Preclinically assessed optimal control of postprandial glucose excursions for type 1 patients with diabetes

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Preclinically assessed optimal control of postprandial glucose excursions for type 1 patients with diabetes"

Transcription

1 Preclinically assessed opimal conrol of posprandial glucose excursions for ype paiens wih diabees Thierry Prud homme, Alain Bock, Grégory François and Denis Gille Absrac Type Paiens wih Diabees (Type PwDs) have o frequenly adjus heir insulin dosage o keep heir Blood Glucose concenraion (BG) wihin normal bounds. Meal inakes represen he mos imporan disurbance ha has o be accouned for. Is effec differs for every individual as well as for every meal. These specificiies are auomaically aken ino accoun in he approach proposed in his paper. Model parameers are idenified for every couple (Paien, Meal) of ineres and opimal conrol is applied o generae individualized meal specific insulin profiles. The mehod does no require he use of a coninuous BG meer, he profiles being infused in an open-loop manner. Resuls from a preliminary clinical sudy are presened. The concep is shown o be effecive, despie limiaions due o he aggressive execuion chosen. Improvemens are proposed and a possible praical implemenaion is described. I. INTRODUCTION I has been shown ha a high average Blood Glucose concenraion (BG) over several years increases he risk of severe long erm complicaions, among hem nephropahy, reinopahy, cardiovascular diseases or renal failure []. On he oher hand, oo much insulin can lead o a hypoglycemic even, which is a poenially lehal condiion. Type Paiens wih Diabees (Type PwDs) have o compensae for evens ha can be perceived as disurbances from a conrol poin of view. Meal inakes, physical aciviy [], sress [] or mensrual cycles belong o he se of disurbances ha have o be accouned for by Type PwDs in heir insulin dosage. Opimized BG conrol afer meal inake has a high poenial for improving he reamen of Type PwDs. During he day, he BG depends mainly on he qualiy of he meal compensaions. However, his ask is also very challenging because he paien as well as he meal specificiies have o be accouned for. Today, mos of he Type PwDs esimae heir insulin boluses based on he carbohydrae conen of he meal and he measured BG a meal ime. They ypically infuse his bolus jus before he meal inake. One of he main limiaions of his sraegy lies in he fac ha only carbohydrae conen is considered, while each meal has is own specificiy and can lead o very differen BG profiles. Typical BG excursions are shown in Fig.. These measuremens were aken for he same paien a wo consecuive days, a he same T. Prud homme is wih he Lucerne Universiy of Applied Sciences and Ars, CH 8 Horw, Swizerland hierry.prudhomme@hslu.ch A. Bock and D. Gille are wih he School of Engineering and G. François is wih he Laboraoire d Auomaique, Ecole Polyechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), CH Lausanne, Swizerland alain.bock@epfl.ch Fig.. Pospandrial glucose excursions afer a fas and a slow meal for he same paien, meal carbohydrae conen, and insulin bolus dayime, wih he same insulin bolus, and wih equal meal carbohydrae conen bu differen meal composiions. For he so-called fas meals (mainly carbohydrae conen), a high glucose peak is measured approximaely minues afer he meal inake. Afer his peak, he BG decreases very abruply. Very ofen, an inervenion is needed o compensae for he resuling low BGs. The BG excursion measured for he slow meal (imporan fa and proein conen) is compleely differen: no peak bu a drop followed by a slow and large increase, is observed. BG remains high several hours afer he meal inake. This clearly shows ha he sandard one-sho carbohydrae based insulin bolus canno handle variaions of meal conens, which limis he efficiency of mos bolus calculaors []. The delivery of exogenous insulin has undergone significan changes wih he inroducion of he insulin pump, a device ha allows coninuous infusion of fas acing insulin. Nowadays, mos pumps are equipped wih smar meers. These meers have increased compuaional capaciies and can exchange daa wih insulin pumps. Wih such devices, he one-sho meal insulin bolus can be replaced by a disribued insulin infusion profile. I makes i possible o shape he profiles and adap hem o he specificiy of each meal. This possibiliy has barely been used so far, and is he opic of his paper. Today, he research focus is on closed-loop conrol aiming a a so-called Arificial Pancreas (AP). Two differen ypes of conrollers are considered, eiher a pure feedback conroller [], or model predicive conrollers (MPC) [], []. These closed-loop approaches require coninuous BG measuremens, which are provided by a Coninuous Subcuaneous Glucose Monior (CGM). Such sensors suffer from severe limiaions, among hem reduced accuracy, poenial sensor drop-ous or ime delays of approximaely minues.

2 Imporan safey issues relaed o he auomaically changing insulin infusion generaed by an AP are anoher drawback. All hese limiaions preclude he use of closed-loop conrollers, for he ime being. For his reason, an open-loop opimal conrol sraegy is proposed. I does no require he use of a CGM, bu i could be exended o use coninuous measuremens. The sraegy provides meal specific disribued insulin profiles. These may be inspeced for heir safey before he infusion. Paien and meal specific model parameers are idenified ha are subsequenly used o compue opimal insulin infusion profiles. The effeciveness of his mehod is evaluaed in a preliminary clinical sudy, where BG is moniored and compared o BG excursions shown in Fig., for he same wo-meal scenario. This paper is organized as follows: In secion II, he proposed approach is deailed and he model, he parameer idenificaion sraegy and he opimal conrol problem are explained. A possible implemenaion using exising devices is also skeched in his secion. In secion III, clinical resuls are presened and discussed. Finally, in secion IV, conclusions are drawn and possible improvemens are skeched. A. Modeling II. METHODS The opimal conrol approach chosen in his work requires a dynamical model of he sysem. The minimal model, see [8], has been exended o accoun for a subcuaneous insulin infusion and an oral meal inake. The insulin acion and absorpion submodel have hen been simplified o improve he idenifiabiliy of he parameers. The resuling model is given in () o (). du g,gu () = U g,gu () () d U g,gu () = a g U g,gu () a gu g,gu () + K g a gu cho () () dq() = X()Q() S g,zero Q() + U endo + C g mmol M U g,gu() () dx() = a x X() + a x X () () dx () U i,sq () = a x X () + K x a x M () G() = Q() V ga, () where he saes are he gu glucose absorpion U g,gu in g/min, he ime derivaive of he gu glucose absorpion U g,gu in g/min/min, he glucose amoun Q in mmol/kg, he insulin acion X in min, and he inermediae insulin acion X in min. Model parameers are he paien s body weigh M in kg, he volume of he accessible comparmen per body mass V ga in L/kg, he uniless bioavailabiliy of he meal of ineres K g, he inverse of he ime consan of he meal of ineres a g in min, he insulin sensiiviy K x in kg/mu, he inverse of he ime consan of he insulin absorpion/acion a x in min, he glucose effeciveness a zero insulin S g,zero in min, and he insulin independen endogenous glucose producion U endo in mmol/kg/min. C g mmol convers g of glucose ino mmol. The only manipulaed variable is he subcuaneous insulin infusion, U i,sq () in mu/min, and he oupu is he BG G() in mg/dl. The carbohydrae inake rae U cho () in g/min can be viewed as a predicable disurbance. The model equaions () o () can be expressed wih he compac equaion ẋ = f(x, u, v, θ) where x is he vecor of saes, u he manipulaed inpu U i,sq, v he predicable disurbance U cho, and θ represens he vecor of model parameers. Values for C g mmol and M are known or can be measured direcly, while K g, a g, K x, a x, S g,zero, and U endo have o be idenified. V ga can be assumed consan and equal o he populaion mean [9]. Therefore, he vecor of parameers o idenify is θ id = [K g a g K x a x S g,zero U endo ] T. B. Parameer idenificaion The model parameers have o be compued for each couple (paien = P, meal = A) as individualized meal specific insulin recommendaions are looked for. Therefore, for each meal o be conrolled wih he proposed approach, corresponding paien BG measuremens, wih a maximum sampling ime of abou hour (for example Fig. ), are needed around he meal ime. These measuremens can be performed wih a classical srip-based meers and do no require he use of a CGM. These daa are exploied o compue he parameer values for he couple (P, A) ha minimize a Maximum A Poseriori (MAP) crierion. The necessary a priori knowledge can be compued using experimenal daa hrough a populaion-based approach, like for example he Ieraive Two Sage (ITS) mehod described by [], or i can be deduced from available knowledge on he physiology (meal absorpion, insulin kineics). The simple model srucure ogeher wih he use of a priori knowledge lead o an idenifiabiliy wih parameers coefficiens of variaion below % (cf []). For a MAP idenificaion, illusraed in Fig., he following opimizaion problem is solved. θ id, P,A M = arg min J id (M) () ) N g (Ĝ(i, θ id P,A, v, u) G( i ) s.. J id (M) = i= N θ + j= M j θ id P,A = exp(am + B), where G( i ) are he N g glucose measuremens used for he idenificaion. Measuremen errors are supposed o be σ i

3 Daa collecion for Paien P Meal A Meal inake hisory Parameer Idenificaion Model Forecass Meal inake forecas Opimal Profile Generaion Insulin Infusion Hisory Objecive Funcion Pre-Meal Colleced Daa Pre-Meal insulin infusion hisory Model Objecive funcion Measured glucose Glucose Measuremen a : Idenified Model Parameers Opimized Insulin Profile A priori Knowledge on Idenified Model Parameers Fig.. MAP parameer idenificaion Fig.. Overview of he opimizaion process normally disribued and σ i are he corresponding sandard deviaions. Ĝ( i, θ id P,A, v, U i,sq ) are model predicions, N θ is he number of parameers o idenify, and M j are he N θ normalized Gaussian variables described in he Appendix. C. Opimal profile generaion Once he parameers have been idenified for a couple (P, A), a model-based opimal conrol problem is solved. The manipulaed inpu, i.e. he subcuaneously infused insulin U i,sq, is parameerized wih a piecewise consan funcion wih consan sampling ime T. The conrol horizon is defined by he sar ime h,s and he end ime h,e. Wih such an inpu parameerizaion, U i,sq () = U(π), [ h,s, h,e ], i.e. U i,sq () can be generaed using a vecor of scalar parameers π = [ π... π Nπ ] T, which corresponds o a sequence of infusion raes. N π is he number of sampling inervals for he period [ h,s, h,e ]. Thus, he opimizaion problem reads: π = arg min J op (π) (8) h,e s.. J op (π) = (Ĝ(, θ id, P,A g,a()), v, π) G h,s π π max, As seen, he square of he difference beween a meal dependen arge profile G g,a () for meal A and he prediced blood glucose concenraion Ĝ() is minimzed. π max is he insulin pump s maximum infusion rae. The arge profiles for he wo meals of ineres in he preliminary clinical sudy are ploed in Fig.. Paien s BG measuremen a ime h,s as well as informaion on infused insulin before h,s are used o compue he values of he model saes a h,s. Therefore, he compued opimized insulin profile will auomaically correc for an iniially oo low or oo high BG. I will also accoun for he pre-meal insulin infusion hisory (so called insulin on board), as illusraed in Fig.. D. Pracical implemenaion A possible implemenaion sraegy of his mehod is skeched in his secion. Today, some insulin pumps are coupled o a smar meer. The Accu-Chek R Combo sysem from Roche is a good example. The glucose meer has been exended and offers addiional funcionaliies. I communicaes wih he pump and can be used o program a bolus or change he basal rae. On he clinician side, a daa managemen sofware like Accu- Chek R can be used o collec and process he paien daa from he pump and meer. The Accu-Chek R Combo ogeher wih he sofware Accu-Chek R is used as an example for he implemenaion of he mehod proposed in his aricle. The implemenaion is divided in main seps. They are described in wha follows and are illusraed in Fig.. ) Based upon his BG hisory, he PwD and his Healh Care Provider (HCP) idenify he meals ha have been badly conrolled since he las visi. Among hese problemaic meals, hose who can be poenially improved by he mehod presened in his paper are seleced. The HCP daa managemen sofware is used o assis he HCP in he selecion process. A BG measuremen schedule as well as he lis of problemaic meals are uploaded o he PwD s smar meer. ) The PwD will follow his BG measuremen schedule (e.g. in Fig. ) for he seleced meals. A reminder is implemened in he smar meer o ensure compliance wih his schedule. The daa colleced during heses sequences are sored in he smar meer. ) During he PwD s nex visi o his HCP, model parameers values are idenified as shown in II-B for he meals for which he BG measuremen schedule has been followed. The compued model parameers are uploaded o he smar meer which is able o perform insulin profile opimizaion. Typically, he idenificaion sraegy is implemened as a module of he HCP daa managemen sofware. In Fig., i is assumed ha he model parameers have been compued for he wo

4 Paien wih Diabees Healh Care Provider Meal Inake Glucose measuremens Accu-Chek Combo Insulin Pump Accu-Chek Download ) Problemaic meals Idenificaion Proocol Upload - Which meals are badly conrolled? - BG measuremen schedule? Accu-Chek combo smar Meer BG [h] [h] Fig.. BG measuremen schedule ) Daa Collecion Proocol Reminder BG BG Meal B Meal A ) Parameer Idenificaion I Download Parameer idenificaion Model Parameers Fig.. ) Insulin Profile Opimizaion Glucose arge profiles Opimal profile for Meal A Meal A Pre-meal BG Fig.. Possible implemenaion overview meals A and B. ) The nex ime one of hese wo meals is eaen, he PwD s smar meer compues an opimal insulin profile, on he basis of he pre-meal BG, he insulin infusion hisory, and he idenified model parameers for his meal as described in. The resuling profile is auomaically injeced by he insulin pump. I should be noed ha he PwD s safey is of highes imporance and needs o be guaraneed before any ou-paien implemenaion. III. P RELIMINARY CLINICAL STUDY exhibi a sandard deviaion equal o % of he measured glucose value. This value is of paricular imporance when he number of measuremens is low and he weigh of he Bayesian erm in he objecive funcion is no negligible. The second in-paien period, referred o as second block, ook place approximaely monhs afer he firs one. During his period, he opimizaion rouine described in subsecion II-C was used o compue opimized insulin profiles. h,s was se o hour before meal inake and h,e o hours afer meal inake. A sampling period T of min was fixed. This led o Nπ = decision variables o opimize. The wo arge profiles depiced in Fig. were used for he fas and slow meals. I can be noed ha hese arge profiles exhibi similar shapes, bu he peak of he profile used for he slow meal is shifed by an hour. The resuling opimized insulin profiles were infused o he paiens, while heir BG was measured every min from inravenous blood draws o assess he performances of he proposed approach. A. Sudy design B. Sudy resuls A clinical sudy was performed o es he proposed mehod on Type PwDs. Boh fas and slow meals, as depiced in Fig., were considered. For conciseness reasons, only resuls for paiens are discussed. During he firs in-paien period, referred o as firs block, he paiens had o ea he wo meals on wo consecuive days a 9: a.m. and o conrol heir BG using he sandard herapy. As illusraed in Fig., eigh differen BG measuremens were made around he meal inake wih a sampling ime of h. The firs one was made hour before he meal inake and he las one hours afer. The daase was used o idenify he parameers for each couple (P, A) using he sraegy discussed in subsecion II-B. The a priori knowledge was generaed using ITS (cf II-B). σi has been chosen independen of he model and equal o.g(i ). This describes he assumpion ha glucose measuremens The resuls of he sudy for he wo paiens are shown in Fig. o. On he lef hand side, he infused insulin profiles for he wo blocks are ploed. The green and he blue curves represen he one-sho boluses and he opimal insulin profiles, respecively. On he righ hand side, he BG excursions measured in he wo blocks are ploed. The green and blue lines represen he measured BGs in he firs and second block, respecively. The doed blue line gives he expeced BG excursion for he second block. The predicion capabiliies of he model can be sudied by comparing he plain blue line wih he doed blue line. Similar conclusions can be drawn for he wo paiens. A he beginning of he opimizaion horizon (before meal inake), he opimizaion compued large insulin amouns. I can be seen in he four figures ha hese correcions were efficien. For he fas meals, his large iniial amoun

5 Insulin Infusion (mu/min) Learning:. (U) Opimized:. (U) Blood Glucose Concenraion (mg/dl) 8 8 Insulin Infusion (mu/min) 9 8 Learning:. (U) Opimized:. (U) Blood Glucose Concenraion (mg/dl) 8 8 Fig.. Clinical resuls, paien, fas meal Fig.. Clinical resuls, paien, slow meal Insulin Infusion (mu/min) 8 Learning:. (U) Opimized: 8. (U) Fig. 8. Blood Glucose Concenraion (mg/dl) 8 8 Clinical resuls, paien, slow meal TABLE I VALUES OF J op FOR THE s AND nd BLOCK AND THEIR RELATIVE VARIATION. BG MEASUREMENTS AFTER HYPOGLYCEMIA EVENTS WERE NOT TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT FOR THE COMPUTATION OF J op. Sandard Opimized Relaive s block nd block variaion Paien fas meal % Paien slow meal 9-9.9% Paien fas meal -.% Paien slow meal % also compensaes for he effec of he meal, as nearly no addiional insulin injecion was needed afer meal inake. For he slow meals, a second insulin injecion was necessary beween and hours afer he meal inakes. The shapes of he BG predicions and measuremens were similar, for he fas as well as for he slow meals. Table I gives he values of he objecive funcion J op for he wo blocks. Excep for he couple (paien, fas meal), he opimized insulin profiles led o significan reducions of J op. These reducions are paricularly imporan for he slow meals. The insulin infused beween hour and hours afer he inake of he slow meals prevens from he hyperglycemia ha was observed during he firs blocks. For he couple (paien, fas meal), he BG excursion measured a he firs block was close o he arge profile excep for a hypoglycemic even ha occurred - hours afer he meal inake. To avoid his, he opimizaion recommended a smaller insulin infusion. However, his correcion was oo imporan and led o a higher value for J op. As already menioned, he BG model predicions for he second block (plain blue line) exhibi shapes in accordance Insulin Infusion (mu/min) Learning:. (U) Opimized:. (U) Fig. 9. Blood Glucose Concenraion (mg/dl) Clinical resuls, paien, fas meal wih he expeced BG excursions (doed blue line). However, i should also be noed ha he opimizaion procedure led o oo aggressive correcions beween he blocks. The size of he differen boluses can be found in Table II. As seen, hey differ significanly. Obviously, he model is no able o predic BG wih a good confidence when he insulin profile used for he idenificaion differs oo much from he insulin profile used for he compuaion of he predicions. The limiaions of he predicions capabiliies of he model can have differen reasons, some of hem are lised below: The choice of he model srucure was mainly driven by he idenifiabiliy of he parameers and by he accuracy of he fis. I is known ha glucagon, free fay acids or growh hormones, as well as many oher molecules, influence he BG. They have been inenionally negleced, as i would have been impossible o quanify heir conribuion wih only a few BG measuremens. Therefore, he model used for his implemenaion is an oversimplificaion of he glucose meabolism. This is he main reason for he limied predicion capabiliies. The model parameers for a couple (P,A) were idenified on a single daase colleced during he firs block. As menioned earlier, several disurbances like sress, physical aciviy or mensrual cycles have no been considered. These disurbances should, a leas, be filered TABLE II TOTAL INFUSED INSULIN (U) Sandard Opimized Paien fas meal.. Paien slow meal. 8. Paien fas meal.. Paien slow meal..

6 o minimize heir influence on he model parameers idenified. This could be done, e.g., by using more han one daase o idenify he parameers for a couple (P,A). Insulin absorpion exhibis nonlineariies wih respec o he amoun of injeced insulin. However, he model used in his work is linear. Therefore, he idenified parameers should no be used o compue predicions for insulin infusion profiles ha differ oo much from he profiles used for he idenificaion. Physiological parameers of a PwD change over ime. As he second block was performed approximaely monhs afer he firs one, he idenified model parameers may no be accurae enough anymore. IV. CONCLUSION AND OUTLOOK The resuls presened in his paper are promising. An opimized disribued insulin profile led o a reduced BG peak afer a fas meal inake. I also correced for he hyperglycemic evens observed during he firs block a few hours afer he slow meal inakes. However, correcions were shown o be poenially aggressive and fuure work should include he following improvemens: Small sep sraegy: The difference beween wo consecuive insulin profiles for he same meal should be penalized in J op, as proposed in []. Indeed, he preliminary clinical resuls have shown ha he exrapolaion capabiliies of he model are oo limied o allow big variaions beween wo consecuive insulin profiles. By inroducing his penaly erm in J op, several ieraions will be necessary o converge o an opimal insulin profile for a couple (P, A), bu safey will be improved. No meal-dependen arge profile: The proposed approach requires meal-dependen arge BG profiles as shown in Fig.. I assumes ha some a priori knowledge is available on he absorpion dynamics of each meal. In pracice, his is very difficul o conceive. Insead, a consan arge profile could be used for all of he meals and a new objecive funcion J op should be used. This new J op would penalize deviaion from arge in an asymmerical manner. BGs below arge would have a much sronger conribuion o J op han BGs above arge o avoid hypoglycemia. An objecive funcion ins red by he meric defined in [] could be used advanageously. Robus idenificaion: Some of he model parameers (K x, a x, S g,zero, and U endo ) do no depend on he meal bu only on he paien. In his paper, all he parameers are idenified for each couple (P, A). Resuls could be improved if he paien dependen parameers would be idenified using daases from differen meals. Learning horizon reducion: The learning horizon should be reduced o h for pracical reasons. Indeed,he ime beween wo consecuive meal inakes is frequenly smaller han h. However, he main limiaion of he proposed approach lies in he simpliciy of he model used for opimizaion. This is clearly an advanage for idenificaion, which is made possible on he basis of sole glucose measuremens, bu meanwhile i can be a drawback a he opimizaion sage. To be able o predic he real opimal insulin profiles for a given paien, he endency model we are using should fulfill some adequacy requiremens []. In pracice, hese requiremens are hard o mee, bu fuure research should compare he accuracy of his simplified model wih more complex models (for example [9], []). Also, o avoid hyper- or hypoglycemia, robus opimizaion (i.e. opimizaion considering uncerainy, e.g. deduced from confidence inervals) should be invesigaed. REFERENCES [] DCCT, The effec of inensive reamen of diabees on he developmen and progression of long-erm complicaions in insulin-dependen diabees mellius. New Engl J Med, vol. 9, pp. 9 98, 99. [] B. Zinman, N. Ruderman, B. N. Campaigne, J. T. Devlin, and S. H. Schneider, Physical Aciviy/Exercise and Diabees, Diabees Care, vol., no. supplemen, pp. S9 S,. [] D. A. Finan, H. Zisser, L. Jovanovic, W. C. Bevier, and D. E. Seborg, Auomaic Deecion of Sress Saes in Type Diabees Subjecs in Ambulaory Condiions, Ind Eng Chem Res, vol. 9, pp. 8 88,. [] O. K. Hejlesen, S. Andreassen, R. Hovorka, and D. A. Cavan, DIAShe diabees advisory sysem: an ouline of he sysem and he evaluaion resuls obained so far, Compuer mehods and programs in biomedicine, vol., no. -, pp. 9 8, Sep. 99. [] S. A. Weinzimer, G. M. Seil, K. L. Swan, J. Dziura, N. Kurz, and W. V. Tamborlane, Fully auomaed closed-loop insulin delivery versus semiauomaed hybrid conrol in pediaric paiens wih ype diabees using an arificial pancreas, Diabees Care, vol., no., pp. 9 99, 8. [] R. Hovorka, V. Canonico, L. J. Chassin, U. Haueer, M. Massi- Benedei, M. O. Federici, T. R. Pieber, H. C. Schaller, L. Schaupp, T. Vering, and M. E. Wilinska, Nonlinear model predicive conrol of glucose concenraion in subjecs wih ype diabees, Physiological Measuremen, vol., no., p. 9,. [] P. Dua, F. Doyle, and E. Pisikopoulos, Model-based blood glucose conrol for ype diabees via parameric programming, IEEE Trans Biomed Eng, vol., no. 8, pp. 8 9, aug.. [8] R. N. Bergman, Y. Z. Ider, C. R. Bowden, and C. Cobelli, Quaniaive esimaion of insulin sensiiviy, Am J Physiol Gasroines Liver Physiol, vol., no., pp. G, 99. [9] R. Hovorka, F. Shojaee-Moradie, P. V. Carroll, L. J. Chassin, I. J. Gowrie, N. C. Jackson, R. S. Tudor, A. M. Umpleby, and R. H. Jones, Pariioning glucose disribuion/ranspor, disposal, and endogenous producion during IVGTT. American journal of physiology. Endocrinology and meabolism, vol. 8, no., pp. E99,. [] P. Vicini and C. Cobelli, The ieraive wo-sage populaion approach o ivg minimal modeling: improved precision wih reduced sampling, Am J Physiol-Endoc M, vol. 8, no., pp. E9 E8, January. [] M. E. Wilinska, L. J. Chassin, H. C. Schaller, L. Schaupp, T. R. Pieber, and R. Hovorka, Insulin kineics in ype- diabees: coninuous and bolus delivery of rapid acing insulin, IEEE Transacions on Biomedical Engineering, vol., no., pp.,. [] T. Prud homme and C. Cris, US/ A. Prandial blood glucose excursion opimizaion mehod via compuaion of imevarying opimal insulin profiles and sysem hereof, 8. [] B. P. Kovachev, W. L. Clarke, M. Breon, K. Brayman, and A. Mccall, Quanifying emporal glucose variabiliy in diabees via coninuous glucose monioring: Mahemaical mehods and clinical applicaion. Diabees Technol Ther, vol., no., pp. 89 8,. [] J. Forbes, T. Marlin, and J. MacGregor, Model adequacy requiremens for opimizing plan operaions, Compuers & Chemical Engineering, vol. 8, no., pp. 9, 99. [] C. Dalla Man, R. A. Rizza, and C. Cobelli, Meal simulaion model of he glucose-insulin sysem, IEEE Trans Biomed Eng, vol., no., pp. 9,.

7 APPENDIX A. Maximum A Poseriori idenificaion sraegy: Transformaion In he Maximum A Poseriori mehod, he vecor θ of model parameers is a random variable. In his paper, his random variable is assumed o have a log-normal disribuion. This disribuion is widely used in he conex of physiological model parameers as i ensures ha any realizaion of his random variable will have a posiive value. By definiion we have: θ i = exp(θ) i for each i {,, N θ }, (9) wih N θ = dim(θ), and Θ = [Θ,, Θ Nθ ] is a random vecor having a mulivariae normal disribuion. Θ is hus fully defined by a mean vecor µ Θ and a covariance marix Σ Θ wih: µ Θ = E[Θ] () Σ Θ = E[(Θ E[Θ])(Θ E[Θ]) T ], () wih he auocorrelaion coefficiens being: and he correlaion coefficiens: σ Θ (i) = Σ Θ (i, i), () σ Θ (i, j) = Σ Θ(i, j) σ Θi σ Θj. () A ransformaion ha defines a one-o-one relaionship beween Θ and a vecor M of uncorrelaed normalized (zero mean and ideniy covariance) Gaussian vecor is applied. M is also of dimension N θ. This ransformaion is defined as follows: Θ = AM + B, () where A is called he ransformaion marix. A and B should be uniquely defined by µ Θ and Σ Θ. To deermine he relaionship beween hese hree eniies, firs he mean of Θ is compued as follows: M has zero mean. Thus: E[Θ] = AE[M] + B. () The covariance of Θ is compued: E[Θ] = µ Θ = B. () Σ Θ = E[(Θ E[Θ])(Θ E[Θ]) T ]. () Θ = AM + B and E[Θ] = B, hus: Developing: Σ Θ = E[(AM)(AM) T ]. (8) Σ Θ = E[AMM T A T ] = AE[MM T ]A T. (9) However E[MM T ] is he ideniy marix, remembering ha M is a se of independen normalized Gaussian variables. Thus, we have: Σ Θ = AA T. () If A is chosen as a riangular marix, i can easily be proven ha he componens A(i, j) of he marix A are defined by he wo following equaions: A(j, j) = j σθ (j) A(j, k) () k= A(i, j) = σ Θ(j)σ Θ (i)σ Θ (j, i) j k= (A(j, k)a(i, k)). A(j, j) () A and B are now fully defined. As a reminder, we have: θ = exp(θ) = exp(am + B). () B. Maximum A Poseriori idenificaion sraegy: Objecive funcion The minimized objecive funcion for he parameer idenificaion akes he following form: N g (Ĝ(i, M) G( i )) N θ J id = + Mj, i= σ i j= where N g is he oal number of glucose measuremens used for he idenificaion and N θ is he number of parameers being idenified. M j are he corresponding N θ normalized Gaussian variables which ogeher are he previously menioned M vecor.

e) If the concentration must stay between L and H, what is the appropriate dosage for this drug?

e) If the concentration must stay between L and H, what is the appropriate dosage for this drug? Deermining he Proper Drug Dosage When you ake a pain-reliever o reduce he effecs of a sore knee, you have many choices, each wih a paricular amoun of acive ingredien o be aken a specific inervals Medicaion

More information

Reconstruction of Insulin Secretion under the Effects of Hepatic Extraction during OGTT: A Modelling and Convolution Approach

Reconstruction of Insulin Secretion under the Effects of Hepatic Extraction during OGTT: A Modelling and Convolution Approach Reconsrucion of nsulin Secreion under he Effecs of Hepaic Exracion during OGTT: A Modelling and Convoluion Approach KATTYOT JUAGWON,2, YONGWMON LENBURY*,2, ANDREA DE GAETANO 3, PASQUALE PALUMBO 3 Deparmen

More information

Paula A. González-Parra. Computational Science Program, University of Texas at El Paso

Paula A. González-Parra. Computational Science Program, University of Texas at El Paso Paula A. González-Parra Compuaional Science Program, Universiy of Texas a El Paso Ouline Inroducion Discree Epidemiological model Conrol problem Sraegies Numerical resuls Conclusions hp://healh.uah.gov/epi/diseases/flu/graphics/influenza_germ.jpg

More information

Identifying Relevant Group of mirnas in Cancer using Fuzzy Mutual Information

Identifying Relevant Group of mirnas in Cancer using Fuzzy Mutual Information Noname manuscrip No. (will be insered by he edior) Idenifying Relevan Group of mirnas in Cancer using Fuzzy Muual Informaion (Supplemenary Maerial) Jayana Kumar Pal Shubhra Sankar Ray Sankar K Pal 1 Fuzzy

More information

Michał KANIA, Małgorzata FERENIEC, Roman MANIEWSKI OPTIMAL LEADS SELECTION FOR ISCHEMIA DIAGNOSIS.

Michał KANIA, Małgorzata FERENIEC, Roman MANIEWSKI OPTIMAL LEADS SELECTION FOR ISCHEMIA DIAGNOSIS. XI Conference "Medical Informaics & Technologies" - 26 Michał KANIA, Małgorzaa FERENIEC, Roman MANIEWSKI body surface poenial mapping, myocardial infarcion, discriminan index OPTIMAL LEADS SELECTION FOR

More information

Lancaster University Management School Working Paper 2006/030. On the bias of Croston's forecasting method. Ruud Teunter and Babangida Sani

Lancaster University Management School Working Paper 2006/030. On the bias of Croston's forecasting method. Ruud Teunter and Babangida Sani Lancaser Universiy Managemen School Working Paper 2006/030 On he bias of Croson's forecasing mehod Ruud Teuner and Babangida Sani The Deparmen of Managemen Science Lancaser Universiy Managemen School Lancaser

More information

VALIDATION OF THE MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR PATIENTS USED IN GENERAL ANESTHESIA

VALIDATION OF THE MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR PATIENTS USED IN GENERAL ANESTHESIA VALIDATION OF THE MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR PATIENTS USED IN GENERAL ANESTHESIA Diego F. Sendoya-Losada, Faiber Robayo Beancour and José Salgado Parón Deparmen of Elecronic Engineering, Faculy of Engineering,

More information

Nonlinear Modeling of the Dynamic Effects of Infused Insulin on Glucose: Comparison of Compartmental with Volterra Models

Nonlinear Modeling of the Dynamic Effects of Infused Insulin on Glucose: Comparison of Compartmental with Volterra Models TBME-59-8 Nonlinear Modeling of he Dynamic Effecs of Infused Insulin on Glucose: Comparison of Comparmenal wih Volerra Models Georgios D. Misis, Member, IEEE, Mihalis G. Markakis, and Vasilis Z. Marmarelis,

More information

Cancer Risk Messages: A Light Bulb Model

Cancer Risk Messages: A Light Bulb Model Cancer Risk Messages: A Ligh Bulb Model Ka C. CHAN a,1, Ruh F. G. WILLIAMS b,c, Chrisopher T. LENARD c and Terence M. MILLS c a School of Business, Educaion, Law and Ars, Universiy of Souhern Queensland

More information

Cancer classification based on gene expression using neural networks

Cancer classification based on gene expression using neural networks Cancer classificaion based on gene expression using neural neworks H.P. Hu, Z.J. Niu, Y.P. Bai and X.H. Tan School of Science, Norh Universiy of China, Taiyuan, Shanxi, China Corresponding auhor: H.P.

More information

Optimum number of sessions for depression and anxiety

Optimum number of sessions for depression and anxiety NTResearch Opimum number of for depression and anxiey Auhors Frances Forde, BA, RMN, is communiy psychiaric nurse, Bellshill focused inervenion eam, NHS Lanarkshire; Marie Frame, BA, RMN, is communiy psychiaric

More information

A study of Dengue Disease Model with Vaccination Strategy

A study of Dengue Disease Model with Vaccination Strategy A su of Dengue Disease Model wih accinaion Sraegy Pradeep Porwal,.. Badshah. School of Sudies in Mahemaics, ikram Universiy, Ujjain (M.P.), India pradeepranawa@yahoo.com Absrac In his paper, we proposed

More information

OR Forum A POMDP Approach to Personalize Mammography Screening Decisions

OR Forum A POMDP Approach to Personalize Mammography Screening Decisions OPERATIONS RESEARCH Vol. 60, No. 5, Sepember Ocober 2012, pp. 1019 1034 ISSN 0030-364X prin) ISSN 1526-5463 online) hp://dx.doi.org/10.1287/opre.1110.1019 2012 INFORMS OR Forum A POMDP Approach o Personalize

More information

A Multi-Neural-Network Learning for Lot Sizing and Sequencing on a Flow-Shop

A Multi-Neural-Network Learning for Lot Sizing and Sequencing on a Flow-Shop A Muli-Neural-Nework Learning for Lo Sizing and Sequencing on a Flow-Shop In Lee Jainder N.D. Gupa Amar D. Amar Deparmen of Compuing and Deparmen of Managemen Deparmen of Managemen Decision Sciences Ball

More information

ESTIMATING AVERAGE VALUE OF NIGERIA GDP USING DUMMY VARIABLES REGRESSION MODEL

ESTIMATING AVERAGE VALUE OF NIGERIA GDP USING DUMMY VARIABLES REGRESSION MODEL European Journal of Saisics and Probabiliy Published by European Cenre for Research Training and Developmen UK (www.eajournals.org) ESTIMATING AVERAGE VALUE OF NIGERIA GDP USING DUMMY VARIABLES REGRESSION

More information

Ordinary Differential Equation Model in the Application of Infectious Disease Research

Ordinary Differential Equation Model in the Application of Infectious Disease Research Ordinary Differenial Equaion Model in he Applicaion of nfecious Disease Research Xiaocheng Gao Heihe Universiy Baoding Heihe China Absrac nfecious diseases (plague) are ofen popular around he world such

More information

Whose costs and benefits? Why economic. evaluations should simulate both prevalent and

Whose costs and benefits? Why economic. evaluations should simulate both prevalent and Why economic evaluaions should simulae boh prevalen and all fuure inciden paien cohors Marin Hoyle, PhD Research Fellow Rob Anderson, PhD Senior Lecurer Peninsula Technology Assessmen Group (PenTAG), Peninsula

More information

Robust Clustering Techniques in Bioinformatics. Rob Beverly Fall 2004

Robust Clustering Techniques in Bioinformatics. Rob Beverly Fall 2004 Robus Clusering Techniques in Bioinformaics Rob Beverly 8.47 Fall 004 Why Clusering? Class iscovery Given jus he daa, can one find inheren classes/clusers Class redicion Given an exising clusering, predic

More information

Modeling the Dynamics of Infectious Diseases in Different Scale-Free Networks with the Same Degree Distribution

Modeling the Dynamics of Infectious Diseases in Different Scale-Free Networks with the Same Degree Distribution Adv. Sudies Theor. Phys., Vol. 7, 23, no. 6, 759-77 HIKARI Ld, www.m-hikari.com hp://dx.doi.org/.2988/asp.23.3674 Modeling he Dynamics of Infecious Diseases in Differen Scale-Free Neworks wih he Same Degree

More information

Statistical Evaluation of a Glucose / Insulin Nonlinear Differential Equation Model with Classical and Bayesian Procedures.

Statistical Evaluation of a Glucose / Insulin Nonlinear Differential Equation Model with Classical and Bayesian Procedures. Recen Researches in Applied Compuers and Compuaional Science Saisical Evaluaion of a Glucose / Insulin Nonlinear Differenial Equaion Model wih Classical and Bayesian Procedures. SUTHAROT LUEABUNCHONG,,

More information

EEG Feature Selection for Thought Driven Robots using Evolutionary Algorithms

EEG Feature Selection for Thought Driven Robots using Evolutionary Algorithms EEG Feaure Selecion for Though Driven Robos using Evoluionary Algorihms Kasun Amarasinghe, Parick Sivils, Milos Manic Deparmen of Compuer Science Virginia Commonwealh Universiy Richmond, Virginia, Unied

More information

Abe Mirza Practice Test # 4 Statistic. Hypothesis Testing

Abe Mirza Practice Test # 4 Statistic. Hypothesis Testing Abe Mirza Pracice Tes # 4 Saisic Topics Hypohesis Tesing Page Problems - 4 Soluions 5-0 - A consuling agency was asked by a large insurance company o invesigae if business majors were beer salespersons

More information

Soroosh Sharifi 1, Massoud Kayhanian 2, Arash Massoudieh 1. University of Birmingham. Catholic University of America. University of California, Davis

Soroosh Sharifi 1, Massoud Kayhanian 2, Arash Massoudieh 1. University of Birmingham. Catholic University of America. University of California, Davis Soroosh Sharifi 1, Massoud Kayhanian 2, Arash Massoudieh 1 1 Universiy of Birmingham 2 Caholic Universiy of America 3 Universiy of California, Davis Background Moivaion Modelling Daa Resuls Conclusion

More information

An Optimal Policy for Patient Laboratory Tests in Intensive Care Units

An Optimal Policy for Patient Laboratory Tests in Intensive Care Units An Opimal Policy for Paien Laboraory Tess in Inensive Care Unis Li-Fang Cheng 1, Niranjani Prasad 2 and Barbara E. Engelhard 2,3 1 Deparmen of Elecrical Engineering, Princeon Universiy 2 Deparmen of Compuer

More information

SSRG International Journal of Medical Science (SSRG-IJMS) Volume 3 Issue 12 December 2016

SSRG International Journal of Medical Science (SSRG-IJMS) Volume 3 Issue 12 December 2016 EuroSCORE overesimaed cardiac surgery relaed moraliy: Comparing EuroSCORE model and Bayesian approach using new generalized probabilisic model wih new form of prior informaion 1 Jamal A. Al-Saleh, 2 Saish

More information

Evaluation the effect of food subsidy reduction on Iranian household calorie intake: VAR application

Evaluation the effect of food subsidy reduction on Iranian household calorie intake: VAR application Evaluaion he effec of food subsidy reducion on Iranian household calorie inake: VAR applicaion KHALIL HEIDARY Research faculy member of Iranian Saisical Research and Training Cener HOSSEIN KAVAND Ph.D.

More information

Prostate Health Centre

Prostate Health Centre Prosae Healh Cenre For Benign Prosaic Hyperplasia & Prosae cancer Diagnosis & Managemen wih bes hands & expers in Hear of DUBAI Sympoms The prosae is a walnushaped gland a he base of he bladder. I s par

More information

8/31/2018. Lesson 1 (What is Heredity?) Cells and Heredity. 8 th Grade. the passing of physical characteristics from parents to offspring.

8/31/2018. Lesson 1 (What is Heredity?) Cells and Heredity. 8 th Grade. the passing of physical characteristics from parents to offspring. Lesson 1 (Wha is Herediy?) Cells and Herediy Chaper 3: Geneics he Science of Herediy 8 h Grade Herediy rai Geneics he scienific sudy of herediy. Mendel he passing of physical characerisics from parens

More information

CHAPTER-3 SEGMENTATION OF BLOOD VESSELS FROM DIGITAL FUNDUS IMAGES

CHAPTER-3 SEGMENTATION OF BLOOD VESSELS FROM DIGITAL FUNDUS IMAGES CHAPTER-3 SEGMENTATION OF BLOOD VESSELS FROM DIGITAL FUNDUS IMAGES Ocular fundus image assessmen has been exensively used by ophhalmologiss for diagnosing vascular and non vascular pahology. Examining

More information

An Emotional Agent in Virtual Learning Environment

An Emotional Agent in Virtual Learning Environment An Emoional Agen in Virual Learning Environmen Ailiya 1, Zhiqi Shen 2, and Chunyan Miao 1 1 School of Compuer Engineering, 2 School of Elecrical Elecronic Engineering, Nanyang Technological Universiy,

More information

Multiple Latticed Cellular Automata: HIV Dynamics in Coupled Lymph Node and Peripheral Blood Compartments

Multiple Latticed Cellular Automata: HIV Dynamics in Coupled Lymph Node and Peripheral Blood Compartments Muliple aiced Cellular Auomaa: HIV Dynamics in Coupled ymph Node and Peripheral Blood Comparmens S. MOONCHAI 1,3, Y. ENBURY 2,3 *, W. TRIAMPO,5 1 Dep of Mahemaics, Faculy of Science, Chiangmai Universiy,

More information

CLINICAL PHARMACOKINETICS A. Atkinson

CLINICAL PHARMACOKINETICS A. Atkinson CLINICAL PHARMACOKINETICS A. Akinson Pharmacokineics is an imporan ool ha is used in he conduc of boh basic and applied research, and is an essenial componen of he drug developmen process. In addiion,

More information

2010 Load Impact Evaluation of California Statewide Demand Bidding Programs (DBP) for Non-Residential Customers: Ex Post and Ex Ante Report

2010 Load Impact Evaluation of California Statewide Demand Bidding Programs (DBP) for Non-Residential Customers: Ex Post and Ex Ante Report 2010 Load Impac Evaluaion of California Saewide Demand Bidding Programs (DBP) for Non-Residenial Cusomers: Ex Pos and Ex Ane Repor CALMAC Sudy ID SCE0298.01 Seven D. Braihwai Daniel G. Hansen Jess D. Reaser

More information

Compliance of feed limits, does not mean compliance of food limits

Compliance of feed limits, does not mean compliance of food limits B A S E Bioechnol. Agron. Soc. Environ. 2009 13(S), 51-57 Compliance of feed limis, does no mean compliance of food limis Leo W.D. van Raamsdonk (1), Jan C.H. van Eijkeren (2), Gerwin A.L. Meijer (3),

More information

Study on the Application of Artificial Immunity in Virus Detection System

Study on the Application of Artificial Immunity in Virus Detection System I.J. Engineering and Manufacuring 2011, 5, 52-58 Published Online Ocober 2011 in MECS (hp://www.mecs-press.ne) DOI: 10.5815/ijem.2011.05.07 Available online a hp://www.mecs-press.ne/ijem Sudy on he Applicaion

More information

Mid-term Production Planning System. A Case Study of an Engine Assembler *

Mid-term Production Planning System. A Case Study of an Engine Assembler * 3 rd Inernaional Conference on Indusrial Engineering and Indusrial Managemen XIII Congreso de Ingeniería de Organización Barcelona-Terrassa Sepember 2nd-4h 2009 Mid-erm Producion Planning Sysem. A Case

More information

The cost of clinic visits for children under 5 years of age, in a context of free malaria treatment in four cercles in Mali

The cost of clinic visits for children under 5 years of age, in a context of free malaria treatment in four cercles in Mali The cos of clinic visis for children under 5 years of age, in a conex of free malaria reamen in four cercles in Mali Georges KONE, Docoral suden in healh economics a IRD/UMR 151 and a UCAD Geneviève Mák,

More information

Integrated probabilistic approach to environmental perception with self-diagnosis capability for advanced driver assistance systems

Integrated probabilistic approach to environmental perception with self-diagnosis capability for advanced driver assistance systems 2h Inernaional Conference on Informaion Fusion Seale, WA, USA, July 6-9, 2009 Inegraed probabilisic approach o environmenal percepion wih self-diagnosis capabiliy for advanced driver assisance sysems Ji

More information

Experimental Evaluation of Memory Effects on TCP Traffic in Congested Networks

Experimental Evaluation of Memory Effects on TCP Traffic in Congested Networks IJCSI Inernaional Journal of Compuer Science Issues, Vol. 7, Issue 5, Sepember ISSN (Online): 694-84 89 Experimenal Evaluaion of Memory Effecs on Traffic in Congesed Neworks Kulvinder Singh, Anil Kumar

More information

Opus: University of Bath Online Publication Store

Opus: University of Bath Online Publication Store Peropoulos, F., Nikolopoulos, K., Spihourakis, G. and Assimakopoulos, V. (2013) Empirical heurisics for improving Inermien Demand Forecasing. Indusrial Managemen and Daa Sysems, 113 (5). pp. 683-696. ISSN

More information

Alcohol, vasopressin, and intraocular pressure

Alcohol, vasopressin, and intraocular pressure Alcohol, vasopressin, and inraocular pressure Roland E. Houle and W. Moron Gran Alcohol given orally or inravenously o paiens reduced he pressure in glaucomaons eyes. The duraion of pressure reducion was

More information

KINETICS OF HYDROLYSIS OF TRIBUTYRIN BY LIPASE

KINETICS OF HYDROLYSIS OF TRIBUTYRIN BY LIPASE Journal of Engineering Science and Technology Vol. 1, No. 1 (26) 5-58 School of Engineering, Taylor s College KINETICS OF HYDROLYSIS OF TRIBUTYRIN BY LIPASE SULAIMAN AL-ZUHAIR School of Chemical Engineering,

More information

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES PUBLIC AVOIDANCE AND THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF NOVEL H1N1 INFLUENZA A. Byung-Kwang Yoo Megumi Kasajima Jay Bhattacharya

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES PUBLIC AVOIDANCE AND THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF NOVEL H1N1 INFLUENZA A. Byung-Kwang Yoo Megumi Kasajima Jay Bhattacharya NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES PUBLIC AVOIDANCE AND THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF NOVEL H1N1 INFLUENZA A Byung-Kwang Yoo Megumi Kasajima Jay Bhaacharya Working Paper 15752 hp://www.nber.org/papers/w15752 NATIONAL BUREAU

More information

A Deep Learning Approach to Handling Temporal Variation in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Progression

A Deep Learning Approach to Handling Temporal Variation in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Progression A Deep Learning Approach o Handling Temporal Variaion in Chronic Obsrucive Pulmonary Disease Progression Chunlei Tang Brigham and Women s Hospial Harvard Medical School Boson, MA, USA cang5@parners.org

More information

Taylor Rule Deviations and Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability

Taylor Rule Deviations and Out-of-Sample Exchange Rate Predictability Taylor Rule Deviaions and Ou-of-Sample Exchange Rae Predicabiliy Onur Ince Appalachian Sae Universiy David H. Papell Universiy of Houson Tanya Molodsova Appalachian Sae Universiy April 30, 2015 Absrac

More information

Permanent Income Hypothesis, Myopia and Liquidity Constraints: A Case Study of Pakistan

Permanent Income Hypothesis, Myopia and Liquidity Constraints: A Case Study of Pakistan Pakisan Journal of Social Sciences (PJSS) Vol. 3, No. (December 0), pp. 99-307 Permanen Income Hypohesis, Myopia and Liquidiy Consrains: A Case Sudy of Pakisan Khalid Khan Lecurer of Economics Lasbela

More information

University of California, Berkeley

University of California, Berkeley Universiy of California, Berkeley U.C. Berkeley Division of Biosaisics Working Paper Series Year 2017 Paper 357 Evaluaion of Progress Towards he UNAIDS 90-90-90 HIV Care Cascade: A Descripion of Saisical

More information

Rapid Determination of Diuretic Resistant Ascites Using Furosemide Induced Natriuresis Test in Egyptian Cirrhotic Patients

Rapid Determination of Diuretic Resistant Ascites Using Furosemide Induced Natriuresis Test in Egyptian Cirrhotic Patients Rapid Deerminaion of Diureic Resisan Ascies Using Furosemide Induced Nariuresis Tes in Egypian Cirrhoic aiens *Mohamed Abd El-Hamid El-Bokl ; **Hanan Mahmoud Badawi; ***Marcel William Keddeas & ***George

More information

Diffuse Pollution Conference Dublin 2003 A NEW MODELING APPROACH FOR ESTIMATING FIRST FLUSH METAL MASS LOADING

Diffuse Pollution Conference Dublin 2003 A NEW MODELING APPROACH FOR ESTIMATING FIRST FLUSH METAL MASS LOADING Diffuse Polluion Conference Dublin 23 A NEW MODELING APPROACH FOR ESTIMATING FIRST FLUSH METAL MASS LOADING Lee-Hyung Kim, Masoud Kayhanian 2, Sim-Lin Lau 3 and Michael K. Sensrom 3 Dep. of Civil and Environmenal

More information

OPERATIONS RESEARCH FOR PATIENT CENTERED HEALTH CARE DELIVERY. Proceedings of the XXXVI International ORAHS Conference

OPERATIONS RESEARCH FOR PATIENT CENTERED HEALTH CARE DELIVERY. Proceedings of the XXXVI International ORAHS Conference OPERATIONS RESEARCH FOR PATIENT CENTERED HEALTH CARE DELIVERY Proceedings of he XXXVI Inernaional ORAHS Conference edied by Angela Tesi, Elena Tànfani, Enrico Ivaldi, Giuliana Carello, Robero Aringhieri,

More information

Keywords Mammogram, Classification, Radiology, Mobile Application.

Keywords Mammogram, Classification, Radiology, Mobile Application. Volume 4, Issue, February 04 ISSN: 77 8X Inernaional Journal of Advanced Research in Compuer Science and Sofware Engineering Research Paper Available online a: www.ijarcsse.com MammoAPPS: Digial Mammogram

More information

Research Article Cancer Outlier Analysis Based on Mixture Modeling of Gene Expression Data

Research Article Cancer Outlier Analysis Based on Mixture Modeling of Gene Expression Data Compuaional and Mahemaical Mehods in Medicine Volume 23, Aricle ID 6939, 8 pages hp://dx.doi.org/.55/23/6939 Research Aricle Cancer Oulier Analysis Based on Mixure Modeling of Gene Expression Daa Keia

More information

4 The Neoclassical model with Human Capital

4 The Neoclassical model with Human Capital 4 The Neoclassical model wih Human Capial Why doesn capial flow from rich counries o poor counries? [Rober Lucas Jr.] Learning Goals: - Undersand why he Solow model canno accoun for large cross-counry

More information

OPTIMIZED FEATURE SELECTION FOR BREAST CANCER DETECTION S Devisuganya 1 *, RC Suganthe 2

OPTIMIZED FEATURE SELECTION FOR BREAST CANCER DETECTION S Devisuganya 1 *, RC Suganthe 2 ISSN: 0976-3104 SPECIAL ISSUE: Emerging Technologies in Neworking and Securiy (ETNS) Devisuganya and Suganhe ARTICLE OPEN ACCESS OPTIMIZED FEATURE SELECTION FOR BREAST CANCER DETECTION S Devisuganya 1

More information

An Empirical Evaluation of Time-Aware LSTM Autoencoder on Chronic Kidney Disease

An Empirical Evaluation of Time-Aware LSTM Autoencoder on Chronic Kidney Disease An Empirical Evaluaion of Time-Aware LSTM Auoencoder on Chronic Kidney Disease Duc Thanh Anh Luong Deparmen of Compuer Science and Engineering Universiy a Buffalo Buffalo, New York 26 Email: duchanh@buffalo.edu

More information

this period no test observations were made of

this period no test observations were made of THE COAGULATION DEFECT IN HEMOPHILIA. STUDIES ON THE REFRACTORY PHASE FOLLOWING REPEATED INJEC- TIONS OF GLOBULIN SUBSTANCE DERIVED FROM NORMAL HUMAN PLASMA IN HEMOPHILIA' By FREDERICK J. POHLE AND F.

More information

Kai Yi, Qi Fang Li, Li Zhang, Ning Li, You Zhou, Seung Kon Ryu, Ri Guang Jin. Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing CHINA

Kai Yi, Qi Fang Li, Li Zhang, Ning Li, You Zhou, Seung Kon Ryu, Ri Guang Jin. Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing CHINA iffusion Coefficiens of imehyl Sulphoxide (MSO) and H 2 O in PAN We Spinning and Is Influence on Morphology of Nascen Polyacrylonirile (PAN) Fiber Kai Yi, Qi Fang Li, Li Zhang, Ning Li, You Zhou, Seung

More information

Clinical Monitoring with Fuzzy Automata 1

Clinical Monitoring with Fuzzy Automata 1 Clinical Monioring wih Fuzzy Auomaa Inroducion Friedrich Seimann and Klaus-Peer Adlassnig, Deparmen of Medical Compuer Sciences, Universiy of Vienna, Währinger Gürel 8-2, A-9 Vienna, Ausria. Absrac: In

More information

Lung Sound/Noise Separation for Anesthesia Respiratory Monitoring

Lung Sound/Noise Separation for Anesthesia Respiratory Monitoring Lung Sound/Noise Separaion for Aneshesia Respiraory Monioring Hong Wang, Le Yi Wang 2, Han Zheng 3, Razmig Haladjian 4, Meghan Wallo 5 Deparmen of Aneshesia,4,5, Deparmen of Elecrical and Compuer Engineering

More information

Unit 7 Part 1: Mendelian Genetics Notes

Unit 7 Part 1: Mendelian Genetics Notes Uni 7 Par 1: Mendelian Geneics Noes We know ha geneic informaion is passed from paren o offspring, bu unil recenly, we didn know how. Gregor Mendel Mos of our undersanding of geneics comes from Gregor

More information

Gender Gap in Computer Science: Preferences and Performance

Gender Gap in Computer Science: Preferences and Performance 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 Aricle Gender Gap in Compuer Science: Preferences and Ioannis Berdousis

More information

Determinants of Road Traffic Safety: New Evidence from Australia using a State-Space Analysis

Determinants of Road Traffic Safety: New Evidence from Australia using a State-Space Analysis Non Peer review sream Deerminans of Road Traffic Safey: New Evidence from Ausralia using a Sae-Space Analysis Son H. a and Luke B. Connelly b a Corresponding auhor, Senior Research Fellow, Insiue of Healh

More information

Extreme temperature episodes and mortality in Yakutsk, East Siberia

Extreme temperature episodes and mortality in Yakutsk, East Siberia Circumpolar Special Issue: Human Healh a he Ends of he Earh O R I G I N A L R E S E A R C H Exreme emperaure episodes and moraliy in Yakusk, Eas Siberia BA Revich 1, DA Shaposhnikov 1 Insiue of Forecasing,

More information

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES ESTIMATION OF A DYNAMIC MODEL OF WEIGHT. Shu Wen Ng Edward C. Norton David K. Guilkey Barry M. Popkin

NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES ESTIMATION OF A DYNAMIC MODEL OF WEIGHT. Shu Wen Ng Edward C. Norton David K. Guilkey Barry M. Popkin NBER WORKING PAPER ERIE ETIMATION O A DYNAMIC MODEL O WEIGHT hu Wen Ng Edward C. Noron David K. Guilkey Barry M. Popkin Working Paper 15864 hp://www.nber.org/papers/w15864 NATIONAL BUREAU O ECONOMIC REEARCH

More information

Science and Engineering Practices Disciplinary Core Ideas Crosscutting Concepts

Science and Engineering Practices Disciplinary Core Ideas Crosscutting Concepts INVESIGAION Punne Squares Key Quesion: How are Punne squares used o make predicions abou inheriance? Sudens learn how o use Punne squares o predic he mos likely rais of he offspring of he creaures hey

More information

A classification-based cocktail-party processor

A classification-based cocktail-party processor In Proceedings of Neural Informaion Processing Sysems (NIPS 3), 4. A classificaion-based cockail-pary processor Nicolea Roman, DeLiang Wang Deparmen of Compuer and Informaion Science and Cener for Cogniive

More information

Form 340. Life and Longevity after Cancer BASELINE QUESTIONNAIRE. Instructions:

Form 340. Life and Longevity after Cancer BASELINE QUESTIONNAIRE. Instructions: CENER PERF Form MARKING INSRUCIONS Use a pencil. Darken he circle compleely nex o he answer you choose. Erase cleanly any marks you wish o change. Do no make any sray marks on his form. R:DOCEXFORMSCURRF.DOC

More information

snapshot fault changes state-based location and duration of manifestation is irrelevant

snapshot fault changes state-based location and duration of manifestation is irrelevant On he dimensions of emporal model-based diagnosis Luca Console, Daniele Theseider Dupre Diparimeno di Informaica, Universia di Torino Corso Svizzera 185, 10149 Torino, Ialy E-mail: flconsole,ddg@di.unio.i

More information

Signer-independent Continuous Sign Language Recognition Based on SRN/HMM

Signer-independent Continuous Sign Language Recognition Based on SRN/HMM Signer-independen Coninuous Sign Language Recogniion Based on SRN/MM Gaolin Fang, Wen Gao,2, Xilin Chen, Chunli Wang 3, Jiyong Ma 2 Deparmen of Compuer Science and Engineering, arbin Insiue of Technology,

More information

The relationship between adult attachment and love concept of college students: a moderated mediator model

The relationship between adult attachment and love concept of college students: a moderated mediator model The relaionship beween adul aachmen and love concep of college sudens: a moderaed mediaor model Wenpeng Hu, a School of Psychology, Souh China Normal Universiy, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China Absrac: In order

More information

Modeling the Spread of Tuberculosis in a Closed Population

Modeling the Spread of Tuberculosis in a Closed Population Modeling he pread of Tuberculosis in a Closed Populaion Mah 21 shley Takahashi Jacqueline preadbury John coi 28 May 21 coi, preadbury, and Takahashi 2 bsrac Disease prevenion and conrol is a prevalen concern

More information

ISSN Environmental Economics Research Hub Research Reports

ISSN Environmental Economics Research Hub Research Reports ISSN 1835-9728 Environmenal Economics Research Hub Research Repors Inducing Sraegic Bias: and is implicaions for Choice Modelling design Michael Buron Research Repor No. 61 May 2010 Abou he auhors Michael

More information

A Two Stage Algorithm for Denoising of Speech Signal

A Two Stage Algorithm for Denoising of Speech Signal IOSR Journal of Compuer Engineering (IOSRJCE) ISSN: 78-0661, ISBN: 78-877Volume 8, Issue 1 (Nov. - Dec. 01), PP 48-53 A To Sage Algorihm for Denoising of Speech Signal 1 Shajeesh. K. U., Sachin Kumar.

More information

Pakistan s International Trade: the Potential for Expansion. Towards East and West

Pakistan s International Trade: the Potential for Expansion. Towards East and West Pakisan s Inernaional Trade: he Poenial for Expansion Towards Eas and Wes (July, 2016) Ehsan Choudhri, Carleon Universiy Anonio Marasco, Lahore Universiy of Managemen Sciences Ijaz Nabi, Inernaional Growh

More information

Extra Review Practice Biology Test Genetics - Key

Extra Review Practice Biology Test Genetics - Key Mendel fill in he blanks: Exra Review Pracice Biology es Geneics - Key Mendel was an Ausrian monk who sudied geneics primarily using _pea plans. He sared wih plans ha produced offspring wih only one from

More information

The Egyptian Journal of Hospital Medicine (April 2018) Vol. 71(1), Page

The Egyptian Journal of Hospital Medicine (April 2018) Vol. 71(1), Page The Egypian Journal of Hospial Medicine (April 2018) Vol. 71(1), Page 2373-2379 Mean Plaele Volume versus Toal Leukocye Coun and C-reacive Proein as an Indicaor for Moraliy in Sepsis Hazem M. Abd El Rahman,

More information

Photovoltaic Generation in Distribution Networks: Optimal vs. Random Installation

Photovoltaic Generation in Distribution Networks: Optimal vs. Random Installation Phoovolaic Generaion in Disribuion Neworks: Opimal vs. Random Insallaion Hamidreza Sadeghian, Zhifang Wang Deparmen of Elecrical and Compuer Engineering Virginia Commonwealh Universiy Richmond, VA, USA

More information

Robotic Immobilization of Motile Sperm for Clinical Intracytoplasmic Sperm Injection

Robotic Immobilization of Motile Sperm for Clinical Intracytoplasmic Sperm Injection Roboic Immobilizaion of Moile Sperm for Clinical Inracyoplasmic Sperm Injecion Zhuoran Zhang, Changsheng Dai, James Huang, Xian Wang, Jun Liu, Changhai Ru, Huayan Pu, Shaorong Xie, Junyan Zhang, Sergey

More information

IDENTIFICATION OF LINEAR DYNAMIC MODELS FOR TYPE 1 DIABETES: A SIMULATION STUDY

IDENTIFICATION OF LINEAR DYNAMIC MODELS FOR TYPE 1 DIABETES: A SIMULATION STUDY IDENTIFICATION OF LINEAR DYNAMIC MODELS FOR TYPE 1 DIABETES: A SIMULATION STUDY Daniel A. Finan Howard Zisser Lois Jovanovic Wendy C. Bevier Dale E. Seborg Department of Chemical Engineering University

More information

A Two-step Decision Making Model Kao GAO1,2,a,*, Min NIAN3,b

A Two-step Decision Making Model Kao GAO1,2,a,*, Min NIAN3,b Inernaional onference on Economic anagemen and Trade ooperaion (ET 04) A Two-sep Decision aking odel ao AO,,a,*, in IA3,b Economics and anagemen chool of Wuhan Universiy, Wuhan, hina Economics chool of

More information

Analysis and Detection of Metamorphic Computer Viruses

Analysis and Detection of Metamorphic Computer Viruses San Jose Sae Universiy SJSU ScholarWorks Maser's Projecs Maser's Theses and Graduae Research 2006 Analysis and Deecion of Meamorphic Compuer Viruses Wing Wong San Jose Sae Universiy Follow his and addiional

More information

Exercise Testing in Servicemen with Asthma and its application to the assessment of Potential Recruits

Exercise Testing in Servicemen with Asthma and its application to the assessment of Potential Recruits J R Army Med Corps, 1983; 129: 14-18 Exercise Tesing in Servicemen wih Ashma and is applicaion o he assessmen of Poenial Recruis Col J Carson MB, FRCP, DTM&H, LjRAMC Maj C R Winfield MA, BM, MRCP, RAMC*

More information

Time Varying Volatilities of Output Growth and Inflation: A Multi-Country Investigation

Time Varying Volatilities of Output Growth and Inflation: A Multi-Country Investigation Preliminary and Incomplee Do No Quoe Time Varying Volailiies of Oupu Growh and Inflaion: A Muli-Counry Invesigaion John W. Keaing Vicor J. Valcarcel July 22, 2011 Absrac Changes in volailiy of oupu growh

More information

T he purpose of this paper is to investigate the

T he purpose of this paper is to investigate the Marke Anicipaions of Moneary Policy Acions William Poole, Rober H. Rasche, and Daniel L. Thornon William Poole is he presiden, Rober H. Rasche is a senior vice presiden and direcor of research, and Daniel

More information

J. Dairy Sci. 101:

J. Dairy Sci. 101: J. Dairy Sci. 101:736 751 hps://doi.org/10.3168/jds.017-1845 American Dairy Science Associaion, 018. A mahemaical model of he ineracion beween bovine blasocys developmenal sage and progeserone-simulaed

More information

National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence

National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence Naional Insiue for Healh and Clinical Excellence Venous hromboembolic diseases Guideline Consulaion Commens Table 26 Ocober 2011 21 December 2011 Type (NB his is for inernal purposes remove before posing

More information

APPROXIMATE AND EXACT CORRECTIONS OF THE BIAS IN CROSTON S METHOD WHEN FORECASTING LUMPY DEMAND: EMPIRICAL EVALUATION

APPROXIMATE AND EXACT CORRECTIONS OF THE BIAS IN CROSTON S METHOD WHEN FORECASTING LUMPY DEMAND: EMPIRICAL EVALUATION APPROXIMATE AND EXACT CORRECTIONS OF THE BIAS IN CROSTON S METHOD WHEN FORECASTING LUMPY DEMAND: EMPIRICAL EVALUATION Adriano O. Solis (a), Francesco Longo (b), Somnah Mukhopadhyay (c), Leizia Nicolei

More information

DOCTORAL THESIS STATEMENT

DOCTORAL THESIS STATEMENT CZECH TECHNICAL UNIVERSITY IN PRAGUE DOCTORAL THESIS STATEMENT Czech Technical Universiy in Prague Faculy of Elecrical Engineering Deparmen of Cyberneics Ing. Karel Kohou MULTI-LEVEL LEVEL STRUCTURE OF

More information

Adaptive Probabilistic Decision-Based Energy Saving Strategy for the Next Generation Cellular Wireless Systems

Adaptive Probabilistic Decision-Based Energy Saving Strategy for the Next Generation Cellular Wireless Systems MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC RESEARCH LABORATORIES hp://www.merl.com Adapive Probabilisic Decision-Based Energy Saving Sraegy for he Nex Generaion Cellular Wireless Sysems Weihuang Fu, Zhifeng Tao, Jinyun Zhang,

More information

Remote Estimation of the Wiener Process over a Channel with Random Delay

Remote Estimation of the Wiener Process over a Channel with Random Delay Remoe Esimaion of he Wiener Process over a Channel wih Random Delay Yin Sun, Yury Polyanskiy, and Elif Uysal-Biyikoglu Dep. of ECE, he Ohio Sae Universiy, Columbus, OH Dep. of EECS, Massachuses Insiue

More information

Mathematical Modeling of Insulin Therapy in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus

Mathematical Modeling of Insulin Therapy in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES AND ENGINEERING, VOL. 6, NO. 6, JUNE 15 Mahemaical Modeling of Insulin Therapy in Paiens wih Diabees Mellius Boniface O. Kwach 1, Omolo Ongai, M. Oduor

More information

Clinical monitoring with fuzzy automata

Clinical monitoring with fuzzy automata Fuzzy Ses and Sysems 61 (1994) 37-42 37 Norh-Holland Clinical monioring wih fuzzy auomaa Friedrich Seimann and Klaus-Peer Adlassnig Deparmen of Medical Compuer Sciences, Universiy of Vienna, Vienna, Ausria

More information

Age Related Changes of Morphology, Length And Luminal Diameter of Human Fallopian Tube

Age Related Changes of Morphology, Length And Luminal Diameter of Human Fallopian Tube IOSR Journal of Denal and Medical Sciences (IOSR-JDMS) e-issn: 2279-0853, p-issn: 2279-0861.Volume 16, Issue 7 Ver. III (July. 2017), PP 01-08 www.iosrjournals.org Age Relaed Changes of Morphology, Lengh

More information

A Machine-Vision Technique for Automated American Sign-Language Alphabets Recognition

A Machine-Vision Technique for Automated American Sign-Language Alphabets Recognition A Machine-Vision Technique for Auomaed American Sign-Language Alphabes Recogniion Aaron R. Rababaah Mah & Compuer Science Universiy of Maryland Easern Shore Princess Anne, 21853, USA arrababaah@umes.edu

More information

A cellular automaton model for the effects of population movement and vaccination on epidemic propagation

A cellular automaton model for the effects of population movement and vaccination on epidemic propagation Ecological Modelling 133 (0000) 209 223 www.elsevier.com/locae/ecolmodel A cellular auomaon model for he effecs of populaion movemen and vaccinaion on epidemic propagaion G. Ch. Sirakoulis, I. Karafyllidis*,

More information

SURVEILLANCE IN THE INFORMATION AGE: TEXT QUANTIFICATION, ANOMALY DETECTION, AND EMPIRICAL EVALUATION

SURVEILLANCE IN THE INFORMATION AGE: TEXT QUANTIFICATION, ANOMALY DETECTION, AND EMPIRICAL EVALUATION SURVEILLANCE IN THE INFORMATION AGE: TEXT QUANTIFICATION, ANOMALY DETECTION, AND EMPIRICAL EVALUATION Iem ype Auhors Publisher Righs ex; Elecronic Disseraion Lu, Hsin-Min The Universiy of Arizona. Copyrigh

More information

arxiv: v2 [cs.cl] 2 Apr 2019

arxiv: v2 [cs.cl] 2 Apr 2019 NEURAL SPEED READING WITH STRUCTURAL-JUMP- LSTM Chrisian Hansen, Casper Hansen, Sephen Alsrup, Jakob Grue Simonsen & Chrisina Lioma Deparmen of Compuer Science Universiy of Copenhagen Denmark, Copenhagen

More information

FPGA Based Arrhythmia Detection

FPGA Based Arrhythmia Detection Available online a wwwsciencedireccom ScienceDirec Procedia Compuer Science 57 (2015 ) 970 979 3rd Inernaional Conference on Recen Trends in Compuing 2015 (ICRTC-2015) FPGA Based Arrhyhmia Deecion LVRajani

More information

NEURAL SPEED READING WITH STRUCTURAL-JUMP- LSTM

NEURAL SPEED READING WITH STRUCTURAL-JUMP- LSTM NEURAL SPEED READING WITH STRUCTURAL-JUMP- LSTM Anonymous auhors Paper under double-blind review ABSTRACT Recurren neural neworks (RNNs) can model naural language by sequenially reading inpu okens and

More information

lifestyle & nutritional protocol

lifestyle & nutritional protocol proocol lifesyle & nuriional proocol biological immoraliy in humans is an ineviable consequence of naural evoluion ~ marios kyriazis ~ biogeronologis welcome o he greaes healh science discovery in hisory.

More information