Dr. Andrew D Kambugu The Infectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University College of Health Sciences
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1 The Future of Antiretroviral Therapy in Africa: Perspectives from Uganda Dr. Andrew D Kambugu The Infectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University College of Health Sciences
2 Discussion Outline A. Characteristics of Current ART Responses in Africa I. Late Presentation and its Complications II. Experiences with ART Adherence B. Earlier/Wider Access to ART- Implications I. ART Initiation at Higher CD4 counts II. ART Programmes for High Patient Loads C. HIV as a Chronic Diseases in a RLS I. HIV, Aging and Non-Communicable Diseases II. Post-1 st Line ART (2 nd and 3 rd ART for Africa) D. Summary
3 ART IN RLS Mostly Leads Improved Survival World Bank Report 2008
4
5 ART in RLS Associated with Higher Early Mortality Castelnuovo B et al CID 2009; 49:
6 The Evolution of KS lesion Post ART Randomization 8 weeks 12 weeks 16 weeks 20 weeks 24 weeks
7 CLINICAL CONSEQUENCES OF IRIS-ResolutionResolution
8 Implications: The Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome (IRIS) Inflammatory presentation within 12 weeks of ART initiation Driven by co-existing antigens (TB,Crypto) Associated with low CD4 count nadir Usually self-limiting In some instances life-threatening (CNS )
9 Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome Two Common Scenarios Unmasking IRIS Occult, subclinical opportunistic infection Unmasked by ART Infectious pathogens present Paradoxical IRIS Clinical recrudescence of a treated infection Symptomatic relapse despite treatment success. Antigen driven immune activation Sterile cultures
10 ART Initiation Dilemma with Co-infections
11 Implications: When to Start ART? TB Versus Crypto Story
12
13 Significant Reduction in Death/AIDS Among Those with TB and CD4 < 50 Cells/µL Slide #13 42% p= % p=0.06 Earlier: 2-4 wks after TB treatment started 34% p=0.004 Later: 8-12 wks after TB treatment started Blanc NEJM 2011, Havlir NEJM 2011, Abdool Karim NEJM 2011
14 ART Initiation within the first 2 weeks of Cryptococcal Meningitis is associated with Higher Mortality: A Multisite Randomized Trial David R Boulware, David B Meya, Conrad Muzoora, Melissa A Rolfes, Kathy Huppler Hullsiek, Abdu Musubire, Kabanda Taseera, Henry W Nabeta, Charlotte Schutz, Darlisha Williams, Radha Rajasingham, Joshua Rhein, Melanie W Lo, Friedrich Thienemann, Andrew Kambugu, Yukari Manabe, Edward N. Janoff, Paul R Bohjanen, Graeme Meintjes, and the COAT Team Cryptococcal Optimal ART Timing (COAT) Trial Clinicaltrials.gov NCT
15 Randomized Strategy Trial Cryptococcal Optimal ART Timing (COAT) Trial Randomization Stratified by Site and by Altered Mental Status Clinicaltrials.gov NCT
16 Enrollment Criteria Inclusion: HIV-infection ART naïve Age >14 years Cryptococcal meningitis by : CSF culture CSF cryptococcal antigen Receiving amphotericin-based therapy Informed consent Exclusion: Prior cryptococcal meningitis Pregnancy or breastfeeding Cannot attend regular visits Chemotherapy Inability to take enteral meds Serious co-morbidities, co-infections, or laboratory values who should not receive ART immediately or have ART delayed Females must use >2 methods of contraception. (fluconazole is teratogenic in 1 st Trimester)
17 70% 55% P=0.03
18 Prevention Strategies for Early Mortality/ IRIS Earlier ART Initiation Screening for common OIs in severely immunosuppressed (CD 4<100 cells/ul) TB Cryptococcal disease Prophylaxis for common OIs in severely immunosuppressed (CD 4<100 cells/ul) TB Cryptococcal disease Accelerated ART initiation for OIs TB? Cryptococcal disease (COAT Trial Results CROI 2013)
19 The Retention Challenge
20 Adherence Better than Expected! Many Africans may not have watches to enable them to adhere to medications as prescribed..but they have Radios!
21 Move to Earlier ART Initiation
22 The number of patients on treatment is expected to grow to 15.2M by 2016 in all low- and middle-income countries Historical and estimated scale-up in low & middle income countries Millions of Patients 16M Patients on ART GA Patient Forecast $2.5B $2.0 $1.5 $1.0 Market Size (Billions USD) 4 2 $ $0.0 Source: CHAI ARV forecasting model; WHO Towards Universal Access Report for historical numbers; CHAI Market Sizing Analysis
23 Task-Shifting/Sharing
24 Effectiveness of Task Shifting/Sharing
25 Implications of Higher CD4 counts at Lessons from: ART initiation HIV Serodiscordant Couples Option B+
26 Potential Strategies to Support Adherence Single pill per day /good toxicity profile regimen Future regimens: Depo preparations
27 The target product profile for optimal ARV candidates was defined at CADO in June 2010 Tolerability Resistance Convenience Special Popns Cost Low incidence of side effects and toxicities Relationship to adherence High barrier to resistance Forgiveness Context of regimen Once-daily dosing (or less) Low pill burden No cumbersome testing reqs, Other (no lead-in dosing) For regimen eval: same dosing schedule for all drugs Pregnant women HIV/TB co-infected patients Children Hepatitis B and C Cost w/o dose reduction Potential cost w/ dose reduction Impact of programmatic cost
28 Many The ARV countries pipeline already for adults adopting and children emerging contains products several in important treatment products at protocols late stages of development Pre-clinical Phase I Phase II Phase III Submit for Approval Tenofovir Reformulation 300 mg 200 mg qd Rilpivirine Long-Acting Festinavir BMS Albuvirtide S/GSK EVG/COB/ FTC/TAF MK-1439 c BMS CMX157 DRV/COB/ FTC/TAF Zidovudine Dose Reduction 300 mg 200 mg bid TAF GS-7340 Efavirenz Dose Reduction 600 mg 400 mg bid DRV/COB/ FTC/TDF ATV/r Dose Reduction 300/100 mg 200/100 mg bid Cenicriviroc ATV/COB MVC/ATV/RTV Cobicistat Elvitegravir Dolutegravir DTG/ABC/3TC Legend MVC/DRV/RTV RAL/DRV/RTV RAL/LPV/RTV PK Booster CCR5 Inhibitor NNRTI Attachment Inhibitor DRV/COB ATV/RAL PI NRTI Integrase Inhibitor Fusion Inhibitor Source:: Adapted from 2012 i-base/tag Pipeline Report (draft version) and clinicaltrials.gov. 28
29 GSK LAP Single Injection Provides Detectable Drug in Plasma for 48 Weeks Mean Plasma GSK Concentration-Time Profiles following Single Dose LAP Injections in Healthy Subjects (Cohorts 1-7) Plasma GSK ( g/ml) m g IM 200 m g IM 400 m g IM 800m g IM (split) 100 m g S C 200 m g S C 400 m g S C (s plit) 4*P AIC 90 (0.664m g /m L) 1*P AIC 90 (0.166m g /m L) Spreen et al. 19th IAC Jul Abstract TUPE040 T im e (w ee ks )
30 Patient-Led Efforts Self-Monitoring Adherence Support/Drug Pick-up Groups
31 Summary Initial ART roll-out in Africa characterized by late presentation and sub-optimal retention, but better than anticipated outcomes observed generally The expanded access effort presents challenges with high patients loads with HR and adherence concerns Opportunities driven by technology and sharing of the clinical burden by low cadre health care workers and patients will be critical
32 Acknowledgements IDI Research Cohort The IDI-UMN Collaboration The CADO Community
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