differences in withdrawals due to adverse events #*^. Quality of evidence across all critical outcomes: Moderate Traditional DMARD double-therapy compared to Traditional DMARD monotherapy for patients with early RA with moderate/high disease activity who are DMARD-naive Bibliography: Traditional DMARD double-therapy vs. traditional DMARD monotherapy for patients with early RA with moderate/high disease activity who are DMARD-naive Disease Activity Score (DAS) (RA disease activity) (higher score indicates more severe disease activity) No of Participants 05 2 months ACR 20 response (RA disease activity) 0 8 months ACR 50 response (RA disease activity) 0 8 months ACR 70 response (RA disease activity) 0 8 months Quality of the evidence due to LOW 2,3, LOW 2,3, LOW 2,3, Relative effect Number of people who benefit with a single DMARD RR.93 48 per 000 38 more per 000 (0.9 to 4.3) (from 5 fewer to 464 more) RR.45 (0.43 to 4.84) RR.93 (0.8 to 20.65) 74 per 000 33 more per 000 (from 42 fewer to 284 more) 9 per 000 7 more per 000 (from 5 fewer to 364 more) Additional number of people who benefit with 2 DMARDs The mean disease activity score (DAS) (RA disease activity) in the intervention groups was 0.05 lower (0.38 lower to 0.28 higher)

Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) (higher score indicates more severe physical disability) Percent of patients with detectable radiographic progression (assessed using total Sharp score) 05 2 months 37 2 months Withdrawal due to adverse events 208 (2 studies) 2 months due to MODERATE 4 due to MODERATE 5 due to RR 0.55 (0.22 to.4) RR.53 (0.69 to 3.4) The mean Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) in the intervention groups was 0.4 higher (0.2 lower to 0.47 higher) 59 per 000 72 fewer per 000 (from 24 fewer to 65 more) 87 per 000 46 more per 000 (from 27 fewer to 209 more) CI: Confidence interval; RR: Risk ratio; RA: rheumatoid arthritis; DMARD: disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug (Abbreviation explanations included in all tables). Wide confidence intervals around effect estimate due to small sample size (Haagsma et al., 997). 2 Indirect evidence: this PICO addresses those with early RA and no prior DMARD failure, however, patients in this trial had all previously been administered sulfasalazine monotherapy and had failed to achieve a DAS score lower than 2.4 (Capell et al., 2007). 3 Wide confidence intervals around effect estimate due to small sample size (Capell et al., 2007). 4 Wide confidence intervals around effect estimate due to small sample size (Dougados et al., 999). 5 Wide confidence intervals around effect estimate due to small sample size (Dougados et al., 999; Haagsma et al., 997). Question includes three Capell et al., 2007 # ; Dougados et al., 999*; Haagsma et al., 997^ RCTs: # Capell HA, Madhok R, Porter DR, Munro RA, McInnes IB, Hunter JA, et al. Combination therapy with sulfasalazine and methotrexate is more effective than either drug alone in patients with rheumatoid arthritis with a suboptimal response to sulfasalazine: results from the double blind placebo controlled MASCOT study. Ann Rheum Dis. 2007;66(2):235 4. *Dougados M, Combe B, Cantagrel A, Goupille P, Olive P, Schattenkirchner M, et al. Combination therapy in early rheumatoid arthritis: a randomised, controlled, double blind 52 week clinical trial of sulfasalazine and methotrexate compared with the single components. Ann Rheum Dis. 999;58(4):220 5. ^Haagsma CJ, van Riel PL, de Jong AJ, van de Putte LB. Combination of sulfasalazine and methotrexate versus the single components in early rheumatoid arthritis: a randomized, controlled, double blind, 52 week clinical trial. Br J Rheumatol. 997;36(0):082 8.

Question 2 In patients with early RA with moderate or high disease activity, who are DMARD-naive, what is the impact of combination triple traditional DMARD therapy vs. mono-dmard therapy on symptoms and AEs? Summary: This PICO was directly addressed by four RCTs, two of which were double-blind*^, and two single-blind #. Results from three studies found lower RA disease activity (as measured by DAS-28 and ACR 50 response) in those receiving triple-dmard therapy than in those receiving DMARD monotherapy # *. No significant between-group differences were found for HAQ scores, serious adverse events (SAEs), infections, or gastrointestinal adverse events. Hepatotoxicity was observed somewhat more frequently in those receiving DMARD monotherapy than in those receiving DMARD triple-therapy # ^. Quality of evidence across all critical outcomes: High Triple-DMARD therapy vs. Mono-DMARD therapy for patients with early RA and moderate/high disease activity who are DMARD-naive Bibliography: Triple-DMARD vs. mono-dmard therapy for patients with early RA and moderate/high DA who are DMARD-naive. DAS-28 (RA disease activity) (higher score indicates more severe disease activity) No of Participants 786 ACR 50 response (RA disease activity) 689 (2 studies) 6-24 months Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) (higher HAQ score indicates more severe physical disability) 62 Serious adverse events (SAEs) 98 Infections 786 3- Gastrointestinal adverse events 98 Hepatoxicity (liver enzymes >2x upper limit of normal) 470 Quality of the evidence LOW,2 due to risk of bias, inconsistency LOW 3,4 due to risk of bias, Two of three included trials (de Jong et al., 203; Saunders et al., 2008) were not blinded. 2 I-squared heterogeneity score= 74% 3 Single-blind trial 4 Only one moderate-sized trial (N=62) included in this analysis Relative effect RR.4 (.8 to.69) RR 0.99 (0.63 to.53) RR 0.98 (0.7 to.34) RR.78 (0.84 to 3.75) RR 0.6 (0.37 to 0.99) Number of people who benefit with a single DMARD Additional number of people who benefit with 3 DMARDs (95% CI) The mean das-28 in the intervention groups was 0.36 lower (0.66 to 0.05 lower) 266 per 000 09 more per 000 (from 48 more to 84 more) The mean Health Assessment Questionnaire in the intervention groups was 0.7 lower (0.35 lower to 0.0 higher) 96 per 000 fewer per 000 (from 36 fewer to 5 more) 89 per 000 2 fewer per 000 (from 26 fewer to 30 more) 68 per 000 3 more per 000 (from 27 fewer to 46 more) 62 per 000 63 fewer per 000 (from 2 fewer to 02 fewer)

Question 2 includes de Jong et al., 203 # ; Moreland et al., 202*; Saunders et al., 2008 ; Mottonen et al., 999^ four RCTs: # de Jong PH, Hazes JM, Barendregt PJ, Huisman M, van Zeben D, van der Lubbe PA, et al. Induction therapy with a combination of DMARDs is better than methotrexate monotherapy: first results of the treach trial. Ann Rheum Dis. 203;72():72 8. *Moreland LW, O'Dell JR, Paulus HE, Curtis JR, Bathon JM, St Clair EW, et al. A randomized comparative effectiveness study of oral triple therapy versus etanercept plus methotrexate in early aggressive rheumatoid arthritis: the treatment of Early Aggressive Rheumatoid Arthritis Trial. Arthritis Rheum. 202;64(9):2824 35. Saunders SA, Capell HA, Stirling A, Vallance R, Kincaid W, McMahon AD, et al. Triple therapy in early active rheumatoid arthritis: a randomized, single blind, controlled trial comparing step up and parallel treatment strategies. Arthritis Rheum. 2008;58(5):30 7. ^Mottonen T, Hannonen P, Leirisalo Repo M, Nissila M, Kautiainen H, Korpela M, et al. Comparison of combination therapy with single drug therapy in early rheumatoid arthritis: a randomised trial. FIN RACo trial group. Lancet. 999;353(964):568 73.

Question 3 In patients with established RA with moderate or high disease activity, who are DMARD-naive, what is the impact of traditional DMARD combination (double or triple) therapy vs. traditional DMARD monotherapy on symptoms and AEs? Summary: This PICO was indirectly addressed by seven RCTs in DMARD-naïve early RA patients # * ^Ф Ω. All of these trials compared combination therapy (either double or triple-dmard therapy) to DMARD monotherapy. Five of the seven trials included a methotrexate monotherapy group # * ^Ф, and four included a sulfasalazine monotherapy group* Ω. Our pooled analysis demonstrated a significant benefit of combination therapy over monotherapy for reducing disease activity (as measured by DAS-28 score, ACR20, and ACR50). Hepatotoxicity was also more frequent in the combination DMARD therapy group. Physical disability (HAQ), serious adverse events (SAEs), gastrointestinal adverse events, and infections did not differ significantly between groups. Quality of evidence across all critical outcomes: Moderate Combination DMARD therapy compared to DMARD monotherapy for patients with established RA with moderate/high disease activity who are DMARDnaïve. Bibliography: Triple-DMARD vs. Mono-DMARD therapy for patients with established RA with moderate/high disease activity who are DMARD-naive. DAS-28 (RA disease activity) higher score indicates more severe disease activity) No of Participants 89 ACR20 response (RA disease activity) 62 (2 studies) 6-8 months ACR50 response (RA disease activity) 799 6-24 months Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) (higher score indicates more severe physical disability) 267 (2 studies) 3-2 months Serious Adverse Events (SAEs) 98 Gastrointestinal Adverse Events 98 4 Infections 786 3- Quality of the evidence MODERATE 2 MODERATE 3 VERY LOW 4,5,6,7 due to risk of bias, inconsistency, indirectness, MODERATE 8 MODERATE 8 MODERATE 9 Relative effect RR.4 (.6 to.72) RR.4 (.8 to.68) RR 0.99 (0.63 to.53) RR.78 (0.84 to 3.75) RR 0.98 (0.7 to.34) Number of people who benefit with a single DMARD Additional number of people who benefit with combination DMARD therapy The mean DAS-28 (RA disease activity) in the intervention groups was 0.27 lower (0.52 to 0.03 lower) 365 per 000 50 more per 000 (from 58 more to 263 more) 246 per 000 0 more per 000 (from 44 more to 67 more) The mean health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) in the intervention groups was.34 lower (3.57 lower to 0.88 higher) 96 per 000 fewer per 000 (from 36 fewer to 5 more) 68 per 000 3 more per 000 (from 27 fewer to 46 more) 89 per 000 2 fewer per 000 (from 26 fewer to 30 more)

Hepatotoxicity (Liver enzymes >2x Upper Limit of Normal) 470 0 RR 0.6 (0.37 to 0.99) 62 per 000 63 fewer per 000 (from 2 fewer to 02 fewer) (de Jong et al., 203; Moreland et al., 202; Saunders et al., 2008; Haagsma et al., 997). 2 (Moreland et al., 202; Capell et al., 2007). 3 (Moreland et al., 202; Capell et al., 2007; Mottonen et al., 999). 4 One of two included trials was only single-blinded (de Jong et al., 203; Haagsma et al., 997) 5 Inconsistent: I-squared heterogeneity score=99% (de Jong et al., 203; Haagsma et al., 997). 6 (de Jong et al., 203; Haagsma et al., 997). 7 Imprecision: wide confidence intervals around effect estimate due to small sample size (de Jong et al., 203; Haagsma et al., 997). 8 (de Jong et al., 203; Moreland et al., 202; Saunders et al., 2008; Mottonen et al., 999). 9 (de Jong et al., 203; Moreland et al., 202; Saunders et al., 2008). 0 (de Jong et al., 203; Mottonen et al., 999; Saunders et al., 2008). Question 3 includes seven de Jong et al., 203^; Moreland et al., 202 Ф ; Saunders et al., 2008 ; Capell et al., 2007 # ; RCTs: Dougados et al., 999*; Mottonen et al., 999 Ω ; Haagsma et al., 997 # Capell HA, Madhok R, Porter DR, Munro RA, McInnes IB, Hunter JA, et al. Combination therapy with sulfasalazine and methotrexate is more effective than either drug alone in patients with rheumatoid arthritis with a suboptimal response to sulfasalazine: results from the double blind placebo controlled MASCOT study. Ann Rheum Dis. 2007;66(2):235 4. *Dougados M, Combe B, Cantagrel A, Goupille P, Olive P, Schattenkirchner M, et al. Combination therapy in early rheumatoid arthritis: a randomised, controlled, double blind 52 week clinical trial of sulfasalazine and methotrexate compared with the single components. Ann Rheum Dis. 999;58(4):220 5. Haagsma CJ, van Riel PL, de Jong AJ, van de Putte LB. Combination of sulfasalazine and methotrexate versus the single components in early rheumatoid arthritis: a randomized, controlled, double blind, 52 week clinical trial. Br J Rheumatol. 997;36(0):082 8. ^de Jong PH, Hazes JM, Barendregt PJ, Huisman M, van Zeben D, van der Lubbe PA, et al. Induction therapy with a combination of DMARDs is better than methotrexate monotherapy: first results of the treach trial. Ann Rheum Dis. 203;72():72 8. Ф Moreland LW, O'Dell JR, Paulus HE, Curtis JR, Bathon JM, St Clair EW, et al. A randomized comparative effectiveness study of oral triple therapy versus etanercept plus methotrexate in early aggressive rheumatoid arthritis: the treatment of Early Aggressive Rheumatoid Arthritis Trial. Arthritis Rheum. 202;64(9):2824 35. Saunders SA, Capell HA, Stirling A, Vallance R, Kincaid W, McMahon AD, et al. Triple therapy in early active rheumatoid arthritis: a randomized, single blind, controlled trial comparing step up and parallel treatment strategies. Arthritis Rheum. 2008;58(5):30 7. Ω Mottonen T, Hannonen P, Leirisalo Repo M, Nissila M, Kautiainen H, Korpela M, et al. Comparison of combination therapy with single drug therapy in early rheumatoid arthritis: a randomised trial. FIN RACo trial group. Lancet. 999;353(964):568 73.

Question 5 In patients with established RA with moderate or high disease activity who are methotrexate-naïve, what is the impact of oral tofacitinib vs. methotrexate on symptoms and AEs? Summary: This PICO question is directly addressed by one double-blind RCT*. In this trial, participants were randomized to receive six months of monotherapy with either methotrexate or oral tofacitinib. Statistically significant advantages of tofacitinib over methotrexate were found for all measures of RA disease activity (as measured by proportion of patients with DAS-28<2.6; ACR50 response; and EULAR good or moderate response) and for radiographic disease progression (Sharp score). No statistically significant between-group differences were found for any of the selected safety measures analyzed (including SAEs, malignancies, and serious infections). Quality of evidence across all critical outcomes: High Tofacitinib compared to methotrexate for patients with established RA with moderate/high disease activity who are methotrexate-naive Bibliography: Tofacitinib vs. methotrexate for patients with established RA with moderate/high disease activity who are DMARD-naive. No of Participants DAS-28 score < 2.6 (RA disease activity) 559 ACR 50 (RA disease activity) 559 EULAR "good" or "moderate" response 559 Sharp radiographic progression score (higher score indicates more severe disease progression) 52 Serious adverse events (SAEs) 559 Malignancies 559 Serious infections 559 Data for all outcomes was gathered from Lee et al., 204 RCT. Quality of the evidence Relative effect RR.92 (. to 3.37) RR.76 (.35 to 2.29) RR.3 (.5 to.48) RR 0.9 (0.56 to.48) RR (0.09 to 0.93) RR. (0.39 to 3.) Number of people who benefit with methotrexate 75 per 000 69 more per 000 (from 8 more to 78 more) 263 per 000 200 more per 000 (from 92 more to 340 more) 608 per 000 82 more per 000 (from 9 more to 292 more) Additional number of people who benefit with tofacitinib The mean sharp radiographic progression score in the intervention groups was 3.6 higher (3.6 to 4.04 higher) 8 per 000 fewer per 000 (from 52 fewer to 57 more) 5 per 000 0 fewer per 000 (from 5 fewer to 53 more) 27 per 000 3 more per 000 (from 6 fewer to 57 more) Question 5 was supported by one RCT: Lee et a., 204* *Lee EB, Fleischmann R, Hall S, Wilkinson B, Bradley JD, Gruben D, et al. Tofacitinib versus methotrexate in rheumatoid arthritis. N Engl J Med. 204;370(25):2377 86.

Question In patients with established RA with only low disease activity, what is the impact of tapering traditional DMARD therapy vs. continuing traditional DMARDs on symptoms and AEs? Summary: This PICO was directly addressed by one -year, double-blind RCT (n=285) of established RA patients who had achieved a good therapeutic response (according to ACR criteria for clinical remission) to long-term treatment with second-line traditional DMARD therapies. Participants were randomized to either continue or discontinue DMARD therapy, with disease flare as the primary outcome of interest^. The risk of disease flare was two times higher in those who discontinued DMARD therapy vs. those who continued DMARD therapy^. No significant betweengroup differences were observed in quality of life (HAQ score) or withdrawal due to adverse events. Quality of evidence across all critical outcomes: Moderate Discontinuing DMARDs vs. continuing DMARDs for patients with established RA with low disease activity Bibliography: Discontinuing Traditional DMARDs vs. Continuing DMARDs in Patients with Established RA and Low Disease Activity. Incidence of disease flare (RA disease activity) Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) (higher score indicates more severe physical disability) No of Participants 285 years 285 years Withdrawal due to adverse events 285 years Quality of the evidence,,, Wide confidence intervals due to relatively small sample size ( trial; n=285) (ten Wolde et al., 996). Relative effect RR.75 (.2 to 2.57) RR 0.99 (0.4 to 6.95) Number of people affected if continue DMARDs at same dose Additional number of people affected if taper/discontinue DMARDs 2 flares per 000 people 58 more flares per 000 people (from 42 more to 332 more) The mean health assessment questionnaire (HAQ) in the groups that discontinued DMARDs was 0.03 higher (0.2 lower to 0.8 higher) 4 per 000 0 more per 000 (from 2 fewer to 84 more) Question includes one ten Wolde et al., 996^ RCT: ^ten Wolde S, Breedveld FC, Hermans J, Vandenbroucke JP, van de Laar MA, Markusse HM, et al. Randomised placebo controlled study of stopping second line drugs in rheumatoid arthritis. Lancet. 996;347(8998):347 52.