Epitope Specific CD8 + T Cell Responses Predict Spontaneous Control of HIV Replication

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1 Epitope Specific CD8 + T Cell Responses Predict Spontaneous Control of HIV Replication Florencia Pereyra, MD Partners AIDS Research Center Harvard Medical School Boston, MA

2 Background HIV -1 elicits HLA class I restricted cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) responses to multiple different epitopes Certain HLA class I alleles are associated with control of HIV viremia, and others with progression to AIDS Some persons with protective alleles have high viral loads, whereas others maintain control of viremia Attempts to correlate the magnitude and breadth of CTL responses to control of HIV -1 replication have been equivocal, but relative targeting of optimally defined epitopes has not been examined

3 Question Is it possible that it is not just the HLA allele, but the particular optimal epitopes being targeted through the expressed HLA alleles, that is important for spontaneous control of HIV?

4 Hypothesis Spontaneous control of HIV virus replication is associated with targeting of specific optimal epitopes by CD8 + T cells It is not the HLA alleles, but rather the particular optimal epitopes targeted by the HLA alleles, that account for differences in control

5 Subjects Elite controllers (n=74) At least 3 x VL < 50 for at least 12 months Blips (usually < 500) if infrequent and non-consecutive Viremic controllers (n=74) At least 3 x VL < 2000 for at least 12 months Blips if infrequent and non-consecutive Chronic progressors (n=102) Untreated VL > 10,000

6 Methods Define the breadth of responses to defined optimal HIV epitopes (n=222) restricted by each person s expressed HLA alleles Perform multivariate logistic regression model with a Bayesian L1 prior over the parameters to asses the ability of expressed class I alleles, targeted optimal CD8 T cell epitopes, or the combination of both to predict HIV control Use a frequentist multivariate (Mv) analysis with a q-value threshold of < 0.2 to identify the epitope specific CD8 + T cell responses that correlate with HIV control

7 A68 A69 A74 A80 HLA-A Allele Frequencies A11 A23 A24 A25 A26 A29 A30 A31 A32 A33 A34 A36 A66 A3 A2 A HLA A Allele All Controllers (N=148) Chronic (N=102) Allele Frequency

8 HLA-B Allele Frequencies 0.20 All Controllers (N=148) 0.15 B7 B8 B13 B14 B15 B18 B27 B35 B37 B38 B39 B40 B41 B42 B44 B45 B47 B48 B49 B50 B51 B52 B53 B55 B57 B60 B58 B67 B HLA B Allele Chronic (N=102) Allele Frequency

9 Cw17 Cw18 Cw20 HLA-C Allele Frequencies Cw3 Cw4 Cw5 Cw6 Cw7 Cw8 Cw12 Cw14 Cw15 Cw16 Cw2 Cw HLA C Allele All Controllers (N=148) Chronic (N=102) Allele Frequency

10 Prediction of HIV Virus Control p = No. TRUE POSITIVES Epitopes HLA-Epitopes HLA No. FALSE POSITIVES

11 Prediction of HIV Virus Control p = No. TRUE POSITIVES Epitopes HLA-Epitopes HLA No. FALSE POSITIVES

12 Prediction of HIV Control: HLA Alone No. TRUE POSITIVES Epitopes HLA-Epitopes HLA No. FALSE POSITIVES

13 Prediction of HIV Control: HLA plus Epitopes p = 0.01 No. TRUE POSITIVES Epitopes HLA-Epitopes HLA No. FALSE POSITIVES

14 Prediction of HIV Control: Epitope Alone p = 0.01 No. TRUE POSITIVES Epitopes HLA-Epitopes HLA No. FALSE POSITIVES

15 Epitope specific CD8+ T cell responses associated with viral control PEPTIDE HLA PROTEIN P VALUE Q VALUE L1 WEIGHT AW9 B*57 Vpr KK10 B*27 p24 < TW10 B*57 p HW9 B*57 Nef DA9 B*14 p LV10 A*02 Nef

16 Epitope specific CD8+ T cell responses associated with chronic progression PEPTIDE HLA PROTEIN P VALUE Q VALUE L1 WEIGHT FF9 B*57 p RL11 A*24 B*44 p GY9 A*01 p HL9 B*15 p

17 Conclusions I It is the optimal HIV epitopes targeted by CD8 + T cell responses and not the HLA class I alleles that are protective For a given HLA allele, there are patterns of epitope recognition that are associated with better control, and others associated with worse control Not all HIV specific CD8 T cell responses are created equally Not all Gag-specific responses are associated with control

18 Conclusions II The following epitope responses are highly associated with HIV virus control after correction for multiple comparisons: B57-AW9 (VPR), B27-KK10(P24), B57-TW10(P24), B57-HW9(NEF), B14-DA9(P24) and A2-LV10(NEF) The following epitope responses are associated with chronic HIV progression: B57-FF9(P24), A24-B44-RL11(P24), A1-GY9(P17) and B15-HL9(P24)

19 Acknowledgements Emily Cutrell Brett Baker Brian Block Alissa Rothchild Alicja Piechocka Ildiko Toth Hendrik Streeck Bruce Walker David Heckerman Jonathan Carlson

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