Patients in the MIDAS Project. Exclusion Due to Bipolarity or Psychosis. Results

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Things You Think You Know Things You Think You Know, That May Not Be True in the Diagnosis and Treatment of Depression Mark Zimmerman, MD Director of Outpatient Psychiatry Director of the Partial Hospital Program Rhode Island Hospital; The Miriam Hospital Professor of Psychiatry and Human Behavior Brown Medical School Providence, Rhode Island 1) Prescribing antidepressants Belief: Medication has been proven to be effective for the patients we see in our practice 2) Onset of action of antidepressants Belief: Early response = placebo response 3) Loss of efficacy over time (ie, poop out) Belief: Relapse means the drug stopped working 4) Diagnosing bipolar disorder Belief: The greatest problem is that bipolar disorder is underdiagnosed 5) Measuring outcome Belief: It is a burden Belief: It does not make a difference what scale you use The Rhode Island MIDAS Project Belief 1 Antidepressants Have Been Proven Effective for the Patients Treated in Our Practice MIDAS = Methods to Improve Diagnostic Assessment and Services Research assessments integrated into routine clinical practice Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV (SCID) Structured Interview for DSM Personality (SIDP-IV) Schedule for Affective Disorders and Schizophrenia (SADS) (extracted HAM-D) HAM-D = Hamilton Rating Scale for Depression. First M, et al. Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV Axis II Personality Disorders, (SCID-II). Washington, DC: American Psychiatric Press, Inc.; 1997. Pfohl B, et al. Structured interview for DSM-IV personality (SIDP-IV). Washington, DC: American Psychiatric Press, Inc.; 1997. Endicott J, et al. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 1978;35(7):837-844. Generalizability of Treatment Research Generalizability of Treatment Research Unique opportunity to apply inclusion and exclusion criteria used in efficacy trials to the patients treated in routine clinical practice. Zimmerman M, et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2002;159(3):469-473. Zimmerman M, et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2002;159(3):469-473.

Patients in the MIDAS Project 1500 psychiatric outpatients 596 principal diagnosis of DSM-IV MDD or bipolar depression 399 (67%) female; 197 (33%) male Mean age = 38.2 years (SD = 12.0) 89% white 11% < high school; 66% high school or GED; 23% graduated college Zimmerman M, et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2002;159(3):469-473. MDD = major depressive disorder. Zimmerman M, et al. J Nerv Ment Dis. 2004;192(2):87-94. Exclusion Due to Bipolarity or Psychosis Application of Remaining Exclusion Criteria to Patients Treated in Clinical Practice 59 (9.9%) of the 596 patients had DSM-IV bipolar I or bipolar II depression Of the remaining 537 patients, 34 (5.7%) had psychotic features 503 outpatients with nonbipolar, nonpsychotic depression Exclusion criteria of 39 published studies applied approximately 1/6 patients would be excluded due to bipolarity or psychosis Zimmerman M, et al. J Nerv Ment Dis. 2004;192(2):87-94. Zimmerman M, et al. J Nerv Ment Dis. 2004;192(2):87-94. Percentage of 503 MDD Outpatients Treated in MIDAS Project Who Would Be Excluded from Different AETs Results The percentage of patients that would have been excluded ranged from 0% to 95.0% (mean = 65.8%) In approximately half of the studies more than 70% of the depressed patients would have failed to qualify for the efficacy study AET = antidepressant efficacy trial. Zimmerman M, et al. J Nerv Ment Dis. 2004;192(2):87-94.

Other Studies Applying Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria to Clinical Patients with MDD Taking a Closer Look at Symptom Severity Author No. with MDD % Who Would Qualify van der Lem 1597 20 25 Wisniewski 2855 22 Zetin 276 11 Mean extracted 21-item HAM-D = 20.4 (SD = 6.0) At the 2 most common cutoffs of 20 on the 21-item HAM- D and 18 on the 17-item HAM-D, 47.3% and 44.5%, respectively, would have been excluded van der Lem R, et al. Psychol Med. 2011;41(7):1353-1363. Wisniewski SR, et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2009;166(5):599-607. Zetin M, et al. J Clin Psychopharmacol. 2007;27(3):295-301. Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychopharmacol. 2002;22(6):610-614. Updating the Review Zimmerman M, et al. Mayo Clin Proc. 2015;90(9):1180-1186. Zimmerman M, et al. Mayo Clin Proc. 2015;90(9):1180-1186. Symptom Severity and Generalizability: Changes Over 20 Years Inclusion cutoff on symptom severity scale HAM-D-17 > 22 (44.0% vs 17.5%, P <.01) MADRS > 25 (76.2% vs 25.0%, P <.01) *P <.05. Zimmerman M, et al. Mayo Clin Proc. 2015;90(9):1180-1186. MADRS = Montgomery-Åsberg Depression Rating Scale. Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychopharmacol. 2016;36(2):153-156.

Studies of Vortioxetine: An Extreme Example FDA s Code of Federal Regulation (21CFR201.57) 12 studies of vortioxetine 26 nonvortioxetine trials Inclusion cutoff on MADRS > 25 vortioxetine studies: 11/12 (91.7%) nonvortioxetine studies: 8/26 (30.8%) Revised April 1, 2015 A product label should identify those characteristics that are important for understanding how to interpret and apply the study results. The description thus should identify important inclusion and exclusion criteria For example, the description should discuss enrollment factors that exclude subjects prone to adverse effects, the age distribution of the study population, a baseline value that results in a study population that is more or less sick than usual (italics added) Zimmerman M, et al. J Affect Disord. 2016;190:357-361. US Food and Drug Administration. www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/cdrh/cfdocs/cfcfr/cfrsearch.cfm?fr=201.56. Accessed June 2, 2016. European Medicines Agency Guideline for Antidepressant Medication FDA s Code of Federal Regulation (21CFR201.56) Though some of the earlier studies may be done in hospitalized patients, the majority of the database should be in out-patients for better generalizability of study results. Clinical trials will usually recruit patients, who are moderately ill, as it is difficult to demonstrate an effect in mildly ill patients. Demonstration of efficacy in moderately ill patients is considered sufficient for a registration package to get a license for Treatment of Episodes of Major Depression What is the logic? Chapter on labeling requirements A product s labeling must be updated when new information becomes available that causes the labeling to become inaccurate, false, or misleading Information contained in the present report warrants a modification to the labels of recently approved antidepressants as they have only been established as effective for a narrow range of severity of depression European Medicines Agency. Guideline on clinical investigation of medicinal products in the treatment of depression. May 30, 2013. www.ema.europa.eu/docs/en_gb/document_library/scientific_guideline/2013/05/wc500143770.pdf. Accessed June 7, 2016. US Food and Drug Administration. www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/cdrh/cfdocs/cfcfr/cfrsearch.cfm?fr=201.56. Accessed June 2, 2016. Implications Implicationsfor Future Raises questions about the generalizability of AETs Should antidepressants only be approved and marketed for the narrow range of patients in whom they are proven effective? What about STAR*D? Personalized medicine STAR*D = Sequenced Treatment Alternatives to Relieve Depression.

Advisory Board Meeting October, 2018 Review of 3 Multicenter Trials of Medication X RESPONSE RATE Dose A Dose B Dose C Study 1 52.6* Study 2 48.8 50.3 56.5* Study 3 53.2* Advisory Board Meeting October, 2018 Genetic Abnormality Dose A Dose B Dose C Study 1 65.6* Study 2 58.8* 60.3* 68.5* Study 3 63.2* Normal Genetic Test Dose A Dose B Dose C Study 1 41.0 Study 2 38.8 40.3 46.5* Study 3 43.2 Perspectives Company Clinician/Patient Regulatory agency Health insurance company Belief 2 Early Response to Antidepressants = Placebo Response Evolution of the Delayed Antidepressant Hypothesis Onset of Action of Antidepressants: A Meta-Analysis Columbia group (mid 1980s) Lack of drug-placebo differences in first 3 weeks of treatment Pattern analysis Modern era studies demonstrating early onset of efficacy 47 placebo-controlled studies with weekly ratings 74 cohorts on active medication (> 5000 patients) 47 cohorts on placebo (> 3400 patients) All studies used same outcome measure (HAM-D) Posternak MA, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2005;66(2):148-158.

Weekly Reduction in HAM-D Scores on Medication (n = 5158) and Placebo (n = 3418) Drug-Placebo Separation on the HAM-D over the Course of a 6-Week Trial Week # Medication Placebo 1 4.5 3.6 2 3.3 2.0 3 2.1 1.6 4 1.5 0.9 5 0.9 0.7 6 0.7 0.3. Total change 13.0 9.0 Posternak MA, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2005;66(2):148-158. Posternak MA, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2005;66(2):148-158. Meta-Analyses of Onset of Action of SSRIs Meta-Analyses of Onset of Action of SSRIs in the Treatment of OCD 25 placebo-controlled studies using the HAM-D Active medication (2260 patients) Placebo (1623 patients) Difference between active drug and placebo Week 1 1.07 points End of 6 weeks 3.30 points 17 placebo-controlled studies 8 to 24 weeks in duration 12 trials 10 or 12 weeks in duration 3275 participants overall Difference between active drug and placebo on Y-BOCS Week 2 0.91 points End of 12 weeks 3.30 points (approximated from figure) More than half of the improvement by the end of treatment was evident at 4 weeks SSRI = selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor. Taylor MJ, et al. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 2006;63(11):1217-1223. OCD = obsessive-compulsive disorder; YBOC-S = Yale-Brown Obsessive Compulsive Scale. Issari Y, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. In press. Clinical Implications Belief 3 Setting patient expectations Relapse Means the Drug Stopped Working (The Poop-out Effect)

The Clinical Scenario Treatment Responders The medication stopped working Why? True Drug Responders Responders to nonspecific effects of treatment (placebo responders) Relapse during Continuation Treatment Quitkin s Formulas Relapsers during continuation phase True drug responders during acute phase Placebo responders during acute phase Estimated the percentage of relapse during continuation treatment attributable to initial placebo response Acute phase study 6 weeks Imipramine vs phenelzine vs placebo Continuation phase 6 weeks Majority of relapse attributable to initial placebo response Quitkin FM, et al. Am J Psychiatry. 1993;150(4):562-565. Data Needed to Apply Quitkin s Formulas Design of Continuation Studies Acute Phase Medication response rate Placebo response rate Continuation phase Relapse rate in medication responders continued on medication Relapse rate in placebo responders continued on placebo Placebo Substitution Extension

Placebo Substitution Design Extension Design Open-label Acute Phase (6 12 weeks) responders Double-blind Continuation Phase (6 12 months) Double-blind Acute Phase (6 12 weeks) responders to active or placebo Double-blind, stay on the same medication, Continuation Phase (6 12 months) medication responders medication responders placebo responders Continue Active Medication Placebo medication placebo Continuation Studies Using Extension Design Duration of Acute and Continuation Phases Anton et al (1994): nefazodone Claghorn and Feighner (1993): paroxetine Detke et al (2004): paroxetine, duloxetine (2 doses) Montgomery et al (1998): mirtazapine Authors Acute Phase (weeks) Continuation Phase Anton et al 6 52 Claghorn and 6 52 Feighner Detke et al 8 26 Montgomery et al 6 20 Anton SF, et al. Psychopharmacol Bull. 1994;30(2):165-169. Claghorn JL, et al. J Clin Psychopharmacol. 1993;13(6 Suppl):23S-27S. Detke MJ, et al. Eur Neuropsychpharmacol. 2004;14(6):457-470. Montgomery SA, et al. Int Clin Psychopharmacol. 1998;13(2):63-73. Relapse Rates during Continuation Phase Estimated Percentage of Relapse Attributable to Loss of Placebo Effect Author Active Medication Placebo Anton et al 8.6% 25.3% Claghorn and Feighner 9.6% 17.4% Detke et al paroxetine 5.7% 29.3% duloxetine 80 duloxetine 120 5.7% 9.3% Montgomery et al 4.1% 22.8% Total All studies 7.4% (39/522) 24.1% (56/232) SSRI studies 7.9% (13/164) 24.0% (25/104) Model Exclusive Model SSRIs All ADs Independent Model SSRIs All ADs Point Estimate 159% 186% 81% 110% AD = antidepressant. Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2007;68(8):1271-1276. Lower Limit of 95% CI 96% 147% 34% 78% Upper Limit of 95% CI 225% 228% 128% 143%

Discussion and Conclusions Most of the poop-out effect can be attributed to loss of initial placebo response Limitations Small number of studies Generalizability of controlled studies Belief 4 The Greatest Problem in the Diagnosis of Bipolar Disorder is its Underdiagnosis Studies of Underdiagnosis of Bipolar Disorder Is Bipolar Disorder Underrecognized? Albanese et al (2006) Angst et al (2010) Angst et al (2011) Benazzi (1997) Ghaemi et al (2000) Ghaemi et al (1999) Hantouche et al (1998) Manning et al (1997) Mantere et al (2008) McCombs et al (2007) Albanese MJ, et al. J Psychiatr Pract. 2006;12(2):124-127. Angst J, et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2010;167(10):1194-1201. Angst J, et al. Arch Gen Psychiatry. 2011;68(8):791-798. Benazzi F. J Affect Disord. 1997;43(2):163-166. Ghaemi SN, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2000;61(10):804-808. Ghaemi SN, et al. J Affect Disord. 1999;52(1-3):135-144. Hantouche EG, et al. J Affect Disord. 1998;50(2-3):163-173. Manning JS, et al. Compr Psychiatry. 1997;38(2):102-108. Mantere O, et al. Bipolar Disord. 2008;10(2):238-244. McCombs JS, et al. J Affect Disord. 2007;97(1-3):171-179. Methods Diagnosis of Bipolar Disorder Participants 700 psychiatric outpatients 58.3% female Mean age 39.9 years Measures Self-report of prior diagnosis of bipolar disorder SCID FH-RDC Self-report of prior bipolar diagnosis 20.7% SCID diagnosis of bipolar disorder 12.9% SCID confirmation of prior diagnosis 43.4% FH-RDC = Family History Research Diagnostic Criteria. Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2008;69(6):935-940. Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2008;69(6):935-940.

Agreement between SCID and Self-Report of Prior Bipolar Diagnosis SCID Bipolar Diagnosis ( Gold Standard ) Present Absent Total But What about Validity? Self-reported Prior Dx of Bipolar D/O Yes 63 82 145 No 27 528 555 Total 90 610 700 Family History of Bipolar Disorder in First-Degree Relatives Why is Bipolar Disorder Overdiagnosed? SCID Bipolar A Previous Bipolar- Not Confirmed B Not Bipolar C Campaign to improve diagnostic recognition Relatives at Risk Morbid Risk Relatives at Risk Morbid Risk Relatives at Risk Morbid Risk Bipolar Disorder 326 8.0% 345 3.5% 1996 2.5% 3-group X 2 = 27.1, P <.001 A > C X 2 = 27.3, P <.001 A > B X 2 = 6.34, P <.02 B = C X 2 = 1.21, ns Clinical Implications of Overdiagnosing Bipolar Disorder Overtreatment with mood stabilizer agents Overprescription of medications generally Overexposure to medication side effects Never-ending search for the magic pill Undertreatment with psychotherapy Belief 5 It is a Burden to Measure Outcome in Clinical Practice

Measuring Outcome: Not the Standard of Care in the Treatment of Depression Using Scales to Assess Outcome Including Remission Status Survey of 314 psychiatrists 6.5% use scales almost all the time 11.4% use scales frequently 21.3% sometimes use scales 60.8% rarely or never use scales Survey of 340 UK psychiatrists 11.2% use scales routinely 30.5% use scales occasionally 58.2% never use scales Impractical to use the HAM-D or MADRS in clinical practice Use of a self-report scale Consider patient time Clinically Useful Depression Outcome Scale (CUDOS) Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2008;69(12):1916-1919. Gilbody S, et al. Br J Psychiatry. 2002;180:101-103. Zimmerman M, et al. Compr Psychiatry. 2008;49(2):131-140. Major Advantages of the CUDOS Patient Acceptability of Scale Completion Study 1 Covers the DSM-IV symptom criteria Assesses psychosocial function and quality of life < 2 minutes to complete < 10 seconds to score Can be used to determine remission Free 50 depressed outpatients in ongoing treatment Completed CUDOS, measure of perceived burden and acceptability 98% none-minimally burdensome to complete 94% willing to complete at every visit Zimmerman M, et al. Compr Psychiatry. 2008;49(2):131-140. Zimmerman M, et al. Am J Psychiatry. 2004;161(10):1911-1913. Zimmerman M, et al. Ann Clin Psychiatry. 2008;20(3):125-129. Patient Acceptability of Scale Completion Study 2 The Future of Measurement-Based Care 50 depressed outpatients in ongoing treatment Completed CUDOS, BDI, measure of perceived burden and acceptability CUDOS took less time to complete (64% vs 12%) CUDOS less burdensome to complete (50% vs 10%) Prefer to complete to monitor treatment (40% vs 14%) Internet Outcometracker.org BDI = Beck Depression Inventory. Zimmerman M, et al. Ann Clin Psychiatry. 2008;20(3):125-129.

Acceptance of Web-Based and Paper Assessment Question Paper Web About the Same Less Time to Complete 10.3% 62.1% 27.6% Question 79.3% 0.0% 20.7% Prefer to Complete Safer and More Secure 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 51.7% 48.3% More Accurate 0.0% 47.4% 52.6% Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2012;73(3):333-338. Financial Considerations Cost free Billing computer testing (96103) Standardized testing report Belief 6 It Does Not Matter Which Depression Scale You Use in Clinical Practice Measuring Outcome When Treating Depression Desirable Features of a Self-Report Depression Outcome Scale Using a depression scale is like using a scale to measure weight (or a thermometer to measure fever) Brief/ acceptable to patients Covers all DSM-IV diagnostic criteria for MDD Reliable (internal consistency; test-retest reliability) Valid indicator of symptom severity Indicator of remission status Assesses psychosocial function and quality of life Assesses suicidal thoughts Sensitive to change Easy to score Inexpensive Zimmerman M, et al. Compr Psychiatry. 2008;49(2):131-140.

4 Self-Report Depression Scales Assessing DSM-IV / DSM-5 MDD Criteria Comparison of Self-Report Scales QIDS Quick Inventory of Depression Symptomatology PHQ-9 Patient Health Questionnaire CUDOS Clinically Useful Depression Outcome Scale BDI-II Beck Depression Inventory-II Rush AJ, et al. Biol Psychiatry. 2003;54(5):573-583. Kroenke K, et al. J Gen Intern Med. 2001;16(9):606-613. Zimmerman M, et al. Compr Psychiatry. 2008;49(2):131-140. Beck AT, et al. Manual for the Beck Depression Inventory-II. San Antonio, TX: Psychological Corporation; 1996. CUDOS QIDS PHQ-9 BDI-II Free -- Brief (easily completed at every visit) -- -- Indicates overall symptom severity Assesses each MDD symptom individually -- Indicates remission status Assesses psychosocial function -- Assesses quality of life -- -- Assesses suicidal thoughts Sensitive to change Easy to score -- Treatment Selection and Severity of Depression Prevalence of Severity Subtypes According to Different Measures of Depression Mild depression: Medication or psychotherapy Moderate depression: Medication or psychotherapy Severe depression: Medication Patients 245 depressed outpatients in ongoing treatment in the Rhode Island Hospital outpatient practice Methods Evaluated with the 17-item HAM-D Completed the CUDOS, PHQ-9, and QIDS American Psychiatric Association Work Group on Major Depressive Disorder. Practice Guideline for the Treatment of Patients with Major Depressive Disorder. Third Edition. October 2010. https://psychiatryonline.org/pb/assets/raw/sitewide/practice_guidelines/guidelines/mdd.pdf. Accessed June 3, 2016. Definitions Severity categorization based on the scale developers recommended thresholds Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2012;73(10):1287-1291. Prevalence of Severity Subtypes According to Different Measures of Depression Prevalence of Severity Subtypes According to Different Measures of Depression 80 70 60 50 % 40 30 20 10 HAM-D CUDOS PHQ-9 QIDS Scale Mild Moderate Severe HAM-D 30.2 43.3 24.9 CUDOS 33.1 45.9 19.0 PHQ-9 7.4 21.3 69.3 QIDS 12.8 33.5 52.9 0 Mild Moderate Severe Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2012;73(10):1287-1291. Zimmerman M, et al. J Clin Psychiatry. 2012;73(10):1287-1291.

Summary Practical Take-Aways 1. Limited evidence of the efficacy of antidepressants for the majority of patients seen in clinical practice 2. Onset of action of antidepressants is sooner than had been previously thought 3. Relapse does not necessarily mean medicine stopped working 4. Overdiagnosis of bipolar disorder is more common than underdiagnosis 5. The biggest obstacle in measuring outcome is the clinician 6. Not all measures of depression are created equally When initiating antidepressants tell patients that medication often begins to work in the first week or two of treatment Be as concerned, if not more concerned, with the overdiagnosis of bipolar disorder as with its underdiagnosis It is more difficult to undo an overdiagnosis of bipolar disorder than its underdiagnosis Measuring outcome in the treatment of depression should be done at every visit