Running head: INFLUENZA VIRUS SEASON PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE 1

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Running head: INFLUENZA VIRUS SEASON PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE 1 Electron micrograph of H1N1 Virus (CDC, 2009) Influenza Virus Season Preparedness and Response Patricia Bolivar Walden University Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases PH 8300 Final Exam Question Dr. Talmage Holmes May 25, 2013 Electron micrograph of H7N9 Virus from China (CDC, 2013)

Table of Contents Subject Page Introduction 3 Epidemiology Timing and Seasonality.. 3 Spread of Influenza 4 Impact of Influenza in California.. 4 Surveillance of Seasonal Influenza in California.. 4 My Plan for the Next Flu Season.. 5 Conclusion 5 References 6

INFLUENZA VIRUS SEASON PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE 3 Influenza Virus Season Preparedness and Response Introduction There are three types of Influenza viruses A, B, and C. Epidemics of respiratory illness that occur in temperate climates almost every winter associated with increases hospitalization and death are caused by types A and B. Infections caused by Influenza type C viruses are much milder and do not cause epidemics neither do present a public impact (CDC, 2009). Influenza A virus can infect animals including birds, pigs, horses, whales, and seals. Influenza B viruses infects humans only (WHO, 2000). There are up to date 15 hemagglutinin (HA) subtypes and 9 neuraminidase (NA) subtypes that have been identified. However, for the past century, subtypes A(H1N1), A(H1N2), A(H2N2), and A(H3N2) have circulated in humans. All the influenza A subtypes have been isolated from avian species (CDC, 2009). Acute respiratory illness caused by influenza viruses is highly contagious resulting in high rates of morbidity and mortality, especially in the elderly population and those in high risks population groups such as the very young and those immuno-compromised (CDC, 2009). The incubation period of typical flu infection is only 1-2 days with symptoms that include fever, sore throat, headache, and body aches that last about a week. The symptoms may progress into pneumonia in some individuals and even death (WHO, 2000).The virus may be detected in clinical specimen by various laboratory procedures that vary in speed, sensitivity and capability to differentiate influenza type and subtypes (CDC, 2009) The efforts to understand and control influenza are based on the surveillance for influenza programs established by local, state, national and global public health agencies. Global surveillance was initiated in 1947 by the World Health Organization (WHO) which provided the information needed to choose the strain of influenza virus which changes annually to produce the influenza vaccine to be used in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. The information obtained by the WHO working together with public health agencies worldwide are the primary line of defense in the identification of novel influenza viruses (WHO, 2013). Circulation in recent years of A(H5N1) in birds poses an immense concern of a pandemic threat since it has crossed to humans and infected a few individuals with a high rate of mortality. According to WHO (2009) human cases of H5N1 have been reported worldwide; 256 (62%) have died. Timing and Seasonality Epidemiology Epidemics of influenza occur annually varying on the severity of the illness. Factors affecting seasonal flu severity include the circulating viruses type and subtype, the infection incidence, and the levels of antibody against influenza virus present in the population (herd immunity) (CDPH, 2013). Influenza viruses are isolated during a several month period in the fall, winter, and spring. Influenza timing variability has implication in national and international travel, outbreaks occurrence as well as cases of influenza in single individuals during off season periods (CDC, 2009).

INFLUENZA VIRUS SEASON PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE 4 Spread of Influenza Influenza is spread by large droplets loaded with the influenza virus and aerosols by coughing, sneezing, or talking from an infected person to a susceptible individual and even by direct touching and fomites used by infected persons. Children play an important role in the spread of seasonal influenza in the community and within households (CDC, 2009). In households with children less than 12 years old members of the household are six to nine times more likely to obtain the influenza illness from a family member than from exposure in the community (CDPH, 2013). Impact of Influenza in California In California the 2011-2112 influenza season compared to previous seasons was mild to moderate and started relatively late peaking March to April (CDPH, 2012). During the 2011-2112 seasonal influenza the predominant influenza virus was A(2009 H1N1) with also having influenza B virus circulating widely. Influenza like illness (ILI), defined as fever with a temperature of 100 F (37.8 C) or greater, cough and sore throat with no other disease known cause other than influenza, fluctuated with sporadic increase from January to May and peaked in April to 30 percent comparable to other years (CDPH, 2012). Fatal cases as of June 2012 totaled seven reported to the California Department of Public health in children greater than 8 years of age. Ranges since 2003 have been from 5 pediatric cases during 2007-2008 season to as high as 28 pediatric cases in 2008-2009 pandemic season. In the population less than 65 years of age a total of 196 fatal influenza cases occurred in 2011-2112 seasonal influenza indicating an increase compared to 392 severe cases reported in the 2010-2011 seasonal flu (CDPH, 2012). It was not until the 2009 influenza pandemic that a surveillance program for critical ill influenza cases requiring attention in the intensive care unit and fatal cases was initiated in California (CDPH, 2012). According to the California Department of Public Health (2013) in the typical influenza season more than 95 percent of the fatal cases occur in the elderly population more than 65 years old. It is historically established than once the population is exposed to a newly introduced influenza strain, as in the case of the current influenza A (2009 H1N1) virus, and it circulates in the population; the burden of severity and fatal cases will shift to the elderly and other vulnerable population groups (CDPH, 2013). Surveillance of Seasonal Influenza in California During the 2011-2012 seasonal influenza several reported cases came from long term care facilities and correctional institutions (CDPH, 2012). The increase in influenza cases reports is due to various factors including increased awareness of influenza morbidity and mortality, health care practitioners and facilities improvement and use of reporting established mechanisms, and the use of California Reportable Disease Information Exchange Electronic Laboratory Reporting (CalREDIE ELR); the new California statewide electronic surveillance system (CDPH, 2013). The California Department of Public Health laboratory-confirmed influenza surveillance data is obtained from laboratories all throughout the state. The 27 public health laboratories in the state, clinical, academic, hospital, and commercial laboratories constitute the Respiratory Laboratory Network (RLN). These RLN laboratories are kept informed through training, emails, and

INFLUENZA VIRUS SEASON PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE 5 webinars of influenza new testing technology such as culture methods, PCR, and rapid testing methods (CDPH, 2012). My Plan for the Next Flu Season Based on the information aforementioned in the previous paragraphs, assuming that I am the Director for the Department of Public Health in California, I would plan for the protection of the population in my state for the next flu season from both the seasonal influenza and the H1N1, also known as swine flu, by implementing already existing programs and/or the following actions: 1) Add educational campaigns geared to the general public and health care personnel on hygiene to diminish the risk of transmission via coughs, sneezes, and contaminated hands from the mucous membranes (Heymann, 2004). Billboards with stop spreading of the flu images on prevention and control strategies; hand-washing, separating children from the elderly, staying home if sick with the flu. 2) Recommend immunization first the high risk population against not only against the seasonal flu, but also vaccinate against pneumonia (Heymann, 2004) and to be able to offer the alive and inactivated vaccine to healthy young adults with the goal to vaccinate 80% of the population. 3) Recommend statewide for parents to voluntary isolate infant and young children suspected of having the flu, adults to stay home when feeling sick, and hospital staff to cohort patients with influenza viral infection. 4) Recommend the government officials the availability in adequate amount of anti-flu medications supply at affordable prices. 5) Recommend avoidance of travelling when feeling sick to avoid spreading the virus. 6) Support the advancement of the current new California statewide electronic surveillance system CalREDIE to reach small local health care centers, rural areas, tribal territories which are still not able to use the system. 7) Support the scientific development and research of the influenza virus antigenic characterization to achieve the closest influenza virus projected for the next season to match to a high percentage the components of the forthcoming vaccine. 8) Continue the efforts to corroborate with the national surveillance for antivirals resistance and development of an implemented functional assay to survey circulating influenza strains for resistance to viral neuraminidase inhibitors (CDPH, 2012). 9) Support the further development and wider availability to laboratories of technology able to detect viral mutations to antiviral medications (oseltamivir, amantadine, rimantadine) such as pyrosequencing available for other infectious agents (CDC, 2013).

INFLUENZA VIRUS SEASON PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE 6 10) Maintain a constant watch for novel influenza A viruses emerging which may place the state in danger of a pandemic. 11) Continue Syndromic surveillance of influenza like illnesses levels at sentinel providers of outpatient visits. 12) Expand the use of proxy indicators of influenza activity to other large provider pharmacies besides Kaiser Permanente for comparison of antivirals used in Northern and Southern California (CDPH, 2013). 13) Encourage the reporting of preliminary respiratory illness outbreaks including influenza to be able to provide treatment and antivirals for prophylaxis to prevent and control further spread, especially in long term facilities, elementary schools, jails, and state prisons (CDPH, 2012). Some of the barriers to implement the influenza control program fully are failure to follow influenza vaccine guidelines by health care providers, failure to report, delay in reporting, lack of access to the California surveillance electronic system, budget constrictions on viral influenza research and development, and most of all the intrinsic characteristics of the virus. All influenza viruses undergo rapid mutation and structural changes responsible for delays in vaccine production and use of appropriate strains to be included in the vaccine which is selected a year before it is need. Conclusion Highly contagious seasonal influenza can range from a mild to severe illness that can be fatal to infants, the aging, those over 65 years of age, and high risk populations such as immunocompromises individuals. If I were the Director of the California Department of Health my plan would include support and implementation of already existing programs plus recommendation to reduce the risk of getting the illness. Those recommendations would be stressing the needed of additional education campaigns and programs. Programs on getting vaccinated annually, following hygienic measures such as hand washing, coughing and sneezing etiquette, and voluntary isolation. I would continue requesting financial support for development and research on influenza viruses rapid testing and diagnosis. Finally, I would continue to support the efforts of the California Department of Public Health Influenza Surveillance Program and the CalREDIE electronic reporting system to obtain and analyze laboratory, clinical, and pharmacy data year round to determine not only the impact of influenza activity, but to match the influenza virus strain to those strains used in the forthcoming influenza vaccines.

INFLUENZA VIRUS SEASON PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE 7 References California Department of Public Health (2012). Centers for Infectious Diseases: California Influenza and Respiratory Disease Surveillance Report 2011-12 Season. California Department of Public Health (2013). Influenza (Flu). Retrieved from http://www.cdph.ca.gov/healthinfo/discond/pages/influenza(flu).aspx Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2009). CDC Human Influenza Virus. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2009). News Room Image Library. Retrieved from http://www.cdc.gov/media/subtopic/library/diseases.htm Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2012). Overview of Influenza Surveillance. Retrieved from http://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/overview.htm Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2013). Seasonal Influenza (flu). Retrieved from http://www.cdc.gov/flu/ World Health Organization (2000). Guidelines for the collection of clinical specimens during filed investigation of outbreaks. World Health Organization (2000). Guidelines for Avian Influenza Control in Health Care Facilities World Health Organization (2009). http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs211/en/ World Health Organization (2013). Influenza Seasonal.