Early intervention in Europe status quo and recommendations LWL, Münster, Oct. 2010

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1 Early intervention in Europe status quo and recommendations LWL, Münster, Oct Gregor Burkhart, EMCDDA Gregor Gregor Burkhart Burkhart - EMCDDA - 1

2 = = = = = Lisbon = = Gregor Burkhart - EMCDDA / OEDT - 2

3 B) How to get ACCESS to users? Gregor Burkhart - 3

4 Option 1: Mass media campaigns: they can increase descriptive norm perception (bad) US government Cannabis campaign: well studied and implemented messages No effects overall, boomerang effects in certain subgroups (GAO 2006): exposure predicted intention to use These subgroups were those that had no thoughts nor conversations about Cannabis before (Jabobsohn 2006) Scottish Cocaine Campaign (know the score) 30 % of users wanted to reduce 56 % did not change intentions In 11 % the campaign increased the intention of use Gregor Burkhart - 4

5 2 access through criminal justice Gregor Burkhart - 5

6 Interventions for drug law No response offenders No information available No provision Rare provision Limited provision Extensive provision Full provision BE (FL) BE (FR) - - BE (DE) LU! PT ES IR! UK - BE FR NL - NO DK DE IT SI -! SE CZ AT! SI!! HR -! SK FI -! HU EE PL! LV LT RO?! - - Not known Priority in written drug policies Mentioned in written drug policies Not explicitly mentioned in written drug policies Importance at policy level BG EL TR Gregor Burkhart - 6 MT CY

7 EMCDDA - 7 Gregor Burkhart - EMCDDA / OEDT - 7

8 Evidence-based contents Normative restructuring most peers and females disapprove of use Pluralistic Ignorance (Abilene Paradox) Challenge norms of proximal peers Assertiveness training Motivation and goal-setting Improve academic achievements Improve parenting styles and coping EMCDDA - 8

9 3 - New way of access: internet based approaches Gregor Burkhart - 9

10 Internet-based drug treatment intervention in EU member states: Four programmes focusing cannabis users Live Onlinebehandeling Cannabis Gregor Burkhart - 10

11 Results: Days of consumption within the past 30 days Gregor Burkhart - 11 T(187,02)=6,593; p<.001; d = 0,98

12 Results: Consumed amount (grams) within the past 30 days T(166,969)=5,174; p<.001; d = 0,74 Gregor Burkhart - 12

13 5 - Early identification of pupils at risk in schools No response No information available No provision Rare provision Limited provision Extensive provision Full provision Gregor Burkhart - 13

14 Policies on drugs in schools* No Information Seldom or not available Sporadically found Regularly available Very common * norms regarding smoking and drug use in school premises as well as procedures for sanctions, detection, interventions Gregor Burkhart - EMCDDA - 14

15 6 Identify early trajectories into problem use Gregor Burkhart - 15

16 Not nature versus nurture but bi-directional effects! DRUG GENES synaptic structure and function ENVIRONMENT INTERVENTIONS stable changes in synaptic structure stable long-term change in function Keyword: plasticity! ADDICTION Gregor Burkhart - 16

17 Premises of (indicated) prevention Certain conduct or personality traits make individuals more prone for fast progress into problem drug use early and quick escalation of other problem behavior Sensation Seeking, Conduct Disorder, ADHD, being male => neuro-behavioural deinhibition Predict better intensity than initiation of use Mostly independent from socio-economic conditions Gregor Burkhart - 17

18 Impact of GBG vs. controls combined on lifetime drug abuse/dependence dence disorders Prevention programmes can override genetic vulnerability Gregor Burkhart

19 Programmes in Europa Coping power (Zonneyville- Bender) - Children 8-13 years with disruptive behaviour disorder Empecemos (Galicia): - Manualised children 8 - cognitive 10 yrs therapy; - With disruptive 23 weekly behaviour sessions 1 in ½classroom h for children (impulsivity, and parents aggressiveness, ADHD) --also 5 year for follow parents up: and reduction of teachers smoking, reduction of cannabis -Promising use, 1st no results differences in delinquent behaviour Preventure (Sully & Conrod) for Binge- Drinking Sensation Seekers: 2 Sessions, NNT: 2 HaLT (Hart am Limit) early intervention on problem alcohol use Emergency rooms Gregor Burkhart - EMCDDA / OEDT - 19

20 Risk trajectories New statistical approaches available E.g. sub-typing individuals according to a common trajectory (growth curves) of substance use latent classes (like an early-heavy group, a late-moderate group) may be promising for detecting early antecedents and predicting outcomes for each subgroup separately Gregor Burkhart - 20

21 Indicated prevention - approaches Cognitive-behaviouristic interventions Life-skills training, impulse and emotional control Motivational interviewing or: just monitor consumption Contingency training, deal positively with difficult temper: convert into chance. Psychiatric diagnosis, treatment, follow-up, Medication Gregor Burkhart - 21

22 The prevention filters : intervention criteria Universal prevention no filter Filter I: social, demographic predictors (no prediction on individual risk) Filter II: expert-diagnosed risk factors: individual mental health or conduct problems; drug use not obligatory Drug use alone as predictor Indicated prevention Early intervention Gregor Burkhart - 22 Selective prevention Truancy Academic underachievement Offending Low bonding Parenting styles Family conditions

23 UCPP: Zonnevylle-Bender et al. (2007) Children 8-13 years with Disruptive Behaviour Disorder entering mental health centre or psychiatric outpatient clinic Relationship of substance abuse and delinquent behaviour Early treatment of problematic behaviour can reduce later substance abuse or delinquent behaviour. DBD in childhood predisposes to substance abuse in adolescence Manualised cognitive therapy; 23 weekly sessions à 1 ½ h children and parents Therapists: masters degree in Psychology, special training Children visiting a clinic Parents have to pay for programme Gregor Burkhart - 23 Reducing delinquent behaviour and substance abuse Childhood Disruptive Behaviour Disorder 5 year follow up: reduction of smoking, reduction of cannabis use, no differences in delinquent behaviour

24 A) Premises of prevention: use is not always risk Estimated number of users in Europe Cannabis, population years: Lifetime 19 mill Last year 10 mill Last month 5 mill European average 30.5 % 15.8 % 8.3 % Range % % % Gregor Burkhart - 24

25 Drug use is just ONE possible predictor for problems Early intervention Indicated prevention Cannabis users 70 Million Europeans ever used (LTP) 13 M i l l i on i n l ast m onth 3 Million daily Problem escalation Mental health problems Behavioral disorders Violence Alcohol problems Gregor Burkhart - 25

26 US study: estimated probabilities of the GMM with within-class variation of the intercepts with 3 classes for the variable getting drunk in past 30 days. Gregor Gregor Burkhart Burkhart - EMCDDA

27 EU-DAP: estimated probabilities of the LCGA with 3 classes for the variable getting drunk in past 30 days Gregor Gregor Burkhart Burkhart - EMCDDA

28 What is being done? Only six countries report on interventions for kids with ADHD or disruptive behaviour while A third of EU member states invest in early intervention alone. i.e. Focus on drug use alone Focus on come approaches, using existing services and structures Gregor Burkhart - 28

29 How to get to the anonymous problem users? Use other markers and surrogates Demand for Internet counselling Drug law offences Problems in school Deglamourise instead of warn Early problem behaviour Gregor Burkhart - 29

30 Promising approaches but few evaluations Nice: offer support to young people showing risky consumption early on in order to prevent them from sliding into dependency But: we have numerous examples of interventions that affect subjects differently based on their own baseline risk produce iatrogenic effects: adolescents learn deviant behaviour produce differential effects across cultures or community settings Gregor Burkhart - 30

31 Ethical needs and outlooks better evaluation designs that allow for valid claims of effectiveness compared to nonintervention instruments and intervention methods that allow to respond to especially vulnerable individuals among young consumers exchange effective components with other evidence-based interventions Gregor Burkhart - 31

32 Results: Consumed amount (grams) within the past 30 days T(166,969)=5,174; p<.001; d = 0,74 Gregor Burkhart - EMCDDA - 32

33 Alternatives to RCTs: interrupted time series Gregor Burkhart - 33

34 Gregor Burkhart - 34

35 Hypothesized Mediator Relationship Use of no lag, single lagged, and double lagged analyses Earlier Round Time 1 Later Round Time 2 Later Round Time 3 Earlier Round Time 1 Later Round Time 2 Later Round Time 3 Earlier Round Time 1 Later Round Time 2 Later Round - Time 3

36 Gregor Burkhart - 36

37 Polemic? Initiation of substance use is a social process (environmental strategies, universal prevention) Self-control of use, or exiting it: matter of opportunities and support (selective prevention) (quick) problem development: genetics (indicated prevention) Mental health problems Temper - 20% Problem use Lack of impulse control (NDI) Glantz et al Gregor Gregor Burkhart Burkhart - EMCDDA - 37 / OEDT - 37

38 For the next steps Assure sustainability Transfer methodology, including manuals Transfer into other settings: schools, families first of all: do no harm and improve evidence More intensive research and presence in the research community: US (SPR) Apply to DG Research Standardise also the intake procedure (instruments)? Gregor Burkhart - 38

39 Youth in government care FI SE Not known NO No response No information available No provision Priority in written drug policies EE Rare provision LV Mentioned in written drug policies LT DK Limited provision & IR Not explicitly mentioned in written drug policies Extensive provision NL UK " "!%! $ "#! PL Full provision DE BE CZ SK AT HU SI RO FR HR IT BE (FL) BG BE (FR) TR BE (DE) LU EL PT ES MT - CY Gregor Burkhart - EMCDDA - 39

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