Community Medical School, October, Mary Cushman, MD, MSc Professor of Medicine Director, Thrombosis and Hemostasis Program

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Community Medical School, October, 2013 Mary Cushman, MD, MSc Professor of Medicine Director, Thrombosis and Hemostasis Program

What is the problem with cardiovascular disease? What s Life s Simple 7? Review of research on this What can we do to improve health?

Circulation of the Heart

Anatomy of MI Blood Clot Atherosclerosis Inflammation

Acute MI of Left Ventricle

1 in 6 people will have a stroke in their lifetime 4 th leading cause of death Leading cause of disability Minneapolis Heart Institute Foundation

American Heart Association / American Stroke Association

Leading Causes of Death of US Women in 2009 Coronary Heart Disease = 24% Cancer = 22% Stroke = 6% Lung Disease = 6% Alzheimer s Disease = 5% 480,000 lives every year 1 in 3 women die of it

1960: Smoking causes heart disease 1961: High cholesterol and blood pressure cause heart disease 1967: Physical activity lowers risk of heart disease 1967: Obesity increases risk of heart disease 1970: High blood pressure increases risk of stroke 1978: Psychosocial factors affect heart disease

We have known for a long time that risk factor control and prevention are key in reducing vascular disease risk Primary Prevention Secondary Prevention Most CVD events occur in people with normal or modest risk factor levels Primordial Prevention

To reduce coronary heart disease and stroke death, and risk by 25 percent by 2010

2004-8 trajectories of: Mortality rate from CHD and stroke Rate of uncontrolled high blood pressure Prevalence of high cholesterol Lloyd-Jones, D. M. et al. Circulation 2010;121:586-613 Copyright 2010 American Heart Association

2004-8 trajectories of: Mortality rates from CHD and stroke Rate of uncontrolled high blood pressure Prevalence of high cholesterol Diabetes and Obesity Increasing Lloyd-Jones, D. M. et al. Circulation 2010;121:586-613 Copyright 2010 American Heart Association

To reduce coronary heart disease and stroke death, and risk by 25 percent by 2010 Coronary heart disease Stroke Risk Factors +/-

Incidence Incidence Lloyd-Jones, Circulation 2006 2 Major RFs 1 Major RF 1 Elevated RF 1 Not Optimal RF Optimal RFs 0.7 Men 69% 0.7 Women 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 50% 46% 36% 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 50% 39% 39% 27% 0.1 0 50 60 70 80 90 Attained Age 5% 0.1 0 50 60 70 80 90 Attained Age 8%

By 2020, to improve the cardiovascular health of all Americans by 20 % while reducing deaths from cardiovascular diseases and stroke by 20 %

Absence of disease Favorable levels of health factors Favorable health behaviors

Behaviors Nonsmoking Healthy weight Appropriate levels of physical activity Healthy eating pattern Health Factors Total cholesterol Blood pressure Non-diabetic

1. Never smoked or quit more than 1 year ago 2. Body mass index <25 kg/m 2 3. Physical activity 150 mins (moderate intensity) or 75 mins (vigorous intensity) each week 4. Four - five components of a healthy diet 5. Cholesterol <200 mg/dl 6. Blood pressure < 120/80 mm Hg 7. Fasting blood glucose <100 mg/dl

1. Never smoked or haven t tried in last month 2. Body mass index <85 th percentile 3. Physical activity 60 mins moderate/vigorous daily 4. Four - five components of a healthy diet 5. Cholesterol <170 mg/dl untreated 6. Blood pressure < 90 th percentile 7. Fasting blood glucose <100 mg/dl

Fruits and vegetables: 4.5 cups per day Fish (preferably oily): 2 3.5-oz servings per week Fiber-rich whole grains: 3 1-oz servings per day Sodium: <1500 mg per day Sugar-sweetened beverages: 450 kcal (36 oz) /week

Health Factors & Behaviors POOR INTERMEDIATE IDEAL Blood Pressure Adults >20 years of age SBP 140 or DBP 90 mm Hg SBP120-139 or DBP 80-89 mm Hg or treated to goal <120/<80 mm Hg Physical Activity Adults > 20 years of age Cholesterol Adults >20 years of age Healthy Diet Adults >20 years of age Healthy Weight Adults > 20 years of age Smoking Status Adults >20 years of age None 240 mg/dl 200 mg/dl 1-149 min/wk mod or 1-74 min/wk vig or 1-149 min/wk mod + vig 200-239 mg/dl or treated to goal 150+ min/wk mod or 75+ min/wk vig or 150+ min/wk mod + vig <170 mg/dl 0-1 components 2-3 components 4-5 components 30 kg/m 2 25-29.9 kg/m2 <25 kg/m 2 Current Smoker Former 12 mos Never /quit 12 mos Blood Glucose Adults >20 years of age 126 mg/dl or more 100-125 mg/dl or treated to goal Less than 100 mg/dl

Poor Intermediate Ideal Goal: 20% overall improvement

Novel Aspects of 2020 Goal Defines cardiovascular health Emphasis on movement of the population to a better level of health BP

30,239 blacks & whites age 45+ enrolled 2003-7 Studying why there are racial and regional differences in stroke death in the US

Percent N= 17,800 without CVD 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Poor Intermediate Ideal

Percent 25 20 Black White Mean (SD) 13.9 (2.0) 14.9 (2.0) 29% had 4+ Ideal 2 people had 7 ideal 15 10 5 0 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Simple 7 Score

Percent Reduction 0-10 -20-30 -40-50 -60 0 or 1-36 2 or 3-49 3 or 4-54 6 or 7 Cushman et al, unpublished Adjusted for age, race, sex, income, education

Percent Reduction 0-20 -40-35 -52-63 -60-80 -100 0 Folsom et al. JACC 2011 1-78 -81-90 2 3 4 5 6-100 Adjusted for age, race, sex, income, education 7

Incidence Rate of CVD 2 3 1 0 Health Factors Behaviors Folsom et al. JACC 2011

Percent Reduction 0-20 -40-60 -30-33 -47-60 -50-66 -80-100 0 1 2 3 4 5 6-100 7 Folsom et al. JACC 2011 Adjusted for age, race, sex, income, education

Percent Reduction 0-20 -40-60 -38-46 -54-80 -100 0-1 2 3 4-100 5+ Folsom et al. JACC 2011 Adjusted for age, race, sex, income, education

0 points for poor 1 point for intermediate 2 points for ideal Score 0 14

Percent Reduction 0-5 -10-15 -20-25 -18 Death -8-22 -23 CHD Stroke ESRD -10 Cognitive Decline Muntner P. JASN 2013 Kulshreshtha A. Stroke 2013 Thacker, submitted. Unpublished data Adjusted for age, race, sex, income, education

CVD, Stroke and VTE AHA 2020 Goal Achieved ESRD Cognitive Function Cancer Death

Projections to 2020 6% IMPROVING Smoking High Cholesterol High Blood Pressure NO CHANGE Physical Activity Healthy Diet Obesity Fasting Glucose WORSENING If recent trends in CV health behavior and health factor levels continue, CV health will only improve by 6% by 2020

There is a large opportunity to improve population levels of Ideal Health Status, especially in African-Americans Improving the population average by even 1 Ideal Factor would predict substantial reductions in adverse outcomes We are only going partly in right direction It is up to all of us to make a difference

Example Activities Personal Scape (Kids/Family) Play hoops with kids after work Cut Screen time ME Work Scape Pleasant stairs at work Healthier cafeteria Health Scape Worksite wellness ACA Million Hearts Food Scape Less sugar in cereal Less sodium in foods industry Community Scape Safe bike lanes for commute Playgrounds

Public Policy Industry Partnerships Prevention Services Affordable Care Act Non-Profit and Community Based Education and Intervention Programs

Increasing Population Impact Increasing Individual Effort Needed AHA Community Guide 2013, Circulation

Sales, Millions of Packs Price per Pack, 2012 dollars Cigarette Sales & Cigarette Prices, United States, Inflation Adjusted, 1970-2011 28300 $5.60 26300 $5.10 $4.60 24300 $4.10 22300 $3.60 20300 $3.10 18300 $2.60 16300 $2.10 14300 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 $1.60 Cigarette Sales, Million Packs Source: Tax Burden on Tobacco, 2012, Frank Chaloupka, PhD Cigarette Price, Inflation Adjusted

Price per pack (8/11 dollars) Smoking Prevalence $6.25 Cigarette Price and Youth Smoking Prevalence, United States, 1991-2011 35% 35.5 $5.50 30.5 $4.75 18% 18% 25.5 20.5 $4.00 15.5 $3.25 $2.50 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 Cigarette Price 10th grade prevalence Year 12th grade prevalence 8th grade prevalence 5% 10.5 5.5 Source: MTF, Tax Burden on Tobacco, 2012, Frank Chaloupka, PhD

475 calories per person!!! This is 30 teaspoons a day = 2/3 cup or 2.5 servings of a 12 ounce soft drink ChefinResidency.com

Courtesy of Rachel Johnson, UVM

36% of added sugar in the American Diet comes from Sugary beverages Courtesy of Rachel Johnson, UVM

SSBs Account for 20% of the Obesity Epidemic Woodward-Lopez Pub Health Nutr 2010

Average American drinks 45 gallons a year Single biggest contributor to obesity Soda is a liquid doesn t fill you up Soda purchasing behavior is influenced by cost Substitutes (diet soda, water) are safe and satisfying Revenue would be used for health care and obesity programs

Sodium intake increases blood pressure The lower the sodium, the lower the BP, the lower the cardiovascular / stroke risk Sodium intake in USA is >2x recommended Causes 100,000 deaths

70% of dietary sodium from processed food Limits individual s ability to make change UK experience Government partnered with industry to voluntarily reduce sodium in processed food 9.5% decrease in population sodium intake over 5 years He FJ, J Hum Hypertens 2009 www.food.gov/uk

9.5% reduction in sodium intake in the USA Reduce population SBP: 1.25 mm Hg Prevent 514,000 strokes and 480,000 heart attacks over the lifetime of adults age 40 85 Save $32 billion in medical costs Smith-Spangler CM. Ann Intern Med 2010

McDonald s Newsroom Sept 26, 2013

BK.com "Small changes create a big impact," says Alex Macedo, president of Burger King North America. "This will grow, just like diet soda grew over time."

Just don t eat more of BK.com them!!!! "Small changes create a big impact," says Alex Macedo, president of Burger King North America. "This will grow, just like diet soda grew over time."

My Life Check Assessment 436,000 participants MyLifeCheck.heart.org

AHA and others are working hard to address health status and prevention This will impact many chronic diseases Mixed progress so far I am optimistic! What ideas do you have?

The Team University of Vermont Russell Tracy Nancy Jenny Neil Zakai Elaine Cornell Sarah Gillett Kristine Alexander Peter Callas UAB George Howard Virginia Howard Virginia Wadley Leslie McClure Suzanne Judd Evan Thacker Abraham Letter Paul Muntner U Cincinnati Brett Kissela Dawn Kleindorfer NINDS Claudia Moy Funding: U Indiana Fred Unverzagt Emory Ambar Kulshrestha Viola Vaccarino NINDS U01 NS041588 NHLBI K08 HL096841 T32 HL07504 Laboratory for Clinical Biochemistry Research University of Vermont

Complete My Life Check at www.mylifecheck.org