Juan Pablo Gutiérrez, PhD Tel (55)

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1 Juan Pablo Gutiérrez, PhD Tel (55) jpgr70@gmail.com EDUCATION 2012 PhD in Public Health & Policy, LSHTM, UK 2001 MSc in Health Economics, CIDE, Mexico 1995 BSc in Nutrition, UAM-X, Mexico RESEARCH EXPERIENCE Principal investigator in several comprehensive evaluation projects, including evaluation of design, process evaluation and impact evaluation. I have conducted evaluations of CCT programs in Mexico (Oportunidades, currently Prospera, & PAL), Guatemala (Mi Familia Progresa) & Dominican Republic (Solidaridad). For impact evaluation, I have used experimental & quasiexperimental approaches, for the latter in particular propensity score matching and regression discontinuity, both combined with diff in diff methods. Principal investigator or Co-Investigator for several population based surveys in health and social development areas, with responsibilities in the design, coordination and analysis. Among those surveys are the National Health & Nutrition Survey 2012, the Survey of User Satisfaction for Seguro Popular 2013 & 2014 and for Social Security Institute 2014, and the Survey for Youth at Oportunidades Households Follow-up Principal Investigator or Co-Investigator in projects to map and survey hard to reach populations, in particular related to key populations for HIV, both in Mexico and in other countries WORK EXPERIENCE 10/2014 Present Director, Division of Evaluation, Center for Evaluation Research & Surveys, National Institute of Public Health-Mexico Lead of a team focused on evaluation of social and health programs. Currently, we are designing the evaluation of the Mexico s national strategy on teen-pregnancy prevention. 11/ /2014 Director, Center for Evaluation Research & Surveys, National Institute of Public Health-Mexico 10/ /2011 Director, Division of Surveys, Center for Evaluation Research & Surveys, National Institute of Public Health-Mexico Management of a large surveys team, capable to implement national probabilistic surveys, with an average of 40 thousands households visited every year for different

2 surveys. The Division of Surveys comprise 2 surveys team, a data entry group, and a IT team that develop software for simultaneous data entry using laptops in field work for several projects on impact evaluation and economic evaluation 07/ /2007 Investigator, Division of Health Economics & Evaluation, National Institute of Public Health-Mexico for several projects on impact evaluation and economic evaluation 03/ /1999 Research Assistant, Center for Economics Research and Teaching, Mexico DISTINCTIONS 10/ present President, Technical Committee of Morelos State Commission on Evaluation 03/ present Chair, Interdisciplinary Group on Evaluation, National Institute of Public Health present Co-Chair, Research Group on Evaluation, National Institute of Public Health, Mexico 01/ present National Researcher Level II, National Researchers System, National Council on Science & Technology PUBLICATIONS: PEER REVIEWED JOURNALS 1. Velazquez-Alva MC, Hernandez-SantaMaria I, Irigoyen-Camacho ME, Gutierrez JP, Camacho-Tufino AL, Pereyra-Martinez AC, et al. Prevalencia de obesidad en pacientes del servicio de cardiologia del Hospital Juarez de Mexico. Revista del Hospital Juarez de Mexico. 1996;63(1): Schwartlander B, Stover J, Walker N, Bollinger L, Gutierrez JP, McGreevey W, et al. AIDS. Resource needs for HIV/AIDS. Science Jun 29;292(5526): Barraza-Llorens M, Bertozzi S, Gonzalez-Pier E, Gutierrez JP. Addressing inequity in health and health care in Mexico. Health Aff (Millwood) May-Jun;21(3): Opuni M, Bertozzi S, Bollinger L, Gutierrez JP, Massiah E, McGreevey W, et al. Resource requirements to fight HIV/AIDS in Latin America and the Caribbean. Aids Dec;16 Suppl 3:S58-65.

3 5. Opuni M, Bertozzi S, Izazola JA, Gutierrez JP, McGreevey W. Resources for HIV/AIDS prevention and care. Aids. 2002;16 Suppl 4:S Gutierrez JP, Bertozzi SM. [The health gap in Mexico, measured through child mortality.]. Salud Publica Mex Mar-Apr;45(2): Bertozzi S, Gutierrez JP, Opuni M, Walker N, Schwartlander B. Estimating resource needs for HIV/AIDS health care services in lowincome and middle-income countries. Health Policy Aug;69(2): Fernald LC, Gutierrez JP, Neufeld LM, Olaiz G, Bertozzi SM, Mietus- Snyder M, et al. High prevalence of obesity among the poor in Mexico. Jama Jun 2;291(21): Gutierrez JP, Johns B, Adam T, Bertozzi SM, Edejer TT, Greener R, et al. Achieving the WHO/UNAIDS antiretroviral treatment 3 by 5 goal: what will it cost? Lancet Jul 3-9;364(9428): Gutierrez JP, Kendall T, Negroni M, Bautista S. [XV International Conference on SIDA]. Salud Publica Mex Jul-Aug;46(4): Gutierrez JP, Lopez-Zaragoza JL, Valencia-Mendoza A, Pesqueira E, Ponce-de-Leon S, Bertozzi SM. [Facing the HIV/AIDS epidemic in Mexico: the response of the health sector]. Rev Invest Clin Mar-Apr;56(2): Theodore FL, Gutierrez JP, Torres P, Luna G. [Compensated sex: a practice at the heart of young Mexican women's vulnerabilities (STI/HIV/AIDS)]. Salud Publica Mex Mar-Apr;46(2): Walker DM, Torres P, Gutierrez JP, Flemming K, Bertozzi SM. Emergency contraception use is correlated with increased condom use among adolescents: results from Mexico. J Adolesc Health Oct;35(4): Aracena B, Gutierrez JP, Bertozzi SM, Gertler P. Cost of AIDS care in Mexico: what are its main individual predictors? Arch Med Res Sep-Oct;36(5): Dandona L, Dandona R, Gutierrez JP, Kumar GA, McPherson S, Bertozzi SM. Sex behaviour of men who have sex with men and risk of HIV in Andhra Pradesh, India. Aids Mar 24;19(6): Dandona R, Dandona L, Gutierrez JP, Kumar AG, McPherson S, Samuels F, et al. High risk of HIV in non-brothel based female sex workers in India. BMC Public Health. 2005;5: Dandona R, Dandona L, Kumar GA, Gutierrez JP, McPherson S, Bertozzi SM. HIV testing among female sex workers in Andhra Pradesh, India. Aids Nov 18;19(17): Gutierrez JP, Bertozzi SM. [Influenza vaccination in the elderly population in Mexico: economic considerations]. Salud Publica Mex May-Jun;47(3): Magis-Rodriguez C, Rivera-Reyes Mdel P, Gasca-Pineda R, Gutierrez JP. [HIV/AIDS care and prevention expenditures in Mexico: trends and estimations ]. Salud Publica Mex Sep- Oct;47(5): Rivera JA, Monterrubio E, Gutierrez JP, González-Cossio T. Poverty and nutrition relationships : lessons for nutrition policy and

4 programmes. The South African Journal of Clinical Nutrition. 2005;18(2): Sanchez-Aleman MA, Gutierrez JP, Bertozzi SM, Frontela-Noda M, Guerrero-Lemus V, Conde-Gonzalez CJ. [Ligase chain reaction testing of pooled urine specimens to diagnose Chlamydia trachomatis infection]. Rev Invest Clin Jul-Aug;57(4): Dandona L, Dandona R, Kumar GA, Gutierrez JP, McPherson S, Bertozzi SM. How much attention is needed towards men who sell sex to men for HIV prevention in India? BMC Public Health. 2006;6: Dandona R, Dandona L, Kumar GA, Gutierrez JP, McPherson S, Samuels F, et al. Demography and sex work characteristics of female sex workers in India. BMC Int Health Hum Rights. 2006;6: Gutierrez JP, Bertozzi SM, Conde-Glez CJ, Sanchez-Aleman MA. Risk behaviors of year olds in Mexico lead to a high prevalence of sexually transmitted infections: results of a survey in disadvantaged urban areas. BMC Public Health. 2006;6: Gutierrez JP, Molina-Yepez D, Morrison K, Samuels F, Bertozzi SM. Correlates of condom use in a sample of MSM in Ecuador. BMC Public Health. 2006;6: Gutierrez JP, Molina-Yepez D, Samuels F, Bertozzi SM. [Inconsistent condom use among sexual workers in Ecuador: results from a behavior survey]. Salud Publica Mex Mar-Apr;48(2): Kumar GA, Dandona R, Gutierrez JP, McPherson S, Bertozzi SM, Dandona L. Access to condoms for female sex workers in Andhra Pradesh. Natl Med J India Nov-Dec;19(6): Stover J, Bertozzi S, Gutierrez JP, Walker N, Stanecki KA, Greener R, et al. The global impact of scaling up HIV/AIDS prevention programs in low- and middle-income countries. Science Mar 10;311(5766): Vargas-Palacios A, Gutierrez JP, Carreon-Rodriguez V. [Health status identification and their relationship with socieconomics and geographic characteristics: a population survey analysis in Mexico]. Salud Publica Mex Nov-Dec;48(6): Walker D, Gutierrez JP, Torres P, Bertozzi SM. HIV prevention in Mexican schools: prospective randomised evaluation of intervention. Bmj May 20;332(7551): Galarraga O, O'Brien ME, Gutierrez JP, Renaud-Thery F, Nguimfack BD, Beusenberg M, et al. Forecast of demand for antiretroviral drugs in low and middle-income countries: Aids Jul;21 Suppl 4:S Gutierrez JP, Conde-Gonzalez CJ, Walker DM, Bertozzi SM. Herpes simplex virus type 2 among Mexican high school adolescents: prevalence and association with community characteristics. Arch Med Res Oct;38(7): Torres Guerra S, Gutierrez JP. [The pharmaceutical market in Mexico: size, value, and concentration]. Rev Panam Salud Publica Jul;26(1):46-50.

5 34. Ritterman ML, Fernald LC, Ozer EJ, Adler NE, Gutierrez JP, Syme SL. Objective and subjective social class gradients for substance use among Mexican adolescents. Soc Sci Med May;68(10): Gutierrez JP, Torres-Pereda P. Acceptability and reliability of an adolescent risk behavior questionnaire administered with audio and computer support. Rev Panam Salud Publica May;25(5): Atienzo EE, Walker DM, Campero L, Lamadrid-Figueroa H, Gutierrez JP. Parent-adolescent communication about sex in Morelos, Mexico: does it impact sexual behaviour? Eur J Contracept Reprod Health Care Apr;14(2): Campero L, Walker D, Atienzo EE, Gutierrez JP. A quasi-experimental evaluation of parents as sexual health educators resulting in delayed sexual initiation and increased access to condoms. Journal of Adolescence. 2010;In Press, Corrected Proof. 38. Gutierrez JP, McPherson S, Fakoya A, Matheou A, Bertozzi SM. Community-based prevention leads to an increase in condom use and a reduction in sexually transmitted infections (STIs) among men who have sex with men (MSM) and female sex workers (FSW): the Frontiers Prevention Project (FPP) evaluation results. Bmc Public Health Aug 18;10(1): Campero L, Walker D, Atienzo EE, Gutierrez JP. A quasi-experimental evaluation of parents as sexual health educators resulting in delayed sexual initiation and increased access to condoms. J Adolesc Apr;34(2): Gutierrez JP, Atienzo EE. Socioeconomic status, urbanicity and risk behaviors in Mexican youth: an analysis of three cross-sectional surveys. BMC Public Health Nov 30;11(1): Gutierrez JP, Atienzo EE. Profile of gay men in Mexico City: results of a survey of meeting sites. Tropical Medicine and International Health. 2012;17(3): Gutierrez JP. [Gaps in effective coverage by socioeconomic status and poverty condition]. Salud Pública de México. 2013;55(S2): S106- S Gutierrez JP. Clasificación socioeconómica de los hogares en la ENSANUT Salud Pública de México. 2013;55(S2): S341-S Gutierrez JP, Hernández-Ávila M. [Health protection coverage in Mexico, and profile of unprotected population ]. Salud Pública de México. 2013;55(S2): S83-S Romero Martinez M, Shamah-Levy T, Franco Nuñez A, Villalpando S, Cuevas-Nasu L, Gutierrez JP, Rivera-Dommarco J. Encuesta Nacional de Salud y Nutrición 2012: diseño y cobertura. Salud Pública de México. 2013;55(S2): S83-S Gutierrez JP, Atienzo EE, Bertozzi SM, McPherson S. Effects of the Frontiers Prevention Project in Ecuador on sexual behavior and sexually transmited infections amongst men who have sex with men and female sex workers: Challenges on evaluating complex interventions. Journal of Development Effectiveness. 2013;5(2):

6 47. Gutierrez JP, García-Saisó S, Fajardo Dolci G, Hernández Ávila M. Effective access to health care in Mexico. BMC Health Services Research 2014, 14: Gutierrez JP, Sucilla-Pérez, MHML, Conde-González CJ, Izazola JA, Romero-Martínez M, Hernández Ávila M. [HIV seroprevalence among Mexicans age 15 to 49: results from the National Health & Nutrition Survey 2012]. Salud Pública Méx 2014; Vol. 56(4): Gayet C, Gutierrez JP. [Sexual debut in Mexico: a comparison of household national surveys]. Salud Pública Méx 2014; Vol. 56(6): Fajardo-Dolci G, Gutiérrez JP, García-Saisó S. [Effective access to health services: operationalizing universal health coverage]. Salud Pública Méx 2015; Vol. 57(2): WORKING PAPERS Gutierrez, Juan-Pablo, The Structural Quality of Health Services as a Potential Constraint for Human Capital Accumulation (January 9, 2012). HEALTH RELATED BEHAVIOURS AS DETERMINANTS OF WELLBEING, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: Gutierrez, Juan-Pablo, Height, Income and Intergenerational Education Mobility: Evidence for Mexico (December 20, 2011). Available at SSRN: or Gutierrez, Juan-Pablo, Youth Risk Behaviours as Barriers for Human (Health) Capital Accumulation (January 9, 2012). HEALTH RELATED BEHAVIOURS AS DETERMINANTS OF WELLBEING, Forthcoming. Available at SSRN: PUBLICATIONS: BOOKS Gutiérrez JP, Rivera-Dommarco J, Shamah-Levy T, Villalpando-Hernández S, Franco A, Cuevas-Nasu L, Romero-Martínez M, Hernández-Ávila M. Encuesta Nacional de Salud y Nutrición Resultados Nacionales. Cuernavaca, México: Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública (MX), Gutiérrez JP, Franco A, Castro M, Zapata F, Nolasco J, Fuentes A, Jasso V. Manual para la realización de encuestas de salud. Volumen 1. Aspectos generales. Cuernavaca, México: Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Gutiérrez JP, Romero M, Zurita JM, Aguilar A, Prado F, Hernández-Avila M, Saturno P, Balandrán A, Hernández A, Norman Z, Alcalá E, Rodríguez MA. Estudio de satisfacción de usuarios del Sistema de Protección Social en Salud. Reporte nacional. Cuernavaca, México: Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Saturno PJ, Gutiérrez JP, Armendáriz DM, Armenta N, Candia E, Contreras D, Fernández M, Galván A, Hernández JL, Hernández Ávila JE, Palacio LS, Poblano O, Vértiz J, Vieyra W, Wirtz V. Calidad del primer nivel de

7 atención de los Servicios Estatales de Salud. Diagnóstico estratégico de la situación actual. Cuernavaca, México: INSP, 2014 Saturno PJ, Gutiérrez JP, Armendáriz DM, Candia E, Fernández M, Galván A, Hernández JL, Hernández Ávila JE, Palacio LS, Poblano O, Vértiz J, Vieyra W, Wirtz V. Calidad del primer nivel de atención de los Servicios Estatales de Salud. Propuesta de intervenciones. Cuernavaca, México: INSP, 2014 RESEARCH PROJECTS Government of Puebla 06/ /2016 Health in Puebla 2012, 2013, 2014, 2015 This project proposes will generate primary data to evaluate the degree of progress of the state of Puebla on health, particularly on universal health coverage & effective access to health services in the state. National Council for the Evaluation of Social Policy 06/ /2015 Performance evaluation of human capital formation programs A desk study to analyze and synthetized data and evidence on the performance of 4 social programs in Mexico, including the largest CCT, Prospera, for the period National Institute of Women 06/ /2015 Design of the evaluation and monitoring plan for the national strategy on teenpregnancy prevention The aim of this project is to prepare the logical framework for the national strategy, including definition of indicators, and the M&E plan, presenting monitoring data. Government of Morelos 03/ /2014 Evaluation of Social Funds on Morelos: Health, Social Assistance & Infrastructure This Project is a process and results evaluation of 3 social funds that are part of the financial mechanisms to channelize resources from the Federal Government to the State Governments.

8 IPA, Universidad Católica de Chile 06/ /2015 DELIVERING CONDITIONAL CASH TRANSFERS VIA SAVINGS ACCOUNTS: DEFAULT AND MENTAL ACCOUNTING MECHANISMS We aim to test whether and how mental accounting and default mechanisms improve the ability of poor households to save, cope with negative shocks, and invest in health and education. In addition, we will explore the potential effect of health insurance and effective access on saving behaviors. Co-Investigator CNPDHO 06/ /2013 Young People on Oportunidades This Project aims to generate a diagnostic of labor, education, health and wellbeing on general of youths 14 to 25 years old in households that receive transfers from Oportunidades. Mexican Government Impact Evaluation of the Strategy Todos x Acapulco Todos x Acapulco is a strategy aiming to improve the perception of security among households, by improving and recovering urban spaces, improving access to social programs and public services, and promoting social cohesion. This community-randomized evaluation aims to estimate the effect of this strategy. Inter-American Development Bank CCT Information Center The aim of this project is to improve availability and consistency of empirical evidence on CCT implementation and best-practices with particular emphasis on the provision of effective health services. Ministry of Health, Ministry of Social Development, ISSSTE 06/ /2012 National Health & Nutrition Survey 2011/12 of the health component The NHNS is a large multi-thematic probabilistic survey with state and national representativeness, that will provided update information on health & nutrition conditions of the Mexican population, as well as inputs for the performance evaluation of the Health Sector in the country. CIEPS (Mexican Government) External Evaluation of the Food Security Programs in the State of Mexico

9 The State of Mexico (Central Mexico) has implemented a set of food security programs under their social development policy. Programs are defined by their target population. A design, process and outcomes evaluation has been commissioned to inform decisions on the continuation of the programs. Role: SEDESOL (Mexican Government) External evaluation of Oportunidades Oportunidades is a large conditional cash transfer programme in Mexico. The goal of this phase of Oportunidades evaluation is to estimate the impact of innovations on the education and health components, as well as to estimate trends on wellbeing indicators from the evaluation sample We The project included the design and analysis of the impact evaluation and the implementation evaluation for the alternative health model and the evaluation of the Programme targeting algorithm. Role: Inter-American Development Bank Impact evaluation of Mi Familia Progresa Mi Familia Progresa is a conditional cash transfer program in Guatemala. It is conditional on education and health corresponsabilities. The evaluation is a quesi-experimental design, with a comparison group generated using propensity score matching on census cluster characteristics. Role: Inter-American Development Bank Solidaridad (DR) Solidaridad is a conditional cash transfer program in Dominican Republic. The evaluation approach is a retrospective analysis using both discontinuity regression methods and matching. Role: Consultant for sampling and evaluation SEDESOL (Mexican Government) External evaluation of Oportunidades Role: Co-Investigator, responsible for the analysis on adolescents risk behaviours and for the management of the evaluation surveys. International HIV/AIDS Alliance & Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation 5/ /2007 External Evaluation of the Frontiers Prevention Program This overreaching purpose of the Frontiers Prevention Program (FPP) is reducing HIV infections interventions focused on key populations critical to the dynamics of the epidemic. INSP is a collaborating institution contracted to design and pilot the instruments of the external evaluation for India, and Ecuador; implement the baseline and follow-up survey of this evaluation;

10 analyze, write up, and disseminate all survey results. The FPP was a HIV prevention project targeted to MSM & FSW. Analysis. Role: Co-Investigator & Project Manager NIH 8/ /2008 Poverty, Health and Adolescent Risk Behavior The goal of this project is to describe how social development and poverty alleviation programs affect adolescent risk behavior. Role: Co-Investigator & Project Manager SEDESOL 05/2005 a 12/2005 Economic analyis of the PAL (CCT program in Mexico) Role: CNPSS 05/2005 a 12/2005 Targeting of health programs: development of a socioeconomic classification system Role: UC-MEXUS 9/2004-5/2005 Patterns of health expenditure, provider preferences and insurance enrollment among Mexican families who receive remittances from the United States The aim of this project was to estimate the impact of migrant remittances on household resource allocation; in particular, if transfers allow for a larger allocation for health expenditure and create changes in healthcare utilization patterns. Role: Co- UNAIDS/WHO /2006 Modeling HIV/AIDS treatment and care resources need The goal of this project was estimate the total resources need for HIV & AIDS prevention, treatment and care in low and middle income countries. The INSP team was in charge of modeling the treatment and care part, and for that purpose estimation on the size of the population and costs of services were produces. The model was used for the 2001 and 2004 figures on resources need, and then also adapted to forecast ARV demand Role: Co-, Modeller COUNTRIES OF WORK EXPERIENCE Mexico Ecuador Dominican Republic Guatemala India (AP) LANGUAGES

11 Spanish English REVIEWER FOR PEER-REVIEWED JOURNALS British Medical Journal The Lancet AIDS & Behavior Salud Pública de México American Journal of Public Health Economics & Biology Health Affairs Culture, Health & Sexuality Sexually Transmitted Infections