Age-Sex Structure for Selected African countries in the early 2000s

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Age-Sex Structure for Selected African countries in the early 2000s Abstract This paper uses data from the recent United Nations population projections to examine the changing age-sex structure in selected African countries and links these to changes in social and economic development. African countries are at different stages of the demographic transition and have differing age-sex structure. Available statistics indicate that Africa is slowly becoming an aging society. The growth of the elderly population presents many problems for the African society. In traditional African societies, the care for elders has been the responsibility of younger family members. This paper focuses on how social change and the rapid growth rate of the aging population have influenced African s family care-giving traditions, and how changes of the family structure and social values affect the needs of institutionalized care systems. In addition, the paper looks at how countries respond to the new realities through appropriate policies and programmes to meet the needs of all age groups. Introduction Since Second World War African countries experienced a downward trend in mortality. This trend has been reversed with the advent of HIV/AIDS pandemic. In the last fifteen years or so, fertility has been observed to be declining in most African countries. In fact all countries that have participated in the DHS have shown some decline in fertility. Recently there has been an increase in both internal and international migration patterns. More and more young people are leaving rural localities for urban areas and skilled professionals are leaving the continent for better employment opportunities overseas. The above-described demographic changes have had an impact on the growth and structure of African population. Most African countries are now experiencing increases in the elderly population. Objective The main objective of the study is to examine the changing age-sex structure in selected African countries and link these to changes in some aspects of social and economic development.

Data and Methods The data for this study was obtained from the most recent projections and estimates as prepared by the United Nations Division. Medium variant was used. In addition, wherever possible, supplementary data was obtained from existing population censuses and demographic surveys. Using the above-described data we calculated various social and economic indicators (percentage of the population above 65 years and over, dependency ratio, Percentage of women in the labor force, pyramid were also constructed for selected years between 1950 and 2030. In order to have a representative sample of the African population, we selected at least one country from each region (North, West, East, Central and Southern Africa). Results Preliminary analyses indicate an increase in the population aged 65 years and over. Countries that have witnessed fertility decline (Botswana, Kenya, Zimbabwe, Ghana and South Africa) indicate a decline in the population aged 0-4 years. There have also been changes in the socio-economic conditions that have contributed to demographic changes. For example school enrolments, especially for females, have climbed in recent years. Illiteracy was higher among women than men in all the selected countries 1990 (see Table --). Girls are still much less likely to be enrolled in school than boys in many sub-saharan African countries, which suggests that the gender gap in education will be repeated in the next generation. Girls representation decreases as they move up the education ladder, and drops precipitously at the university level Illiteracy and School Enrollment by Sex, Selected Countries, 1990 Percent illiterate School enrolment Ages 15-24 Ages 25+ (females per 100 males) Country Women Men Women Men Secondary level Tertiary level Cameroon Egypt Ethiopia Kenya Sudan Uganda 29 46 69 14 61 37 15 29 51 8 41 23 68 78 89 54 88 67 43 50 74 26 63 37 68 79 76 69 77 53-59 22 45 67 38 Source: UN, The World s Women 1995: Trends and Statistics (1995) table 7.

Figure x Pyramid for Algeria, 2003 44 Figure x Pyramid for Benin, 2002 44

Figure x Pyramid for Botswana, 2001 44 Figure x Pyramid for Burkina Faso, 1996 44

Figure x Pyramid for Cape Verde, 2003 44 Figure x Pyramid for Ethiopia, 2002 44

Figure x Pyramid for Ghana, 2000 44 Figure x Pyramid for Guinea, 1996 44

Figure x Pyramid for Lesotho, 2001 44 Figure x Pyramid for Malawi, 1966 44

Figure x Pyramid for Malawi, 1977 44 Figure x Pyramid for Malawi, 1998 44

Figure x Pyramid for Mauritius, 2002 44 Figure x Pyramid for Mauritius, 2003 44

Figure x Pyramid for Morroco, 2003 44 Figure x Pyramid for Mozambique, 1997 44

Figure x Pyramid for Namibia, 2001 44 Figure x Pyramid for Nigeria, 2000 44

Figure x Pyramid for Reunion, 1999 44 Figure x Pyramid for Rwanda, 2002 44

Figure x Pyramid for St Helena, 1998 44 Figure x Pyramid for Sychelles, 1998 44

Figure x Pyramid for Sierra Leone, 2003 44 Figure x Pyramid for Somalia, 2002 44

Figure x Pyramid for Somalia, 2002 44 Conclusion The changing age-sex structure of the population is having tremendous impact on not only demographic variables but also family and gender relations. All these aspects need to be investigated. References Reference Bureau (2007) 2007 World Data Sheet, Washington. United Nations (2006) World Projections and Prospects, New York.