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chapter seven There been times that I thought I couldn t last for long But now I think I m able to carry on It s been a long, a long time coming But I know a change gonna come, oh yes it will Sam Cooke, A Change is Gonna Come 7

7 5 wait list donation 5 transplant outcomes 55 follow-up care 5 summary In 9, the most recent year of available data, 17,73 kidney transplants were performed in the United States 33 more than in the previous year, ending a twoyear decline in the annual number of transplants performed. 11 USRDS ANNUAL DATA REPORT volume twoesrd INTRODUCTION There were more living donor transplants performed in 9 compared with, an increase of 7 percent, compared with a 1 percent decline in deceased donor transplants. The number of living-unrelated transplants rose 11 percent, compared with a 3 percent increase in living-related transplants. Paired donation drove much of this increase. Reported living-to-living paired donation, when two incompatible donor-recipient pairs exchange to form two compatible pairs, increased 3 percent, with 77 transplants taking place in 9. The continued expansion of regional kidneypaired exchange programs, along with the Kidney Paired Donation Pilot Program currently being tested by the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN), will likely increase the number of kidney-paired exchanges. Living-deceased paired donation, when a non-compatible donor donates to the deceased donor waiting list in exchange for priority listing of their intended recipient, rose percent in 9, with 17 transplants, while nondirected living donation rose percent, to 119 transplants. The number of patients on the wait list continues to increase, growing percent in 9 to reach 71,975 on December 31. New listings have grown percent, with,9 candidates added to the list, paralleling a percent increase in the ESRD incidence rate during the same period. Among new listings, 7 percent were active at listing; only percent of listed patients, however, were designated as active on December 31, 9. Twenty-one percent of incident ESRD patients were added to the wait list or received a deceased donor transplant within one year of initiation, a number remaining fairly stable over the past two decades. The percentage of adult candidates who receive a deceased donor transplant within three years of listing varies by candidate blood type, from percent for those with Type O to 5 percent of those with Type AB. Rates of deceased donation remained flat in 9, at 1. donors per million population in 9, and at. donations per 1, deaths in 9 combined. Transplant rates per 1 dialysis patient years continue to decline, in 9 reaching.5 and 1. for deceased and living donor transplants, respectively. One-year survival with a functioning transplant continues to reach all-time highs, at 9 percent for recipients of first-time, deceased donor transplants, and 9 percent for recipients of first-time, living donor transplants in. Five-year survival has increased to 7 and 3 percent. In 9, delayed graft function was reported in and 3 percent of deceased and living donor transplants, respectively. The rate varies, from percent for standard criteria donors to 31 and 37 percent for expanded criteria donors and donations after cardiac death. Attention continues to focus on reducing the incidence of acute rejection and other post-transplant complications, and on improving long-term outcomes. The incidence of reported acute rejection episodes during the first year post-transplant, reported in 1 percent of both deceased and living donor recipients in 7, has declined more

than 5 percent over the past decade. New-onset diabetes following transplant, however, remains common, with over percent of adult, non-diabetic recipients having evidence of diabetes by the end of the third year after transplant. Twenty-eight percent of non-diabetic transplant recipients have claims for insulin during the first six months post-transplant, while 1 percent have claims for sulfonylureas. And in the three years post-transplant, lymphoproliferative disorders are reported in.5 and 1.9 percent of adult and pediatric recipients, respectively. Congestive heart failure remains the leading cause of cardiovascular hospitalization during the first two years post-transplant, and urinary tract infections the leading cause of hospitalization due to infection. Among recipients who die with a functioning transplant, cardiovascular disease continues to be the leading cause of death, accounting for 3 percent of deaths, followed by infectious causes and malignancies at 1 and 9 percent. During the first six months post-transplant, beta blockers are prescribed for 77 and 71 percent of deceased and living donor recipients. ACE inhibitors are prescribed for approximately 5 percent of all recipients, calcium channel blockers for percent, and loop diuretics for percent of deceased donor recipients and percent of living donor recipients. Approximately 3 percent of transplant recipients with Medicare Part D coverage have claims for statins during the first six months post-transplant, and 9 percent of recipients age 35 or older at transplant have a lipid screening performed during the first year. Targeting post-transplant cardiovascular complications will continue to yield improvements in recipient outcomes.» Figure 7.1; see 3 for analytical methods. Unadjusted incident & transplant rates: limited to ESRD patients age & older, thus yielding a computed incident rate higher than the overall rate presented elsewhere in the ADR. Wait list counts: patients age & older listed for a kidney or kidney-pancreas transplant on December 31 of each year. Wait time: patients age & older entering wait list in the given year. Transplant counts: patients age & older as known to the USRDS. 7 1ii Rate of ESRD per million population Incident & transplant rates, unadj. Kidney wait list Total transplants (Age +) 5 1 Counts: first listings Incident rate 15 3 1 Trends in : unadjusted rates, wait list, & total transplants, patients age & older Transplant rate 9 9 Transplant rate per 1 ESRD pt yrs Kidney wait list counts (in 1,s) Median wait time: prior txs Median wait time: first listings Counts: prior txs 9 9 Median wait time (years) Transplants (in 1,s) 1 5 Deceased donor Living donor Total 9 9 9

Sixty-two percent of pediatric patients starting ESRD therapy in were wait-listed or received a deceased donor transplant within one year, compared to 7 percent of those age 35 9. At the end of 9, there were 53,75 active patients on the wait list for a kidney or kidneypancreas transplant, and,3 inactive patients.» Figures 7. 3; see 3 for analytical methods. Incident ESRD pts younger than 7 (7.). Patients age 1 & older listed for a kidney or kidney-pancreas transplant on December 31 of each year (7.3). 7 ii Pts wait-listed or receiving a dec d donor tx within one year of initiation, by age All 5- -17 1-3 35-9 5-9 91 93 95 97 99 1 3 5 7 7 3ii Patient counts (in thousands) 5 3 15 Wait list counts & multiple listings Inactive Inactive; % multiple-listed Active Active; % multiple-listed 99 1 3 5 7 9 % with mulitple listings The percentage of adult patients receiving a deceased donor transplant within three years of listing has fallen considerably since 1991, and varies by blood type. It continues to be highest for those of blood type AB at 5 percent for patients listed in and lowest for those of type O or B. The percentage receiving a living donor transplant has been rising, and varies little by blood type.» Figure 7.; see 3 for analytical methods. Pts age 1 & older listed for a first-time kidney or kidney-pancreas transplant. 7 ii Deceased donor transplants 1 Outcomes for wait-listed adult patients within three years of listing, by blood type 91 95 99 3 Living donor transplants AB A O B 91 95 99 3 91 95 99 3 Year of listing Death on wait list Of patients listed in, 1 percent of whites and Asians received a living donor transplant within three years, compared to just.7 percent of African Americans. Forty-two and 7 percent of Asians and African Americans were still waiting after three years, rates considerably higher than the 31 percent among whites.» Figure 7.5; see 3 for analytical methods. Pts age 1 & older listed for a firsttime, kidney-only tx in ; transplanted patients may have subsequent outcomes in the three-year follow-up period. 7 5ii 1 Outcomes for first-time wait-listed patients three years after listing in, by age, race, & PRA Still waiting Removed from list prior to tx Died while waiting Living donor tx Deceased donor tx 1-3 35-9 5-5+ White Af Am Asian PRA % 1-19 -79-1 11 USRDS ANNUAL DATA REPORT volume twoesrd 5 Median wait times for patients transplanted in 9 exceeded four years in Alabama, Delaware, and New Jersey; the median was.3. Adjusted mortality among wait-listed patients in 9 reached.7 deaths per 1 person years of waiting, and exceeded 1 in Idaho and West Virginia.» Figures 7. 7; see 3 for analytical methods. Pts age 1+ receiving a firsttime, deceased-donor, kidney-only tx in 9 (7.). Pts age 1+, listed for a kidney or kidney-pancreas tx as of Jan. 1, 9; see appendix for adjustments (7.7). 7 ii Unadj. median wait times (years) for adults tx ed in 9, by state of tx center 1. 3. 1.5..5 3.3 7 7ii Adj. mortality rates (per 1 person yrs of waiting) for wait-listed pts, by state, 9..9 5.7...1 WAIT LIST DONATION

7 ii Probability..3..1 Likelihood of dying while awaiting transplant. 91 93 95 97 99 1 3 5 7 Year of listing 5 years years 3 years years Within one year 7 9ii Three-year cumulative incidence (%) Three-year cumulative incidence of transfusion in wait-listed patients, by PRA PRA + PRA= PRA 1-19 PRA -79 91 93 95 97 99 1 3 5 7 For first-time transplant candidates, the probabilities of dying within one or five years have fallen to.3 and., respectively. Transfusions are most common among patients who are highly sensitized at the time of transplant (PRA of percent or higher).» Figures 7. 9; see 3 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older, listed for a first-time kidney or kidney-pancreas transplant (7.); patients age 1 & older with Medicare primary coverage & listed for a kidney transplant in the given year (7.9). 7 1ii Rate per million population Deceased donors: Age Gender Race -17 5- Male White 1-3 5-9 Female African American 3 35-9 All Native American Asian 1 Living donors 5 3 Donation rates, by age, gender, & race Rates of kidney donation from deceased donors remain highest among those age 5 and among males, reaching 7.7 and.1 per million population, respectively, in 9. Since 5, rates by race have been highest in the African American population, reaching. in 9, compared to just. 9. among Native Americans and Asians. Rates of donations from living donors are greatest among patients age 35 9, reaching 7 per million population in 3 5, and 3 in 9. By race, rates in 9 ranged from 1. and 1.3 among Native Americans and Asians to 3 among whites and African Americans.» Figure 7.1; see 3 for analytical methods. Donors younger than 7 whose organs are eventually transplanted. vol esrd 1 95 97 99 1 3 5 7 9 95 97 99 1 3 5 7 9 95 97 99 1 3 5 7 9 7 11ii Deceased donor donations (per 1, deaths), by state, 9 In 9, the rate of donations from deceased donors was. per 1, deaths overall. Rates by state were greater than per 1, deaths in Alaska, Delaware, Iowa, Indiana, and Utah.» Figure 7.11; see 3 for analytical methods. Deaths from July 1, to July 1, 9. CHAPTER 7 1.. 1.91..71 3.7 51

Since, the number of deceased donor transplants among patients age 5 and older has more than doubled, to 1,911, and there has been an increase of 7 percent among patients age 5. Among those age 1 3, in contrast, transplants have fallen percent, to 1,1. Among African Americans and Asians, the number of transplants has grown 5 and 9 percent, respectively.» Figure 7.1; see 3 for analytical methods. Pts age 1 & older. Includes kidney-alone & kidney-pancreas transplants. 7 1ii Transplants (in thousands) Age Gender Race 35-9 Deceased donor transplants, by age, gender, race, & primary diagnosis 5+ 1-3 5-91 95 99 3 7 Male Female White Af Am Asian 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 7 Primary diagnosis DM HTN GN Cystic kidney 91 95 99 3 7 The adjusted deceased donor transplant rate has grown 51 percent since for patients age 5 and older, while falling 39 percent for those age 1 3. By race, the rate is down 3 percent among whites, while rising.5 and 1 percent for African Americans and Asians.» Figure 7.13; see 3 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older. Adj: age/gender/ race/primary diagnosis (rates by one factor adjusted for remaining three); ref: prevalent dialysis patients, 9. 7 13ii Transplants per 1 dialysis pt years Adjusted transplant rates, by age, gender, race, & primary diagnosis: deceased donors Age Gender Race Primary diagnosis 15 1 Male White 1-3 Female Af Am Cystic kidney All Asian 1 GN 35-9 5 5-5+ 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 7 HTN DM 91 95 99 3 7 Among patients younger than 5, the number of living donor transplants has fallen 3 7 percent since. For those age 5, in contrast, the number is now 1 percent higher, and for patients age 5 and older it has more than doubled. While living donor transplants among whites and African Americans have increased just 9 1 percent in this period, they have tripled among Asians.» Figure 7.1; see 3 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older. Includes kidneyalone & kidney-pancreas transplants. 7 1ii Transplants (in thousands) Age Gender Race Primary diagnosis 5 1-3 35-9 White Male 5-3 5+ 1 Living donor transplants, by age, gender, race, & primary diagnosis 91 95 99 3 7 Female Af Am Asian 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 7 DM HTN GN Cystic kidney 91 95 99 3 7 11 USRDS ANNUAL DATA REPORT volume twoesrd 5 Rates of living donor transplants peaked at the beginning of the decade, and have since fallen for many patient groups. As with deceased donor transplants, rates by race are now greatest in the Asian population, reaching 3 per 1 dialysis patient years in 9 7 percent higher than in.» Figure 7.15; see 3 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older. Adj: age/gender/race/primary diagnosis (rates by one factor adjusted for remaining three); ref: prevalent dialysis patients, 9. TRANSPLANT OUTCOMES 7 15ii Transplants per 1 dialysis pt years Adjusted transplant rates, by age, gender, race, & primary diagnosis: living donors Age Gender Race Primary diagnosis 1-3 Cystic kidney Male White Female Af Am All Asian HTN DM GN 35-9 5-5+ 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 7

7 1ii 7 17ii Deceased donor Percent survival free of endpoint 7 1ii Percent survival free of endpoint One-year survival Five-year survival Ten-year survival 1 Outcome: Graft failure or death Return to dialysis/retransplant Death with function 91 95 99 3 7 Adjusted transplant rates (per 1 dialysis patient years) by state of patient residence & donor type, 9 1.75 3.93.13.5.9 3.35 Outcomes: deceased donor transplants Outcomes: living donor transplants 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 91 93 95 97 99 Year of transplant One-year survival Five-year survival Ten-year survival 1 Outcome: Graft failure or death Return to dialysis/retransplant Death with function Living donor 91 95 99 3 91 93 95 97 99 Year of transplant.. 1.1 1.7 1.. In 9, the rate of deceased donor transplants reached 5. per 1 dialysis patient years in Vermont, and.. in South Dakota, Maryland, and New Hampshire. Rates of living donor transplants were greatest in Wyoming, Montana, and Minnesota, at 3. 3..» Figure 7.1; see 3 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older. Adj: age/gender/race/primary diagnosis; ref: prevalent dialysis patients, 9. More than 9 percent of patients who receive a deceased donor kidney transplant, and nearly 99 percent of those receiving a kidney from a living donor, survive the first year with a functioning graft. For those transplanted in, five-year survival reached 5 and 93 percent, respectively, and ten-year survival for those transplanted in reached and 7 percent. From 1991 to, one-year allcause graft survival increased from 1.5 percent to 91.9 percent among recipients of a deceased donor transplant, and from 9. to 9. percent in those with a transplant from a living donor. Between 1991 and, ten-year all-cause graft survival rose from 31.9 to 1. for deceased donor transplant recipients. Among patients with a living donor transplant, survival fell slightly during the early 199s, then increased again to reach 59. in.» Figures 7.17 1; see 3 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older receiving a first-time, kidney-only transplant. Adj (survival): age/gender/ race/primary diagnosis. vol esrd 7 19ii Percent Acute rejection within the first year post-transplant Biopsy proven: deceased donor Biopsy proven: living donor 91 95 99 3 7 Transplant year Acute rejection: deceased donor Acute rejection: living donor 7 ii 5 3 1 Transplants with delayed graft function (DGF), by donor type Donation after cardiac death Expanded criteria donor (ECD) deceased donors All deceased donors Standard criteria donor (SCD) deceased donors Living donors 91 95 99 3 7 The percentage of transplant patients experiencing an acute rejection has declined steadily over the past decade, and 7 7 percent of reported acute rejections are biopsy-proven. In 9, delayed graft function was reported in 3. percent of transplants from living donors, compared to, 31, and 37 percent of SCDs, ECDs, and donations after cardiac death.» Figures 7.19 ; see 3 for analytical methods. Pts age 1 & older (7.19); patients age 1 & older with a functioning graft at discharge (7.). CHAPTER 7 53

In the second year post-transplant, hospitalization rates for adult recipients are 5 percent lower than in the first year, at 7 admissions per 1 patient years. Admissions due to transplant complications fall 71 percent, to 11.7, while admissions due to cardiovascular causes and to infection fall and percent, to.7 and 17.5.» Figure 7.1; see 39 for analytical methods. First-time, kidney-only tx recipients, age 1 & older, transplanted in 7; ref: transplant patients,. In the first year after transplant, percent of cardiovascular hospitalizations are due to congestive heart failure; this number rises only slightly in the second year, to 3 percent. Hospitalizations for coronary atherosclerosis and CVA/TIA also increase, from. and 5. percent, respectively, in year one to 11. and 9. percent in year two. Urinary tract infection, septicemia, and pneumonia are the most common diagnoses among transplant patients admitted for infection, at 1 percent in the second year after transplant.» Figure 7.; see 39 for analytical methods. First-time, kidney-only transplant recipients, age 1 & older, with Medicare primary payor coverage, transplanted in 5 9. 7 1ii Hospitalization rates in the first & second years post-transplant, 7 ii Primary diagnoses of cardiac & infectious hospitalizations in the first & second years post-transplant Admissions/1 pt years at risk 1 1 Any hosp. Year 1 Year Comps of kidney tx CV hosp. Infectious hosp. Cardiovascular hospitalization Year 1 Year CHF Hypertension Ven. thrombosis/embolism Atrial fibrillation Cor. atherosclerosis CVA/TIA AMI Lymphocele Hypotension Atherosclerosis of extremities 5 1 15 5 Percent Infectious hospitalization UTI Post-op infection Septicemia Pneumonia Resp, not pneumonia CMV Cellulitis Kidney infection Vascular access Osteomyelitis 5 1 15 5 At 3 months after transplant, the cumulative incidence of post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) is four times greater among pediatric patients than among adults, at 1.91 percent compared to.. Adults, in contrast, have a higher incidence of post-transplant diabetes, reaching 1 percent at 3 months, compared to 1 percent among pediatric patients.» Figures 7.3 ; see 39 for analytical methods. Patients receiving a first-time, kidney-only transplant, combined. 7 3ii Cumulative percent of patients. 1.5 1..5 Cumulative incidence of post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) Pediatric patients (age <1) Adult patients. 1 1 3 3 Months after transplant 7 ii Cumulative percent of patients 5 3 1 Cumulative incidence of post-transplant diabetes Pediatric patients (age <1) Adult patients 1 1 3 3 Months after transplant 11 USRDS ANNUAL DATA REPORT volume twoesrd 5 The overall graft failure rate among adult transplant recipients fell to. per 1 patient years in 9, while the rate of failure requiring dialysis or re fell to 3.1. Cardiovascular disease and infection are the main cause of death for 3 and 1 percent of adult patients who die with a functioning graft.» Figure 7.5 ; see 39 for analytical methods. Pts age 1+ at tx; adj: age/gender/race; ref: 9 prev. dial. pts (7.5). First-time, kidney-only tx recipients, age 1+, 5 9, who died with functioning graft (7.). 7 5ii Rate/1 pt yrs w/functioning graft 1 Adjusted rate of outcomes after transplant Any graft failure Return to dialysis/ preemptive re Death with function 91 95 99 3 7 Transplant year 7 ii Causes of death with function, 5 9 Malignancy: 9.3% CVD: 9.7% :.3% Infection:.9% Unknown: 17.% OUTCOMES FOLLOW-UP CARE

7 7ii Calcineurin inhib. (at tx) Anti-metabolites (at tx) mtor inhibitors 1 Tacromilus CsA or CsM Immunosuppression use 95 99 3 7 Mycophenolate Azathioprine 95 99 3 7 At transplant 1 year post-tx 95 99 3 7 Steroids At transplant 1 year post-tx 95 99 3 7 Eighty-eight percent of patients transplanted in 9 used tacrolimus as their initial calcineurin inhibitor, and mycophenolate has almost completely replaced azathioprine as the anti-metabolite used in new transplant recipients. Use of mtor inhibitors, both initially and post-transplant, has continued to fall, while steroid use seems to be stabilizing.» Figure 7.7; see 39 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older receiving a first-time, kidney-only tx. CsA: cyclosporine A; CsM: cyclosporine microemulsion. 7 ii 1 Induction antibody use None T-cell depleting IL-RA 1999 9 7 9ii Cardiovascular medication use in the first months post-tx, 7 (Part D data) ACEI/ ARB B Bl. DHP CCB Loop diur. Deceased donor Living donor K-sp diur. Thiaz. diur. In 9, percent of transplant patients recived IL-RA, and 5 percent were on a T-cell depleting antibody; just 1 percent received no treatment. Use of cardiovascular medications in the first six months after transplant is highest among recipients of deceased donor transplants, reaching 77 percent for beta blockers and percent for DHP calcium channel blockers.» Figures 7. 9; see 39 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older receiving a first-time, kidneyonly transplant. 7 3ii 3 1 Medications for lipid control in the first months post-tx, 7 (Part D data) Statins Fibrates Bile acid sequest. Deceased donor Living donor lipid-lowr. agents 7 31ii 1 Medications for diabetes control in the first mos. post-tx, 7 (Part D data) Diabetic at tx Not diabetic at tx Insulin TZD Meglitinides Sulfonylurea Biguanide DPP- inhib. In the first six months after transplant, 3 39 percent of patients receive statins, while just.9 3. percent receive fibrates. Use of medications for diabetes control is far higher among patients who were diabetic at the time of transplant; insulin use, for example, reaches 3 percent in these patients, compared to percent among those whose diabetes occurs post-transplant.» Figures 7.3 31; see 39 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older receiving a first-time, kidneyonly transplant. vol esrd 7 3ii Influenza vaccination 1 1-3 35-9 - 5+ Follow-up care & screening in the first 1 months post-transplant, by age 91 95 99 3 7 Lipid screening CBC 91 95 99 3 7 91 95 99 3 7 In, percent of recipients age 1 9 received an influenza vaccination in the 1 months post-transplant, compared to 3 percent of those, and 5 percent of those age 5 and older. Lipid screening rates range from percent in the youngest adults to 93 percent in those age. Since 3, nearly all recipients have received a CBC test in the year after transplant.» Figure 7.3; see 39 for analytical methods. Patients age 1 & older receiving a firsttime, kidney-only transplant. CHAPTER 7 55

kidney transplants in patients age and older, 9» deceased donor 1,79» living donor 5,91 (fig 7.1) wait-listed patients receiving a deceased donor transplant within three years of listing in, by blood type» type o %» type a 35%» type b %» type ab 5% (fig 7.) patients waiting for a transplant three years after listing in» white 31%» african american 7%» asian %» other race % (fig 7.5) likelihood of dying while awaiting transplant probability within one year.3» within three years.13» within five years. (fig 7.) rate of kidney donation, 9 per million population deceased donors» white 1» african american» native american.» asian 9. (fig 7.1) living donors» white 3» african american» native american 11» asian 1 (fig 7.1) adjusted rate of deceased donor transplants, 9 per 1 dialysis patient years» white.7» african american.» asian 3.» other race.5 (fig 7.13) adjusted rate of living donor transplants, 9 per 1 dialysis patient years» white 1.9» african american.5» asian 3.» other race 1.1 (fig 7.15) survival with a functioning graft one-year survival: transplants» deceased donor 9%» living donor 9% (figs 7.17 1) five-year survival: transplants» deceased donor 7%» living donor 3% (figs 7.17 1) ten-year survival: transplants» deceased donor 1%» living donor 59% (figs 7.17 1) cumulative incidence of post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder at 3 months after transplant» pediatric patients 1.91%» adult patients.% (fig 7.3) cumulative incidence of post-transplant diabetes at 3 months after transplant» pediatric patients 1.%» adult patients 1% (fig 7.) 11 USRDS ANNUAL DATA REPORT volume twoesrd causes of death with a functioning graft» malignancy 9.3%» infection 1%» cardiovascular disease 3% (fig 7.) 5 SUMMARY