California 2010 Pertussis Epidemic Kathleen Winter, MPH Immunization Branch California Department of Public Health
Overview Pertussis Background California Pertussis Epidemic Challenges and Success Ongoing Efforts Questions
Pertussis Background Pertussis is one of the most poorly controlled vaccinepreventable diseases Incidence increasing since the 1990s Cyclical with peaks every 2-5 years; last prior peak year was 2005 with 25,616 U.S. cases, a 45 year high at the time Very contagious: basic reproduction number (Ro) estimate is 12-17; approximately 80% of susceptible household contacts become infected Minimum proportion of population that must be immune to eliminate transmission estimated to be 92-95% * Weiss and Hewlett. Ann Rev Microbiol. 1986;40:661-86
cases per 100,000 Number of reported pertussis cases by year of onset California, 1914-2010* 25000 20000 DTP widely used 15000 10000 5000 Acellular DTaP licensed PCR available Tdap licensed 0 year * Includes cases reported to CDPH as of 4/13/2011
No. of Cases Early Warning of the 2010 Epidemic In early April 2010, the California Department of Public Health (CDPH) was notified by the Children s Hospital of Central California of an increase in pertussis cases similar to that seen in early 2005, the last peak year for pertussis 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1 4 4 Children's Hospital Central California Laboratory Confirmed Cases of Pertussis (4/5/10) 7 17 Nov-04 Dec-04 Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 1414 19 27 23 8 6 11 2 9 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 3 7 4 4 5 3 5 3 2 2 3 2 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 0 2 Feb-07 Mar-07 0 2 0 3 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 1 0 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Month of Diagnosis 3 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 5 3 2 7 0 1 2 2 3 3 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 5 7 11 3 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10
cases cases per 100,000 10000 Number of reported pertussis cases by year of onset -- California 1945-2010* 120 9000 Previous peak in 1947 number of cases: 9,394 Cases Rate per 100,000 9,273 cases 8000 100 7000 6000 80 5000 60 4000 3000 Previous peak in 1958 incidence: 26.0/100,000 23.7/100,000 40 2000 20 1000 0 0 1947 1952 1957 1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 year *As of 4/13/2011; data for 2010 are still preliminary
Case counting CDC/CSTE case definitions for Confirmed and Probable cases Suspect case defined as a person with acute cough illness of any duration with: detection of B. pertussis-specific nucleic acid by PCR; or at least one of the following: paroxysms, whoop or post-tussive vomiting who is epi-linked to a labconfirmed case Case classification breakdown: 61% Confirmed 18% Probable 21% Suspect
cases Epidemic curve of pertussis cases* by week of onset -- California, January 1, 2010 through March 6, 2011 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 0 2 4 6 8 January February March April May June July August Septembe October November December January February disease week *Includes cases reported to CDPH as of 4/13/2011
Pertussis cases by month of onset -- California, January 2005 - March 2011* 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 *Includes cases with onset through 3/31/2011 and reported to CDPH by 4/13/2011
2011 heightened disease activity 733 cases have been reported in 2011 Number of cases in occurring in January was equal to the number reported during the peak months in 2005 Cases are still being reported all over California 40 / 58 counties have reported cases with onset in 2011
Percent of total tested Proportion of pertussis cases diagnosed by culture and PCR -- California, 1990-2010* Number tested 70% 5000 60% 50% Number PCR Number culture % Culture % PCR 4500 4000 3500 40% 3000 2500 30% 2000 20% 1500 10% 1000 500 0% 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year *As of 2/24/2011
number of tests percent positive 600 Bordetella pertussis PCR percent positive by week - Southern California Kaiser, July -- December 2010 25% 500 Tests Done % Positive 20% 400 15% 300 10% 200 100 5% 0 0% Week
cases rate per 100,000 700 Pertussis cases/rates by age and race/ethnicity California, 2010* 500 600 500 400 577 441.7 Overall rates all ages: White: 21.1/100,000 Hispanic: 26.6/100,000 API: 7.1/100,000 Black: 10.3/100,000 White Hispanic API Black All race/ethnicities 450 400 350 300 300 267 308 250 200 200 150 100 105 63.0 68.0 49.3 100 50 0 7.7 5.5 <6 mos 6 mos-6 years 7-9 years 10-18 years 19-64 years 65+ years 0 age group *As of 4/13/2011
cases per 100,000 180 160 140 120 Pediatric pertussis rates by age and race/ethnicity California, 2010* Hispanic White Black API All race/ethnicities 140 120 100 100 80 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 <1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 age *as of 4/13/2011
cases Infant pertussis cases by age in months and race/ethnicity California, 2010* 350 300 250 DTaP Other/Unk API Black White Hispanic 200 DTaP 150 DTaP 100 50 0 <1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 age in months *As of 4/13/2011
2010 Pertussis Hospitalizations as of 4/13/2011 733 (9%) cases are known to have been hospitalized (of the 92% with known status) Most 547 (72%) hospitalized cases were infants <6 months of age; 419 (55%) were <3 months of age 57% of infants <3 months of age were hospitalized 414 (76%) of the hospitalized infants <6 months of age were Hispanic ~50% of CA birth cohort is Hispanic Some have had co-infections (RSV/adenovirus/ influenza), which can confuse the diagnosis
2010 Pertussis Deaths 10 deaths; 9 Hispanic infants, 1 White (30 deaths were reported in 1950) The overall case fatality rate among infant cases <3 months of age is 1.4% Most (9) were infants <2 months of age at time of disease onset who had not received any doses of pertussiscontaining vaccine One death occurred in a former preemie who received the first dose of DTaP at 2 months of age, 15 days prior to disease onset, and had 3 older siblings with cough illness Many of the fatal cases had multiple contacts with healthcare providers before pertussis was diagnosed, several had family members with cough illness
California Pertussis Deaths All CA pertussis deaths (~3/year) since 1996 have been in infants <3 months of age 80% Hispanic Of those with known status, all had pneumonia and pulmonary hypertension Pertussis toxin elicits a dose-dependent leukocytosis; the mean WBC of fatal cases in 1998-2009 was 75,000 (range 15,000-148,000) Increases in leukocyte mass can diminish blood flow by increasing vascular resistance; some experts recommend exchange transfusion to lower the WBC and possibly reduce pertussis toxin
cases Pertussis cases in children and adolescents aged 0-18 years with known vaccine history California, 2010* 600 500 6 doses 5 doses 1-4 doses 0 doses 400 DTaP DTaP Tdap 300 DTaP 200 DTaP DTaP 100 0 <1m 1m 2m 3m 4m 5m 6-11m 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 age (months/years) *As of 4/13/2011
Why are so many cases vaccinated? 53 Vaccinated 100 adolescents 47 Unvaccinated exposed to pertussis 66% vaccine efficacy 14 vaccinated cases 38 unvaccinated cases 53% Tdap coverage 80% attack rate among susceptibles 14/52 (27%) cases are recently vaccinated Does not take waning immunity into account
Challenges Gaps and implementation barriers in ACIP vaccine recommendations Clinical recognition, diagnostic and reporting challenges Determination of effective outbreak control strategies Targeted (cocooning) vs. community-wide vaccination strategies Primary goal: to prevent deaths and hospitalizations in young infants
CDPH Expanded Tdap Recommendations - July 2010 Immunize pre-teens, teens and adults with Tdap vaccine underimmunized 7-9 year olds those >10 years of age who have not yet received Tdap, especially women of childbearing age, preferably before, or else during or immediately after pregnancy others with close contact with young infants includes persons >64 years of age No minimum interval between Td and Tdap; OK to vaccinate if vaccination history is unknown
Hospital Tdap Vaccination Policy Survey April 2010 Surveyed Infection Preventionists and Labor & Delivery Managers 240 (91%) of 256 birth hospitals responded 31% had postpartum Tdap policy 38% of facilities with an ER offer Tdap for wound management 11% of facilities with a NICU have a policy to offer vaccine to parents/siblings of NICU patients 26% offer Tdap to HCWs As of September 1, 2010, all California hospitals and outpatient medical facilities required to offer Tdap under Cal/OSHA s aerosol-transmissible disease standard Barriers: Cost of vaccine/reimbursement issues Physician/staff resistance Determination of patient eligibility unknown vaccination history
CDPH Tdap Expansion Program Free Tdap vaccine offered to immunize postpartum mothers and close contacts/care givers of newborns Vaccine purchased using American Recovery & Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA) funding Open to birth hospitals and hospitals with neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) on 5/28/2010 Extended program to community health centers, tribal clinics on 7/8/2010. No age/insurance limitations.
CDPH Tdap Expansion Program 180 hospitals enrolled (70% of total birth hospitals) 71,615 doses administered Most only able to vaccinate mothers (patients) but some able to vaccinate other household members 525 Community Health Centers enrolled 112,189 doses administered Program ended 12/31/2010 Conducting follow-up survey of hospitals to determine if facilities can continue postpartum Tdap vaccination programs
Pertussis Mitigation: Vaccination Tdap use encouraged in Emergency Departments for wound management Reimbursement barriers for Tdap vs. Td Worked with payers re: Tdap reimbursement Medicare Part D for adults >64 years of age Encouraged use of accelerated DTaP schedule for infants with first dose at 6 weeks of age Contracted with health care services company for special Tdap immunization clinics through LHDs targeting those with close contact with infants
Pertussis Mitigation: Provider education Provider education Clinical recognition pertussis signs and symptoms Specimen collection and laboratory testing Treatment recommendations for young infants
Pertussis Mitigation: Public education Vaccination/cocooning Pertussis signs and symptoms Infants at greatest risk - keep ill people away from infants
CDPH/CDC DTaP Vaccine Effectiveness Assessment Objectives: Assess overall VE of DTaP following the 5 dose series Determine duration of protection at specific time points after vaccination - is vaccine waning earlier than expected? Evaluate the impact of the timing of administration of 5 th dose (can be given from age 4 though age 6) Evaluate effect of vaccine product on VE and duration of protection (two manufacturers of DTaP and vaccine formulations are different) Methods: ~1000 2010 pertussis cases in 15 CA counties and ~3000 unmatched controls aged 4-10 years with same providers In-person collection of vaccine history data
Interim Analysis* DTaP Vaccine Effectiveness Estimates, by Age Group Model** Age 4-5 years Case (n) Control (n) VE, % 95% CI 0 dose 19 8 Ref -- 5 doses 75 598 94.7 85.6-98.1 Age 6-7 years 0 dose 10 8 Ref -- 5 doses 138 733 84.9 70.1-92.4 Age 8-10 years 0 dose 23 8 Ref -- 5 doses 444 820 81.1 60.8-91.0 * VE estimates are preliminary and based on interim data. ** Adjusted for county and provider clustering.
CA Postpartum Tdap Effectiveness Study Evaluate whether vaccinating postpartum women with Tdap is an effective strategy to reduce transmission of B. pertussis to young infants Survey done to determine which CA birth hospitals have postpartum Tdap policies Hospital of birth was ascertained for infant pertussis cases to determine if infants born in hospitals with postpartum Tdap policies were less likely to become infected with pertussis Preliminary data suggest this is the case; additional data are being collected
CDC Emerging Infections Program Cocooning Study Six states, including CA and MN, will participate in a study to evaluate the effectiveness of the cocooning strategy Infected infants and three uninfected controls <6 months of age will be enrolled Parents/guardians of cases and controls will be interviewed to assess pertussis vaccination history of infant contacts; potential confounding factors will also be assessed
Cocooning vs. Community-wide Vaccination No good studies exist to demonstrate efficacy of using a cocooning strategy or of increasing vaccination rates using a community wide approach Herd immunity levels required >90% Only 6% of adults with Tdap coverage leaving a very large pool of susceptibles Cocooning has following advantages: Targeted use of resources Family members most likely to transmit to vulnerable infants so may prevent transmission to those at highest risk for morbidity and mortality
Community Vaccination Natural Experiment AB 354 - new school law effective 2011-2012 academic year All students entering 7-12 th grades in 2011-2012 required to have a dose of pertussis-containing vaccine All subsequent years, newly entering 7 th grade students will have pertussis vaccine requirement Affects ~3 million adolescents in California Current Tdap coverage estimated at 53% Will this help reduce community transmission?
Incidence per 100,000 Tdap immunization rate 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Incidence of Pertussis and Tdap Immunization Rates in British Columbia, 1986-2010 % of Grade 9 students receving Tdap Rate of pertussis, all ages 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Data: British Columbia Centre for Disease Control Year
2010-2011 ACIP Pertussis Recommendations October 2010 No interval necessary between Td and Tdap Tdap for adults 65 years of age and older with infant contact One dose of Tdap for un- and under-immunized children 7-10 years of age February 2011 All healthcare personnel (HCP) who have not received Tdap should receive it as soon as possible Healthcare facilities should take steps to encourage Tdap, including providing it at no cost Postexposure prophylaxis recommended for all HCP exposed to pertussis (regardless of their vaccination status) who are likely to expose patients at risk for severe pertussis (e.g., hospitalized neonates)
Thank you! CDPH colleagues California local health departments California hospital infection preventionists CDC Meningitis and Vaccine Preventable Diseases Branch
Questions?