What can pediatric MS teach us about adult-onset MS? Emmanuelle Waubant, MD, PhD University of California, San Francisco February 15, 2012 Multiple sclerosis in children Less frequent than in adults Childhood MS 1.35-2.5:100,000 Infant and young children 0.4-1.4:100,000 Up to 10,000 pediatric MS cases in US Up to 5% of MS onset before 18 Twice higher risk in African Americans and Asians vs whites Under diagnosed Ruggieri 1999, Gadoth 2003, Langer-Gould 2011 Extreme phenotypes Disease modification Disease susceptibility Ethan Levitas 1
Clinical phenotype in children Age as a disease modifier Almost no progressive form from onset Higher relapse rate More frequent involvement of brainstem or cerebellum at disease onset Presence of encephalopathy at disease onset in children < 11 years: up to 20% Possible better recovery from early relapses than adults Duquette 1997, Trojano 2005, Gorman 2009, Waubant 2009, Fay 2010 Pre-pubertal MS onset Post-pubertal MS onset At onset At onset A C 4 months later 3 months later Chabas 2008 Chabas 2008 2
CSF within 3 months of pediatric MS onset CSF within 3 months of pediatric MS onset Onset < 11 N=40 Onset 11 N=67 P value WBC/mm3 9 (0-343) 6 (0-140) 0.15 % mononclr 95% (25-100) 100% (0-100) 0.11 % lymph 70 (0-100) 93 (0-100) 0.008 % monocyt 10 (0-100) 4 (0-99) 0.009 % polynclr 3 (0-75) 0 (0-62) 0.021 % neutro 0.5 (0-75) 0 (0-50) 0.16 % eos 0 (0-2) 0 (0-38) 0.68 % macroph 0 (0-8) 0 (0-3) 0.4 Chabas 2010 Pleiocytosis >5/mm3 Elevated IgG index Onset < 11 N=40 Onset 11 N=67 OR P value 65% 52% 0.6 0.22 35% 68% 4.7 0.031 OCB 43% 63% 2.6 0.12 Chabas 2010 The effect of age: summary Clinical/MRI phenotype: less irreversible injury? CSF phenotype: more pronounced innate immune response? The findings may help advance our understanding of MS processes and possibly develop new therapeutic strategies Other disease modifiers: 1) Vitamin D 2) Disease-modifying therapies 3
Vitamin D: Univariate model results For every 10 ng/ml increase in 25(OH) vitamin D 3 : Incidence Rate Ratio (IRR)= 0.66, 95% CI [0.49, 0.90], p=0.009 Each 10 ng/ml increase in vitamin D levels was associated with a 34% decrease in the rate of subsequent relapse Mowry 2010 Multivariate Model Results Predictor IRR 95% CI p value 25(OH) vitamin D level (per 10 ng/ml increase) 0.66 0.46, 0.95 0.024 Age (per 5-year increase) 0.89 0.58, 1.37 0.61 MS duration (per 1-year increase) 0.95 0.83, 1.09 0.45 Female 1.09 0.59, 2.01 0.79 Non-white race Hispanic ethnicity Partial (n=13) 0.71 0.26, 1.95 0.51 Full (n=16) 1.64 0.72, 3.75 0.24 Partial (n=14) 3.96 1.57, 9.93 0.003 Full (n=34) 1.65 0.82, 3.31 0.16 Use of disease-modifying therapy 1.47 0.67, 3.24 0.34 Breakthrough on DMT 258 pediatric MS patients on DMT: 77% IFNB, 21% on GA Mean follow-up of 3.9 years: 21% had breakthrough disease on an initial first-line DMT 20% had to be switched sequentially to 3 or more DMTs 21% had to be switched to natalizumab, broadspectrum chemotherapy, monthly steroids or daclizumab Switching DMT in children: facts to bear in mind Re natalizumab: Children are less likely JC virus positive Re fingolimod: Children are less likely positive for common viruses such as HSV and others. Re rituximab: Children more commonly undergo vaccinations Yeh 2011 4
MS susceptibility in adults Disease susceptibility Environmental risk factors: Remote infection to Epstein Barr Virus (EBV) Vitamin D insufficiency Exposure to smoking Genetic risk factors: HLA-DRB1 Several non-hla-drb1 Catch: All tested separately without adjustments Why is it relevant to study MS susceptibility in children? Objective of preliminary work Higher genetic load? Larger environmental exposure? Time between exposure and disease onset likely shorter: less recall bias and parents involved in care Role of common viruses acquired in childhood Same risk factors than those reported for adult MS: similar pathogenesis To confirm that susceptibility factors are similar in pediatric and adult MS To identify additional environmental factors that modify MS susceptibility To evaluate for the presence of interactions between these risk factors 5
Methods Normalized ELISA: EBV Viral Capsid Antigen, CMV, and HSV-1 and -2 IgG seroconversion rates and quantitative responses. Standardized ELISA: antibody responses against Epstein-Barr nuclear antigen-1. 25(OH) vitamin D3: chemiluminescence assay (ARUP) Genotyping: presence of DRB1*1501 and *1503 (TaqMan PCR) Retrospective study of healthy controls (Dr. J. James) and patients with clinically isolated syndromes (CIS) or pediatriconset MS, and controls with other neurological conditions seen at the six Regional Pediatric MS Clinics sponsored by the National MS Society: UCSF, Stony Brook, Harvard, UAB, Mayo Clinic, Buffalo Patient characteristics Pediatric MS (n=189) Pediatric controls (n=66) Age at disease onset (mean ± SD) 12.9 ± 4.0 years NA Age at sampling (mean ± SD) 14.9 ± 3.3 years 14.7 ± 4.1 years % Hispanic ethnicity 31.5% 14.3% % non white race 25.9% 18.0% % females 65.6% 66.7% DRB1*1501 or 1503 positive 46.9% 32.8% Anti-EBNA-1 positive 88.6% 54.8% Anti-VCA positive 86.8% 52.5% Anti-CMV positive 28.2% 35.5% Anti-HSV-1 positive 40.3% 31.7% Risk to develop MS OR to have MS 95%CI P value Anti-EBV VCA positive 3.72 1.48, 8.85 0.005 DRB1*1501/1503 positive 3.29 1.41, 7.68 0.006 Anti-EBNA-1 positive 3.78 1.52, 9.38 0.004 DRB1*1501/1503 positive 2.75 1.21, 6.27 0.02 Anti-CMV positive 0.27 0.11, 0.67 0.004 DRB1*1501/1503 positive 2.85 1.23, 6.63 0.01 Anti-EBNA-1 positive 5.15 1.93, 13.70 0.001 Anti-HSV-1 positive 0.85 0.36, 2.03 0.72 DRB1*1501/1503 positive 2.72 1.19, 6.23 0.02 Anti-EBNA-1 positive 4.39 1.70, 11.34 0.002 Interactions between HLA-DRB1 and viral status in predicting MS Interaction for HSV-1 and HLA-DRB1 (p<0.001) using neurological controls p=0.024, using healthy controls p<0.001. In HLA-DRB1 - : OR=4.11, 95%CI 1.17, 14.37; p=0.03 In HLA-DRB1 +: OR=0.07, 95%CI 0.02, 0.32; p=0.001 Adjusted for age, gender, race and ethnicity Waubant 2011 6
Limitations In first demyelinating event cohort Viral antibody response measured on average 2 years (median 1 year) after disease onset No information on the timing of respective remote infections and if relevant Relatively small numbers of controls Limited number of risk factors evaluated Predictors Risk (95%CI) DRB1*1501 positive 2.28 (1.23 4.22) EBV positive 2.55 (1.26 5.18) 25OH vitamin D (10 nmol/l increase) 0.86 (0.77 0.97) 63/302 patients diagnosed with MS after follow-up 3.14 years Banwell 2011 Summary A remote EBV infection is an independent risk factor for pediatric-onset MS susceptibility, while CMV is associated with a lower risk HSV-1 is protective in DRB1 + (interaction) in predicting MS, while it increases risk in DRB1 A multivariate approach will improve our understanding of the heterogeneity of susceptibility risk factors (R01NS071463-01) Conclusions Pediatric MS gives us a unique window of opportunity to study the effect of age on immune and neurologic maturation that may improve our understanding of adult-onset MS. Pediatric MS provides a unique opportunity to study risk factors closer to disease onset. Due to the current overlap of risk factors in pediatric and adult MS, newly identified risk factors in pediatric MS are expected to apply to adult MS as well. 7
Environmental and genetic factors in pediatric MS susceptibility Environment: EBV? CMV? HSV-1? Vitamin D? Smoking? Genetic: HLA- DRB1*1501? Acknowledgements UCSF: E. Mowry, J. Strober, J. Oksenberg, S. Caillier, J. Hart, J. McDonald Stony Brook: L. Krupp, A. Belman, M. Milazzo Harvard: T. Chitnis, M. Gorman Buffalo: B. Weinstock-Guttman, E. Yeh University of Alabama, Birmingham: J. Ness Mayo: N. Kuntz, M. Rodriguez Oklahoma Science Foundation: J. James Supported by the National MS Society, the Nancy Davis Foundation, the NIH (R01NS071463-01) and a patient donation 8