NON INVASIVE EVALUATION OF DISEASE PROGRESSION IN CHRONIC LIVER DISEASES

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Best of EASL -, Ethiopia 29 Sep to 01 Oct, 2016 Inaugural meeting of the Sub Saharan GI-Hepatology Working Group Incorporating Best of AGA and Best of EASL NON INVASIVE EVALUATION OF DISEASE PROGRESSION IN CHRONIC LIVER DISEASES MASSIMO PINZANI, MD, PhD, FRCP Sheila Sherlock Chair of Hepatology UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health Royal Free Hospital, London, UK m.pinzani@ucl.ac.uk www.ucl.ac.uk/medicine/liver-and-digestive-health

Search for predictors of progression rate to cirrhosis Liver Stiffness Measurement Search for early predictor of decompensation and ACLF Search for early predictor of HCC Spleen-related Noninvasive Indexes & Algorhythms Spleen Stiffness Measurement Serum Markers: Direct/Indirect Serum Markers: predictors of liver related outcomes Liver Biopsy (PC or TJ) : Quantitative staging with CPA Early to Advanced Liver Fibrosis HVPG < 5 mm Hg Cirrhosis without Clinical Manifestations HVPG 5-10 mm Hg Cirrhosis with Clinical Liver Failure Manifestations HVPG > 10-12 mm Hg Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Non Invasive Evaluation of Liver Tissue Fibrosis (Staging) Serum Markers Liver Biopsy: 1:50,000 of liver tissue Imaging: US, TC, MRI VERY IMPERFECT GOLD STANDARD FOR NON INVASIVE METHODS Elastography (FibroScan, MRE, ARFI, Supersonic etc.) HVPG Valuable only in cirrhosis

End-Points in Fibrogenic CLDs S0 S1&2 S3 S4-S5 S6 K/F0 K/F1 K/F2 K/F3 K/F4? Indication for Treatment F: METAVIR S: ISHAK s K: KLEINER Screening for Oesophageal Varices Screening for HCC

Liver Biopsy 1. - Provides clues about etiology and co-factors 2. - Allows immunohistochemical, biochemical biomolecular, genetic and epigenetic investigations 3. - Allows assessment of iron/copper content 4. - Is employed for grading (ACTIVITY) and staging (FIBROSIS), but... is a very imperfect GOLD STANDARD for non invasive methods

% Concordant/Discordant Liver Biopsy: Inter-Observer Diagnostic Accuracy Observers: n. 3 Samples: n. 234 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 Discordant Concordant Central Metavir Biopsy Score Patel K. et al. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2008; 6:242-247

Established and Candidate Serum Biomarkers of Liver Fibrosis Indirect : Not related to Fibrogenesis AST, ALT, ggt, Apolipoprotein A1, bilirubin, a2-macroglobulin, haptoglobin, cholesterol HOMA-IR, HOGIS Platelets, INR/PT Direct : ECM components and enzymes HA, PIIINP, Collagen IV, Collagen VI, TIMP-1, Laminin, YKL- 40, Tenascin, Undulin, MMP-1, MMP-2

Circulating Matrix Proteins Related to Fibrogenesis and Fibrolysis precursor synthesis propeptide cleavage degradation MMPs Shedding products of both Fibrogenesis assembly and Fibrolysis may derive from chronic diseases in other organs and systems (i.e. arthritis, atherosclerosis, pulmonary fibrosis etc.) and may be influenced FIBROGENESIS FIBROLYSIS by age and gender

Misclassification Rate (%) Misclassification Rate of Some Commonly Used Serum Markers 60 50 40 30 FibroMete r Fibrotest Hepascore APRI FIB-4 20 10 0 F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 METAVIR N= 1056 HCV patients Cales P. et al. Liver Int 2009

Non Invasive Evaluation of Liver Tissue Fibrosis (Staging) Serum Markers Imaging: US, TC, MRI Elastography (FibroScan, MRE, ARFI, Supersonic etc.) HVPG Liver Biopsy: 1:50,000 of liver tissue

Transient Elastography: Liver Stiffness Measurement: Fibroscan R 1.- The probe induces an elastic wave trough the liver 2.- The velocity of the wave is evaluated in a region located from 2,5 to 6,5 cm below the skin surface 3.- The velocity of the wave is related to liver stiffness and to fibrosis 4.- Liver biopsy 1/50.000 of the liver; Fibroscan 1/500 of the liver

Fibroscan Limitations and Confounding Factors 1.- BMI > 30 and obesity 2.- Presence of ascites 3.- Flares of necroinflammation, hepatocyte swelling and steatosis (ETOH) 4.- Cholestasis 5.- High liver tissue iron content 6.- Fasting < 2 hours

Fibroscan s Challengers PROS & CONS ARFI PROS Can be implemented on a Can be implemented on a regular Very US machine high intra- and inter-observer regular US machine variability High applicability High range of value (2-150 kpa) Performance equal to TE CONS Results on meter/sec Narrow range of values Quality criteria not defined SWE PROS Need US skills and experience Performance higher than TE? CONS Further validation needed Quality criteria not defined Berzigotti & Castera. J Hepatol 2013; 59: 180-2

Fibroscan Applications in Liver Diseases 1.- Chronic Viral Hepatitis (cross-sectional) 2.- Chronic Viral Hepatitis (longitudinal and prognostic) 3.- Alcoholic Hepatitis 4.- NAFLD & NASH 5.- Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension 6.- Liver Involvement in Systemic Diseases (Storage, Amyloidosis, Hemathology etc)

Hepatitis C: cut-offs PPV: 88-95% PPV: 71-87% NPV: 48-56% NPV: 81-93% PPV: 77-78% NPV: 95-97% 7.1 / 8.7 9.5 12.5 / 14.5 3 75 KPa F2 F3 F4 Ziol et al. Hepatology 2005; 41: 48-54 Castera et al. Gastroenterology 2005; 128: 343-50.

TE for Fast Patient Allocation Suspected Chronic HCV/HBV Hepatitis FIBROSCAN 6 kpa Intermediate values (11)12 kpa No significant fibrosis F0/S0 F1/S1 Gray area F2/S2 F3/S3-4 Advanced fibrosiscirrhosis F4/S5-S6 No biopsy Possible implementation with other NIT Biopsy if results influence management No biopsy

Non Invasive Measures Including Spleen Parameters Platelet count/spleen diameter ratio (Plt/Spl) Giannini E. et al. Platelet count/spleen diameter ratio: proposal and validation of a non-invasive parameter to predict the presence of oesophageal varices in patients with liver cirrhosis. Gut 2003;52: 1200-1205. Liver stiffness x spleen diameter/platelet count (LSPS) Kim BK et al. A Liver Stiffness Measurement-Based, Noninvasive Prediction Model for High-Risk Esophageal Varices in B-Viral Liver Cirrhosis. Am J Gastroenterol 2010; 105: 1382-1390.

The Spleen in the Assessment of Advanced Chronic Liver Disease INCREASE IN SPLEEN STIFFNESS?? Congestion Hypertrophy and Hyperplasia Fibrosis

Measurement of Spleen Stiffness by Fibroscan 2. - Splenic parenchymal thickness > 4 cm (by US) 1. Sufficient intercostal space width 3. Success rate > 60% and IQR < 30% of median value 4. Intra-observer reproducibility 96%, inter-observer reproducibility 94% 5. Probe upper limit 75 kpa

HVPG (mm Hg) HVPG (mm Hg) Spleen Stiffness (SS), a Promising Diagnostic Parameter in Cirrhosis Colecchia A. et al., Gastroenterology 2012 ; 143(3):646-54 35 30 25 P = 0.0000 R² = 0,70 35 30 25 P = 0.0000 R 2 = 0,78 20 20 15 15 10 5 0 Compensated Cirrhosis 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 10 5 0 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Liver Stiffness (kpa) Spleen Stiffness (kpa) Esophageal Varices: NO Esophageal Varices: YES

Liver and Spleen Stiffness for the Prediction of the Presence of Esophageal Varices Colecchia A. et al., Gastroenterology 2012 ; 143(3):646-54 EV: NO EV: YES EV: NO EV: YES

Molecular Imaging of Collagen DEC-MRI with EP-3533 contrast Courtesy of Dr. Annalisa Berzigotti, Hospital Clinic Barcelona Fuchs BC et al. J Hepatol 2013, in press

Measuring Collagen Content: What Are We Missing? Hepatocyte necrosis/apoptosis,inflammatory infiltration Neoangiogenesis and microthrombosis All potential targets for bioimaging and functional imaging Activation of the stem cell compartment Increasing tissue hypoxia and endothelial dysfunction Ductular reaction and reactive cholangiocytes Unbalanced vasoconstrictors and scar contraction

Possible molecular markers to be exploited: Elastin, Collagen cross-linking: IRREVERSIBILITY Immunophenotype, macrophage markers: REVERSIBILITY + + BR55: A lipopeptide-based VEGFR2- targeted US contrast agent for molecular imaging of angiogenesis Pochon et al. Invest Radiol 2010 Willmann et al Radiology 2008 Binding is amplified by ARF Frinking et al. Ultras Med Biol 2012