Intolerance of Uncertainty as a framework for understanding anxiety in ASD

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Intolerance of Uncertainty as a framework for understanding anxiety in ASD Dr Jacqui Rodgers Clinical Psychology Institute of Neuroscience Newcastle University

With thanks to my collaborators. Professor Mark Freeston Professor Mikle South Professor Helen McConachie Dr Seb Gaigg Dr Christina Boulter Dr Sarah Wigham Dr Emma Honey Anna Hodgson Renske Herrema Max Maisel Kevin Stephenson Members of the autism community.

Anxiety in Children with ASD.. is a significant challenge (White et al, 2009, Rodgers et al., 2012a, 2012b). affects around 40% of children (van Steensel, Bögels, & Perrin, 2011). adds significantly to impairment and reduces quality of life (Wood & Gadow, 2010). more urgent than core features of the disorder (White et al., 2010).

The Intolerance of Uncertainty model of anxiety Dugas, Gagnon, Ladouceur & Freeston, 1998

What is Intolerance of Uncertainty (IU)? How individual perceives information in uncertain or ambiguous situations An assumption that uncertainty is stressful and upsetting Uncertain events are negative and should be avoided at all costs

Fear of uncertainty It s the reason I am now laid off It s the reason I do not drive It s the reason I failed at being in the Army It s the reason I am Lonely It s the reason I will die without having children and the list goes on and on.. (anon)

Is Intolerance of Uncertainty associated with anxiety in ASD?

Boulter et al 2014: sample ASD TD Total N 114 110 124 Age range (mean) 8-18.7 (12.7) 8.3-18.6 (13) 8-18.7 (1.8) Gender male 100 (87.7%) 83 (75.5%) 183 (81.7%) female 14 (12.3%) 27 (24.5%) 41 (18.3%) IQ range(n=193) 83-140 75-142 75-142

Measures IU: Intolerance of Uncertainty Scale (Parent and Child versions) (Walker, 2009). Anxiety: Spence Children s Anxiety Scale (Parent ad Child versions) (Spence, 1998, Nauta, 2004) ASD screening: Social Responsiveness Scale (Constantino, 2002)

What did we find? higher levels of anxiety & IU in the ASD group (p<0.001). IU when entered as a covariate explained a significant amount of variance (p<0.001) the main effect of diagnosis was no longer significant (p=0.10). IU mediated the relationship between ASD diagnosis and anxiety

How does IU relate to other features of ASD?

Wigham et al 2015 Sample Characteristics and Measures Table 1 Mean and standard deviation total and subscale scores on outcome measures Mean (SD) Age (n = 53) 12.49 (2.3) SRS (n = 45) 113.58 (27.67) FSIQ (n = 49) 106.2 (14.79) RBQ: sameness behaviours (n = 53) 10.15 (5.49) RBQ: repetitive motor behaviours (n = 53) 8.36 (4.99) SSP Sensory under responsiveness total (n= 53) 21.08 ( 6.79) SSP Sensory over responsiveness total (n = 53) 62.68 (15.59) IUS-P total (n = 53) 37.21 (11.19) SCAS-P total (n = 53) 24.15 (15.65)

B = -.09* B = -.16* IU + anxiety total Repetitive motor behaviours B = -.05* Sensory over responsiveness B = -.07* Sameness behaviours B = -.06* B = -.03* IU Anxiety IU: intolerance of uncertainty; *= significant Figure 3 Significant indirect paths between the variables

Does IU have face validity?

IU: the fly in the ointment? Keefer et al (in press) 43, 8 to 14 years, completed the Facing Your Fears CBT programme (Reaven et al., 2012) Higher level of pre-intervention IU predicted higher levels of posttreatment anxiety and worry. IU may be one variable that contributes to poorer treatment response.

A parent based group intervention for children with Autism Spectrum Disorder Jacqui Rodgers, Anna Hodgson, Emma Honey, Mark Freeston

CUES: Principles Tackle the mechanism IU Parent mediated Group based Developmentally appropriate

CUES Aims To develop the young person s autonomy through the promotion of flexibility and tolerance to everyday uncertainty To enable the child to become more able to tolerate uncertainty, rather than attempting to reduce uncertainty To identify less helpful strategies that maintain IU and reduce their use by providing an alternative To enable parents to work in a zone of proximal development to support their child To encourage reflection and evaluation

CUES Session Outline Session 1 getting to know each other and introduction to the role of uncertainty Session 2 thinking about your child s intolerance of uncertainty and how this relates to features of ASD Session 3 choosing an everyday non-threatening target situation to tackle IU and starting to identify helpful strategies to tackle your child s IU Session 4 developing the use of story boards to explore IU

CUES Session Outline Session 5 practicing strategies through play to explore IU Session 6 developing a real-life experiment to explore IU Session 7 reflecting on progress so far considering aspects that have worked well and areas for further development Session 8 reviewing progress and the course of the programme and considering how to continue using tools in the future to tackle IU

Is CUES Helpful? Study Group n mean - pre sd pre mean -post LOCF sd - post ES (based on pooled SD) Pooled ES Child IUS-P 1 6 57.50 18.30 49.50 22.70 0.39 2 5 46.80 19.30 40.70 17.70 0.33 0.36 SCAS 1 6 48.70 3.90 46.00 5.50 0.57 ASC-ASD 2 5 28.30 10.60 23.30 9.80 0.49 0.53 Parent IUS-12 1 6 28.80 7.10 20.80 5.30 1.28 2 5 50.20 13.80 48.00 13.00 0.16 0.72 DASS 1 6 26.00 11.30 17.00 10.30 0.83 2 5 23.70 18.40 18.30 11.40 0.35 0.59

Anxiety in adults with ASD. is also very common (Davis et al., 2011). Sterling et al (2008) 35% of 18-44 year olds with ASD had anxiety. Mazefsky et al (2008) 77% of adults with ASD met criteria for an anxiety disorder. Research with adults with ASD is significantly lacking

Maisel et al, 2016

The Uncertain Futures Study Phase 1 - explored worries adults on the autism spectrum and their family members may have about the future and what would be helpful to manage these concerns Phase 2 Single case design study of the delivery of the Coping with Uncertainty in Everyday Situations - Adult (CUES-A) intervention to help manage negative affect in relation to uncertain situations renske.herrema@newcastle.ac.uk

The Uncertain Futures Study Phase 2: Aim To adapt and deliver our Cognitive Behaviour Therapy (CBT) based intervention programme targeting uncertainty for adults on the autism spectrum: Coping with Uncertainty in Everyday Situations Adult (CUES-A). renske.herrema@newcastle.ac.uk

The Uncertain Futures Study: Methodology Single Case Experimental Design: 4 autistic adults CUES-A - 8 session, weekly intervention programme Plus initial session and follow-up feasibility interview Target IU related Situation Monitoring assessed via daily diaries Outcomes Measures Depression, anxiety, stress IU & RRB (PHQ-9, GAD-7, DASS-21, IUS-12, RBQ-2A) renske.herrema@newcastle.ac.uk

The Uncertain Futures Study: Intervention 8 individual, hour long CBT sessions, adapted based on client need Techniques included Emotion recognition/emotional literacy work cognitive re-structuring, mindfulness, behavioural experiments, behavioural activation. Daily diaries were kept throughout (3 week baseline, 8 week programme, plus 1 month Fu)

The Uncertain Futures Study: Preliminary Findings Engagement and retention was excellent 100% (N=4) Improvements in tolerance and management of uncertainty from Daily Diaries Changes in standardised measures, e.g. reduction in RRB Feedback Participants valued: Experience and process of therapy practical strategies and psycho-education individualisation of sessions collaborative approach Engagement in therapy with adults on the autism spectrum is achievable renske.herrema@newcastle.ac.uk

Summary Anxiety is common and complex in children and adults with ASD Intolerance of uncertainty. Is important in the development and maintenance of anxiety in ASD Mediates between core features of ASD, such as sensory atypicalities and repetitive behaviours Is recognisable to parents and adults on the spectrum May be amenable to intervention in both children and adults (parent mediated or individual)

Thanks to.