CODIGEOSIM Workshop on geosimulation and mathematical modelling for zoonotic diseases

Transcription

1 CODIGEOSIM Workshop on geosimulation and mathematical modelling for zoonotic diseases August 19-21, 2009 Centre for Disease Modelling York University,Toronto Workshop Goals and Agenda Sponsored by: GEOIDE, MITACS and PHAC Location: TEL Building, room 1014 York University, Keele Campus 4700 Keele St., Toronto, ON M3J 1P3 Audio video: PC and data projector available Hotel accommodation: Executive Learning Centre at the Schulich School of Business, York University, Keele Campus 56 Fine Arts Road, Toronto, ON M3J 1P3 ( 1 / 14 Last update: August 13, 2009

2 Organizing Committee Co-Chairs: Dr. Bernard Moulin, Laval University, Quebec Dr. Nick Ogden, PHAC, St-Hyacinthe Dr. Peter Buck, PHAC, Ottawa Other Committee members: Dr. Jianhong Wu, York University, Toronto Dr. Dongmei Chen, Queen s University, Kingston Dr. Huaiping Zhu, York University, Toronto Local Arrangements and contacts: Mirela Cojoaca, York University, Toronto Centre for Disease Modelling York Institute for Health Research 5021 TEL, York University Tel: (416) Ext (Voic ) mcojoaca@yorku.ca Workshop Goals This CODIGEOSIM Workshop on Geosimulation and Mathematical Modelling for Zoonotic Diseases is organized through the project CODIGEOSIM: Geosimulation tools for simulating spatial-temporal spread patterns and evaluating health outcomes of communicable diseases and jointly sponsored by the Geomatics for Informed Decisions (GEOIDE), Mathematics of Information Technology and Complex Systems (MITACS), and Public Health Agency of Canada (PHAC). Zoonotic diseases such as the West Nile Virus and Lyme Disease involve different infectious agents and have various complicated transmission paths between wildlife and human. Given the ongoing risk of zoonotic diseases in Canada and worldwide, it is important to develop appropriate models and tools to assess and predict the spread and risk of these diseases. The multidisciplinary collaboration among experts on different aspects of these diseases is the key to the success of developing such models and tools. This workshop will involve a relatively small group of invited researchers, who are working on diverse disciplines related to zoonotic diseases, such as wildlife migration, veterinary science, biology, public health, mathematical and statistics modelling, geographic information science, computer science, etc. The object of this workshop will be: 1) to make a working plan for West Nile virus and Lyme diseases; and 2) to discuss and plan future bird-flu research agenda. The expected outcome will be the synthesis of current progress among diverse disciplines, and potential development of new collaborative groups between national and international researchers on zoonotic diseases. 2 / 14 Last update: August 13, 2009

3 Wednesday, August 19, 2009 Morning 9:00 AM - 9:10 AM: Welcome and introduction to the workshop objectives (B. Moulin, N. Ogden, P. Buck) 9:10 AM - 9:20 AM: Round Table: introduction of participants (all participants) 9:20 AM - 9:30 AM: Introduction to GEOIDE s CODIGEOSIM Project (J. Wu, D. Chen, B. Moulin) 9:30 AM - 10:00 AM: Surveillance of the West Nile Virus- title to be confirmed (P. Buck) 10:00 AM -10:30 AM: Predicting mosquito hot-spots using biological-based spatial models (B. Klinkenberg) 10:30 AM - 11:00 AM: Coffee break 11:00 AM - 11:30 AM: The West Nile Virus with corvids and non-corvids (H. Zhu) 11:30 AM - 12:00 AM: VNO-MAGS: a geosimulation software for the simulation of the West Nile Virus and comparison of intervention scenarios (B. Moulin) 12:00 AM 1:30 PM: Lunch break Afternoon 1:30 PM - 2:00 PM: Vector Borne Diseases - A novel approach to control through Information Technology interventions in India (USN Murty) 2:00 PM - 2:30 PM: The Impact of Weather Condition on Culex Pipiens and Culex Restuans Mosquito Abundance -- A Case Study in Peel Region (J. Wang, N. Ogden, H. Zhu) 2:30 PM - 3:00 PM: A delay differential equation model for West Nile virus between birds and mosquitoes (G. Fan) 3:00 PM - 3:15 PM: Coffee Break 3:15 PM 4:30 PM: Discussion on next steps for CODIGEOSIM Project : West Nile Virus Track (animated by P. Buck and B. Moulin) Users needs and priorities (from federal and provincial Public Health agencies) Putting Modeling and Geosimulation to use in Federal and Provincial Agencies Collaborations with non- CODIGEOSIM teams WNV CODIGEOSIM Track: updated objectives and team workplan Data Needs and Availability (Agreements, who to contact, etc.) Plan to improve collaborations between subteams and collaborators from different agencies 4:30 PM: Closing 3 / 14 Last update: August 13, 2009

4 Thursday, August 20, 2009 Morning 9:00 AM - 9:10 AM: Welcome and introduction to the Lyme Disease Track (N. Ogden, B. Moulin) 9:10 AM - 9:15 AM: Round Table: Introduction of participants (new participants) 9:15 AM - 9:45 AM: Surveillance Persistence and spread of the agent of Lyme disease in low-density, emerging blacklegged tick populations (J.I. Tsao, G. J. Hickling) 9:45 AM - 10:15 AM: Emergence of Lyme disease risk in Quebec: three sources of data provide a coherent picture of underlying mechanisms (N. Ogden) 10:15 AM - 10:45 AM: Coffee break 10:45 AM - 11:15 AM: Human exposure to the risk of Lyme Disease in a French forested landscape (V. Godard) 11:15 AM - 11:45 AM: A preliminary examination of the relation between ticks, land use and public perception in the Okanagan (B. Klinkenberg) 11:45 AM - 12:15 AM: Investigation of the temperature influence on tick population: A dynamic model (V. Duvvuri, X. Wu and J. Wu) 12:15 AM - 1:30 PM: Lunch break Afternoon 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM: Discussion on next steps for CODIGEOSIM Project : Lyme Disease Track (animated by N. Ogden and B. Moulin) Users needs and priorities (from federal and provincial Public Health agencies) Collaborations with non- CODIGEOSIM teams Lyme Disease CODIGEOSIM Track: Objectives and team work plan Data Needs and Availability (Agreements, who to contact, etc.) Plan to improve collaborations between sub-teams and collaborators from different agencies 3:00 PM - 3:30 PM: Coffee Break 3:30 PM 4:30 PM: Discussion continues (animated by N. Ogden and B. Moulin) 4:30 PM: Closing 4 / 14 Last update: August 13, 2009

5 Friday, August 21, 2009 Morning 9:00 AM - 9:10 AM: Welcome and introduction to the Bird Flu Track (D. Chen, J. Wu) 9:10 AM - 9:15 AM: Round Table: introduction of participants (new participants) 9:15 AM - 9:45 AM: Canada s Inter-Agency Wild Bird Influenza Survey (J. Parmley) 9:45 AM - 10:15 AM: Bird migration and H5N1: a First Step in Modeling the Multi- Scale Spatial Dynamics of H5N1 Spread (L. Bourouiba) 10:15 AM - 10:45 AM: Geographical Analysis of Bird Flu (D. Chen) 10:45 AM - 11:15 AM: Back To Business: Cleaning & Disinfecting an Avian Influenza Infected Premise (A. Visser and P. Bolton from Egg Farmers) 11:15 AM - 11:30 AM: Coffee break 11:30 AM - 12:15 AM: Discussion on next steps for CODIGEOSIM Project : Bird Flu Track (animated by D. Chen and B. Moulin) Users needs and priorities Collaborations with non- CODIGEOSIM teams Collaboration with the Poultry Industry Bird Flu Disease CODIGEOSIM Track: Objectives and research agenda Data Needs and Availability (Agreements, who to contact, etc.) 12:15 AM - 1:30 PM: Lunch break Afternoon 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM: Discussion continues (animated by D. Chen and B. Moulin) 3:00 PM: Closing 5 / 14 Last update: August 13, 2009

6 Workshop Participants First Name Last Name Institution 1 Ahmed Abdelrazec York University ahmed5@mathstat.yorku.ca 2 Richard Bello York University bello@yorku.ca Public Health Agency of Canada St. 3 Philippe Berthiaume Hyacinthe philippe_berthiaume@phac-aspc.gc.ca 4 Pam Bolton Egg Farmers of Ontario pamb@getcracking.ca 5 Lydia Bourouiba York University lbouro@mathstat.yorku.ca 6 Peter Buck Public Health Agency of Canada Peter_Buck@phac-aspc.gc.ca 7 Sharon Calvin Public Health Agency of Canada sharon_calvin@phac-aspc.gc.ca 8 DongMei Chen Queen's University chendm@queensu.ca National Microbiology Lab, Public 9 Wilfred Cuff Health Agency of Canada Wilfred_Cuff@phac-aspc.gc.ca 10 Venkata Duvvuri York University dvenkata@yorku.ca 11 Susie ElSaadany Public Health Agency of Canada susie_elsaadany@phac-aspc.gc.ca 12 Guihong Fan York University gfan@mathstat.yorku.ca 13 Vincent Godard University of Paris vgodard@univ-paris8.fr Ontario Broiler Hatching Egg & Chick 14 John Groen Commission johng@obhecc.com 15 Graham J. Hickling University of Tennessee ghicklin@utk.edu Infectious Diseases Branch, Ontario 16 Nina Jain-Sheehan Ministry of Health and Long Term Care Nina.Jain-Sheehan@ontario.ca 17 Claire Jardine University of Guelph cjardi01@uoguelph.ca 18 Brian Klinkenberg University of British Columbia brian@geog.ubc.ca 19 Patrick Leighton McGill University patrick.leighton@mail.mcgill.ca 20 Bernard Moulin Laval University bernard.moulin@ift.ulaval.ca 21 U.S.N. Murty Biology Division IICT murty_usn@yahoo.com 22 Nicholas Ogden Public Health Agency of Canada Nicholas_Ogden@phac-aspc.gc.ca 23 Jane Parmley Canadian Cooperative Wildlife Health Centre jparmley@uoguelph.ca 24 Curtis Russell Infectious Diseases Branch, Ontario Ministry of Health and Long Term Care curtis.russell@moh.gov.on.ca 25 Jean Tsao Michigan State University tsao@msu.edu 26 Albert Visser Egg Farmers of Ontario avisser@getcracking.ca 27 Jiafeng Wang York University jfwang@mathstat.yorku.ca 28 Jianhong Wu York University wujh@mathstat.yorku.ca 29 Huaiping Zhu York University huaiping@mathstat.yorku.ca 6 / 14 Last update: August 13, 2009